Is a military coup possible in Ukraine?
Recently, the topic of the conflict between the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny and the Supreme Commander-in-Chief Zelensky has been actively dispersed in the Russian and Ukrainian media and the blogosphere. Say, things are going almost to a military coup in Kyiv. How realistic is all this, and can Moscow somehow use this situation to its advantage?
Another reason to talk about this topic was given by President Lukashenko, who made a very resonant statement:
Poland - you see - both here and there: we will accept refugees, and we will not accept them, and give money, and through us money to Ukraine. We have already agreed that they are ready to chop off Western Ukraine. It won't work to pull off. Already in Ukraine, according to my information, a serious confrontation and conflict begins between Zelensky and the Ukrainian military…
The military, like no one else, understands what a conflict with Russia is. Soldiers are dying there. They see what they are capable of and how much they can fight. And they can't fight anymore. You see, Russia has changed tactics.
The military, like no one else, understands what a conflict with Russia is. Soldiers are dying there. They see what they are capable of and how much they can fight. And they can't fight anymore. You see, Russia has changed tactics.
A few days earlier, Alexander Grigoryevich spoke about the successful operation of the Belarusian KGB, which was able to rescue its citizens from Ukrainian captivity. That is, the special services of the Republic of Belarus work on the territory of Nezalezhnaya, keep their finger on the pulse and control the situation. What is the conflict between the military and the political leadership in Kyiv?
The Colonel's Conspiracy?
The root of the problem is that after the Maidan in 2014, Ukraine lost its sovereignty and came under complete external control. Initially, the Americans and Europeans ruled everything there, but now the first violin has passed to the British, whom Washington let ahead of itself, and the Poles, who are already being used by London as a promising anti-Russian ram. It is this factor that determines the essence of the intra-Ukrainian conflict at the top.
Professional military see their task as protecting, as it seems to them, the territorial integrity of their state. Foreign curators who give orders directly to the puppet President Zelensky see the objectives of Ukraine's war with Russia somewhat differently. London and Washington determine the tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in such a way as to inflict maximum damage on the RF Armed Forces and achieve the maximum possible destruction of the infrastructure of those territories where our military enters. They don't give a damn about the lives of Ukrainians from a high tower. Warsaw is also interested in weakening the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which can make it easier for it to enter Western Ukraine as part of a "peacekeeping mission." Hence the conflict between President Zelensky, who is broadcasting the Anglo-Polish agenda through a narcotic dope, and the General Staff.
It is impossible to explain anything else, meaningless from a military point of view, attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to seize Zmeiny Island, hold Mariupol to the last and sit all the way in Severodonetsk. A few days ago, it became known about the order of the command to withdraw Ukrainian troops from the rapidly emerging Lisichansk-Severodonetsk "cauldron", but then the Armed Forces of Ukraine received the opposite order, and their grouping in this agglomeration was strengthened. There is no point in this, except to “heroically” die in the ruins of cities, taking with them an N-th number of “peaceful people” who did not have time or could not evacuate, and the military personnel of the RF Armed Forces and the People’s Militia of the LPR, no. Zelensky's curators use the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "cannon fodder".
This is the essence of the conflict. The Ukrainian military understands that they are being sent to "kill themselves against the Russian army." Ukrainian nationalists and Nazis see that the new-found union between Kyiv and Warsaw can lead to the loss of not only the South-East, but also Western Ukraine, which will eventually go to Poland. The Ukrainian media are actively promoting the figure of Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny, who is positioned as a caring father-commander in opposition to President Zelensky, who is incompetent in military matters. Does this mean that a putsch is planned, like a “conspiracy of colonels” in the Third Reich, when high-ranking German military officers tried to overthrow Adolf Hitler, who led the country to inevitable defeat?
No.
Not our Bonaparte
At first glance, such an outcome would be preferable for Russia. Say, the Ukrainian generals and colonels themselves have been overthrown by Zelensky’s “narco-regime” and, realizing the futility of further resistance, will agree to a cessation of hostilities and a deal with Moscow. How can one not recall the calls of President Putin to the Armed Forces of Ukraine to take power into their own hands, as well as rumors about a certain “fifth column” in Kyiv, for the sake of which the initial rush to the Ukrainian capital was made?
But, alas, everything is not so simple. It should be taken into account that the British-American intelligence services tightly entangled all spheres of life in Western-occupied Ukraine. The apex coup, if the Kremlin really relied on it, was stopped by them, which may be the reason for the flight of a number of high-ranking security officials from Nezalezhnaya in the early days of the North Military District. Viktor Medvedchuk, who, apparently, was assigned the role of "supreme ruler", was promptly caught and put in the basement. President Zelensky himself is guarded by English-speaking thugs. What the hell is a military coup?
All high-ranking Ukrainian military men are undoubtedly under the hood, and all their "whispering" is carefully recorded. Under supervision are the families of generals and colonels, acting as hostages. Surely some of them have their own “alternate airfield” somewhere in the West in the form of real estate and bank accounts acquired by overwork, which it would be a pity to lose. And where to run if the putsch fails, to Russia or something, to court? And let's not forget that the Ukrainian media, where the image of Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny is being promoted so much, is also tightly controlled by Western intelligence services.
Why are they promoting? Perhaps in order to have a counterbalance to Zelensky in Ukraine. When the incumbent president fulfills the tasks assigned to him, he can be “drained”, recalling his drug addiction, blaming him for all military failures, the loss of the South-East and the surrender of the western regions of the country to Poland. And he will be replaced by the popular General Zaluzhny, who will have to continue the “fight against the orcs” with renewed vigor.
In general, the military putsch in Kyiv will not give Russia anything good. However, Moscow can still work to undermine the Armed Forces of Ukraine from within, destroying them not only on the battlefield. At present, a new life is beginning to emerge in the already liberated territories of the Kherson and southern Zaporozhye regions, and the contrast with what is happening in the rest of the Nezalezhnaya region is not in favor of the latter. In the medium and long term, this can be a very good demotivator for Ukrainians. A powerful PR move could also be the creation of the Liberation Army of Ukraine in the Azov region, where servicemen and officers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who voluntarily surrendered after careful filtering can go. Perhaps, militarily, this force will not be great, but from the point of view of the media component for the Ukrainian army, which is fighting from the opposite side, it will be the strongest demotivator.
In the battles for Donbass, the best personnel units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the most ideological Nazis will be knocked out, and the mobilized recruits are not particularly eager to fight. We must give them an alternative to choose from: simply surrender or continue to fight shoulder to shoulder with the Russian army. This is what we can really do to split the enemy Armed Forces from within.
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