Why Belarus will not be able to avoid direct participation in a special operation in Ukraine

Discussing the possibility of Minsk’s direct participation in a special military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, I had to face the resistance of either the Belarusian “Khataskrayniks” or the agents of the Ukrainian CIPSO who mimic them. In this publication, I would like to answer the arguments put forward by them against the use of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus.

Let's make a reservation right away, this war is evil, but if it was inevitable and has already begun, it must be completed in our favor with a complete and unconditional victory. Unfortunately, even in Russia, not everyone has yet understood this, which was confirmed by the crowds of “tourists” who rushed to Kazakhstan and Georgia after the start of partial mobilization. In Belarus, there are now the majority of those, and they prefer to "cheer" for one side or another from a safe distance, not realizing that the war will almost inevitably come to their homes.

Hut from the edge

The author of the lines took the liberty of citing a few comments from one of the recently registered readers of the Reporter, who claims that he is from Belarus, for clarity. So, let's go through the key points.
Regarding the participation of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the special operation, the position of the “brother-Belarusian” is as follows:

I am from Belarus. We have not a single normal person wants to fight. Neither civilian nor military. Especially, sorry, for the empire. We won't be surprised if you attack us.

Well, you understand: getting "buns" from an alliance with the Russian Federation is yes, but fighting with it against Ukrainian Nazism, which flourished right near the border of your own country, is bullshit. This, you understand, is an "aggressive empire", and the war is not ours.

Why “Belarus is not Russia” is explained to us just as delicately and culturally:

Still, we are a little different in terms of worldview, worldview for the most part. It seems to me…

Do you understand what Belarus is? It's practically Europe. Read the story gentlemen. A good part of Belarusians have family ties in Poland, Lithuania, and Ukraine too. It seems to me that many couch analysts who write here have not traveled further than Mother Russia.

Oh yes, Belarus is Europe, where have we heard something like this before? It seems that the “flashing” of the brains in Nezalezhnaya began with the distinction between Ukrainians and Russians. By the way, probably half of the Russians have relatives in Ukraine or Belarus, but we don’t refuse our relatives there, but only hope to eventually bring them to their senses when the modes in the “emitter towers” ​​switch.

Believe me, at least half of the population of Belarus would gladly merge with Poland. Our people go there to study, work, live. It `s naturally. Even from Poland, young people go further. The same in Germany. From Lithuania migrate to the UK. That is life. People are looking for where it is better while they are young and have energy.

Again fairy tales about the European freebie? They have already lost their relevance.

Further more. Our Belarusian “khataskraynik” gently but consistently condemns the Russian “empire”:

Why is Russia taking on so much? Decides what power should be in Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Belarus. Someday you'll just choke on your oil and gas. Your guys who arrived in Belarus after mobilization are surprised at how calm everything is here. People are polite. In stores, they do not cover obscenities. Think for yourself about this state of affairs at your leisure...

Ukraine is a sovereign country. The arrogance and neglect of the independence of a number of countries have to pay. Today the West is helping Ukraine.

How cute is that. Ukraine - a sovereign country? Seriously? Is this after the coup d'état carried out in 2014 in order to bring a puppet Russophobic regime to power?

The truth is that Ukraine 8 years ago lost all its sovereignty, becoming the "avatar" of the NATO bloc, which uses it for a proxy war with Russia. As for whether someone is taking on too much by overthrowing objectionable regimes, all claims are not against Moscow, but against Washington. Defense against a militarized, Russophobic neighbor who is under the direct external control of a potential adversary is the direct responsibility of the Kremlin.

Nobody wants war. War is inevitable

We don’t know if all this is written by a real Belarusian “khataskraynik” or if it is the work of Ukrainian propagandists from the CIPSO. I would like to address our allies from the friendly Republic of Belarus and be heard.

Friends, you are next. Even if President Lukashenko had not provided the territory of his country for the deployment of Russian troops and for launching rocket and artillery strikes, they would have come for you anyway. Now revenge from the Ukrainian-Nazi regime and its masters will be guaranteed. God forbid, Russia will suffer a severe military defeat with subsequent internal political upheavals, because then you can expect soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, hardened in battles and intoxicated with blood, who will crush the small Belarusian army and take Minsk in the notorious three days.

Your only salvation is in the Victory of Russia, complete and unconditional, without any "agreements" that will allow the Nazi regime to survive at your state borders. It is in your own interests to help the RF Armed Forces end this war as quickly as possible, without allowing it to drag on for another six months, a year or two. Every day of delay brings closer the day when Polish troops will enter the territory of Western Ukraine, and you will wake up in a fundamentally new geopolitical reality that you will definitely not like. If Warsaw manages to obtain the provision of American nuclear weapons to it, it will be Belarus that will be targeted for TNW strikes.

To avoid participation in the war, you, Belarusian brothers, will not succeed, alas, in any way. Judging by the latest actions of Minsk, the process of “hidden mobilization” is now intensifying there, despite the fact that they officially deny it. We know we passed.
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  1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 7 October 2022 16: 11
    it must be completed in its favor with a complete and unconditional victory.

