China has learned lessons from the Russian NWO: the operation in Taiwan will last no more than 48 hours


Since US Congress Speaker Nancy Pelosi's recent visit to Taiwan, relations between Beijing and Taipei have deteriorated substantially. The PRC considers Taiwan part of its territory and accuses the United States of violating the "one China" principle by declaring its readiness to defend its territorial interests by force of arms.


The PLA is currently conducting exercises in close proximity to Taiwan, thus demonstrating its readiness to move from belligerent rhetoric to action. According to The Telegraph, the military offensive of the Chinese army on Taiwan may occur earlier than the planned five to six years. Moreover, Beijing in this case has learned the necessary lessons from the Russian special operation in Ukraine.

According to the British publication, China made sure that it took Western leaders at least two days to properly respond to Russia's actions. Xi Jinping believes that by failing to take Kyiv and overthrow the Zelensky government in the first 48 hours of the special operation, Moscow thereby made possible the wide support of the West for the Kyiv regime.

Thus, avoiding such a mistake by Beijing will prevent a protracted war with Taiwan and will be the key to a quick victory. During this time, it is necessary to achieve decisive military successes in order not to let the enemy come to his senses and quickly achieve the goals set.

Western experts are confident that the PLA could attack Taiwan as early as 2023. The current crisis will not cause a war, because the Chinese army has no experience in actual combat. Failure will lead to disastrous political consequences on the eve of the next congress of the CPC, at which Xi Jinping can claim the presidency of the PRC for the third time.

At the same time, China is determined to take the island back under its control. The only question is when and how it will happen. Meanwhile, the events of recent days make it possible to assume the possible actions of the Chinese side. During the exercises, missiles are launched, a naval blockade of Taiwan is carried out, Chinese fighter jets appear in the territorial waters of the island, and an amphibious landing is practiced. All this can be used in a future military operation.

At the same time, as The Telegraph points out, China will gradually build up its forces and tighten the ring around the island until the only way out of the situation for Taipei is to cooperate with Beijing on the latter's terms.
  • Photos used: Philip Jägenstedt/flickr.com
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  1. vdr5 Offline vdr5
    vdr5 (Elephant) 8 August 2022 10: 57
    -6
    Of course, China will draw conclusions. Moscow has fallen into a very unpleasant trap from which there is no good way out, and the longer the conflict drags on, the more painful the consequences will be for the Russian Federation. For example, I don’t see how the Kremlin can complete its operation at all. One thing is obvious. Moscow cannot retreat, but it will also fail to defeat Kyiv. No matter how you slice it, you'll have to compromise. But for this, at least the consent of Kyiv is still necessary, and Kyiv is ready to fight for years.
    1. Anatoly Porotnikov (Anatoly Porotnikov) 8 August 2022 11: 14
      +6
      ... and Kyiv is ready to fight for years ...
      And how many years will crested men last?
      1. Ildar Galin Offline Ildar Galin
        Ildar Galin (Ildar Galin) 13 August 2022 16: 58
        0
        There is an option to demolish the top with pinpoint, powerful blows. And the revolution will happen by itself.
    2. usm5 Offline usm5
      usm5 (George) 9 August 2022 16: 43
      +3
      I do not see anything tragic in the relatively slow pace of the NWO. The super-task of the SVO is the restructuring of Russia (political and economic). It didn't work out otherwise. This also applies to the armament, equipment and training of the new army, the size of which should at least double or triple. All this takes time. Mass one-time mobilization will not solve this problem, but it may prematurely provoke an uncontrolled expansion of the conflict. The same expansion of the conflict can be provoked by the occupation of the western regions of Ukraine or by the too rapid advance of a small army deep into the territory of Ukraine. Ultimately, the new battle-hardened army must not only liberate Ukraine from the Nazis and take control of Ukraine, but also bring the insolent neighbors to their senses, forcing them to leave the hostile blocs and pay compensation to Russia for the moral and material damage from the sanctions. All this will take at least five years. For our life - this is a lot, but for history - one moment.
      1. Alex R_2 Offline Alex R_2
        Alex R_2 (Alex R) 14 August 2022 00: 25
        0
        I completely agree with you, only everything will happen a little earlier, no later than September 2024. Remember this date
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 8 August 2022 11: 09
    +6
    According to the British publication, China made sure that it took Western leaders at least two days to properly respond to Russia's actions. Xi Jinping believes that by failing to take Kyiv and overthrow the Zelensky government in the first 48 hours of the special operation, Moscow thereby made possible the wide support of the West for the Kyiv regime.

