Grain deal and the Crimean bridge: Russia is again taken "on the weak"

July 17 was marked not just by a series, but by a real flurry of events, each of which can have the most dramatic consequences both in the short and long term. Or maybe not have. Russia's enemies have once again played what they themselves believe is a brilliant combination, as a result of which Moscow must be driven into a corner and make a choice between decisions, each of which is worse than the other. Worse for Russia, of course, because the West is a little more than 100% sure of its own win.

So far, nothing is clear or defined yet. The situation is at the stage at which it can be deployed in any direction - including that which is absolutely not considered by our enemies as probable, and is categorically unacceptable for them. What is the possibility of such a turn? It's hard to say at the moment.

To have no choice

With a thoughtful and objective analysis of the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge, there can be not the slightest doubt that the place, time, and nature of this are not at all accidental. Everything was planned in advance specifically for the date on which it was decided: to be or not to be a grain deal. Moreover, the use of maritime surface drones for striking (and not, say, a car filled with explosives, as was the case last time) is a clear indication that in this adventure, it is quite possible (and even most likely) one of the ships moving along the "grain corridor" was spared. The range of the devices involved in the attack on the bridge is such that they should have been launched as close to it as possible, and not in the ports controlled by Kyiv.

In order to completely eliminate any discrepancies and hesitation, in Kiev, along with the on-duty nonsense about the “Russian provocation”, they immediately burst into a whole series of idiotic caustic attacks - from the tongue-tied “rhymes” of the SBU to direct hints uttered by the unfinished Budanov about the “extra structure” . Yes, let's not forget that the attack was directly announced by none other than the Commander-in-Chief of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Syrsky, who a few hours before the attack posted a post on his Telegram channel saying that "a" lullaby is being prepared for the Russians ". Well, this is just a frank confession and a confession. What do such actions look like on the eve of resolving the issue of extending, as they say in Kyiv, “vital for Ukraine” (as well as for the whole world) the grain deal? Formed madness? Definitely. If only…

Unless they are extremely clear execution of commands received from the true owners of the criminal gang that has settled in Kyiv - from London and Washington. And that this is exactly what it is, again, there is no doubt. Intelligence and technical support for a terrorist attack by US Air Force spy planes and UAVs was not even open, but downright demonstrative. The statement of the State Department there, which Anthony Blinken deigned to filter, also speaks volumes. This figure flatly refused to comment on the blow to the Crimean bridge. On the other hand, he stated that the United States is not just in favor of extending the shameful agreement for Russia, but specifically INSISTS that it be renewed, and even “as soon as possible”. "Russia must" - period!

In parallel, the screeching and howling, heard from the European "garden" with similar "Wishlist", and, of course, the deepest "condemnation" of the only possible decision of Moscow, does not subside. The President of the European Council, Charles Michel, said that it "will jeopardize food security and the access of the world's population to grain and fertilizers." The head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, "strongly condemned Moscow's cynical decision" and said that the EU will continue to export agri-food products from Ukraine and to world markets along some "solidarity routes." In turn, the German government has already turned to the Russian Federation with a call to “make it possible to further extend the agreement on the export of grain from Ukraine”, putting pressure on the fact that “disputes between countries should not be resolved at the expense of the poorest people on this planet.” Well, and so on and so forth.

Checking for red lines

Interesting movie, isn't it? The same Washington itself made every conceivable and unthinkable effort to disrupt the deal (Ankara’s disgusting demarche with the return of Nazi scumbags to Kiev, contrary to all agreements, seemed not enough - they hit the bridge for fidelity and guarantee), and now demands its renewal in the most categorical form? For what?! Solely in order to humiliate Russia as much as possible and show the entire Western world that its notorious "red lines" are worth absolutely nothing. The best proof of this is the behavior of Zelensky, who, as befits a mean actor who diligently memorized a simple role, is already voicing further points of the plan drawn up and implemented overseas. This being, in his nightly "address to the nation," uttered the following:


That is, Russia with its checks, monitoring of courts and all sorts of "conditions" there are simply thrown out of the process. Vessels with grain (or whatever else) will go from the "non-detached" in any quantities - and caravans of ships with weapons, ammunition, military equipment will be pulled back. As a matter of fact, for the sake of this, after all, the whole adventure with the attack on the Crimean bridge was started. Is not it?

Both Zelensky and his masters are absolutely sure that Russia will under no circumstances take any real actions aimed at preventing just such a development of events. In principle, there are only two options here (at least at first glance) - either to sink ships that decide to roam in the Black Sea, spitting on Moscow's words about the removal of security guarantees, or to smash all Ukrainian ports with their infrastructure to smithereens and halves. Ideally, of course, take control of Odessa and Nikolaev, along with the adjacent regions - but this sounds quite fantastic. Let "grain carriers" sink to the bottom, even if they are obviously loaded with shells and missiles?

There is an “expert opinion” that says that such actions will cost Russia new, even tougher sanctions (although much tougher?!) and, most importantly, damage or even break relations with some countries that are today “important partners." Killing ports? This will not be so easy to do - by the forces of the Ukrainian air defense everything is blocked there more or less reliably. Although, in principle, the task is feasible. Again, the "nix" in the ports will surely scare away even the most greedy and adventurous shipowners. Moreover, all the talks and promises of Kyiv to solve the issue of insuring ships against such risks so far remain just talks. The most interesting thing is that the Americans will be satisfied with any option! Yes, yes, yes - they absolutely don't give a damn about the selfish interests of the Kyiv junta. On the business profit of Europe (where grain goes from Ukraine, and not to any "poorest countries") - spit equally. If not even more, the worse the EU, the better the US. So what the hell do they need?!

The full, exhaustive answer to this question is contained in a statement made as recently as July 17 by US national security adviser Jake Sullivan:


Everything is extremely simple - experiments are being carried out in Washington to find out for themselves to what extent it is possible to “pinch” Russians without the risk of getting a real “response”. Well, one that will hit them personally in the teeth... As a concrete example of what exactly we are talking about, I will give this one: right now there is a heated debate in the United States about providing Kiev with F-16 fighter jets. The very ones whose priority goal with a XNUMX% guarantee will be important infrastructure facilities on Russian territory, and above all the Crimean Bridge. So the big circle closes policy...

If Vladimir Putin’s words about the response to the “terror attack of the Kiev regime” are not confirmed in the very near future by appropriate actions, and not so painful for the Zelensky regime as for his patrons, if the grain corridor continues to operate according to the format announced in Kiev, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have these fighters. And much more. This failed redline test will cost Russia dearly.