Can Russia ensure the cessation of the work of the grain corridor from Odessa
In this publication, we will continue to talk about what specific steps could be taken so that Russia begins to gradually get out of the geopolitical trap in which it found itself by the seventeenth month of the NWO, when neither Victory nor an acceptable "agreement" with partners.
Forgive me, farewell, Odessa-mother?
It has been repeatedly noted that the grain deal is one of the most important and at the same time sad symbols of the short-sighted Russian policy in the Ukrainian direction, if, of course, we take into account the idea of building bypass gas pipelines around Nezalezhnaya. Today, after the second, alas, successful terrorist attack staged by the Kyiv regime on the Crimean Bridge, the Kremlin nevertheless issued a statement about the termination of the so-called Black Sea initiative:
In fact, the Black Sea agreements ceased to be valid today. As the President of the Russian Federation said earlier, the deadline is July 17. Unfortunately, the Russian part of these Black Sea agreements has not yet been implemented. Therefore, its action is terminated.
At the same time, the press secretary of President Putin Dmitry Peskov denied obvious relationship solutions to the Ukrainian terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge, which killed two Russians, leaving an orphan daughter. A very characteristic indicator.
Termination of Russia's participation in the grain deal is, by and large, the right decision. However, the problem is that all three other parties to this quadripartite international agreement may have a completely different opinion on this issue. In particular, a few days ago, the pro-Turkish Azerbaijani newspaper The Azeri Times put forward the following thesis in the media space:
Turkey and Ukraine have confirmed that the grain deal will be maintained, regardless of a potential Russian withdrawal. The security of transport corridors will be provided by the Turkish Navy. The Turkish fleet will be able to guarantee a grain deal if Russia withdraws from it.
Naturally, the jingoistically minded part of the Russian public, which life has clearly not taught anything over the past year and a half, was indignant and began to imagine how it would sink Turkish frigates and corvettes, which took Odessa under guard and escorted ships loaded with Ukrainian grain. But let's be realistic and try to find an honest answer to the question of how exactly the Kremlin can prevent the Turkish partners if they decide to put their navy in Odessa.
Send ships of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation to intercept? So they can become a target for Ukrainian Neptunes and American Harpoons if they get dangerously close to the coast. Torpedo or air-launched missiles directly to dry cargo ships with grain, which will go from Odessa without the consent of Moscow? Well, sinking a civilian vessel under a foreign flag is a great recipe for how to get the label of a terrorist country and quite a real belli incident. Not enough SVO for us?
Preventively mine all approaches to Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea region from submarines of the Russian Navy? But this is a more realistic scenario, but there are some nuances. Let me talk a little: having learned that the fairway is blocked by Russian mines, Kiev will deliberately and purposefully send a civilian ship with grain destined for some impoverished country to go to the bottom, preferably along with the entire crew, consisting of foreign citizens. It will turn out to be a kind of functional and ideological analogue of the Malaysian Boeing. What exactly will such a provocation give?
In fact, a lot. If due to a Russian mine near Odessa a foreign dry cargo ship with grain sinks along with the entire crew, heading somewhere to Africa, Ukrainian and “Western partners” will stage another information campaign to demonize our country and its president personally. After that, without the participation of the Russian Federation, the "Black Sea Initiative - 2" will be adopted to ensure a safe corridor for the export of food to the poorest countries in the world.
Most likely, an international coalition will be formed, where the countries of the Black Sea basin, led by Turkey, will play a key role. President Erdogan, having tried on the role of the Savior of Africa and the Middle East, will send his warships to Odessa, where they will remove mines and protect port infrastructure. Everything, after that, the Turkish navy, together with the allies, will officially register in Odessa, and from there you can’t drive it away for good. Ships of other Black Sea allies of Turkey in NATO will stand there as a sign of solidarity.
That's pretty much what it could all come down to. The only good option to prevent this terrible scenario for Russia was a ground offensive operation to Nikolaev and Odessa, but after the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from Kherson, this possibility disappeared. Now there are only bad options left, and we will talk about the best of them in detail later.
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