The entry of Russian troops into Kazakhstan looks hasty


Kazakhstan is gripped by mass unrest due to a sharp jump in gas prices. Tokayev has already dismissed the government, promised to lower prices and removed the Chairman of the Security Council Nazarbayev from the post, but the unrest escalated into riots and pogroms, the protesters demand a change of the regime. The CSTO, at the request of the President of the republic, introduces a peacekeeping contingent.


What are we seeing: another attempt at a color revolution on the borders of Russia and China, or a just people's movement? Many even here remember well the bloody events in Zhanaozen, which are now perceived by the protesters as a prologue to the current attempt to overthrow the government.

What is the essence of the policy of color revolutions?


During the Cold War, the United States developed and tested in detail the doctrine of the "fifth column", that is, a system of measures to grow, support and manage the opposition in disloyal countries, the purpose of which is, firstly, constant pressure on an unwanted government, criticism of the fact that it does not correspond to "Western standards", and secondly, the change of persons in power for pro-Westerners. Within the framework of this doctrine, the scenario of the color revolution is applied, when the "fifth column" is being prepared for the role of the headquarters of the uprising. In the event of a crisis, this impromptu headquarters actively escalates the situation, provokes speeches, rallies and processions. In the event of a spontaneous uprising, he tries to translate the activity of the masses into the channel of the Maidan regime change. Technique coups d'état at the Americans was worked out meticulously, but the most competent governments gradually found ways to counter the "color threat".

The meaning of this doctrine lies in the hegemonism of Euro-Atlantic imperialism. Initially, all this was worked out in the socialist states and left-nationalist regimes of Latin America and Africa, but after the collapse of the USSR it is applied everywhere. The United States wants to dominate the world, therefore it is not interested in the development of poor and backward countries, and even more so in states that are capable of making them global competition. The United States wants to see the rest of the world as a cash cow for its corporations. And the most tragic thing is that the American people in many ways share this hegemonism of the ruling circles, they gradually became a reactionary people in the XNUMXth century.

The strategic goals of American and with it European imperialism are no different from those of Hitler. They are driven by the desire for world domination; only the means and methods of achieving it differ. And under this political motive, there is an objective law of competition underlying the market economics... Roughly speaking, American and European capital craves a monopoly position in the world, a total suppression of all competition and maximization of income.

Today, in the context of the Cold War unleashed against China, the United States is actively applying its doctrine in countries that have become the contact line of the two giants. Kazakhstan, of course, is one of those, primarily because it is a key link in the Chinese project "One Belt, One Road".

But it is important not to fall into the vulgar interpretation of the American export of reaction and fascism. Not a single force in the world, no matter how powerful it may have intelligence and information resources, is capable of initiating a massive popular uprising. It is impossible to create an element, you can only control it, lead a protest, kindle it and, as it was in Belarus, try to organize a putsch in parallel. If the people are satisfied with the power, consider it their own, and are ready to defend, such power cannot be overthrown from within. These are basic political truths that have been repeatedly tested by historical practice.

The originality of the Kazakh socio-political model


In Kazakhstan, after the collapse of the USSR, former members of the CPSU came to power. Nazarbayev was made the head of the republic in 1984 at a young age, he was 44 years old. He was a typical "changeling" for the leader of the decaying CPSU, that is, a liberal in communist guise, just like Gorbachev or Gaidar. After becoming the president of independent Kazakhstan, Nazarbayev built the same resource-oriented capitalism as we had in the 1990s. But unlike Russia, a kind of political compromise arose in Kazakhstan, power and part of the economy were in the hands of Nazarbayev and his people, Western corporations gained access to Kazakh natural resources and cheap labor, and the people got a relatively acceptable standard of living due to natural rent. ... In foreign policy, Kazakhstan has become a neutral country, not drawing closer to either Russia, the West, or Turkey, or China. And this, on the whole, suited everyone.

However, since the 2010s, the Kazakh economic model began to falter, and crisis phenomena began to grow. There were protests by workers in Zhanaozen, which were brutally suppressed. Since 2015, the standard of living in Kazakhstan has been constantly falling. In 2019, Nazarbayev resigned from the presidency, retaining control over the government. In recent years, strikes, protest rallies and popular unrest have taken place in the north of Kazakhstan, which the authorities have been able to stop. However, in early 2022, the country flared up as a result of a two-fold increase in gas station prices. The prevailing political compromise has clearly exhausted itself, the element of popular anger burst out.

