CSIS: Russian generals face the problem of the Chernobyl zone, it will be bypassed by flank strikes

Western "analysts" continue to whip up hysteria around the "probable Russian attack on Ukrainian soil", issuing regular military scenarios. This time, the American Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) distinguished itself by publishing "possible directions for invasion."

CSIS believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to threaten an invasion of Ukraine, building up troops near the Russian-Ukrainian border and making "aggressive statements." The Kremlin wants two things from the West: the withdrawal of the US military and their weapons from Europe and an end to NATO expansion.

The ideological preparation of Russian society for a conflict with Ukraine has been going on since at least 2014, and local media show Ukraine as a pro-fascist, neo-Nazi state. If diplomatic efforts fail, the Russian military has several options for invading through northern, central and southern directions.

writes CSIS.

Northern route. Russian troops can launch an offensive against the Ukrainian capital in two ways. The first one, the shortest one, is 240 km along the road from Novye Yurkovichi (Russia) through Chernigov (Ukraine) to Kiev. In this direction, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will have to break a gap in the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The second one is longer and more complex. Before the Russian generals will face the problematic Chernobyl zone and the northern group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which will have to be bypassed, inflicting flank strikes. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will have to make a breakthrough from Troebortnoe (Russia), then through Konotop and Nizhyn from the northeast to Kiev. In addition, if Minsk agrees to the use of Belarusian roads and railways, the Russian army will be able to bypass Kiev from the north-west direction from Mazury (Belarus) through Korosten (Ukraine). This will lead to the complete encirclement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this direction and the inevitable capture of the capital of Ukraine by Russian troops.

Central route. The RF Armed Forces can begin to advance westward in three ways. The first will run from Belgorod (Russia) through the Ukrainian cities of Kharkov and Poltava to Kremenchug. The second - through Donetsk (DPR) to the Ukrainian cities of Zaporozhye and Dnieper (Dnepropetrovsk). The third - along the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov - to the Ukrainian cities of Mariupol, Berdyansk and Melitopol.

Southern route. The RF Armed Forces will deliver a double blow from the Crimea. They will go to the Dnieper River (a source of fresh water for the peninsula) and seize a bridgehead - the city of Kherson, and also unite near Melitopol with a group advancing from the DPR.

However, if desired, Russia can achieve more. The RF Armed Forces may start advancing to Nikolaev and Odessa in order to cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea and connect with the pro-Russian Transnistria. Moreover, Moscow can take control of all of Ukraine, and then announce the creation of a new Union State - the union of three countries - Russia, Ukraine and Belarus, calling it "the reunification of the three great fraternal peoples."
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, CSIS
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 January 2022 11: 59
    Why would Russia attack Ukraine with troops? At a certain moment, the Russian Federation may completely deprive Ukraine of its energy carriers, and then Ukraine will begin to take gas for Europeans from its pipe. In response to this, the Russian Federation will block this gas pipeline, as it did in 2009. The EU will be without gas. And then the showdown between the EU and Ukraine will be completely different. Maybe even urgently SP-2 will turn on. Perhaps the Russian Federation is waiting for the onset of big cold weather?
    1. sH, arK Offline sH, arK
      sH, arK 18 January 2022 14: 34
      Of course, it's stupid to fight now. Of course, it is not clear why Durkaina was "fed" so much with gas, coal (primarily anthracite for thermal power plants and coke for metallurgy!), And Belarus was allowed to drive gasoline and other fuels and lubricants into Hohland, and supplied fertilizers.
      You need to start by cutting off these supplies. Then you can simply ban flights over Durkaina, prohibit any calls to ports - this is already a complete blockade and an actual declaration of war, a real "Casus Belli" - but this is a war without war! And that only makes it worse!
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 18 January 2022 12: 38
    "Western "analysts" continue to whip up hysteria ..", and our media, politicians and "experts" happily support the movement, joyfully shrugging their hands and pointing fingers at the foreign countries ...
    1. Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
      Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 19 January 2022 11: 46
      And what is wrong?
      Fair-faced elves pooping like a rainbow are trying to persuade the evil orcs to attack the nenka, but the orcs are not being fought?
      From zhezh cattlemen!
  3. oracul Offline oracul
    oracul (leonid) 19 January 2022 07: 28
    The stupidity of many Western politicians and journalists immediately brings to mind the expression: human stupidity gives an idea of ​​infinity. True, this is done with the aim of demonizing Russia in the eyes of the townsfolk.
  4. gorskova.ir Offline gorskova.ir
    gorskova.ir (Irina Gorskova) 19 January 2022 21: 39
    Shake, shake test tubes. But the most important thing was not invented. I watched one of the shows today. There one put forward a very good plan. And you don't have to fight. But I won't tell you. Maybe Vasyura will tell. His face stretched out and his smile slipped.