Several days have passed since Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, a visit that the whole world followed with bated breath (I'm not afraid of this word, you must admit that few 82-year-old grandmother can boast of such attention to her person). During this time, all self-respecting couch and kitchen Chinese experts have already spoken (both non-Sinologists and self-respecting specialists have also spoken), and this is not counting professional expert analysts specializing in the Taiwan issue, whose opinion, of course, was also asked . Estimates of what happened, as it usually happens, diverged in polar proportions, from - China wiped off, and Chairman Xi crawled away to lick his wounds, to - old Joe showed who is the boss in the house, and the USA - foreva! And for some reason, not a single respected expert has named the true cause of what happened, as well as the consequences to which all this will lead.
Do all respected experts (here without quotes) think so linearly-primitively at the level of instincts: if they hit - they answered, if they didn’t answer, then it means a weakling or a very cunning weakling who explains his weakness with far-reaching plans, if he answered - well done, a real kid are you holding the punch?! This text is intended to remove the veil of mystery from this issue. Everything is much simpler and this is actually more difficult, while I do not pretend to be the ultimate truth, take it as a private point of view (I have the right, after all).
American Highlanders: Biden of the MacLeod clan and old Pelosi-Shapoklyak
So, everyone remembers the chronology of events. On July 30, a US Air Force Boeing C-40C (registration number 09-0540) carrying Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi took off from Andrews Air Force Base in Maryland, heading for the Pacific Ocean. Thus began the tour of the 82-year-old grandmother through the countries of Southeast Asia. Her plans were to visit Malaysia, South Korea, Japan and Singapore. The fact that this voyage, swallowing sedative pills, was followed by the whole world, you already know without me. But before this US Air Force government Boeing, with Nancy's grandmother on board, landed at the Honolulu airport in Hawaii, which was the intermediate point of the route, some oddities had already begun with it. I'm not talking about the fact that he was accompanied by US Air Force fighters, and he walked in some strange zigzags - this is just understandable, the grandmother covered her tracks, confusing observers following her on Flightradar24. But personally, I never understood where my grandmother went on her tour from - according to some publications, she started from Andrews Air Force Base (Maryland), according to others, she took off from Travis Air Force Base in California. Where is California and where is Maryland? These are different coasts of America. You can't cover your tracks like that! Well, God bless her, it is important not where she took off from, but where she landed. And it was just a mystery, shrouded in darkness, which interested everyone.
The plane with the US third person was already heading for Honolulu, breaking away from the concrete of Travis Air Force Base, but no one in the world knew yet whether it would land in Taipei or not. Nobody but Grandpa Joe. Although Grandpa Joe played the fool to the last, stating that this was Pelosi's personal initiative and he was personally against visiting Taipei, he could not do anything with the absurd old woman. Do you believe in these fables? The world is on the threshold of the Third World War, and whether it is or not depends not even on the first person of the United States, but on the third. Schizoid progressive delirium! If a drug addict from Bankova Street had said such a thing, I might have believed it, but from the owner of the White House - this is already too much!
Grandpa Joe and Grandma Pelosi must have seen enough of the Highlander TV series, deciding that they were immortal, and therefore they went all out, deciding to play Chinese roulette, although Comrade. Xi, literally the day before, in a two-hour phone conversation, urged an Alzheimer's patient not to play with fire. But, apparently, Alzheimer's clients are not afraid of fire, and grandfather Joe decided to play all-in, putting everything on zero. It’s understandable - my grandfather is old, he doesn’t care, I’m not even talking about Pelosi’s grandmother, she is even older than her grandfather. This time it blew, at Comrade. Xi turned out to be not iron balls. And the whole world noticed it!
How Chairman Xi will answer, I will tell below (and whether he will answer at all), but for now I will focus on what moved Grandpa Joe, why he staged this whole “circus on darts”. And then I never heard an intelligible version from anyone. The opinions of experts ranged from "to divert the attention of the electorate from internal American problems" and "strengthen their positions before the midterm elections to Congress", to "show who is in charge in the house" and "put the presumptuous enemy in his place." There were also intermediate options - “create a hotbed of tension in Southeast Asia and thereby divert money flows to the United States”, “shoot down a competitor that is gaining strength (both economically and militarily) on the rise before it knocks you down” and “strengthen a shattered dollar or at least explain its fall by the conflict that has arisen. All these versions have the right to exist, but they do not describe the main motives of the ruling political tops of the USA. And they lie literally on the surface, and that is why no one sees them, considering them too simple and banal. This is the main mistake of all Washington's counterparts - they consider their opponent smarter than he really is. This is precisely the whole tragedy of the situation. The red button and the fate of mankind are in the hands of clinical presumptuous idiots.
