Breakthrough of the blockade: Russia had to exchange Kaliningrad for Odessa?


Home economic the topic of recent days is the partial lifting of the partial transport blockade of the Kaliningrad region by Lithuania and the "breakthrough" in the negotiations on the opening of the "grain corridor" from Odessa. Since events take place in the moment, and Russia and the countries of the collective West participate in them on both sides, one involuntarily has to ask the question - is there a relationship between them?


Kaliningrad "semi-blockade"


Recall that about a month ago, Vilnius imposed sanctions on Russian transit through its territory. 50% of the cargo traffic that went to the Kaliningrad region, isolated from the main part of our country, fell under the restrictions. After the collapse of the USSR, this exclave was cut off by the newly sovereign states - Belarus, Lithuania and Latvia. If Minsk is generally friendly to Moscow and is even considered its ally, then the Baltic states long before Ukraine became the main focus of clinical Russophobia.

In the course of the current conflict, Lithuania has shown itself most aggressively, in pursuance of the Western sanctions regime, by imposing restrictions on the transit of 50% of the volume of Russian cargo traffic to Kaliningrad. They touched on metallurgy products, jet fuel and additives to it, equipment used in the aerospace industry and natural gas liquefaction, alcoholic beverages, tobacco products and a number of other goods. At the same time, the sea route still remains free, so there is no reason to talk about a complete blockade of the exclave, formally giving the right to break through the so-called Suwalki corridor by force.

The Balts, at the suggestion of their overseas masters, are doing everything quite cleverly, and, unfortunately, they have achieved the desired result of this semi-blockade. What was it?

Sorry, goodbye, Odessa-mother


Fast forward much further south, from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea, where ships loaded with Ukrainian grain are docked in the port of Odessa. This topic has been actively promoted in the international media for many months, that allegedly because of the Russian blockade introduced during the special operation, the rest of the world is threatened with general famine. In fact, things are somewhat different.

Food grain was taken out of Ukraine before February 24, 2022, by its Western partners, as if they knew for sure that war was inevitable. Only fodder grain remained in Nezalezhnaya, as well as sunflower, corn and other agricultural crops. Over the past five months, this good has been continuously exported from Ukraine either through Moldova with Romania, or through neighboring Poland, since our Russian Aerospace Forces and the Russian Navy did not disturb the railway network of JSC Ukrzaliznytsia in Western Ukraine with their missiles. (Coincidence?).

However, all these volumes of feed grain are still not enough to feed the cattle kept by European farmers. Painfully, they are accustomed to relying on Ukrainian supplies and now, against the backdrop of the crisis, they are faced with a dilemma - to cut the cattle, which has become too expensive to maintain, or not. Obviously, European cows and pigs need to be saved, but how? "Evil Russians" are conducting a special operation on the Black Sea, and the treacherous Ukrainians have mined all approaches to the port of Odessa, the largest in the country. Missiles are flying, islands are being bombed, ships are sinking, mostly ours.

What do you want?


And then a thought could come into someone's head there, in the collective West - why not force the “Great and Terrible” Putin to sit down at the negotiating table with Ukrainian partners and pat about opening a “grain corridor”, and at the same time actually from Odessa refuse. How?

It's very simple: it is enough to blockade the Kaliningrad region, but then and in such a way that Russia would definitely have neither a formal reason nor a military resource for a forceful solution to the problem with the Baltic states. And what do we see?

The day before, on July 13, 2022, a quadripartite meeting was held in Istanbul, which was attended by representatives of Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and the UN. Turkish Minister of National Defense Hulusi Akar commented on its results as follows:

As a result of the meeting, which was held in a positive and constructive atmosphere, the main technical issues were agreed, such as the creation of a coordination center where representatives of all parties will be present, joint control at the exit from the port and at points of arrival, ensuring the safety of navigation on transitional routes ... We see that the parties are ready to solve this problem.


The next meeting, at which specific agreements will be signed, will take place in a week. As a result, Odessa will be released, and the international merchant fleet will rush there. This process will be controlled by Turkey, a NATO member country, as well as UN emissaries. Apparently, the Turkish military will also undertake the process of demining the water area, which implies the transfer of warships of the Turkish Navy to Odessa. What will be in the holds of foreign ships coming to its port, the Russians will certainly not be told.

In fact, this means that Moscow is giving up its claims to Odessa, leaving the strategically important city in the Black Sea region to the Kyiv regime and its Western partners. It will also be possible to forget about access to Transnistria and the solution of this old problem. Why can everything end so ingloriously? Because we cannot deblock Kaliningrad now, because there is nothing and there is no need. It is scary to fight simultaneously with the million-strong Ukrainian army and also with the united army of the entire NATO bloc.

