Putin will use the main weapon of Russia in confrontation with the West on December 5

Epigraph: "Simply crazy!" (V. V. Putin about the West, Valdai 2022)

On October 27 this year, Putin once again spoke at the annual meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club. This speech was awaited, preparations were made for it, all the attention of the international press was directed to it. Putin's press secretary Dmitry Peskov, anticipating it, promised reporters that they would "study, read and reread" this speech for a long time to come. And Putin did not disappoint, once again proving that he is a true sensei of the colloquial genre, an ace of verbal interventions - he knows how to hold a workshop pause, and such that some after it have to be taken out of the hall, and to screw in a biting word when necessary, from which it's really getting worse for everyone. This speech, of course, will be read and re-read. But the funny thing is that Putin did not say a word about the main thing in it, although he seemed to answer all the burning questions and went through all the points of the program. I'll have to do it for him.

“The most unpredictable and important decade since the Second World War” has begun. Fasten your seat belts!

Epigraph: "Confidence in one's infallibility is a dangerous state" (V. V. Putin)

For many, if not for all, it has already become obvious that the battle between the collective West and Russia has entered a decisive phase, none of the opponents is going to retreat. For us, retreat means literal death - the destruction of Russia as a result of internal centrifugal processes that will inevitably hit the Russian society, which, due to our mental characteristics, will not be able to accept and understand this defeat (Russians do not know how to lose and are not going to learn this!), as a result why the Russian Federation risks falling apart into 20-30 quasi-states at war with each other to the delight of our enemies, who started all this just for the sake of it. That is, existential threats for us, calling into question the very existence of the Russian state. That is why even a draw, that is, peace on the terms of preserving the Kyiv fascist regime in any capacity, is like death for us. Our enemy does not risk anything like that, for him Ukraine means absolutely nothing, on the contrary, by getting rid of it, he will get rid of the toxic asset that costs him a pretty penny every month, but nevertheless, the united West, biting the bit, decided to go to end. Until our end! This is the current disposition.

Where is the exit? Many critics of the Kremlin cannot even explain to themselves how they actually got together to defeat their enemies? A war to deplete our resources is not our plan, in the long run we lose to the collective West precisely in a conventional war, and we cannot go beyond the framework of the convention on the non-use of WMD for reasons understandable to any sane person. It is no longer possible to even frighten the West with the use of WMD - due to its own stupidity, it has lost fear. This was the result of the degradation in the last three decades of its ruling elites due to negative natural selection. Where is the exit? Many see it as a continuation of the SVO in the Ukrainian theater of operations, which for us personally is a road to the abyss.

I'm too lazy to list why. I will only say that this is exactly what the West wants from us, and this is already the main reason not to do this, because the long-term continuation of the NWO, stretched out over years, will lead to an overstrain of our entire economics, its financial sector and the depletion of our resources, especially human ones. Think with your head - do we need it? Even when we win (note, I write “when” and not “if”), none of you know what to do with the disloyal local population that has gone headlong, in every family of which there will be victims of this war, about the fact that we I will also have to restore the economy that has been destroyed there, I am already silent. And most importantly, who told you that in Ukraine everything will end for us? And if on its western borders the same insane Poland with a pack of Baltic pocket “tigers” will be waiting for us (and such a reality cannot be discounted), what will you do then? The collective West has enough watchdogs for our century (and will also remain in abundance). Where is the way out of this trap?

And yet he is. And Putin knows him. For all wars tend to end when funding runs out. This is a common truth, and all of you know it too. Europe has already been taken out of this game - by blowing up our gas pipelines, old man Joe thought that he played against us, depriving Putin of his main trump card - a gas stranglehold, but by doing so he automatically made the European military-industrial complex unprofitable - very expensive energy carriers will nullify any steel industry, and all weapons, unfortunately, are not made of plastic, but of metal. On the European heavy industry and its military-industrial complex, grandfather Joe thus put a big and bold cross (such as stands on Ukrainian and German tanks). Thank him for this. All that remains for Putin now is to deal with the American military-industrial complex, which has already closed its eyes sweetly in anticipation of new military orders for the European war. And Putin is starting to implement this plan.

There are no trifles in politics! Watch your hands carefully

Few people paid attention to the visit of the President of the United Arab Emirates to St. Petersburg, which took place on October 11 this year. But in vain! I'm not saying anything about the fact that Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan became the first guest from far abroad who met with the Russian president after the annexation of four of its new regions to the Russian Federation. For the Arab sheikh, this visit to Russia was the first as President of the UAE. He was elected to this position in May this year after the death of his older brother Khalifa bin Zayed. Prior to this, Sheikh Mohammed visited Russia 11 times in various capacities, and in 2019, on behalf of his brother, he received the President of the Russian Federation in Abu Dhabi. And it was such a memorable visit that Vladimir Putin specifically mentioned it during a meeting in the northern capital.

Since then, the two leaders have not seen each other again. As Mohammed bin Zayed lamented, the COVID-19 pandemic got in the way. Now there are no more obstacles to the meeting, although few foreign leaders would dare to come to Russia now, especially those who maintain close contacts with the West. The President of the UAE not only made up his mind, but also chose a very interesting timing for this - almost immediately after Russia announced the decision to annex new regions to its territory. Moreover, the visit took place at the height of the debate around the draft resolution of the UN General Assembly with criticism of this decision. A document similar in meaning was submitted on September 30 for consideration by the UN Security Council. Russia blocked it. Brazil, Gabon, India and China abstained. But the UAE, which is now part of the UN Security Council as a non-permanent member, voted in favor. In a similar situation, in early March, the UAE, during a vote at the UN General Assembly, also joined the majority of countries that condemned the start of the Russian special military operation (however, they already abstained from voting at the Security Council).