    And how will the West support Taiwan in the event of its naval blockade and a no-fly zone by China? Completely different conditions.
    Now, if the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation cut off the supply of weapons from the West on the western borders of Ukraine, then the situation could change radically in favor of the fall of the Kyiv regime. But the leadership of Russia does not set such tasks for the RF Armed Forces.
  3. Avedi Offline Avedi
    Avedi (Ankh) 8 August 2022 11: 13
    0
    Do not tell my slippers, China can only portray attempts, but you can’t decide on a conflict with you - the gut is thin. This is really a real fluffy paper dragon ... a girl.
  4. vdr5 Offline vdr5
    vdr5 (Elephant) 8 August 2022 11: 25
    -2
    Quote: Anatoly Porotnikov
    ... and Kyiv is ready to fight for years ...
    And how many years will crested men last?

    It's definitely enough for six months. Although propaganda and trumpets say they don’t want to and can’t, the results speak for themselves. The positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can only be taken after the death of half or more of the defenders. Again, if the West succeeds in supplying modern weapons in sufficient quantities, the situation may well change. At the front, the selection is cruel, but those who passed it cost a lot and there are more and more of them in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they will then form the backbone of the reserve units, which today train instructors from all over the world at all training grounds in Europe.
    1. Valera75 Offline Valera75
      Valera75 (Valery) 8 August 2022 12: 06
      +4
      It's definitely enough for six months. Although propaganda and trumpets say they don’t want to and can’t, the results speak for themselves. The positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can only be taken after the death of half or more of the defenders. Again, if the West succeeds in supplying modern weapons in sufficient quantities, the situation may well change. At the front, the selection is cruel, but those who passed it cost a lot and there are more and more of them in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they will then form the backbone of the reserve units, which today train instructors from all over the world at all training grounds in Europe.

      wrote so much nonsense.
      1: The Donbass was turned into a powerful fortified area beyond the Dnieper in 8 years, this is not even close and never will be, and what will be rebuilt will be crushed by our artillery aircraft
      2: at the expense of people. I have already written many times that by the new year there will be a powerful turning point in our favor, and spring-summer will finish 90% of our SVO why? Because by winter 90% of experienced APU warriors and officers who will die every the day is like flies from our shelling. Plus, there will no longer be a warrior who went through the war in the Donbass in 2014-15 and after 2015. There simply won’t be any left by winter.
      3: those who are now being trained by foreigners on an accelerated program simply without combat experience, trained by those who could not train the army either in Afghanistan or in Iraq, etc.
      A couple of dozen dumb German guns and a dozen Highmars will decide something?
      1. Nike Offline Nike
        Nike (Nikolai) 8 August 2022 13: 01
        +6
        You are sure of a quick turn, I very much doubt it. In February, they hoped to "throw hats", now, according to reports every day, "victories" in the conquest of the next hill-farm. In March, mainly riflemen were delivered to Ukraine, in April the delivery of guns began, May-June tanks, target designation from AVAKSOV and VKS began to work in Ukraine, self-propelled guns in July. Aircraft, mostly of Soviet production. September-October Leopards, F-16 will go. Where is the guarantee that the Saxons will not give Ukraine medium-range missiles? There are NO guarantees. It is high time for those in power in the Kremlin to stop playing "pocket billiards" otherwise it may soon fly into the "attic" from any direction.
        1. Valera75 Offline Valera75
          Valera75 (Valery) 8 August 2022 18: 59
          +1
          I'm not saying that there will be a quick victory. In winter, in my opinion, there will be a strong turning point in the NMD and our army will go through a powerful line of defense, grinding at the same time a bunch of officers and the most experienced veterans. The central part of Ukraine is already less fortified than in the Donbass, and this is already beginning Bandera, who did not care about the east of Ukraine, but their land where their families live will already begin. I understand that it may be that many will not even care about their families, so in the spring and summer I do not exclude their resistance in the western part of Ukraine. Until the new year 5 more months and 10 until the summer, so I'm not in a hurry to finish the CBO.
    2. shinobi Offline shinobi
      shinobi (Yuri) 8 August 2022 12: 29
      0
      Say it’s expensive? Oh, well? All of them are already dead, they just don’t know about it yet. Although they guess. Backfilling question: How can the soldier’s training and personal experience help if he is covered in a trench / dugout with a 155mm land mine on a tip from a drone? Urban battles Well, well. Tell this to those who are being shot with direct fire from tanks and armored personnel carriers.
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  6. hello Offline hello
    hello (LEO St) 8 August 2022 11: 38
    +1
    But we are also soberly aware that no matter how quickly we take Taiwan, we will still find ourselves under Western sanctions, which means that we will have to get even closer to our Russian comrades to fight the West.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 9 August 2022 00: 04
      0
      Do you realize there that a couple of hours is enough for the US Navy to defeat the chip production in Taiwan? From a distance of 500 or more kilometers? And then blame it on you, they say you definitely don’t know how to shoot. When you present the wreckage of the Tomahawks, they will say that the evil Russians in Syria collected it and gave it to you. And you are deceiving the world community.
      And what will you do with an unemployed island whose people are used to living well? And what will you do without Taiwanese chips?
      1. hello Offline hello
        hello (LEO St) 9 August 2022 08: 03
        0
        you have the wrong idea