But the first "buns" have already been received. The media enthusiastically report that the partial blockade of the Kaliningrad region by Lithuania has been partially lifted. Vilnius removed restrictions on Russian transit through its rail network, but retained them for road transit. What for? Then, so that agreements on the "grain corridor" in Odessa were signed as soon as possible. This is, you know, geopolitics.

Naturally, the “de-blockade” of Kaliningrad is presented in our country as a great “victory”, and no one publicly tries not to make complex conclusions. But what price will we all end up paying for it?
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  1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 14 July 2022 13: 16
    -11
    Well, why not postpone Odessa, Kharkov and further down the list for the future? In the meantime, equip the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov as Crimea used to be. And then a new wave of attachments, that is, eating in small pieces, which is considered healthier
  2. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 14 July 2022 13: 25
    +7
    Has the Kremlin decided to betray the goals of the NWO? Rejection of Odessa - this will be proof that the Kremlin crap with the NWO and everything was started in vain. The sacrifices on our part were also vain.
    1. guest Offline guest
      guest 14 July 2022 14: 03
      +1
      Why do you think so? There is a lot of speculation in the article, and most importantly, Putin's latest decree rather refutes this.
      1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
        Marzhecki (Sergei) 14 July 2022 15: 42
        0
        Believe me, this is the rare case when I VERY want to be wrong.
    2. zenion Offline zenion
      zenion (zinovy) 14 July 2022 14: 46
      -3
      kriten. First of all, first of all - it's grandmas, but then CBO. And nothing will happen to the Kremlin, there is a powerful sewage system.
      1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
        Bulanov (Vladimir) 15 July 2022 10: 40
        +1
        First of all, first of all - it's grandmas,

        If so, then Russia is still ruled by the oligarchs. It is their money that comes first, and not the interests of the Motherland.
      2. guest Offline guest
        guest 25 November 2022 16: 19
        0
        Quote: zenion
        And nothing will happen to the Kremlin

        Even as it will be, the "partners" promised reprisals, but compared to ours, they do not throw words into the wind.
  3. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 14 July 2022 13: 28
    0
    Quote: kriten
    Has the Kremlin decided to betray the goals of the NWO?

    He prudently said nothing about Odessa. hi
  4. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 14 July 2022 13: 29
    +7
    Quote: Colonel Kudasov
    Well, why not postpone Odessa, Kharkov and further down the list for the future? In the meantime, equip the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov as Crimea used to be. And then a new wave of attachments, that is, eating in small pieces, which is considered healthier

    Well, yes, let's wait until Kyiv rearms and retrains a million-strong army, equips new fortified areas. Polish divisions will enter Galicia, the NATO fleet - into Odessa.
    And then we will fight properly. good For real, as Putin promised.
    1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 14 July 2022 13: 56
      -1
      Oil painting, but one gets the impression that it will be so, the Kremlin will no longer turn away from the war, this is the result of the fact that the goals of the SVO from the very beginning were vague and not specific, and hence the negotiations with the Nazis and plans A, B
      1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
        Marzhecki (Sergei) 14 July 2022 15: 40
        -3
        Yes, we are most likely waiting for Minsk-3 (Istanbul), then a pause for the rearmament of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and a new stage of the war in a year or two. Ballistic missiles from Ukraine will hit all over Russia, far inland.
        1. Monster_Fat Offline Monster_Fat
          Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 15 July 2022 08: 20
          0
          Everything will be exactly as Strelkov-Girkin said before and says now. Like it "uryakalam" or not.
          1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
            Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 13: 53
            0
            And how exactly did he say? I just don't follow.
            1. Monster_Fat Offline Monster_Fat
              Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 16 July 2022 14: 51
              0
              Type in "Strelkov latest" on YouTube, find the latest dates and listen to what he "says". There are different videos for 3 minutes and 6 minutes, there are also 22 minutes each ... Choose. I especially advise you to watch (if you have not seen) his very first transfer. In St. Petersburg, in the library (more than two hours) - there he puts everything on the shelves, taking into account the capabilities and strengths of the parties and the possibility of assistance and intervention from a third party. And predictions of how it will end. So far everything is going exactly as he predicted, back then... yes
  5. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
    Vox Populi (vox populi) 14 July 2022 14: 17
    +3
    Food grain was removed from Ukraine before February 24, 2022 by its Western partners, as if they knew for sure that war was inevitable.