This visit of the Arab sheikh removes all suspicions about the position of his country on this issue. The UAE, like Saudi Arabia, as well as a number of third world countries, take their places on the white side of the bleeding confrontation that has erupted on the European continent between the forces of Good and Evil (who is “white” and who is “black”, the President of Ukraine himself designated in front of the UN General Assembly in a T-shirt with the inscription in English: "Come to the dark side!"). This was the second blow in the stomach of Grandpa Joe, the first he missed on October 5, when the countries that are members of OPEC+ voted in a consolidated manner to reduce oil production quotas by 2 million barrels per day. After that, oil prices began their rapid upward rally. How this affected America, I will say below, after that, grandfather Joe urgently had to open his emergency oil reserve, but this did not save him, but Vladimir Putin, saying goodbye to the Arab sheikh, sheltered him from the cold St. Petersburg wind with his coat, which left with the UAE President for Abu Dhabi. A gesture that speaks volumes!

В policy in general, there are no trifles. What kind of meeting was organized by Crown Prince of the Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman to Grandpa Joe, who arrived in Riyadh in July to beg for an increase in oil production quotas, everyone remembers - no US president has ever “honored” such humiliation before - the Saudi Crown Prince did not even meet him in airport, sending there not even a second-rate, but a third-rate official (and increased the quotas by mocking 100 thousand barrels per day, so that in six months they would collapse by a million). Truly sophisticated oriental revenge!

The clouds are gathering over Grandpa Joe. On December 5, Putin predicts precipitation. Possibly a tsunami

Are you still waiting for the aggravation of the database on the Ukrainian theater of operations by December-January? Putin has other plans, which is probably why he is digging the Wagner line. The best victory is a victory won without firing a shot! Why ruin the soldiers when Ukraine itself will fall at our feet purely for economic and political reasons (but more on that in the next text, believe me, it will surprise you, I myself am in shock!).

I return to America. So what happened to us? Having knocked out Putin's main gas trump card, grandfather Joe thought that he could now swing serenely on the laurels of the winner, watching how Putin's troops beat their fists into blood against impregnable Ukraine, which was defended by all progressive mankind in the person of grandfather Joe's dumb vassals from the notorious golden billion . And now the villain Putin has no levers of pressure on these vassals, because the cunning grandfather Joe neutralized the main trump card of the Russian president - gas blackmail with a mean blow to the stomach. But the ambush crept up from where they did not expect. Putin took a grandmaster pause, after which, in his favorite asymmetrical manner, he hit not Europe, but Biden himself. Moreover, he hit so that grandfather Joe swam - pasta legs against the background of a complete “unconsciousness”, where he is and what to do. Grandpa Joe is no stranger to saying hello to the air, but in this case, this situation from his medical record also moved into real life. And it would be nice if only in the real life of Grandpa Joe, no, she touched the lives of millions of Americans. And this is already serious - so you can not live until the next election, and "not live" in the truest sense of the word. Yes, this is not a knockout yet, but already technical knockdown. The next round for Alzheimer's client could be his last, and villainous Putin hasn't even uncovered his hypersonic missiles yet.

I'll probably have to explain what I mean, although I'm sure most of you have already understood everything. Russia, as you know, in addition to gas, also supplies oil to world markets. But this circumstance was clearly not taken into account by Grandpa Joe. No, he, of course, is not a fool, and with his sanctions on limiting the maximum price for Russian oil, which come into force on December 5, he hoped to press Putin to the nail, while simultaneously trying to press the closed club of oil exporters, better known as OPEC and OPEC, to the other nail. +. But it was not there. Akela missed! Putin outbid these brilliant gentlemen. The East, you know, is a delicate matter! A coat thrown over the shoulders of an Arab sheikh, who arrived in cold St. Petersburg in sandals on his bare feet, is not khukhra-muhra for you, this is such a sign of respect that the East appreciates and understands especially.

But Grandpa Joe clearly did not take into account such circumstances, back in July, publicly naming the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, responsible for the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in Istanbul. But the poor journalist was dismembered there and the body was taken out in parts. And did Grandpa Joe personally blame Bin Salman for this? I don't know what he could expect after that?! Moreover, Grandpa Joe said this directly to the eyes of the Saudi prince, such a mockery of the crowned heads had not yet known. One must not understand the East at all in order to commit such nonsense. But even this was not enough for Alzheimer’s client, and at a press conference following his disastrous visit to Riyadh, he stated that he did not regret anything and was not going to turn Saudi Arabia into a pariah country, let alone apologize.

I don't regret anything I said. What happened to Khashoggi was outrageous

Is it any wonder that when Grandpa Joe got mad, they publicly spat in his face without urinating on him? Revenge is, you know, a dish best served cold. In the East they know a lot about this! Putin, I think, did not have long to persuade his friend bin Salman not to increase oil production quotas. Moreover, both sides benefit from this - both Russia and the KSA.

Why do you think our grandmaster dances with the Turkish sultan? You yourself offered to fill his Turkish muzzle even after our Su-24 was shot down in the sky over Syria. But he didn’t fill it and now he is tearing NATO and the USA apart, and the Sultan is also not a blunder - he uses it perfectly. And will use it for a long time! Do you think a gas hub in Turkey is a sign of weakness? No, this is such a long-playing lure, with the help of which we will be able to milk the situation for our benefit and the Sultan for a long time without loss. But from now on, all gas routes bypassing our "Turkish" from the world's largest field in terms of proven gas reserves in North and South Pars, which is divided between Iran and Qatar, as well as from other gas fields in that region (there also appears Iraq, and Israel, and even Turkmenistan) have been put under lock and key from here. And the sultan will vigilantly watch that not a single gas-bearing “fly” seeps from there to Europe, trying to harm his Turkish monopoly. The key to this casket opens simply - its name is Northern Cyprus, this is the gate to Europe on the road of all pipes from the Middle East, and as soon as the Sultan unleashes hostilities with Greece for the right to control these gates, this is only a matter of time (gas pipelines are not built so quickly , but through the line of hostilities in general).