Victims of self-exclusivity
To prove my version, I propose to look at the chronological series of events that began literally on January 1 of this year. All of them were man-made and the initiator of them in all cases was the United States. The year began with a crisis in Kazakhstan. Who sponsored the local mambets, we do not know, but the ears of the Anglo-Saxons stick out there from all sides. They just raked it there, when Ukraine flared up, and don’t be embarrassed by the fact that the Russian Federation was the first to escalate – these were already retaliatory actions against the actions, or in this case, the inaction of the United States. The strategic initiative was in the hands of Washington. It was the United States that initiated this conflict, forcing Putin to launch an invasion of Nezalezhnaya, depriving him of maneuver, refusing to provide him with Russian security guarantees by withdrawing NATO bases from our borders. Ukraine and NATO's military infrastructure on its territory has become the last straw - since you cannot (or do not want) to provide us with guarantees of our security, it means that we ourselves will provide them by military means. What we are now successfully doing.
The same thing is happening in Taiwan right now. The initiative is in the hands of Joe’s grandfather (Pelosi’s grandmother is just a tool here, we don’t pay attention to her, she has already done her job), Comrade Xi is driven under the threat of losing face, and we will see how he will extricate himself from this situation. Well, I didn’t really want to start a world war because of this, as well as a regional war, when in a year or two Taipei itself, on a voluntary basis, could become part of the PRC, repeating the path of Hong Kong, according to the principle of “one country, two systems”, at least there were political prerequisites for this. But this was not part of the US plans at all, so Nancy's grandmother went on her voyage.
The situation in Kosovo is also man-made and is also under the control of the United States, specifically the American ambassador in Pristina. In this case, Washington showed Belgrade and Moscow that it can start this flywheel at any moment, just now the conflict has been put on pause until September 1. Breaking the switch or not will be the subject of bargaining with Moscow, Belgrade does not decide anything at all here, Vučić is a hostage of the situation, although this bell is ringing for him - it is under him that the tunnel is being dug.
What drives Washington in all these cases? You will laugh, but in all these cases, Biden's task is obscenely primitive. For some reason, we still endow our overseas counterpart with some exceptional mental abilities, which he does not possess. Washington, unlike London, has always worked rather clumsily at all times. His main positive quality is that, having chosen a certain strategy, he stupidly and consistently follows it, striking at one point, until he achieves his goal, based on the principle "water wears away a stone." So Biden's task in all the above cases was primitively simple - to achieve a change in political elites, replacing them with pro-American ones. Now in China, aggravating the Taiwan case, grandfather Joe is trying to file the legs of a chair under Chairman Xi, who is to host the 20th anniversary congress of the Communist Party of China this autumn, which, in violation of the tradition laid down by Deng Xiaoping, should approve Comrade. Xi for a new term, at risk of life, as party chairman. The Taiwan crisis puts Xi Jinping in front of a dilemma - either to lose face, and with it the opportunity to be re-elected, or to get involved in a war with Taipei, which is not very desirable (Taiwan's army, which has a military budget of $ 17 billion, is two orders of magnitude higher The Armed Forces of Ukraine, with which we still cannot cope, and the war with it will not be an easy walk for anyone). How will Comrade come out? Xi from this position, more on that below.
A similar problem faced Putin in February of this year - either a war with Ukraine, or a constant existential threat on her part against the Russian Federation. Putin, in fact, had no choice. But he was with grandfather Joe, and he chose a war, the task of which was not to defeat the invincible "horde", which is impossible by definition, but to maximize the losses of the Russian Federation in this war, both the loss of human resources and material, aggravated by the exorbitant sanctions. Which should inevitably result in growing discontent among the population and ideally lead to the fall of the Putin regime, with its replacement by a more loyal to the West military lobby, after which the former owner of the Kremlin will seem like God's dandelion to Washington). But something did not go as Grandpa Joe planned, although even in my first lines I doubted his high mental abilities, as well as, in fact, all American elites, who after Henry Kissinger only degraded and degenerated (but in fairness it’s worth saying that the generation of politicians coming to replace old man Joe is even worse!).
