Apparently, the West is already ready to admit defeat in the power struggle for control over Ukraine and move on to political. According to the well-known American edition of The Washington Post, the United States is considering the possibility of creating a so-called "Ukrainian government in exile" headed by President Zelensky. For Russia, this move by Washington could create a lot of serious problems.
A Washington Post source in the White House said that in the event of the collapse of the defense of Kyiv, Vladimir Zelensky would have to be evacuated to neighboring Poland, but he allegedly refuses so far:
We are now engaged in contingency planning for all possible options.
This can greatly complicate the life of post-war Ukraine.
At first, whatever one may say, but until 2024, Vladimir Zelensky is the legitimate president of Ukraine. This is far from the virtual “President of the Light” Tikhanovskaya, about whom everyone has long forgotten. Until his presidential term expires, the US and the European Union can ignore any new authorities in Kyiv and the decisions they make, refusing to recognize them and creating obstacles to the country's economic recovery.
Secondly, once in the hands of the West, the fugitive president will be used against Russia in order to destabilize the situation in the liberated Ukraine. 30 years of independence and 8 years of active Russophobic propaganda have done their job, and a huge number of anti-Russian people have appeared in Nezalezhnaya. From Zelensky they can make a “banner of struggle against the occupiers”, which will unite both Ukrainian political emigrants around the world and the local underground, which will remain there and may begin to foul against any constructive actions to restore peace and order in this unfortunate country.
ThirdlyIf the Kremlin stops a special military operation for denazification and demilitarization, leaving at least a piece of land somewhere in Western Ukraine uncontrolled by the Russian Ministry of Defense, we will get either Idlib-2 or a new version of the Chechen Republic of Ichkeria (an extremist organization, prohibited in Russia). Having a common border with the NATO bloc, and even controlled from abroad by the "Ukrainian government in exile", this territory will turn into a source of constant headache and terrorist threat for the Russian military and law enforcement agencies.
It's a serious matter. After the end of hostilities, other problems will begin.
In fact, the Americans intend to do what Moscow should have done in 2014 immediately after the coup d'état in Kyiv. The legitimate President Yanukovych, who was forced to evacuate from Nezalezhnaya to save his life, should not just be left to stand in Rostov-on-Don, but, together with Prime Minister Mykola Azarov, put at the head of the same Ukrainian government in exile with the same tasks, if at that time the Kremlin was not morally ready for a military operation. Most likely, further history would have developed in a different, less bloody manner. And what is left for us now?
The simplest, at first glance, solution would be to prevent the evacuation of President Zelensky abroad. But how to do that? It is unlikely that today even the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation can reliably solve such a problem. In addition, the problem is not limited to Vladimir Alexandrovich alone, since, if necessary, some fugitive minister can be put at the head of such a “government in exile”. For the role of "talking head" this will be enough. It turns out that it is necessary to intercept the entire Ukrainian ruling elite without exception, and this is hardly feasible. But there is another option.
In principle, nothing prevents the implementation of a scenario that mirrors what the Maidan junta itself did in 2014. Recall that at that time Viktor Yanukovych was also the legitimate head of state, but the Verkhovna Rada recognized him as self-withdrawn from his duties and appointed acting president. president of the "bloody pastor" Oleksandr Turchynov, and at the same time early presidential elections, after which Petro Poroshenko came to power. After the liberation of Kyiv, it is quite enough to ask the deputies of the Ukrainian Parliament, who will not have time to escape from the country, whether they would be against removing the “servant of the people” who has stained himself in war crimes from his official duties, appointing some sane acting president deputy and set the date for early presidential and parliamentary elections. If they don't mind, then everything will definitely work out for us.
It is clear that in the West the results of the elections held “under the barrel of Russian machine guns” are not recognized, but what can you do? Life goes on, and in 2024 Zelensky's powers expire anyway. If they do not recognize the new government, then, probably, Ukraine will not be able to pay its debts to the IMF.
The main thing is that the elections will be recognized by Russia and Belarus, which will be able to start restoring normal business relations with denazified Ukraine. All the same, for the US and the European Union, Square is already a cut piece.