I hope I have explained in a popular way why the Turkish sultan is smarter than the German chancellor and why it is much easier for Putin to deal with people of his word than with the sexually horny heirs of the unfinished fascists. Scholz did not even understand what kind of goose that lays golden eggs was inherited by Grandma Merkel. The price of his progressive stupidity and political lack of independence will be the fate of his great (without any exaggeration) country. You will never see Greater Germany again. This is the beginning of her end. And let the Germans thank their stupid chancellor and cunning grandfather Joe for this. If in the end Germany does not again fall apart into two countries - East and West, I will even be surprised. But it won't be so soon. We are in for the most unpredictable decade, as Putin said. And it has already begun!

The Russians harness slowly, but they drive fast. Soon grandfather Joe will definitely not be up to Ukraine

But back to our oil. Grandpa Joe hoped that from December 5 we would doomedly sell our hydrocarbons exclusively to those who were told in the United States, and exactly for the money that Washington would appoint. It is helpless to watch how the margin of respected partners grows, to feel your wealth as a source of hardship and expense. To be imbued with the belief that “in fact” hydrocarbons are really the last century, and why bother with them, isn’t it easier to take them all and sell them in bulk to our American partners. The notorious price ceiling - after all, it was about that.

But Putin can be called anything, but not weak. Why did Grandpa Joe decide that Putin would sell his oil at the price specified by Grandpa? And what will happen if the President of the Russian Federation stops selling it altogether? By the way, gas too. What will happen then? And then the invisible hand of the free market will begin to rummage through the pockets of the American taxpayer. What happens when there is less oil on the market? That's right, prices are rising, and from the end of September they began to rise, starting at $85 per barrel, rushing to the $100 mark (currently $96 per barrel). And this is far from the end, since Putin has not yet done anything and Russian oil is still entering the markets. But the markets are already waiting for the worst and are stockpiling like deaf-mutes. The price rally has begun!

Putin will definitely congratulate Grandpa Joe on Catholic Christmas, having closed both the gas and oil valves the day before. Gas is for Europe, and oil is for Grandpa Joe personally. If two months after that the price of a barrel of oil doesn't break through the ceiling of $200 a barrel, you can spit in my face. Already now, a gallon of gasoline in America is teetering at around $6-7 per gallon, which is already hurting Americans, who are used to the price of $3,5-3,75, and after the Russian oil supplies are stopped, the price per gallon will double with a rapid jack , breaking through the mark of 10-12 dollars, after which Grandpa Joe's song will be sung. Americans don’t give a damn what America’s successes are in Ukraine and why Putin has suspended Russian oil supplies, they already have double-digit consumer inflation, which many Americans have not seen in their entire 40-year life, and if prices double after that (and a gallon of gasoline sits in every product), then the last thing Grandpa Joe will have a headache about is how he is doing in Ukraine, because in America he will be doing as badly as a person far from politicians.

On the eve of the midterm elections, fighting for the votes, Grandpa Joe had already entered his untouchable strategic reserve, opening an oil capsule, pouring about 180 million barrels of oil from it into the market to stabilize prices at gas stations. As of October 14, approximately 405 million barrels remained in the state reserve, despite the fact that over the past 10 years, NZ has consistently exceeded 600 million. That is, the reserve has already decreased by one and a half times. Previously, such a scheme worked - America opened the egg-cap, threw out an excess of oil on the market at once, and the price of it fell. Now this scheme does not work because the oil export cartel is playing against it. The market does not listen to Biden. And Moscow is one of the most influential players on it. The lack of Russian oil, if, God forbid, Putin stops its supply, there will simply be nothing to make up for. And grandfather Joe, as luck would have it, quarreled not only with Russia, but also with Iran and Venezuela.

All this led to the fact that Grandpa Joe and his associates from the EU decided not to introduce a ceiling on the price of Russian oil from December 5, citing some legal reasons (we know these “reasons”!), in the hope of keeping Russian volumes of oil on the market, thereby thereby maintaining the existing price of gasoline, while cutting off the income of the Russian Federation by increasing the margin on insurance, freight and legal support for cargo. But this cunning plan will not work if Putin does stop the supply of his damned oil. But Putin will do it! He loves Christmas surprises. And for the first time since the 1940s, Washington found itself on the global market on an equal footing with other players. Oh, how painful it is when the vaunted American administrative resources and even brute military force do not work. But the most unpredictable decade promised by Putin is just beginning. I hope you fastened your seat belts?

On this I say goodbye to you. The next text will be even cooler. It seems that Grandpa Joe's problems described above are just flowers. There will go such berries that I myself am in shock. Believe me, Grandpa Joe is already a political corpse, and all the inhabitants of the office of the Unshaven Clown (along with him) risk not knowing how it all ends. They will repeat the fate of Vladislav Sikorsky, the former Polish prime minister in exile during WWII (he seems to have drowned with his B-24 over Gibraltar under unclear circumstances, when Stalin agreed with Churchill, Kyiv clowns also know too much to let them live).