By the way, the Serbian crisis is being started by Alzheimer's restless client with the same goal - the removal of Aleksandar Vucic from his post. Let's wait until September 1st, see if Grandpa Joe burns out this time? At least until now, by his tireless activity, he has achieved the exact opposite - contrary to all his expectations, it was not Russia that became a rogue country, but its leader an unshakeable embodiment of Evil, and a strip of alienation formed around America itself, a funnel of misunderstanding and unwillingness to follow in its wake from countries of the so-called Third World, which make up 5/6 of its population. The world has polarized into two groups disproportionate in quantity and quality - the collective West, which includes the golden billion satellites and hangers-on of America, and the collective Non-West, which includes, in addition to the expected India, China and Iran, also Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, all of Latin and Central America led by Argentina, Mexico and Brazil, and even two NATO members - Hungary and Turkey. It's time for Grandpa Joe himself to grab his head!
Another task of Biden, which is why the entire Taiwan-Kosovo case was taken out of the mezzanine, was the internal party agenda. In November, Grandpa Joe and Grandma Pelosi have midterm elections for Congress, and their chances of winning their majority in the House of Representatives have so far been close to zero, at least so far (all opinion polls have said that Nothing will break off on November 8). Therefore, Biden decided to play all-in, putting the head of the Speaker of the House of Representatives on the line, according to the principle “grandmother is old - she doesn’t care!”. Whether his plan works or not depends on how China reacts. And here are the options.
Revenge is a dish best served cold.
People who try to talk about high politics from the height of their sofa have a very vague idea of Chinese identity, for them all Chinese are the same. But they are forgiven. But when the owners of high offices overlooking the Potomac, who live at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, DC, and the Capitol, standing on a beautiful hill, 2 miles away, suffer from this, then this is already a tragedy on a global scale, because in their flabby senile hands, by the will of the people who elected them, were the fate of all mankind. Either they do not know what they are doing, imagining themselves as gods, or they perfectly understand what this can lead to, which is even worse. For in solving their petty internal problems, they run the risk of triggering processes that will overturn not only such a fragile tub as "America", but the rest of the world as well. This is the case when you risk throwing out the baby along with the water.
The thing is that the most important value for the Chinese is Mian Zi, a person, a reputation in the broadest sense of the word. In Christian logic, the recognition of mistakes, the recognition of an unsatisfactory state of affairs and repentance are not condemned (Christian morality even sees courage in this), because this is not the final position of a person, because. as it is always followed by purification and correction. However, for the Chinese, such recognition means the loss of Mian Zi, the loss of face, total humiliation, which is not an intermediate, but a final state, the end of history. You should never allow a Chinese to lose face, leave him the opportunity to get out of this situation, correct a mistake, otherwise you risk finding your worst enemy in his person. The Chinese will wipe himself off now, but he will hate you for the rest of his life and will take revenge until you already lose face.
On August 2, the American establishment made Xi Jinping lose Mian Tzu, and as a result found in him their worst total enemy. Don't wait for an answer now, Xi may not answer if he doesn't have a guaranteed position to win now. But know for sure that now Xi’s goal is not the victory of China (China has already defeated America, now only the legal registration of this fact is underway), now Xi’s main goal until his physical death is to humiliate and destroy the American establishment.
It’s the Russians who harness slowly, but go fast, while the Chinese may not even go, but they will make it so that you will have nothing to harness. This is our fundamental difference. Chairman Xi's answer will be pejorative precisely for America and its elites, don't expect a war with Taiwan from him. What for? He will get Taiwan anyway, and he will get it intact, with all his IT-technology and chipsets. He is not Putin, to first spend a lot of money on the destruction of Ukraine, and then even more money on its restoration (but Taiwan does not threaten China, as Ukraine threatened the Russian Federation, so Putin didn’t have much choice here). Tov. Xi will destroy America and its current political establishment (and the one who replaced him, too, and why Trump is better for Xi Jinping, radish horseradish is not sweeter!) Until the last days of his physical life. Moreover, it will destroy subtly, with all the eastern cruelty. Only in this way will he be able to restore his Mian Zi and calmly go to meet with the Almighty.
