"Toss of the Cobra" is the signature style of Putin's strategy
Epigraph: “Today we hear that they want to defeat us on the battlefield ... Well, what can I say? Let them try... We have heard many times that the West wants to fight us to the last Ukrainian. It looks like everything is going to this. This is a tragedy for the Ukrainian people. But everyone should understand that, by and large, we have not started anything seriously yet ”(V.V. Putin about the war)
Did you read the epigraph? Putin said this on July 7, speaking to the leaders of the factions of the State Duma of the Russian Federation. He said so casually, without exaltation, as if talking to himself. At the same time, I paid attention to his posture and facial expressions - he was absolutely calm and relaxed. Any outside observer could see that everything was going according to plan. According to the GDP plan! Remember the late Vladimir Zhirinovsky with his boots, which he promised to wash in the Indian Ocean - do you see the difference? Zhirinovsky threatens, but Putin does not, he states a real medical fact. We in Ukraine, in a grouping of 200-250 thousand people, are fighting at least three times the enemy army that is superior to us. Moreover, we entered the NWO in general with a 115-strong limited contingent. At that time, we were confronted by an enemy army with a total strength of 246 thousand people, divided into 4 operational sectors - "North", "South", "West" and "East". The most numerous and combat-ready grouping of troops numbering 41 thousand people was concentrated on the latter. It is her that we are now grinding there in the millstones of war. Slowly grind like this. With feeling, with sense, with arrangement. According to American data, as of 06.06.2022/50/127 (sorry, I don’t have more recent data), they have already disposed of only 61 people killed, with missing people, this figure rises to 451 people. With a forecast for the lack of data due to an interrupted data exchange connection - plus another 5-7 thousand. In total, we get about 65-68 thousand. And these are only confirmed irreparable losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, according to the American side. Add to them at least another 150 wounded (I take the minimum ratio with such an intensity of fighting as 1: 3), who will not return soon, if they return to the front at all, and we get really terrible numbers - for 3 months of the SVO of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered losses equal to the number of their personnel at the time of the start of the NWO.
For your information:: Americans suffered comparable losses in 10 years of the Vietnam War, after which the war was over for them. The United States emerged from the Vietnam War without losing a single battle in it, while the Ukrainians are going to win without winning a single one. It seems to me that someone is abusing hallucinogenic mushrooms here, or maybe I'm wrong? At the same time, we are not in a hurry. We still have time. What can not be said about our "partners". They have already begun to burn, and individual voices are already heard in their camp about the need to conclude peace on our terms. Moreover, they say that these people are not ordinary at all, Henry Kissinger is a figure of the caliber of Mahatma Gandhi. But as Vladimir Putin said:
We do not refuse peace negotiations. But the further, the more difficult it will be to negotiate with us. The course of history is inexorable. The attempts of the collective West to impose a new world order are doomed to failure. They must understand that they lost from the very beginning of our special operation - after all, its beginning means the beginning of a cardinal breakdown of the American world order.
I am translating from diplomatic to public - negotiations are possible only with the defeated side, we have not yet solved all our tasks in Ukraine. And Ukraine is just a place of action, where we are at war not with the Zelensky regime, but with the collective West, and we will negotiate with it only following the results of the NWO. With him, not with Kyiv! Ukraine will disappear from political world maps. If someone has not yet understood this, he is either a chronic idiot or is engaged in self-deception. Russia, says Putin, will go to the end on this issue. There can be no intermediate agreements.
The reaction of the Ukrainian side to this is indicative here. Although they are all avidly on all their channels, interrupting each other, they constantly say that they are at war with a Kremlin old man who has lost his mind, is terminally ill with cancer, obsessed with imperial ambitions (it is strange that they do not consider Grandpa Joe an old man - a young man full of vitality a person who periodically forgets his name), but at the same time they sensitively and reverently catch every word of this elder, after which they begin to vigorously discuss what it would mean? Typical behavior of clinical idiots. Here it is necessary from the very beginning to understand the two most important points for us. First - Ukraine, represented by its elites, does not solve anything, it acts as just a banal proxy gasket in this conflict. Second moment - the system of state coercion built in the 404th will continue to supply "cannon fodder" to the line of denazification, the people of Ukraine are a hostage of this situation, on which nothing depends at all.