That's all for now. Don't skip the next text. Your Mr. Z
  • Used photos: kremlin.ru
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  2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 1 November 2022 13: 55
    The next text will be even cooler

    In my opinion, the author clearly mixed up the genres. Writing cool lyrics, as a goal, is contrary to sober political analysis. This is more appropriate in literature, it can even become artistic because of this.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 14: 14
      the coolness of not the text, but the content, from the Unthinkable series, if you need to explain this, then you obviously made a mistake with the portal, the portal for preschoolers is across the road
      1. zenion Offline zenion
        zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 14: 44
        Content is text.
        1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
          Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 15: 10
          do not confuse form and content
          1. zenion Offline zenion
            zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 15: 20
            You're doing great as a systematized systematic system. In addition, the cook of the battalion in which Schweik served spoke about this. It was he who said that the form is the content, and the content is the form. After that, he collapsed and fell asleep.
            1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
              Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 21: 05
              1. zenion Offline zenion
                zenion (zinovy) 2 November 2022 19: 31
                How the Iranian experience will help Russia bypass the price ceiling for our oil. Have you read this?
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 1 November 2022 13: 59
    Many critics of the Kremlin cannot even explain to themselves how they actually got together to defeat our enemies?

    The bird "Govorun", is distinguished by a special mind and ingenuity.
    I'm too lazy to list why.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 14: 17
      and you, sir, are not even capable of this, then Putin is a weakling to you - he cannot answer, he answered - it’s not right either, your last name is not Girkin? about mediocrity - this is finally a personal opinion, I don’t sneeze at him

      I don’t care what you think of me - I don’t think about you at all!

      (Coco Chanel)
      1. zenion Offline zenion
        zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 15: 24
        Finally, you took off the mask from your face and even your pants. It is ugly and there is no need to hide behind people who have nothing to do with the discussion of politics and did not have it during their lifetime. Kokoko betrays you with legs.
        1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Corcap Offline Corcap
        Corcap 1 November 2022 16: 50
        Quote: Volkonsky
        I don't care what you think of me - I don't think about you at all!" (Coco Chanel)

        Quote: zenion
        Kokoko betrays you with legs.

        Documents declassified in France from World War II shed light on Coco's covert work for German military intelligence. Since 1940, Chanel has been an agent for Abwehr F-7124 under the code name "Westminster".

        After the liberation of Paris in 1945, Coco was arrested for her association with the Nazis. And although the charges against her were quite serious, thanks to her connections, she managed to free herself and flee to Switzerland, where she lived until 1954, returning triumphantly to the fashion world again.
        For the rest of her life, Chanel tried to erase any evidence incriminating her in her "past life".
        Upon learning that Walter Schellenberg, the chief of foreign intelligence of Nazi Germany, was going to publish his memoirs, she made every effort not to mention her name in them ...
        1. Alpha Omega (beta) 4 November 2022 18: 42
          and how do these "sensations" of yours fit in with the article at all ?! As for quotes, it doesn't matter who said it, it's important that it's to the point. By the way, your mother must have used Coco Chanel perfume in her youth! Then these perfumes were in vogue. Why didn't you tell her about who Coco really was?! laughing
    2. Corcap Offline Corcap
      Corcap 1 November 2022 17: 00
      Many critics of the Kremlin cannot even explain to themselves how they actually got together to defeat our enemies?

      How do you explain here? request if the Kremlin itself has not yet decided how to win ...
    3. ja.net.1975 Offline ja.net.1975
      ja.net.1975 4 November 2022 17: 25
      but also centenarians from the same cohort ......!
  4. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 1 November 2022 14: 15
    Oil for $ 200 from the same opera as the dollar for 200 rubles. Gyulchatay open your face. I salivated bully
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 1 November 2022 14: 27
    Ah, another "unparalleled in the world" speech, another win, another comic book world of its own....
    Nobody normal believes promises

    And oil ... at 8m it went for 100, at 14m for 140 ... the so-called fat years ...
    It's funny, VVP said - they finally stopped being a gas station (literally), but in the media it's still oil, gas, oil and gas ....
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 1 November 2022 15: 34
      Our people are illiterate in the economy, unfortunately. Actually, the proceeds from the sale of oil and gas are not everything. After all, it's not just about budget revenues. After all, this revenue also launches related industries in Russia: the production of some kind of equipment and mechanisms for the oil industry, various industrial services. An oilman (gasman) went to a restaurant. The restaurant made a profit. The oilman saved up money - bought an apartment: construction proceeds, etc. A lot of people feed around this business, some of them would be better off. Everyone probably watched the picture: oil prices fell - all of Moscow fell upside down. Sometimes he even gloated, although he himself was also worse.
      1. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
        Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 1 November 2022 18: 36
        and if not only an oilman, but also a farmer, an aircraft designer and a welder who manufactures ships could go to a restaurant, then the restaurant’s revenue and your other blah blah blah would probably increase, no? wink You are right, our people are illiterate in the economy ... that's why they have such nonsense about rich oil workers who go to a restaurant and go ... the only problem is that in a restaurant a table is not for one rich oil worker
  6. zzdimk Offline zzdimk
    zzdimk 1 November 2022 14: 33
    you can spit in my face

    and where are you to be found?

    the united West, biting the bit, decided to go to the end

    Grandpa Joe thought that now he could swing serenely on the laurels of the winner

    markets are already waiting for the worst and are stockpiling like deaf-mutes

    By the way, "biting the bit" does not need to be separated with commas. Russian language textbook grade 5 - phraseological units and set expressions.
    1. soloist2424 Offline soloist2424
      soloist2424 (Oleg) 1 November 2022 16: 00
      "biting the bit" commas do not need to be separated

