The US is not ready to counter Russian tactical nuclear weapons

As Russia has concentrated more than 100 of its troops near the Ukrainian border, and US President Joe Biden promises to help Ukraine in the event of a "Russian invasion", the risk of using nuclear weapons increases, writes the American edition 19FortyFive.

During the Cold War, the most dangerous were ICBMs, strategic bombers and nuclear submarines of the USSR. Today, the biggest threat is posed by RF tactical nuclear munitions of small yield (from 1 to 20 kilotons) and range (about 400 km). Moscow has an arsenal of 3-6 thousand such ammunition. At the same time, Washington simply does not have such a large number of tactical nuclear weapons. Moreover, the defensive doctrine of the Russian Federation provides for the use of such weapons during conflicts.

During the Thunder-2019 and Zapad-2021 exercises, the Russians simulated the use of not only their strategic deterrence forces, but also operational-tactical nuclear weapons. Analysts came to the conclusion that at that time Moscow was practicing not only an intercontinental strike, but also an attack against NATO countries in the European theater of operations.

To understand how effective TNW is, we suggest considering the following scenario as an example

- noted in the article.

The publication believes that the Russians store tactical nuclear weapons in the Kaliningrad region, and the region itself calls it an extremely convenient “bridgehead within NATO” for delivering a limited nuclear strike from it if the Russian Federation loses a non-nuclear war to the Alliance. Therefore, Moscow will without any doubt apply the strategy of "escalation for the sake of de-escalation", forcing the West to retreat after the use of tactical nuclear weapons.

In our scenario, we assume that Russia's goal is to demonstrate determination and take a conventional conflict to the point where NATO and the US capitulate in order to avoid further escalation.

- emphasized in the publication.

The publication suggested that the Russian Federation would launch a 10 kiloton nuclear strike in the countryside in front of the advancing NATO units. At the same time, the explosion will cause minimal harm - it will be a clear signal that Moscow is ready for a full-scale war if the West does not stop.

An explosion of ammunition of the specified power at a height of 180 meters will be a fireball in the air, it will not reach the ground and will not create harmful precipitation. In fact, it will be a "pure detonation" and all fast ionizing radiation (beta and gamma) will dissipate within a radius of 1 km in less than a minute. In this case, intense thermal radiation will dissipate within a radius of 1 km in one second. In this way, NATO troops would not be affected by the impact, and damage and loss of casualties would be kept to a minimum.

According to our analysis, even if this explosion were ground-based, NATO troops would need to be at a distance of more than 1 km to safely move around the irradiated epicenter one day after the explosion. This would result in an unprotected soldier receiving 41 rem of exposure. Given that computed tomography generates 1 rem, the low radiological threat of TNW makes its use more and more realistic.

the authors are sure.

According to the publication, the Russian leadership is convinced that it has an asymmetric advantage due to the extensive arsenal of tactical nuclear weapons. Denying or underestimating a threat will not make it disappear - that's the reality. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can and are ready to use tactical nuclear weapons on a limited scale, which is unlikely to lead to a nuclear apocalypse - an atomic war between Moscow and Washington. At the same time, the United States is not ready to confront Russia's tactical nuclear weapons.

If the Russians are questioning the Americans' determination to trade New York for Berlin, how much doubt do they have of our willingness to trade New York for a cow pasture in northeast Poland? From the Russian point of view, American potential is not the issue. It simply doesn't exist. Thus, it is the American will that is under attack.

- summarized in the material.
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  1. sgrabik Offline sgrabik
    sgrabik (Sergei) 3 February 2022 12: 03
    It is also necessary to take into account cruise missiles of various bases, I am more than sure that they all have modifications with nuclear warheads, at least it is simply necessary to have cruise missiles with nuclear warheads.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 3 February 2022 12: 26
    And since the GDP said that nothing will happen, only the media will benefit.
    What can be seen from the article
  3. Pandiurin Offline Pandiurin
    Pandiurin (Pandiurin) 3 February 2022 14: 01
    Quote: sgrabik
    It is also necessary to take into account cruise missiles of various bases, I am more than sure that they all have modifications with nuclear warheads, at least it is simply necessary to have cruise missiles with nuclear warheads.

    The use of nuclear warheads implies the transition of the conflict to a certain level.
    It is possible to have a weapon that gives you the opportunity to gain an advantage, but is prohibited from use by the regulations, the charter, or has a very long procedure for agreeing on the use / permission.

    The biggest improvement in weapon performance is the reduction in the time it takes to receive confirmation of the use of weapons and targeting.
    Those. everything rests on the automation of control systems and communication channels.

    You can have the most prodigy but not have time to apply them or apply late.
  4. skeptic Offline skeptic
    skeptic 3 February 2022 23: 28
    I remembered the prophecies about the washed away England, Europe, America, after reading the article about the "Poseidons". Something evokes a possible relationship in the future ... It may start with tactical nuclear weapons, but for some reason it seems that this will not end.
  5. Siberia55 Offline Siberia55
    Siberia55 (Yuri) 4 February 2022 16: 50
    Fools cardboard. They sit behind a puddle and talk about tactical nuclear weapons. Be afraid of the strategic! For...