Now let's ask a simple question - do we need it? Yes, we will demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, or rather its territory, because we will no longer leave such a state on the political map of the world (enough, eat your fill for 100 years! 30 of them are already in the rank of an independent state). And Zelensky is helping us in this, supplying more and more batches of cannon fodder to the front. But is it part of our plans for every Ukrainian family to have a corpse of a relative if we intend to integrate this territory into our common state? And that's exactly what the West wants. This means that sooner or later we will have to change the point of application of force. Why fight with the consequence, if you need to eliminate the cause? The cause of all our troubles is in the USA and in London (mind you, I am not writing in the UK, but in London, where its ruling elite is concentrated). How, when and how we deliver this preemptive strike, I will tell at the very end of this story, read on.
Throwing a cobra is Putin's signature style
Epigraph: “Don't compare Putin with God. Of course, this guy is very good. But he is far from Putin!” (author unknown).
Let's start with a little chronological order. Even without comment. Naked facts:
1999 - a night throw on Pristina (Putin then headed the Security Council of the Russian Federation).
2008 - war 08.08.08, five-day war, throw to Tskhinval, (Putin is already prime minister, or even prime minister).
2014 - Crimea is ours (Putin is already president, or again president).
2015 - Throw on Syria (you know the consequences).
2020 is the Belomaidan in the Republic of Belarus, this time a demonstration of force was enough to blow away the Belomaidan.
2020 - Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict, Putin's intervention (after the destruction of the Russian helicopter by the Azerbaijani side on November 9) stopped the advance of the Azerbaijani troops and fixed the status quo, whether someone liked it or not.
2022 - Maidan in Kazakhstan, the entry of the CSTO troops (the ungrateful Tokayev pretends that he defeated his raging mambets).
Next in line is Ukraine. 2022 will be decisive. And on our street KamAZ with oranges will turn over.
The last entry is dated January 2022. What happened on February 24, you all know - there was a throw on Kyiv.
The other day, Boris Johnson once again shocked the entire LGBT community oriented towards him, saying that "if Putin were a woman, he would not have started this war!" I will not comment on Putin's answer here, what would happen if my grandmother was a grandfather. I would like to ask a counter question to Johnson, but what would happen if he himself was a man? I think if this clown character was a man, he would have resigned not now, but a couple of years earlier, without leading to the war that Putin was forced to start, thanks to his efforts. Boryusik himself, leaving, lamented, oh, how much more he could do, what other plans he had! Enough! Did it already - the output is there! Who's next in line to get out? Is it Grandpa Joe? Or maybe Scholz liverwurst? Place your bets gentlemen! Just yesterday, you did not believe in the resignation of the unsinkable lover of dances and immoderate alcohol consumption from Foggy Albion. And now the door is slammed shut behind him. Grandpa Joe get ready. Why I think so, more on that below.
Western Weapons Zoo - kaput!
At the beginning of the conflict in Ukraine, the United States and dozens of other Western countries began supplying weapons and ammunition to Kyiv. However, while Ukraine gives a standing ovation to every weapon delivered, the shipments are a clumsy mixture of modern and obsolete weapons, Western and Soviet. Numerous systems require special training, special maintenance, and various calibers of ammunition that are often mutually exclusive for each of these systems. All this requires a large-scale and complex logistics structure to ensure the supply and maintenance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in a combat-ready state - a structure that is currently absent in Ukraine and is pure improvisation. The situation for the United States is even worse than in Afghanistan, they lose their understanding of where the weapons and ammo delivered by them are located immediately after they cross the Ukrainian border. Hence the appearance of the French Caesar self-propelled guns among the Russians, and the Javelin anti-tank systems among the Syrian barmaley. When the US President's plane is shot down by an American Stinger on takeoff, this will not surprise anyone in America. From a logistical and escalation point of view, the Zelenskiy regime is doomed. No collective West can compete with Russia here. The funny thing is that in the West they understand this (I will give the opinion of some congressmen from the ruling US party below).