      Perhaps the author's selection, if you really want to emphasize.
  7. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 14: 43
    How long has the author been involved in fantasy? Did fantasy come to you by itself, or by order? Remember at least the grain deal. How cleverly everything was twisted and twisted. If you expose your face to spitting, where can those who want to see you? Is there a reception area for this sport?
  8. GIS Offline GIS
    GIS (Ildus) 1 November 2022 14: 56
    Well, what did he say, not that you were so crazy, dear commentators?
    he sees it so well. everyone has their own opinion and vision of the future ... you still can’t beat the GDP.
    and stop splashing with saliva: wait and see.
    I repeat: the opinion of the author has the right to life. confirmation will be in a month and a half (in history this is just a moment).
    good luck and cheerful state of mind to our guys at the forefront.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 15: 16
      that’s why they spurt with bile that there is nothing to answer, they soon smell their godfather haplyk, they got saliva in their mouths, just like camels, the menagerie is simple, but the text clearly says - 2 months after the oil tap was turned off, once the oil collapsed to 10 dollars / bar the same Saudis at the request of their godfather, now the Saudis are for us, let's see, it won't be long to wait
    2. zenion Offline zenion
      zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 15: 33
      The author has his own vision. But others may have a different vision, which the author does not recognize point-blank and even swears and so on. So there are no debates. People have the right not to believe him, or it is forbidden. Here is the homeworker dentist Rudig, he has a Grunding receiver, he turns it around at night, catches the counter of the FRG. He came to us in a terrible excitement and with a completed stomach with a number on his leg. I was shocked by the message, as if our Soviet liner was mired in a triangle, disappeared, spent fuel, all fell apart, but fishermen picked up three of our brothers.
      1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
        Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 20: 39
        I don’t remember when I was cursing, again an attempt to pull an owl on the globe, please quote the mat!
      2. Just a guest Offline Just a guest
        Just a guest (Igor Golubev) 9 November 2022 06: 27
        Quote: zenion
        but three of our brothers were picked up by fishermen

        Original: But our three CRAZY brothers.

        Golden words, by the way. Sometimes it’s true that the majority of commentators, however, some of the authors here are from Kashchenko. Only from different chambers.
  9. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
    Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 1 November 2022 15: 17
    read you, with your humor, easy and interesting
    but last time you were mistaken in assuming where the GDP would hit, in my opinion you were betting on Syria. and it started in Ukraine
    now you are operating with the leaders of countries, not taking into account the system of power in the West, Russia and the Middle East
    you have a can compete against Putin, European leaders against GDP, Erdogan against everyone
    but the Western model is strong in that its current, public leaders are only executors of the strategic tasks of the global financial elite, they will change and nothing will radically change in the policies and tasks of Western countries
    in our country, almost everything is built around the leader, while he is alive, his team is alive and working, his vertical and horizontal power (at least) his ideas and tasks are being carried out, the policy of his state is being built ..
    as soon as he leaves, all politics and the struggle with the West can collapse in a short time, like his entire power structure
    the same thing with Erdogan, the opposing forces that the West cultivates will come in his place
    today, it is not the countries of the West that are opposed to Russia, or rather, the public power of the West, namely its deep foundation, their parent 1 and parent 2 that fed and nurtured their child of the devil
    by the way, and Russia, we are all infected with many. For decades we have lived (live) in their world
    the war may become the last one, or it may stop if the global financial power decides that the costs of the war with us outweigh the cost of their victory
    there will be no winners in this case, everyone will gain something and donate something
    maybe it's all God's business, to push each and every one of us in choosing the path
  10. soloist2424 Offline soloist2424
    soloist2424 (Oleg) 1 November 2022 16: 20
    The author has the right to his own opinion, whether he was mistaken or not, we will soon find out. Although I personally think that the high price of fuel, although painful for the inhabitants, will not become a lock to the American Pandora's box.
  11. Nemira Sept Offline Nemira Sept
    Nemira Sept (Nemira Sept) 1 November 2022 17: 24
    Stunningly useless text. A minimum of information among the heaps of graphomania.
  12. Alex_90 Offline Alex_90
    Alex_90 (Alexander) 1 November 2022 17: 43
    Good article. More artistic, and too optimistic, as for me.
    As for the author as an analyst .. I remember very well the article in which he assured in June-July that no mobilization of the RF Armed Forces would be needed, since 300 thousand people (I can’t know where the author got this figure from, but I remember it well ) were volunteer battalions throughout the Russian Federation.
    The reality, unfortunately, turned out to be a little different.
    I'm not an all-rounder, we will definitely win.
    But just at what cost?
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 20: 48
      I didn’t write anything about 300 thousand volunteers, I wrote about 100 thousand - an article about Minin and Pozharsky of our days (Kadyrov and Prigozhin), you obviously confused something, but I’m not in complaints, the text clearly went in, but what all-weapons gather here, Putin's critics and so on. liberesnya does not speak about the entire Russian society. It's not me who writes on the margins of these couch fighters, but they write on mine. I just gave the facts, and in response, some drooling in the literal and figurative sense. Whether I was wrong or not, it will become clear in a couple of months. The entire evidence base will follow. text. This was only about oil.

      The fact that the text has gone, I see by the fact that some people register specifically to tell me about it (or write how they didn’t like it). You can see a cross section of society.
  13. Nelton Offline Nelton
    Nelton (Oleg) 1 November 2022 17: 50
    automatically made the European military-industrial complex unprofitable - very expensive energy carriers will nullify any steel industry, and all weapons, as luck would have it, are made not of plastic, but of metal. On the European heavy industry and its military-industrial complex, grandfather Joe thus put a big and bold cross

    I'll be bored.

