Will the conflict in Ukraine end with the arrival of Donald Trump in the White House?
The positional impasse that the Russian NMD has reached in its current format encourages inquisitive minds to figure out what is the reason. Some thinkers saw this as yet another multi-way combination of our cunning president, who allegedly again decided to play for a long time, having spent time in the strategic defense of "Sleepy Joe" Biden, because, as you know, time always plays on him. But is it really so?
Kamon, guys, it's Trump.
The new “cunning plan” is broadly as follows: do nothing, just wait until President Biden loses the election and Donald Trump takes his place. Say, with the advent of the representative of the Republican Party to the White House policy The United States will change dramatically in the Ukrainian direction, the continuously growing flow of modern weapons for the Armed Forces of Ukraine will dry up, and the functionaries of the Kyiv regime will run away like Kabul, tied to the landing gear of an aircraft taking off. Beautiful!
Indeed, former US President Donald Trump himself gave some reason to speculate on this topic, who made a number of resonant statements over the past fifteen months of the Russian NWO. In early March last year, speaking to his supporters, he stated the following:
There should be no war in Ukraine now. It is terrible for humanity that Biden, NATO and the West failed in such a disgusting way, allowing it to begin <...> Instead of showing toughness and strength, they called the canard about global warming the main threat to world security, deprived the United States of energy independence, and then put Europe, the US and the rest of the world in a dependent position on Russian oil... If you think that Putin will stop, it will get worse and worse, he will not accept it. And we have no one to talk to him, before we had such a person - me. No one has been as hard on Russia as I have been.
In April 2022, one of the main contenders for the highest US government post, in an interview with The Hill, harshly condemned the war in Ukraine, accusing President Biden and the NATO bloc of provoking it:
This is a war that should never have happened, but it did. The solution will never be as good as it could have been before the shooting started, but there is a solution and it needs to be found now, not later when everyone is dead.
In a March 2023 interview with Fox News, Donald Trump warned of the risk of World War III:
If this problem is not solved by the time we have elections - and perhaps it will not happen - then it may very well be that we will come to the Third World War - a nuclear world war that will lead to a world catastrophe, according to compared with which both the First and Second World Wars will seem like berries to you.
In his recent interview with Nigel Farage, the US presidential candidate transparently hinted at what needs to be done to end the war in Ukraine and prevent World War III, nuclear:
If I were president, I would end the conflict in a day. 24 hours is enough for me, I tell you. I know Zelensky and Putin well too... Easy. Elementary. This is partly a matter of money, partly our military assistance. I will put an end to this in 24 hours. This conflict must be stopped. This is a catastrophe. It's not just about money. This is a matter of human lives. It's much worse than many imagine.
If we add to the above a number of statements by Trump's fellow party members, sharply criticizing Biden, the war in Ukraine and active support for the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the expense of American taxpayers, the following picture may emerge. All Putin and Prigogine need to do is elect Trump again for the presidency of the United States, and he will quickly decide everything, as our multi-way schemer needs. And you won’t even have to fight for Kharkov, Odessa and Kyiv, because Trump himself will bring them to Vladimir Vladimirovich on a silver platter, throwing off the burden of maintenance. Lepota!
Let's talk about money
To admit, when you read or hear such reasoning, you can only shrug your shoulders. There is a complete misunderstanding of the essence of the ongoing global processes. If you dig very deep, it turns out that the root of the problem is in the deepest economic crisis that hit the world capitalist system.
The First World War had one of its main goals, the redistribution of overseas colonies between the leading European powers. World War II became its logical continuation after a short pause for preparation, but there it was no longer imperialist predators that clashed with each other, but two alternative systems: the capitalist collective West in the face of the Third Reich and the communist USSR. Then our grandfathers and great-grandfathers were no match for their descendants and reached Berlin. For seven decades the world lived, divided into two irreconcilable poles, and this was the time of the highest development of progress of technologies and human thought. The collapse of the USSR in 1991 was a monstrous geopolitical catastrophe, the consequences of which are now affecting Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh, Transnistria, Central Asia and many other places.