The role and place of the "fifth column" in the Kazakh revolt


The nature of the protests suggests the beginning of a rebellion against the government. The protesters do not have a headquarters, their demands have not received explicit expression, and their activity quickly slipped into senseless pogroms and robbery. It is wrong, in my opinion, to say that economic demands (lower gas prices and higher wages) have turned into political ones (change of power), or rather, to say that the factor of rising prices has become a pretext for a massive protest against the government.

To understand the situation, it is important to understand two aspects: who and why allowed the price jump and what forces are capable of deriving political benefit from the Kazakh rebellion.

The fact is that a sharp rise in the prices of consumer goods is likely to lead to an explosion of discontent. This is a common knowledge that all governments and businessmen use. They always raise prices in steps, like the temperature when boiling crayfish, which is easy to observe in any supermarket, where they either reduce the gramme of the product or raise the price by five rubles. This, of course, does not do honor to the people that such an elementary technique works, but it is a fact.

Therefore, the people who allowed gas prices to double were almost certainly aware of the consequences. Of course, no one could predict such a scale of discontent, but it was obvious that it would be.

Proceeding from this logic, a version emerged almost immediately that Tokayev himself allowed a rise in prices in order to get rid of the elderly Nazarbayev, but the "combination" quickly got out of control. Many, indeed, note that something like a dual power has developed in Kazakhstan. It is difficult to assess the consistency of this version, but it should be admitted that the initiator of the price increase was clearly planning to “rock the situation” in the country.

After the start of the protests in Kazakhstan, prominent oppositionists and representatives of the "fifth column" (NPO) jumped out and began to try to actively organize and direct the protest. Money flowed through the Baltic states, Poland and Ukraine to pro-Western activists in Kazakhstan. Armed groups of provocateurs flashed in the streets. There was even information that the US Embassy had warned its citizens about the protests back in mid-December. However, when checked, it turned out to be fake. Moreover, the US position in relation to the protests was rather restrained, for example, in comparison with Belarus. The coverage of events in Kazakhstan in the Western press does not have an unambiguously positive connotation, as is always the case with “color scenarios”.

In general, there are several typical diplomatic reactions to unrest, from which one can draw conclusions about the position of a particular country. Option 1: such a protest is unacceptable, the authorities must establish order (Russia, China). Option 2: a peaceful protest is permissible, but violence should be avoided, the parties should go to dialogue (USA, EU, Turkey, Belarus). Option 3: this is a peaceful protest, the authorities should not use violence (odious Westernizers and patented liberals).

The assertion that a color revolution is being played out in front of us is, in my opinion, somewhat premature.

The fact is that a significant share of the Kazakh economy is controlled by Western corporations, and the current government is the guarantor of the inviolability of foreign property. Whereas the interests of Russian business in Kazakhstan are small. Even if we assume that the US political leadership decided to overthrow Tokayev in order to organize chaos on the borders of Russia and China, to complicate the implementation of the One Belt, One Road project and to squeeze out Chinese capital, the American oligarchy is definitely not happy with this decision.

In short, the Kazakh regime cannot be called disloyal to the West, pro-Russian or pro-Chinese, but it is not completely controlled by the West either. If there is a final collapse of the political model of Kazakhstan, then nationalist forces will most likely come to power, which will prefer to sell themselves to Turkey.

The entry of Russian troops into Kazakhstan looks hasty


Sending CSTO peacekeepers to help Tokayev will be perceived by the electrified Kazakh public as a Russian occupation. In an effort to maintain stability and order on Russia's borders, this decision looks hasty, it can only aggravate the situation. A riot can always be suppressed by force, but the consequences of this will be delayed. Interference in the internal affairs of Kazakhstan, in which for 30 years they fostered a national enmity towards Russians, can only alienate the Kazakh people from Russia.

Now the situation looks like an uncontrollable riot of the population (like the movement of "yellow vests", but on a Kazakh scale), caused by fair demands to his government, which Tokayev is trying to extinguish with the hands of Russia. The ears of the West are sticking out in terms of trying to control chaos, but the prospect of establishing a pro-Western regime looks ambiguous. This is the case when some are trying to use the bedlam caused by the failure of the government to their advantage, while others are quickly eliminated out of fear of "color revolutions".