    Leopard 2A5
    Combat weight, t 62,5
    price about $6 million

    steel price ~$500 per ton, i.e. 62,5 tons of steel cost $31, which is 6% of $0,5 million.

    in what thread of a Mercedes-sprinter - 2 tons, steel for $ 1000, at a price of $ 70 thousand ...

    those. in the cost of high-tech products, the cost of raw materials is cheap.

    So yes, the production of ordinary steel in the EU will decrease (it has already been declining significantly since the 198x),
    but other countries will sell this steel in the EU with pleasure and at a reasonable price (there are a lot of competitors).
    and it will not affect the production of finished products in any way.

    this will not affect the adherents of the "EU kayuik without our gas / oil" sect in any way, as they usually postpone the date of the inevitable carch for another year or two or 10 ...

    shutting off both gas and oil valves. Gas is for Europe, and oil is for Grandpa Joe personally.

    Well, the Russian Federation will sell oil to Turkey / India / China at a discount, and those with a cheat will sell it to the EU, that's all.
  14. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 1 November 2022 17: 53
    A forecast without correct information is fortune telling on a camomile. An article, as a literary work, deserves interest. The expression "you can spit in my face" is too much, especially since you are incognito, Yeltsin had a mania to lie on the rails, but a blow of fate ended up in a ditch.
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  16. Vox_Populi Offline Vox_Populi
    Vox_Populi (vox populi) 1 November 2022 19: 17
    There is no analytics (as well as facts), but there is a lot of agitprop ...

    On this I say goodbye to you. The next text will be even cooler.

    I readily believe! winked
    1. isofat Offline isofat
      isofat (isofat) 1 November 2022 20: 44
      Quote from: Vox_Populi
      There is no analytics (as well as facts) ...

      Vox_PopuliSo you came here to gather facts? Author, remember! Chatterbox, a godsend for a spy. laughing
  17. Shelest2000 Offline Shelest2000
    Shelest2000 1 November 2022 19: 23
    How to read a lot of words and not understand anything

    Fierce delirium in the streams of Niagara ...
  18. Antor Offline Antor
    Antor 1 November 2022 19: 24
    We were born to make a fairy tale come true ...... and why are we so poor (not to be confused with 10% of those who own 90% of everything that is in Russia) if we are so smart !!??? Many questions and few answers .... and when you get tired of believing in fairy tales and God forbid that peace comes to Russia and, as it is written here correctly, not at any cost.!!
  19. RFR Online RFR
    RFR (RFR) 1 November 2022 19: 51
    Yes, nothing will happen ... Neither on the 5th, nor on the 25th ... Again, one lowing about the "partners" of the West from the guarantor ... The Chinese would have long ago sent the Britons on a hiking trip along with the embassies entirely ... And our everything again thinks and concentrates ... It will be a year to think, or 2 ... Everything is as always ...
    1. Yarik83 Offline Yarik83
      Yarik83 (J. Yarmosh 8-bit Music) 2 November 2022 14: 08
      Well, you're smart as fuck. You know better what to do and when.
  20. ksa Offline ksa
    ksa 1 November 2022 21: 34
    Is it possible to write this "Your Mr. Z" under the headings so that I don't waste any more time?
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 22: 25
      all suggestions and complaints - to the un
  21. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 1 November 2022 21: 34
    Who knows, I’m probably getting old. But I don’t understand for what reason Putin will turn off the Russian valve if the Yankees changed their mind on December 5 to introduce a ceiling on the price of our oil? Putin then will have to justify this somehow or am I wrong? Even if we turn off the valve they will buy Indians have oil with a small overpayment. Somehow I don’t believe that Putin’s game with oil will put Naiden and the United States with him on their knees. That Europe, that the United States will freeze, gnaw at each other and take away resources, and I write anyway they will blame us for this and they will hate us, as it always has been. At 45, we walked along the fascist lair and German children and adults killed our soldiers with weapons and fausts and I’m sure they would have gnawed their throats and destroyed us all if they had the opportunity. And they didn’t give a damn that they were on us attacked and burned us in the ovens of concentration camps, destroying us as a nation. We underestimate them all in vain, they are tenacious and patient no worse than us, but 100 times more evil and vengeful. You can remember how poor Germany was before Britain and the USA began to finance itspinning their military-industrial complex and Hitler picked it up. Then Germany was impoverished and in debt and the people were starving, so what?
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 1 November 2022 22: 24
      and who will forbid Putin to shut off the oil tap for educational purposes, at least for a couple of months? there are no long-term contracts for oil, if we want - we sell, if we don’t want - no, but what will happen to the price of it - let Biden have a headache, the Saudis will only be happy to sell it at $ 200 / bar - all claims to the blind hand of the market. Andestend?
      1. Yarik83 Offline Yarik83
        Yarik83 (J. Yarmosh 8-bit Music) 2 November 2022 14: 06
        Who? Have you ever heard that Russia has no sovereignty?
      2. ja.net.1975 Offline ja.net.1975
        ja.net.1975 4 November 2022 17: 38
        but in the Kremlin, in the line of educational goals, the set is not great - only red lines that do not jump over only the lazy .....
  22. ZZZhuruk Offline ZZZhuruk
    ZZZhuruk (Irina Zhuruk) 1 November 2022 21: 49
    Let's remember Sakharov and his proposal...
  23. Foe Pshekov Offline Foe Pshekov
    Foe Pshekov (Arkady) 2 November 2022 00: 21
    Shutting off the "faucets" is a difficult technical task. If we had huge oil and gas storage facilities, then such a scenario could be organized. But we have too few of them. A decrease in production by technical means is fraught with very high costs for the restoration of capacities in the future. In some fields, this is generally unacceptable. So the opus is big and beautiful, but not about that.
    We can afford some reduction, but basically we still have to play with prices to keep buyers from the East as regular customers.
    So it's better to write an article that we very quickly need to build 3-4 more modern large oil refineries, and hundreds of giant storage facilities for oil and gas. Well, many many plants and factories for real import substitution of consumer goods. Then we will not be afraid of sanctions and price ceilings.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 2 November 2022 09: 52
      So it is better to write an article that we very quickly need to build 3-4 more modern large refineries, and hundreds of giant storage facilities for oil and gas. Well, many many plants and factories for real import substitution of consumer goods.