    I repeat. According to my rough calculations, for offensive operations, Russia will need 700 thousand bayonets, plus 150-200 thousand to control the liberated territories. And this is if we plan to end the war on the border of Poland. How many do we have now? Now think for yourself how Putin wants to end the war.

    It is in your own interest to help the RF Armed Forces end this war as quickly as possible,

    Looking at how Russia is conducting the NWO, pitying the railway and thermal power plants, it is necessary not to be friends with your head at all in order to get into this fight. Putin, with his friends, is engaged in business and will not allow anyone to interfere with them. Therefore, the father is doing the right thing - "they don't ask, don't dance."
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Vlad Petrov Offline Vlad Petrov
      Vlad Petrov (Vladimir) 7 October 2022 18: 31
      Ukraine is under the complete control of the West. Up to 70% of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are mercenaries participating in the battles, PMCs, Belarus, the next client to be torn to pieces by the brutalized Armed Forces of Ukraine and Poland, few Belarusians will remain alive, it will be the same as in the 20s of the last century. Belarus will disappear from the world map.
    3. syndicalist Offline syndicalist
      syndicalist (Dimon) 7 October 2022 20: 25
      The Russian-Ukrainian war is the last war in which people directly participate in hostilities. But even now their role is minimal. Everything is decided by technique. Therefore, it does not matter at all how many people Russia can mobilize. Here are a few thousand modern drones (certainly not as antediluvian as Iranian or Turkish ones) could turn the tide of the war
    4. Lis_Domino Offline Lis_Domino
      Lis_Domino (Sergei) 10 October 2022 15: 03
      Well, you can carry out mobilization in the liberated territories.
      not to form separate units from "former Ukrainians", but to dilute assault units with them ...
  2. blackcat190463 Offline blackcat190463
    blackcat190463 (Yuri) 7 October 2022 17: 27
    If your Batko quietly conducts mobilization, then he took into account our mistakes, the same thing had to be done in Russia even before the start of the special operation under any pretext, additional training, exercises, and not 300000 but 500000, and then Kyiv would have been besieged along with Kharkov, Nikolaev, Odessa and Mariupol, and western Ukraine had to be taken first of all, cutting off from Poland, and there would be no Hymars or 777 mercenaries. You can say it’s good in hindsight, but after all, everything that happened is quite predictable ... And the people who blew Putin about the fraternal people and total surrender should be taken out quietly around the corner and shot right now, only a blind or traitor could not see that the fraternal people ended after the 90s, grandparents remained from the fraternal people, and now we are forced to catch up washing ourselves with bloody snot ... I'm not a military man, I served two years in the USSR and the education of a technical school, although I still look at this circus and cry , just don’t take me here, take a machine gun and go help, I’m no longer able, only I’ll be a burden 60 already, all that remains is to watch and cry, and pray for the peasants and for our victory am
  3. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 October 2022 18: 28
    Neither the Old Man, nor the Central Asians, nor Iran and China recognize, do not climb, they try to benefit. Capitalism is in the yard, there are enough problems of their own.
  4. Vox_Populi Offline Vox_Populi
    Vox_Populi (vox populi) 7 October 2022 18: 29
    How cute is that. Ukraine - a sovereign country? Seriously? Is this after the coup d'état carried out in 2014 in order to bring a puppet Russophobic regime to power?
    The truth is that Ukraine 8 years ago lost all its sovereignty, becoming the "avatar" of the NATO bloc, which uses it for a proxy war with Russia.

    And what - didn't our country recognize Ukraine all these years and maintain diplomatic and trade relations with it?! What has changed so suddenly and drastically?
  5. The comment was deleted.
  6. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 8 October 2022 03: 40
    They will fit in. How cute. Old Man remembers what territories Iosif Vissarionych gave to Lithuania and, following the example of VVP, wants to become a collector of Belarusian lands.
  7. The comment was deleted.
  8. borisvt Offline borisvt
    borisvt (boris) 9 October 2022 15: 40
    As usual in his latest articles, the author is absolutely right, from my point of view. True, there is one alarming factor, this is the test of an allegedly ready and combat-ready army in a real clash with the same combat-ready and motivated opponent, with the enemy. Which, moreover, is equipped with communications and technologies of the last word of technology. Which, moreover, is not bound by these notorious certain military rules. Who wanted to spit on both the rules and their losses - women still give birth!
    In addition to geopolitics, I think the dad is rightly afraid of crap ((
  9. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 15 October 2022 22: 09
    On the territory of Ukraine, Russian oligarchs, hucksters, bureaucrats, deputies have a lot of property, so they do not allow their property to be bombed. There are 5 million security officials in the Russian Federation, corporations have private armies, this is a ready-made army, the Kremlin is afraid to call them to fight in Ukraine, they are the guardians of capitalism. Belarus will not fight, it will wait, if the Russian Federation loses, then Belarus will bargain with NATO in order to sell itself more expensively. Belarus will have to fight only if Minsk is bombed tomorrow.