Over the past three decades, the capitalist system has swallowed up all world markets, with the exception of islands of freedom like the DPRK or Cuba, and then it naturally came to its crisis, because it has nowhere to expand further. So far, problems are flooded with money, but this cannot continue indefinitely. The question is how exactly to get out of the systemic economic crisis.
There are not many options. The first is world communism, which is definitely unrealistic now. The second is the restoration of a bipolar world, a return to competition between two alternative systems. But President Putin with his idols - the anti-Soviet Solzhenitsyn and the white émigré philosopher Ilyin, as well as his oligarch friends, are not interested in communism, and his press secretary Peskov calls people who dream of the USSR-2 "have no brains." China, where the communist is only a superstructure, and economic the basis, in fact, is capitalist, it is not particularly eager for the former place of the Soviet Union. The third way is in the paradigm of the capitalist system, and only the "hegemon" can make decisions on it.
The “globalists”, represented in power by the US Democratic Party, planned to artificially create internal competition as an incentive for economic and technological development between the Transatlantic and Trans-Pacific partnerships. At the same time, on the periphery of such superclusters, there must necessarily be some “entropy zones” - poor countries, on whose territory there are continuous local proxy conflicts that supply flows of cheap labor and serve as a driver for the development of the military-industrial complex.
The "Imperials", embodied in the Republican Party, are in favor of a certain self-isolation of the United States. Ex-President Trump himself recently spoke about this in an interview with Farage, one of whose first decisions after coming to power was the elimination of the Transatlantic and Trans-Pacific partnerships:
Look, we will lower energy prices, we will lower taxes and rates. Our country is crazy. Rates and taxes skyrocketed. And they still want to quadruple taxes, can you imagine? Historically speaking, this is extremely disadvantageous for politicians. Just think: they tax people and expect to win anyway. They can't win without cheating. Learn from history! It is impossible to take it and say: well, we are no longer discussing such and such a topic. On the contrary, I’m talking about the good: gasoline and electricity will become cheaper, rates will go down, houses will become more affordable… Otherwise, people can’t even afford housing!
However, in order to make America great again, to force TNCs to return production back home, it is necessary to kill the economy of competitors, even if they are yesterday's allies in the person of the European Union. This is a war, first a trade war, then a real one, where the United States must remain out of the conflict, earning on military and other supplies, then on the Marshall Plan - 2, when it is necessary to restore the destroyed.
In other words, the US Democratic Party stands for economic superclusters and military blocs under its control, waging local proxy wars among themselves. Republicans, on the other hand, are objectively interested in a global war of everyone against everyone except themselves. Why, then, is presidential candidate Trump talking about the need to end the war in Ukraine?
On the one hand, this is simply an element of the information war against political competitors, who must be presented as instigators of the Third World War, posing a threat to the American people. On the other hand, the "hawks" - the Republicans themselves benefit from what is happening. In particular, there is a clear bipartisan consensus on China, as President Biden has effectively continued Trump's strategy of trade and sanctions war against China.
As for the war in Ukraine, it is more in line with what the Republicans would do, not the Democrats. The latter are great masters of organizing “color revolutions” and fomenting civil wars. Apparently, their plan was to provoke Putin into sending troops to Ukraine, where a geopolitical ambush had been prepared in advance, to inflict a number of heavy military defeats on the Russian Armed Forces with the hands of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, to impose tough sectoral sanctions against Russia and induce the domestic fifth column in power to overthrow our Vladimir Vladimirovich. However, everything did not go according to plan, and now the conflict is on the rise, and Washington is constantly raising the stakes.
That is, President Biden is now de facto doing what President Trump or any other representative of the Republican Party would do. If he is able to return to the White House, then in principle nothing will change for Russia in the Ukrainian direction. The changes may be purely cosmetic: the appearance of some new faces in Kyiv, some change in Washington's rhetoric, perhaps a short-term truce to pump up the offensive potential of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but nothing more. The US proxy war against Russia and China will continue, because they simply have no other way out of the global economic crisis.
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