      These are particulars. We need a lot. But for this it is necessary to ensure investment in the economy, primarily in production.
      To do this, you need to remove liberals from governing the country and the economy.
      For Putin, it is easier to do this through foreign policy. This is his area of ​​responsibility. It is necessary to withdraw Russia from the Bretton Woods system. Then the liberals, deprived of external support, can be packed with their bare hands. Judging by the situation, a consensus has been reached between the ruling elites of the US, Russia and China.
      We look forward to November 8 and further developments.
  24. shinobi Offline shinobi
    shinobi (Yuri) 2 November 2022 03: 10
    I got to the place where the author claims that we cannot withstand a long confrontation and did not continue to read. Economic facts say the opposite.
    1. Yarik83 Offline Yarik83
      Yarik83 (J. Yarmosh 8-bit Music) 2 November 2022 14: 05
      Stand against 1 billion NATO soldiers? Well, well, my friend, well, well...
      1. shinobi Offline shinobi
        shinobi (Yuri) 28 November 2022 04: 36
        Remove the servants from the "billion soldiers" and it will be blown away by two-thirds. Read the statistics of combat readiness. And yes, NATO is worse than its own conceit
    2. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 2 November 2022 16: 03
      I got to the place where the author claims that we cannot withstand a long confrontation and did not read further. The economic facts say otherwise.

      who cares about your problems? why tell everyone about them? resembles the situation with a buyer who came to the store to say that he would not buy anything from them. Well, no and no - the way out is there!
      1. shinobi Offline shinobi
        shinobi (Yuri) 28 November 2022 04: 33
        Your opuses are of the same type, and therefore it is not interesting.
  25. Vladimir Orlov Offline Vladimir Orlov
    Vladimir Orlov (Vladimir) 2 November 2022 03: 16
    It's impossible to read.
  26. yo yo Offline yo yo
    yo yo (Vasya Vasin) 2 November 2022 06: 41
    Why is the name of the author of this 'political analysis' not identified??
  27. zzdimk Offline zzdimk
    zzdimk 2 November 2022 06: 46
    Quote from solist2424
    "biting the bit" commas do not need to be separated

    Perhaps the author's selection, if you really want to emphasize.

    It is unacceptable according to the norms of the Russian language, by the way, the Duma is considering a law on their obligatory observance.
    You also say that you can distort phraseological units: rest on your laurels, but not "treat", and even more so not "swing" - Have you ever seen a noble laurel or a cherry laurel? How can you ride on them?
  28. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 2 November 2022 07: 00
    Quote: Volkonsky
    and who will forbid Putin to shut off the oil tap for educational purposes, at least for a couple of months? there are no long-term contracts for oil, if we want - we sell, if we don't want - no

    I doubt that it will be painless for us. Where to put the surplus if we are not really engaged in deep processing of resources? It is also impossible to drop production or preserve wells.
  29. Yuri Pyagai Offline Yuri Pyagai
    Yuri Pyagai (Yuri Pyagai) 2 November 2022 07: 51
    Brad from a patriot. From room 6.
  30. Denis Z Offline Denis Z
    Denis Z (Denis Z) 2 November 2022 08: 02
    Wet fantasies of the author. NATO breaks and other nonsense. Let's see what this dreamer writes in six months.)))
  31. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 2 November 2022 09: 41
    The critical day for Biden is not December 5, but November 8.
    After the election, he will leave either due to impeachment or for health reasons. Stroke (as a result of exorbitant mental effort) or simply a sharp exacerbation of Alzheimer's.
    No wonder he portrayed a senile for more than two years.
    But before that, he must perform a demobilization chord. Crash the stock exchange and the country's economy.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 2 November 2022 16: 01
      boriz, but impeachment is impossible as long as the Democrats have parity + 1 vote in the Senate, and the Republicans cannot take the Senate on November 8, plus commissions and committees in the Lower House will be formed only by January, so all Grandpa Joe's problems will begin no earlier than NG, alas Oh!
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  33. Roy Offline Roy
    Roy (Yuri) 2 November 2022 12: 48
    Let's not, like crests, hope for some miracle weapon that will destroy all our enemies in one fell swoop. Oil prices are one of many factors in the war with the West. This factor does not guarantee a complete and instant victory, but is one of the many injections.
  34. Constantine N Online Constantine N
    Constantine N (Constantin N) 2 November 2022 13: 05
    Maybe the whole situation with Ukraine is just preparation for the war of the West against Russia.
  35. sergeu2 Offline sergeu2
    sergeu2 (sergeu) 2 November 2022 18: 56
    He can use anything but who will bring back to life the children, the elderly, women and just civilians who were killed by Bandera with the tacit consent of PUTIN.
  36. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 2 November 2022 20: 32
    Media today: Russia has resumed participation in the grain deal... And these are the realities, the author. All such muddy cases are against the backdrop of mobilization among the people ... And, by the way, why are ALL ways / means of delivering Western weapons to the Ukroreich still not severely suppressed? What is happening in general, you can ask the Russian leadership ..
  37. Crucian carp555 Offline Crucian carp555
    Crucian carp555 (Alexander ) 3 November 2022 01: 34
    I have been reading your articles since the beginning of autumn. As you write, the vacuum of information must be filled with something. Write very interesting, entertaining, dig deep where the rest will pass by. That is why it is very interesting to read you. I decided to read the comments, and realized that reading them is also no less interesting, since there is a massive opposition to you from the outside. The statistics are such that your articles have "read" from 50 to 100 thousand, and at the same time in the comments, on the example of the last article, only blaming and outright contempt for you. It's funny that so many people read the article, and at the same time, judging by the comments, everyone thinks that your opinion is not consistent and insignificant. But it's not. It’s just that adequate people are often too lazy to either write, as I did before - I like reading your articles, but I don’t want to get into disputes. And now I won’t, my main message is different: I went through registration and am writing this comment to support you so that you don’t lose interest and continue to write because of all these “mishandled” non-comrades to us, and I had the opportunity to continue reading your publications. Selfish - yes :-), but a bit of support for you here is not small on my part. It's even funny to watch how all this trash works - comments with blaming you immediately +10 likes, your comment in response immediately -5 likes. The kids don't sleep)
    They also write smart words that are collected in their sentences, but their motive is clear.
    Please don't stop writing your articles. They are interesting. Otherwise, there would not be so many "reads"
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 3 November 2022 07: 37
      thx, Sasha! it’s funny to read the comments of our stubborn patriots in half with liberals and coming out intruders - so this text didn’t go to them, that it’s not too lazy to register to tell me about it. So - hit the heart