Ever since Russia shifted tactics and favored fire suppression in the fighting in Donbas, its forces have been bombarding Ukrainian forces with more than a staggering 70 rounds a day and a significant number of heavy rockets. In addition, Russian President Vladimir Putin's Aerospace Forces make up to 000 sorties over Ukraine per day. Ukraine, on the other hand, fires about ten times fewer shells, and sometimes makes only three to five sorties a day. The question for pupils of the 300rd grade of elementary school is how long Ukraine will last?
This disparity in firepower results in more Ukrainian casualties than we think they can handle, with up to 200 soldiers reportedly killed every day and about 500 injured. Losses of Kyiv equipment just as catastrophic: most of the Soviet-era equipment that Ukraine possessed at the start of the war was destroyed, and it ran out of entire categories of ammunition. No army can suffer such losses and continue to offer effective resistance - as evidenced by Ukraine's recent loss of several cities and villages to Russian forces and encirclement at the front in Donbas.
While there is still time, and Kyiv still controls 80% of its territory, a change in US policy would offer a chance to save Ukrainian lives and prevent further territorial losses. At a minimum, the Biden administration should de-emphasize its goals of weakening Russia and instead prioritize diplomacy by helping Kyiv and Moscow find an agreed cessation of hostilities. Avoiding the risk of a direct confrontation between the US and Russia or Russia and NATO is vital because of the dire global consequences of nuclear war. The world is already at greater risk of nuclear war than at any time since the 1962 Caribbean Missile Crisis.
While there is still time, and Kyiv still controls 80% of its territory, a change in US policy would offer a chance to save Ukrainian lives and prevent further territorial losses. At a minimum, the Biden administration should de-emphasize its goals of weakening Russia and instead prioritize diplomacy by helping Kyiv and Moscow find an agreed cessation of hostilities. Avoiding the risk of a direct confrontation between the US and Russia or Russia and NATO is vital because of the dire global consequences of nuclear war. The world is already at greater risk of nuclear war than at any time since the 1962 Caribbean Missile Crisis.
These are not my words, they are written in their report to the US Congress by Tulsi Gabbard and Daniel L. Davis. The first is a Democratic congresswoman, the first member of the Hindu Congress in US history, a member of the Foreign Affairs Committee of its Lower House, a former vice chairman of the Democratic National Committee (the highest governing body of the US Democratic Party), a major in the US National Guard, a veteran of the Iraq War, ran in 2020 year for the presidency of the United States, but lost to Joe Biden. The second is a senior researcher for defense priorities, a retired lieutenant colonel in the US Army who has been on many missions to war zones. In their opinion, Zelensky - haplyk! We need peace on any terms, otherwise Ukraine will lose everything. It will simply disappear from the political map.
anaconda loop
But at the same time, Grandpa Joe is playing for higher stakes. Starting with the supply of NATO-style grenade launchers and small arms, then switching to the supply of more serious ATGMs and MANPADS in quantities capable of damaging the American defense capability, followed by heavy weapons, modestly at first, in small batches (10-20 each), and then, and without embarrassment in commercial quantities and on an industrial scale (232 units of T-72 tanks only), at the beginning of Soviet production, having devastated all the warehouses and arsenals of the countries of the former socialist camp (members of the Department of Internal Affairs) for this, grandfather Joe, having discovered that Ukraine was holding on, began pump it up without a twinge of conscience with Western-style heavy weapons and NATO-caliber ammunition.