        The term "Taiwanese chips" refers to the chips inside the latest mobile phones, which mean the highest profit margins.

        If you're looking for the very best and stylish, you can't do without "Taiwanese chips" because mobile apps are getting more and more power hungry and eating up your hardware, but you can't make your phone too big.

        But chips that everyone needs, such as chips for supercomputers, cars, tanks, missiles, communications switches, and personal computers, are all chips that China can produce itself.

        The US doesn't allow China to build supercomputers with US-made processors, but that doesn't stop us from having better supercomputers because computers don't have strict size requirements.
    2. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
      Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 9 August 2022 08: 31
      0
      we will have to get even closer to our Russian comrades to fight the West

      Comrades were in the USSR, and after the coup d'état and the restoration of capitalism in the Russian Federation, not comrades, Lord!
      "Comrades" and "Gentlemen" represent two antagonistic social classes.
  7. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Boris) 8 August 2022 11: 41
    -1
    Xi Jinping believes that by failing to take Kyiv and overthrow the Zelensky government in the first 48 hours of the special operation

    Such a task was not taken seriously. Putin is not a madman and understands that Russia is not able to control ALL Ukraine. But China is quite capable of controlling the whole of Taiwan. It will be difficult, if China, of course, decides on something, to carry out an amphibious landing of this magnitude, especially in 48 hours)
  8. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 8 August 2022 12: 48
    +3
    ..failing to take Kyiv and overthrow the Zelensky government in the first 48 hours of the special operation, Moscow thereby made it possible for the West to widely support the Kyiv regime

    - This is another strategic mistake of Putin and the entire leadership of Russia. A flagrant mistake with grave consequences for the Russian Federation, which we are now raking up ...
  9. Neville Stator Offline Neville Stator
    Neville Stator (Neville Stator) 8 August 2022 12: 56
    +1
    Man proposes, but God disposes.
  10. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 8 August 2022 14: 01
    +3
    It’s probably time for us to stop conducting the JMD in white gloves and warn everyone that the EuroUSA should stop supplying weapons to the presumptuous Bandera regime of Kyiv to destroy the civilians of Donbass and attempt to arrange a nuclear catastrophe at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, otherwise we will use tactical nuclear weapons on the borders transferring it to Ukraine, and all the EU and NATO countries will be responsible for this - our "partners" understand only a strong fist or steel "Faberge", like Comrade Yn, who wanted to spit on all of America along with Europe, if they don't understand normal, common language.
  11. ont65 Offline ont65
    ont65 (Oleg) 9 August 2022 02: 38
    0
    What is the point of discussing the nonsense of Western 'experts'? There are no 48-hour special operations, especially with such a task setting as the current one. Stalin, for example, drove nationalists around Ukraine and Lithuania for a dozen years. In 48 hours, Taiwan can be covered with a nuclear strike, but no more, but the PRC does not need a nuclear desert, but an economically prosperous region. By itself, the Americans will not give the possibility of a political solution to the problem of reunification by feeding the authorities, and mainland China takes this into account. There is a stalemate and how the Chinese on both sides will resolve it is unclear. There are no ready-made suitable recipes besides CBO yet, which is what everything is going to. Here are just the Chinese ways to wait as long as no European has enough imagination.
  12. Pat Rick Offline Pat Rick
    Pat Rick 9 August 2022 05: 35
    0
    Only the most gifted people would claim that China will attack Taiwan tomorrow. The Chinese leadership thinks globally and calculates its steps for decades to come. If this attack happens, then within 10-15 years, when they will already forget about Pelosi's grandmother, who by that time will slowly move horses.
  13. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 9 August 2022 11: 35
    +2
    The main lesson that the PRC has learned from the NMD of the Russian Federation in Ukraine is a common truth - the need to isolate Taiwan, block supply routes.
    The PRC is working out exactly this at the ongoing military exercises near Taiwan, and the diplomatic corps declared that there is no concept of “Taiwan territorial waters”, since these are the internal waters of the PRC, which also applies to airspace.