      For some reason, people consider themselves smarter than the author, and, in all matters, it’s constructive zero, discussions don’t work, the dill doesn’t answer anyone at all, I’ll probably do it too, I won’t even read so as not to get upset (I’m not iron, I’m negative works), although I know for sure that they are reading me - people like the style and the bantering presentation, but no one bothers to write kind words, but to write some kind of disgusting thing is always welcome, even a specialist registers for this

      the version presented with the stoppage of oil supplies is just a working version, I don’t have a direct connection with the Kremlin, and an indirect one too, so I’m considering all options, I won’t even read critics soon, and I won’t answer in comments either - they don’t pay for this, but smart people fingers of one hand

      the crisis of the 1970s forced the United States to create an emergency oil reserve, which until recently could not even be printed, Obama was the first to lift the ban, right now Grandpa Joe is also sucking oil from it, let's see how long it lasts
      1. zenion Offline zenion
        zenion (zinovy) 3 November 2022 11: 50
        With oil it will be the same as with grain.
      2. Accidentally Offline Accidentally
        Accidentally 4 November 2022 10: 26
        You sir, by chance, did not study the works of Colonel T V Gracheva, a teacher at the Military Academy of the General Staff of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation ....... and there a political scientist accurate to millionths of a percent ... Tells us what to expect in the future (chipping through vaccination - came true and coming true war with Turkey .. the USA themselves threw in the info in April 2021 and much more for thinking people) you can buy a very useful book freely
      3. ja.net.1975 Offline ja.net.1975
        ja.net.1975 4 November 2022 17: 54
        people have become interested in verbiage since Gorbachev’s times, when the whole country watched and listened to the sound of water at the mill with open mouths, and in the meantime the Sobchaks and Burbulis were preparing a coup d’etat, the same thing is now listening to beautiful words, watching cunning moves, and as a result, only good gestures will to the joy of the West .......
  38. Crucian carp555 Offline Crucian carp555
    Crucian carp555 (Alexander ) 3 November 2022 12: 38
    Quote: Volkonsky
    For some reason, people consider themselves smarter than the author, and, in all matters, it’s constructive zero, discussions don’t work, the dill doesn’t answer anyone at all, I’ll probably do it too, I won’t even read so as not to get upset (I’m not iron, I’m negative works), although I know for sure that they are reading me - people like the style and the bantering presentation, but no one bothers to write kind words, but to write some kind of disgusting thing is always welcome, even a specialist registers for this

    Yes, alas, always - it is not common for people to write positive reviews, even with great admiration, and with even a little negativity - that's welcome.
    Don’t just spray on this negativity, don’t answer, and you won’t have to scroll through yourself, wasting energy that could be used for another article, analysis, etc. By the way, these "negativists" of some have such a job - to write a negative, and they are paid for it. By the way, it is also an indicator of the viability of your thought and article, how much negativity immediately pours on you (I will support your words, which means "it means I got to the very heart")
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 3 November 2022 17: 38
      +++++ ATP! If I hadn't read the comments, I might have missed you.
  39. Yuri Bryanskiy Offline Yuri Bryanskiy
    Yuri Bryanskiy (Yuri Bryansky) 4 November 2022 06: 51
    You should, Mr X, write books. Well done, but... Without denazification, our grandmaster will lose the game, and with it, Russia. Therefore, it is necessary to surround Odessa and Kharkov. And before that, you need to take Kyiv.
  40. Alpha Omega (beta) 4 November 2022 18: 32
    Yes, as for the coat on the shoulders of the Arab president - this is a good omen! Big politics is built on small nuances.
  41. guest Offline guest
    guest 4 November 2022 23: 42
    Why ruin the soldiers when Ukraine itself will fall at our feet purely for economic and political reasons

    I've heard this nonsense for 8 years.
  42. RED_ICE Offline RED_ICE
    RED_ICE (Sergei) 5 November 2022 14: 08
    Presumptuous, capricious article.
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