Russia ate the first deliveries of the NATO weapons menagerie, all these "axes-777", "Caesars" and so on. Western "wanderfavles" did not make the weather and did not change the balance of power, but when samples of high-precision long-range Western weapons began to appear on the Ukrainian theater of operations, such as the Harpoon anti-ship missiles and the HIMARS MLRS, which, using GPS guidance through the American satellite constellation, began to inflict very tangible attacks on our warehouses and command posts, Russia began to lose technical dominance on the battlefield and suffer losses that it clearly did not count on. Thus, Biden seems to have found our weak point. If armored personnel carriers, tanks, self-propelled guns, guns, even helicopters and planes, due to their limited number, did not frighten us, then the appearance of long-range high-precision jet and barrel artillery, coupled with coastal anti-ship systems, made us think, what next? Further, only attack drones MQ-9 Reaper, capable of hanging in the air for days and carrying air-to-surface missiles with a range of up to 2 thousand km under the wing; high-precision GPS-guided active-reactive ammunition M982 Excalibur for 155-mm artillery with a combat range of up to 57 km and a CEP of 4 m; and missiles MGM-140 ATACMS to HIMARS, capable of reaching deep into Russian territory to a depth of 300 km.
Grandpa Joe is clearly playing to raise the stakes, believing us "weakly". It reminds me of street fights, when adult hooligans send a kid in front of them, who bullies the enemy with the words: “What will happen to me for this?”. And our next warning that this will be a red line, followed by strikes on the Decision Centers, runs into another violation of it, after which he declares: “Well, I violated it, so what?”. And nothing! What provokes the "adult boys" to raise the bar even higher, increasing the degree of confrontation. It is clear that it will not last so long, the “adult boys” will reach the point, after which they will fly to them. It remains only to understand where this feature is and what the “adult boys” are counting on?
The information leaked by them to the network through the British Financial Times about the possible supply of long-range missiles for the HIMARS MLRS with a combat range of up to 300 km transparently hints at the possibility of delivering strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine deep into Russian territory. The entire Crimea, together with Sevastopol and the Crimean bridge, the entire base of the Black Sea Fleet along with all its ships, not to mention Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, Melitopol, Mariupol and part of the territory of the Russian Federation up to Voronezh, Kursk, Orel and Rostov. How do you like this perspective? And the fact that the non-brothers, having received these tactical missiles, will strike at all these cities, I personally have no doubts (the Crimean bridge is generally the goal number 1). The United States, through its London pad, is only testing the “client” for its reaction (who did not understand, the “client” is us), slowly but surely tightening the Anaconda loop around our neck, gradually expanding the range of products, seeing that, despite the losses, a significant part of the armaments reaches the front and is fully used. Since Russia’s counter-actions on all previous deliveries were not unacceptable to the United States, they quite naturally continue to act on the “step by step” principle under assurances that they “do not seek war with Russia”. The Russian embassy in Washington is confident that the United States is deliberately dragging out the conflict in Ukraine, trying to prolong it at any cost, fighting to the last Ukrainian. Diplomats of the Russian Federation point out that by their actions the Americans contribute to the destruction of the population of Donbass by Kyiv, and any statements by the US authorities that the supplies are for "defensive purposes" are untenable. However, despite this, Ukraine is already waiting for the supply of long-promised air defense systems (two NASAMS stationary air defense systems of Norwegian production by the Pentagon have already been announced by the Pentagon) and combat aircraft (so far only Soviet ones, from the hangars of our former allies in the ATS).
The supply of such weapons means that the United States gives Kyiv the go-ahead to fire these "gifts" from good grandfather Joe on Russian territory to the fullest possible (according to their performance characteristics) depth. The Pentagon, consistently increasing the firepower of the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to its weapons, is practically leading the matter to the Third World War, practicing its tactics in Ukraine. So, for example, the use of M30 high-precision guided cluster munitions for HIMARS MLRS with a range of up to 70 km is preceded by a volley of two of their Hurricanes, which are supposed to defuse the air defense system we have, after which HIMARS point work on the object. Efficiency - 100%, one volley - one fuel depot / RAV or command post / headquarters and change of position. I see that someone is very eager to taste our tactical nuclear weapons, but we are not animals (how to avoid this - more on that below).