    But didn't the notorious "they" openly warn in advance about the "event" being prepared by "us" and what was the answer?!
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 14 July 2022 15: 41
      +1
      At our serious soup, they answered that they were slandering us. And they were right, because they had accurate intelligence.
      1. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
        Vox Populi (vox populi) 15 July 2022 14: 52
        0
        And now it doesn't look like much...
  6. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 14 July 2022 14: 52
    +3
    Putin for 20 years, did not bring to the end what he promised. Started right, but then "blown away". As with pensions. What right words he said, but in the end he betrayed. Therefore, I will not be surprised if everything ends with peace negotiations. And now there are enough toadies and grunts that Putin did everything right.
  7. Spasatel Offline Spasatel
    Spasatel 14 July 2022 16: 08
    0
    But what price will we all end up paying for it?

    It is known which. We are already paying. Thirty years of merciless theft and complete indifference on the part of Russia to the events taking place all this time in Ukraine have led to complete zugzwang.
    And now it's too late to drink Borjomi!
    It is clear that the West will not stop in its main goal - to destroy Russia as a state. But will we stop?
    In any case, I don’t want to get into Putin’s paradise ahead of time ...
  8. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 14 July 2022 16: 34
    +1
    Why is the author worried?
    After the export of grain, the hands of the Russian Federation will be untied.
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 07: 46
      +1
      Are they connected now? By whom and how?
      After the export of last year's crop, it will be necessary to export the next one. What does this mean in practice? The fact that Russia demilitarizes Odessa and leaves it under Western partners.
      1. ocean969 Offline ocean969
        ocean969 (Leonid) 15 July 2022 09: 59
        +1
        Tov. Marzhetsky, do not include a "naive" person, you perfectly understand what is at stake, in my opinion you are a "mishandled Cossack".
        1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
          Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 13: 51
          -2
          I'm not interested in your opinion at all. And I am not a friend like you.
          1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 41
            +2
            Marzhetsky, you didn’t confuse anything? Any reader has the right to express his opinion here, whether he is a friend or not. If someone's opinion is not interesting to you, why are you writing here at all? Or are you gathering your like-minded people? Do you delete other comments? Is this your personal site?
      2. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
        Michael L. 15 July 2022 11: 40
        0
        You have already been pointed to the "inclusion of naivety".
        Join us!
      3. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 36
        0
        Marzhetsky, why are you sure that the next harvest will be sold by Ukraine, and not Russia?
  9. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 14 July 2022 18: 42
    +1
    And how was the "corridor" through Lithuania written in the contract? Like how I want to close it?
    1. Monster_Fat Offline Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 15 July 2022 08: 38
      +4
      How it was recorded before no one now cares. I wonder how it's been rewritten now. Lithuania seems to be now given the right to check all cargo going to KAO and let through only the amount of cargo that "was before the special operation", that is, before the sanctions. The joke here is that from Russia KAO received only energy resources in full, the rest of the resources needed for the construction and operation of enterprises were largely purchased abroad, and some were completely abroad. It turns out that now, due to sanctions, the KAO cannot receive anything at all from abroad, and it cannot import these goods and resources from Russia, since they were not imported from Russia before the special operation, which means that they are now not included in the list of permitted import. That is, the blockade essentially remains - KAO will now be on any starvation diet. But here the situation is simply hopeless, in any case. KAO is a vulnerable spot and will be hit in any case. Some say that the fact that Russia does not strike at bridges, roads, power plants and other infrastructure of Ukraine is precisely due to the fact that if this happens, Lithuania will completely cut off any supply of KAO, including electricity and energy carriers. "Here it is, here it is ..... babies ..." yes
  10. WIS Offline WIS
    WIS (Valery) 14 July 2022 21: 50
    -2
    Naturally, the “de-blockade” of Kaliningrad is presented in our country as a great “victory”, and no one publicly tries not to make complex conclusions. But what price we Will we all pay for it in the end?

    I apologize, but after a cursory reading of the article, another question came to me (sorry for the tautology) - who are these "WE"?
    When global problems of a state scale are "squatting," it is not superfluous to know and see authorized representatives at the negotiating table.
    A lengthy question promises a lot of confusion.
  11. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 07: 47
    +2
    Quote from WIS
    I apologize, but after a cursory reading of the article, another question came to me (sorry for the tautology) - who are these "WE"?

    We are the peoples of Russia and Ukraine.
  12. FGJCNJK Offline FGJCNJK
    FGJCNJK (Nikolai) 15 July 2022 07: 54
    +1
    Quote: kriten
    and sacrifices on our part

