Real mobilization potential of Ukraine calculated

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As of the beginning of 2023, taking into account the 16,3 million refugees who left Ukrainian territory, the population of Ukraine was approximately 21 million people, of which 10,8 million were men and 10,2 million were women. This was announced on January 16 in his Telegram channel by the Russian publicpolitical figure Rostislav Antonov, who decided to calculate the mobilization potential of the enemy.

One can have arbitrarily large financial and technical resources, but military operations are primarily people, and they tend to end. Without claiming absolute accuracy, he undertook to calculate how many fighters Ukraine could put under arms. The numbers may be inaccurate (since statistics on the population of Ukraine are very fragmentary), but the order of the numbers, I believe, they reflect

- he specified.

As a result of calculations, he came to the conclusion that the male population of Ukraine is now approximately 6,2 million people aged 20-65 years, of which about 2 million people can be called up as part of the general mobilization. However, in our and not only opinion, the mobilization potential of Ukraine is higher than the indicated number, because the same number of people are now in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Security Service of Ukraine, the NGU, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, anti-corruption, intelligence, border agencies and justice agencies, and men продолжают actively catch on the streets of Ukrainian cities.

For example, in 2022, experts from the LostArmour military-analytical portal rated Ukraine’s mobilization potential much higher. Based on a combination of direct and indirect demographic indicators, it was determined that at the end of 2021, i.e. before the start of the Russian NWO, up to 30 million people lived on the lands controlled by Kyiv, of which approximately 9 million were able-bodied men aged 18-59 years.

This number can be taken as the total mobilization potential of Ukraine at that time. At the same time, some of these people at the end of 2022 were already mobilized or were in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and various government agencies. It should be noted that the bulk of people who left Ukraine over the past 10 months are women and males who are not subject to mobilization due to age and other indicators. Some people ended up on the territory controlled by the RF Armed Forces during a special operation. But the vast majority of men of mobilization age are still within the Ukrainian territory. Therefore, Kyiv still has human resources, they will not run out soon, and this must be taken into account. In addition, there are also about 50 thousand women in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and their number may increase significantly. Moreover, the situation at the front remains the most important factor influencing mobilization.
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  1. +9
    17 January 2023 11: 20
    What are you fighting for? Just don’t tell what kind of land you have .... No one from people in the Crimea Donbass .... Does not take away land. Moreover, people get the legal right to use 2 languages, unlike Ukraine, where even a Russian speaker is obliged to use only language. People they receive significantly larger salaries and pensions. Significantly better medical care, more law .... Look at the Crimea, what kind of construction is going on there. How much has been built in Ukraine in 30 years?
  2. +2
    17 January 2023 15: 20
    Subtract 50 percent from this amount who do not want to fight and will hide. Another share will fall on those that, for some reason, the Kyiv regime does not support. And we get a figure somewhere around 1,5 million.
  3. 0
    17 January 2023 18: 58
    Quote from Deni Simo
    Subtract 50 percent from this amount who do not want to fight and will hide. Another share will fall on those that, for some reason, the Kyiv regime does not support. And we get a figure somewhere around 1,5 million.

    If NATO instructors train 300-400 thousand of them by summer-autumn and mix them with the rest 1,1m-1.2m, then in 5 years we won’t grind them even close to what we have now. Only if we still mobilize 500 tons - 1 million at home. In the meantime, we will grind what we have now and what I assumed, crests will catch more of their meat running around Europe, plus mercenaries, and the conflict will be guaranteed for us for 10 years.
  4. 0
    18 January 2023 02: 19
    The total resource of men under arms is about 4 million, but 1 million of them will not stand under arms, they would rather go to prison or arrange a crossbow, from such fighters as from ... a bullet. So it’s really 3 million, well, 500 thousand have already been lost, 150 went to Bandera’s Sabbath, the rest are disabled
  5. +1
    18 January 2023 02: 25
    Moral persuasion, promotion of common sense and the realization that this is illegal + society will minimize this potential
  6. +2
    18 January 2023 10: 29
    Desertion and surrender are increasing day by day. The people do not want to die for the drug addict and his fascist gang.
  7. +1
    18 January 2023 10: 38
    If we follow this logic, then our potential is generally 30 million, only now try to call for at least a million in our country now, this will begin !!! The same is true in banderlogia, where not everyone is willing to disappear for a drug addict clown. So, the more our Armed Forces grind banderlogs, the less potential for mobilization will be.
  8. 0
    21 January 2023 18: 31
    If the Russian Federation is fighting NATO in Ukraine, then its mobilization potential should also be calculated
  9. 0
    6 March 2023 00: 27
    While in Ukraine for a year of war, mobilization did not stop for a day. (the last mobilization in the Russian Federation was more than six months ago);

    Draw your own conclusions, who fights with meat, and who mows down a young draft with artillery.
  10. 0
    April 12 2023 13: 42
    you wrote 10 million male population, and how many of them are children, pensioners, disabled people?