CIA analyst explained what was the idea of ​​the RF Armed Forces to encircle Kyiv

The encirclement of Kyiv by Russian troops in the past three weeks has a definite purpose, which can be explained in the logic of the transition to the second stage of the special operation. So says CIA analyst Larry Johnson.

According to the expert, the Russians thus fettered significant Ukrainian resources, which ensured a certain freedom of action in the southern and eastern directions. This task was successfully solved by Moscow.

Larry Johnson believes that the next immediate task of the Russian units will be the elimination of centers of resistance of the Ukrainian army in the Donbass and Kharkov.

Earlier it became known that the Russian and Ukrainian sides in the course of negotiations are developing conditions for an agreement on the neutrality and non-nuclear status of Ukraine. Therefore, “in order to increase mutual trust,” as Alexander Fomin, deputy head of the Russian military department, noted in a conversation with journalists, the Russian Federation decided to reduce the intensity of hostilities in the Kyiv and Chernigov region.

The upcoming agreement with Kiev, according to Fomin, is also intended to provide Ukraine with "security guarantees."

Earlier, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu stressed that the Russian special operation on the territory of Ukraine would continue until all the goals were achieved. The primary tasks in the form of a significant reduction in the combat potential of the Ukrainian armed forces as a whole have been completed.
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  1. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 30 March 2022 10: 04
    "Reducing the military potential of the Ukrainian armed forces" is not the goal that should be set. Without demilitarization and a ban on the supply of weapons, Ukraine will restore its combat potential before the end of the year. The West will arm any number of brigades and battalions. This is a war with a three-headed dragon.
    I'm afraid the situation looks a little worse. There are simply not enough forces for an offensive in all directions. Therefore, the main task is the liberation of the left bank and the creation of new republics. On the right bank, the most important targets are Kyiv and Odessa. But this is not even worth talking about now.
    It must be admitted that the Ukrainian army turned out to be a tough nut to crack. So there is no need to talk about any hostilities against NATO.
    1. alspas Offline alspas
      alspas (Alexander) 30 March 2022 11: 10
      Do not confuse goals and objectives!
      The goal is demilitarization and denazification, this is a strategy, but the tasks are the destruction of pockets of resistance and the like, there can be many of them, this is tactics.
      You are not a strategist, you are not a strategist.
    2. Grandpa Wow Offline Grandpa Wow
      Grandpa Wow (Nikolai) 30 March 2022 11: 59
      Until what end of the year? And now what, demilitarization and denazification do not occur? Or do you think Russian soldiers should fly headlong through minefields under machine gun fire shouting "Hurrah!"? Don't talk nonsense! And it seems to God that a two-year-old child has learned to write and wrote something that he doesn’t really understand!
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 30 March 2022 12: 11
        You would first learn to read what is written. The point is that by destroying the heavy weapons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia will not achieve its goals. We need the capitulation of Ukraine and its reformatting into a neutral state. Otherwise, the West will supply the Armed Forces of Ukraine with an unlimited amount of this very heavy weaponry. And after a certain time, immeasurably stronger APU will stand.
        When people talk about the demilitarization of a country, they mean the country's lack of offensive weapons.
        1. Grandpa Wow Offline Grandpa Wow
          Grandpa Wow (Nikolai) April 5 2022 22: 54
          Well, look at the people in the liberated territories! Denazification is taking place, as mostly Russian Russian-speaking people live there! Yes, they lacked freedom and a pendal in the ass, but they see the realities and quickly go over to the side of the Russian Federation!
          1. Bakht Offline Bakht
            Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 5 2022 23: 01
            Until I see it. Something I did not notice much support from the population. Especially in Chernihiv and Sumy. Especially near Kiev.
            There must be something wrong with my vision.
            1. Grandpa Wow Offline Grandpa Wow
              Grandpa Wow (Nikolai) April 8 2022 16: 01
              And when was Chernihiv and Sumy liberated? Are there Russians there? I myself am from Donetsk, and I have never heard about the love of Chernigov or Sumy for Russians! And Westerners have long settled in Kyiv! And when did Galicia become "a liberated Russian land"? I actually talked about Russian lands! Transcarpathia will never be Russian, just as Crimea was not Ukrainian!
              1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 8 2022 16: 55
                That's the problem, that Chernihiv and Sumy were not liberated. There were reports that Russian troops passed through these cities and did not secure them. In any case, there were reports in Sumy that almost everyone there was waiting for Russia. Not justified.
                The problem with Kyiv is that it is the capital of Ukraine. But it's unlikely to be taken. This is what I wrote about.
                I didn’t say a word about Galicia at all. To date, I see only those goals that can be taken. These are several regions of Ukraine. A map of Novorossia can be found on the Internet in dozens of options. Odessa and Nikolaev are definitely needed to cut off Ukraine from the sea. Kharkov is a must. Everything else is questionable.
                It was not possible to break through the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Donetsk. And do not say that it was built for 8 years. The Armed Forces of Ukraine turned out to be a tough nut to crack for the Russian army. Of course they will lose. But what will be the price?

                The rest of Ukraine will be Nazi. So the task of denazification failed.
                The new Ukrainian army will be re-equipped with the latest weapons system. So the task of demilitarization failed.

                At the very beginning, I said that if the war is short, then this will be a plus for Russia. If it lasts a long time, then for Russia this is definitely a minus.
                It's too late to say anything now. The operation must be completed and as soon as possible. And, regardless of the number of victims. It's cruel, but there is no other option.
    3. svetlanavradiy Offline svetlanavradiy
      svetlanavradiy (Svetlana Vradiy) 30 March 2022 20: 47
      And here it is not. In Ukraine, the Russian Armed Forces are acting cautiously, avoiding, if possible, the death of civilians and the destruction of civilian infrastructure. There will be no ceremony with NATO. The war with the countries of the bloc will be hypersonic weapons, primarily attacks on decision-making centers and military installations.
    4. shinobi Offline shinobi
      shinobi (Yuri) April 2 2022 19: 45
      What is strong? With a numerical advantage of 3 to 1 in their favor (and according to textbooks it should be the other way around), they completely screw up on their territory? All their "successes" come down to the destruction of reconnaissance groups from ambushes. Azov is a separate conversation. the regime itself surrendered. They will be ground, they understand this and fight for their skins. This is a matter of purely time. With NATO, the conversation is in a completely different vein.
  2. Sergey Pavlenko Offline Sergey Pavlenko
    Sergey Pavlenko (Sergey Pavlenko) 30 March 2022 11: 52
    Well, panicky statements begin ..., there is no need to run ahead of the locomotive - everything will be brought to the end, but negotiations, so that they would somehow calm down and relax, let them continue to believe that they are winning ...
    1. Tula gingerbread1 (Vєtal Vєtal) 30 March 2022 17: 51
      A couple of days ago I saw a video English military aircraft flew to Ukraine three times a day, also Ukraine expressed its wish to the United States for the supply of Stingers and Jewels at 500 per day, America began to increase production itself + Johnson spoke in favor of the transfer of lethal weapons ...
      1. Sergey Pavlenko Offline Sergey Pavlenko
        Sergey Pavlenko (Sergey Pavlenko) 31 March 2022 10: 23
        It won't save them! Even if the West goes into open confrontation, and this will not save them, we will bang with everything that we have, without hesitation ....