    That's exactly what it is. Well, they didn’t want to show the disruption of the general’s shoulder straps, for the CBO that failed from the very beginning - that’s the result.
  13. Scharnhorst Offline Scharnhorst
    Scharnhorst (Scharnhorst) 15 July 2022 08: 07
    +1
    Kherson region as a whole, Zaporozhye region without Zaporizhia, LDNR +, separate districts of Kharkov region without Kharkiv - we stop at these boundaries. Let the banderlogs pay all their debts to the West, and they will VERY need it this winter. Mastering four + regions of an enemy country destroyed by the war is not Crimea on a silver platter with a loyal population. And this war is not the first and not the last. Parabellum...
  14. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 15 July 2022 10: 08
    -5
    Sergey, I think that your stuffing of an alarmist nature will not "take off". The topic is dumb. Do you really admit that after so many losses and spent funds, our leadership will give up their positions? Until we achieve the stated goals, the enemy will oppose us, and we will maneuver to reduce our losses and continue to crush our voags. Judging by your lame analytical conclusions, I think that you know Uncle Putin very poorly.
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 27
      0
      Rinat, I support you. But who are those who instructed you minuses?
  15. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 13: 52
    +3
    Quote: Rinat
    Sergey, I think that your stuffing of an alarmist nature will not "take off". The topic is dumb. Do you really admit that after so many losses and spent funds, our leadership will give up their positions?

    Even as I suppose.

    Judging by your lame analytical conclusions, I think that you know Uncle Putin very poorly.

    I know too well, alas.
    1. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
      Vox Populi (vox populi) 15 July 2022 14: 55
      0
      In this case, I completely agree!
    2. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 25
      +1
      How do you, dearest author, know Putin, and even more so well? Who is he to you? Kumswatbrother? Funny!
  16. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 15 July 2022 15: 51
    +2
    Quote: Monster_Fat
    How it was recorded before no one now cares. I wonder how it's been rewritten now. Lithuania seems to be now given the right to check all cargo going to KAO and let through only the amount of cargo that "was before the special operation", that is, before the sanctions. The joke here is that from Russia KAO received only energy resources in full, the rest of the resources needed for the construction and operation of enterprises were largely purchased abroad, and some were completely abroad. It turns out that now, due to sanctions, the KAO cannot receive anything at all from abroad, and it cannot import these goods and resources from Russia, since they were not imported from Russia before the special operation, which means that they are now not included in the list of permitted import. That is, the blockade essentially remains - KAO will now be on any starvation diet. But here the situation is simply hopeless, in any case. KAO is a vulnerable spot and will be hit in any case. Some say that the fact that Russia does not strike at bridges, roads, power plants and other infrastructure of Ukraine is precisely due to the fact that if this happens, Lithuania will completely cut off any supply of KAO, including electricity and energy carriers. "Here it is, here it is ..... babies ..." yes

    And "zircons and daggers" naturally cannot decide in large numbers? Indeed, with a big bucha, we have nothing to lose except a shirt, and the Anglo-Saxons have a lot of things, not to mention the centuries-old "high civilization". If they risk "it" then they are very sure that the button will not be pressed.
  17. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 July 2022 16: 06
    +4
    Quote: Peace Peace.
    And "zircons and daggers" naturally cannot decide in large numbers? Indeed, with a big bucha, we have nothing to lose except a shirt, and the Anglo-Saxons have a lot of things, not to mention the centuries-old "high civilization". If they risk "it" then they are very sure that the button will not be pressed.

    No one in the Russian ruling elite is ready to really press the red button. Not that kind of people.
    And Western partners know this.
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 21
      +1
      Only Putin can press the red button! So, at your suggestion, is he the Russian ruling elite? It seems to me that your forest of three birches needs to be cut down. Otherwise, you will never get out of this forest!
  18. Bobik012 Offline Bobik012
    Bobik012 (Vladimir) 15 July 2022 18: 11
    +3
    I have strong suspicions that nothing will be brought from Odessa. At the very last moment, something will happen...
    1. Marciz Offline Marciz
      Marciz (Stas) 17 July 2022 14: 25
      +2
      Americans dump from Odessa consulate is closed.
  19. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 15 July 2022 23: 33
    0
    There is something hazy about all of this. Very dull, alas..
  20. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 16 July 2022 02: 17
    -2
    The article is bullshit! Not a single foreign ship can come to Odessa without passing through the inspection of Russian military courts. All! And why should the Turks clear the ports of Odessa? A bunch of inconsistencies! And in general, what does Kaliningrad and Transnistria have to do with it? Some mud! One explanation - the author just wants it to be so. In fact, it's not like that at all!
    1. Monster_Fat Offline Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 16 July 2022 14: 38
      0
      "Military ships of Russia" ... Well, actually they write - a ship, if "it is military." Secondly, an agreement has already been reached that it will not be Russian ships that will be checked, but ships ... of Turkey with "UN representatives", that is: a NATO country with American henpecked from the UN. That's all. wink
      PS: I have always been amazed and continue to be amazed by "cheers-quacks", they never delve into the essence of the issue and live only with their ideas about something, drawn from I don’t even know where .... maybe from propaganda? ... "First channel"? "Channel" Zvezda "? request