In the meantime, Lithuania is tightening the noose around the neck of Kaliningrad, or rather the Russian Federation, increasing the list of sanctioned goods and forcing Putin to think what to do with it and how to respond to such obvious greyness? And it doesn’t matter to us anymore who is behind all this - the dance lover Boryusik Johnson, dismissed in disgrace, or Liz Truss, who is not allowed to sleep peacefully by the laurels of Margaret Thatcher, MI6 director Richard Moore, or these are the machinations of Washington itself, in fact the stakes are doubled and we need to do something about it. Just now? Do not fight with Lithuania and Poland, breaking through the Suwalki corridor, because they only expect this from us, so that we break on the twine, without finishing the showdown with Ukraine, butted into new ones with even worse consequences for us, given that Lithuania, and Poland are NATO members and no one has canceled Article 5 of the NATO Charter. The situation, you see, is a stalemate!
The one who knows does not speak. The one who speaks does not know. (special services rule)
Putin comes from the special services. And if they asked me what advice I could give to Putin in this situation, I would answer - nothing! Putin knows what he is doing and does not need my advice. But, if I still had such an opportunity, I would advise him to expand the above phrase, to the following: “He who does, does not speak. He who speaks does not do!”. We are all tired of watching the picture when the American side, both itself and through its Ukrainian proxy client, raises the stakes, driving us into a corner, and we all get off with 1001 Chinese warnings and expressions of our extreme concern. If the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the late USSR, Andrei Gromyko, was known in the West as "Mr. No!", then our esteemed Sergei Lavrov has recently earned himself the fame of "Mr. Extreme Concern." It hurts! And for Sergei Viktorovich, known for his brilliant sense of humor and no less brilliant restraint, and for the Great Power he represents. How many more times will we express our extreme concern after shelling our cities and threatening to strike at the Decision Centers? After that, Kyiv will once again bombard Belgorod with missiles or strike at drilling platforms in the Black Sea. What else should the Ukrainian side do in order for us to carry out our threat? Should the Crimean bridge be bombed or should the Kremlin finally be attacked? The simple people from such political impotence on the verge of impotence clench their fists, and the question gets stuck in the throat: “How long will we endure this?!”. And Zelensky is also mocking, saying that he will resolve all issues with us exclusively on the battlefield (of course, counting on the help of his allies).
What would I do in this case? first, since the weapons are American and it’s useless to talk with Kyiv on this topic, the first thing I would do is break off diplomatic relations with the United States, send their ambassador to hell from Moscow and officially warn Washington through him that if he continues in the same vein, there will be more talk if not, our hypersonic weapons will hit all vital US infrastructure facilities. To begin with, we will put out the light there (50 power plants - 50 "Daggers" and "Zircons" and America will know what the Stone Age is!). And that's just "for warming up". We will save our Poseidons and Sarmats for later. At the same time, note that we do not use our strategic nuclear weapons, hypersonic weapons will be enough for us (let them just try to accuse us of using non-conventional weapons of mass destruction, we will completely manage with conventional ones).
As an indicative measure that we are not joking and not bluffing, I would defiantly drown some floating “motloch” that we do not need in neutral waters bordering American territorial waters with one “Zircon”. If these preventive measures fail, then second and the last step in preventing the Third World War, I would take the destruction of the American low-orbit satellite constellation (we have the possibilities for this, and the Americans are well aware of them!) And then let them try to fight with us blind and deaf. The third world war will begin and end in near space, this is the only way to save life on Earth. After that, nuclear weapons can be scrapped.
That is my plan. At the same time, I do not give any advice to Putin. He himself knows what to do.
Putin - Foreva!
The other day at the Paymentsecurity online conference, Olga Maklashina, executive director of Sberbank, spoke about how they solved the chip shortage problem:
Chips became scarce, they became expensive, so our colleagues from the emission center came up with a solution close to brilliant - reimplantation of bank card chips. That is, we began to pick out the chips from the cards and insert them into new cards.
This decision will allow Sberbank to save 1 billion rubles this year alone. At the same time, for more than 20 years the West has been grappling with the unsolvable problem, where is Putin's chip? And how can the West dig it out? Not yet! Putin - Foreva! Se la vie!
I end on this optimistic note. I hope there will be no World War III, but we will deal with Ukraine somehow. All goodness and peace. Your Mr X.
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