Therefore, on August 2, there was a radical reversal in world history (you can mark this date in your calendar). Washington, by virtue of its natural stupidity and its own uniqueness and exclusivity imbibed with mother's milk, hoping to plunge its opponents into an endless series of local regional conflicts, while remaining above the fray itself, forcing opponents to expend forces and resources on external fronts, instead of uniting them in the struggle against himself, as a result he achieved the exact opposite. Tov. Xi, taught by the experience of Vladimir Putin, is not going to fight with Taiwan, he will destroy America, and only destroy economic methods. Washington, hoping to draw Beijing into a proxy war with Taipei, from which it would get all the goodies in the form of financial flows that would rush from the burning Southeast Asia to the safe haven of America, as a result, risks finding a hybrid war with Beijing, where Moscow will act as a guarantor of that , so that Grandpa Joe does not take it into his head to bully his nuclear arsenal. Washington, with his characteristic arrogance and arrogance, thought to divide his existential opponents, forcing them to fight each on his local front with his proxy satellites, as a result, he united his enemies in the fight against himself. Grandpa Joe, having violated the concept of Henry Kissinger, which said that America's relations with the PRC and the Russian Federation should be better than their relations with each other, and, trampling on it, thereby buried himself. I think tov. Xi will pay for his funeral. How he does this is discussed below.
But before I try to predict Comrade's response. Xi, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that there is a bipartisan consensus in the US for such action. And the Republicans are no better than the Democrats (which Trump not so long ago comrade Xi clearly demonstrated), most of the Republican congressmen stood up to greet the voyage of the crazy grandmother Pelosi to the countries of Southeast Asia with a stop in Taipei, so comrade. Xi doesn't care who to kill, he will kill everyone, both right and left, indiscriminately. Only, unlike Vladimir Vladimirovich, he will wet them not in toilets, but in more suitable places for this and with more sophisticated methods.
Prepare for War!
You can write down my words. The United States is one step away from the World War and now nothing depends on them. They have crossed the red line that China has warned them about a hundred times since last April, and now the ball is in the Chinese side of the field. America is one step away from the biggest humiliation since Pearl Harbor and nothing depends on it. Because it is run by a herd of morons, a herd of stupid arrogant idiots who imagine that they are representatives of an exceptional nation. And now these representatives of the exceptional American nation are being slapped in the face in a way that hasn't been since December 7, 1941. You can write down my words and then remember them - the countdown has begun, America will be humiliated even before November 8 of this year. Democrats will never win elections again. Old Joe would be given a shameful ride on the next ones, if he lived to see them at all. Grandpa Joe imagined he was immortal, Chairman Xi would prove him wrong. In order to publicly humiliate the leader of the People's Republic of China in the way that another member of the MacLeod clan, suffering from alcohol addiction, did, one must not understand one's opponent at all or be out of one's mind. Old Nancy showed both, plus a huge, unsupported inflated ego. There is nothing more terrible for the Chinese than the loss of face, he will easily go to death to avoid this. America attempted to do so on August 2, 2022 by publicly humiliating China's first man. This is not forgiven and this does not remain unanswered.
America deliberately went for it and this will be its end. The end as a world hegemon, the end as an economic leader, the end in every sense. The countdown has started. Time has gone. The inevitable course of events can only be changed if Taipei crawls to President Xi on his knees and tearfully begs for his forgiveness, or rather immediately raises the flag of communist China on the flagpole in front of the imperial palace. But who will let him? If Grandpa Joe arrogantly hopes for his nuclear weapons, then he must disappoint him - he will have to fight not with China, but with the military bloc of China-Russia-DPRK. Vladimir Putin will do everything to prevent the old senile from even thinking about uncovering his nuclear arsenals. About this Comrade. Xi and the President of the Russian Federation agreed on February 4 this year at the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games in Beijing.
China will start with a naval blockade of Taiwan. No one is going to land on the island yet. What can America do about it? Carrier strike groups? I want to see it! This will be the beginning of her end. If she tries to impose sanctions on China and strangle it economically, she will only strangle herself. Watch out for American Treasuries, even before the operation begins, China will try to get out of them. For a second, at the moment he is the main creditor of America, he owns US securities for a total of 1,13 trillion. dollars. What happens if China tries to get out of them all at once? A financial tsunami the height of a skyscraper will cover the blessed America. I think she will no longer be up to the war with the PRC, and Grandpa Joe will urgently switch to his son's pills. Who then in the world will remember about Ukraine? Her drug commissar at the time would compete only with an Alzheimer's patient to see who would be the first to overdose. And that will be their only salvation. Amen!
That's all I have on this topic. We wait News from China. Ukraine is over, I hope, after August 2 it is already clear to everyone! Moreover, it was not the Kremlin that put an end to it, but Washington, unleashing another conflict to its own death. All goodness and peace. Your Mr X.