It is interesting that China firmly supports Tokayev, but only in words. The Chinese seem to be confident that they will be able to come to an agreement with any government in a neighboring country.
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  1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
    Dart2027 7 January 2022 07: 17
    +9
    Have trained and well-coordinated battle groups emerged out of thin air?
    1. Nikolaevich I Offline Nikolaevich I
      Nikolaevich I (Vladimir) 7 January 2022 10: 14
      -7
      And how did you know that? Give proof that these are "trained and organized" groups! Where did you get the info from? So far, there is very little information ... for such a time, it is impossible to collect enough objective evidence! This means that at present the allegations "about battle groups" are mainly propagandistic in nature, that is, "sucked from the finger"!

      When a hyena wants to eat its offspring, it seems to her that it smells like a goat!

      (African wisdom)

      Are you one of those “responsible citizens” who are always ready to declare: “I haven’t read this book, but agree with what you wrote in the newspapers Pravda and Izvestia?
      1. Yuri Schmidt Offline Yuri Schmidt
        Yuri Schmidt (Yuri Schmidt) 7 January 2022 10: 31
        +2
        You also "have not read this book, but just in case against." How do you know these are not "trained and organized groups"? So far, there is very little information ... for such a time, it is impossible to collect enough objective evidence! This means that at present the statements "about non-combat groups" are mainly propagandistic in nature, that is, they are "sucked from the finger"!
        1. Nikolaevich I Offline Nikolaevich I
          Nikolaevich I (Vladimir) 28 January 2022 22: 23
          0
          Quote: Yuri Schmidt
          How do you know that these are not "trained and organized groups"? So far, there is very little information ... for such a time, a sufficient number of objective evidence cannot be collected! This means that at present the allegations "about non-combat groups" are mainly propaganda in nature, that is, they are "sucked out of thin air"!

          "Well done!" you from the ruling regime! Sit down...5 for your demagoguery!
      2. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
        Dart2027 7 January 2022 12: 45
        +1
        Quote: Nikolaevich I
        So far, there is very little information ... for such a time, a sufficient amount of objective evidence cannot be collected!

        That is, to distinguish a trained and well-coordinated combat group from a bunch of dumbbells is an overwhelming task?
        Yes, it is not easy for you on Ukrainian bot farms.
        1. Nikolaevich I Offline Nikolaevich I
          Nikolaevich I (Vladimir) 28 January 2022 22: 33
          +1
          Quote: Dart2027
          That is, to distinguish a trained and well-coordinated combat group from a bunch of dumbbells is an overwhelming task?

          What are you stupid about? How did you "identify" the trained combat group so quickly if there was not enough information for this? You are the same yap as Tokayev, who "instantly" counted the number of militants accurate to the "bayonet" and not a single "thing" no more, no less! And when he named the number of "combat detachments" with "accuracy" to one, almost the next day after the events!
          1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
            Dart2027 29 January 2022 08: 03
            0
            Quote: Nikolaevich I
            What are you dumb

            That you are self-critical.

            Quote: Nikolaevich I
            How did you "identify" a trained combat group so quickly if there was not enough information for this

            What is "sufficient information"?

            Quote: Nikolaevich I
            Tokayev, who "instantly" counted the number of militants up to a "bayonet"

            How many counted the police on the street about so many and reported to him.
      3. Volga073 Offline Volga073
        Volga073 (MIKLE) 7 January 2022 19: 59
        0
        You stupid uncle))
        1. Nikolaevich I Offline Nikolaevich I
          Nikolaevich I (Vladimir) 28 January 2022 22: 37
          +1
          Quote: Volga073
          you stupid uncle

          And which "uncle" are you referring to? If to me, then you are not smarter than me! (I think it's far from smarter!...)
    2. Rusa Offline Rusa
      Rusa 7 January 2022 11: 26
      +6
      The author bent about the fact that the introduction of Russian troops into Kazakhstan looks hasty. When the house is already on fire, it and its people need to be saved by all available means, and not to argue: "No matter how something happens."
    3. Misha Mihalkov Offline Misha Mihalkov
      Misha Mihalkov (Misha Mihalkov) 7 January 2022 11: 52
      +1
      Author: Anatoly Shirokoborodov raves with wide-open eyes, they are already cutting heads, and he has some kind of interference from Muscovites, pah in his eyes, half-open ...
  2. Miffer Offline Miffer
    Miffer (Sam Miffers) 7 January 2022 08: 12
    -8
    There is still little information about the events in Kazakhstan; the one that is is very contradictory.
    Therefore, it is too early to draw conclusions. Yes, and with this topic, there is an obvious overkill.
    Let's better talk about Ukraine, about the Taliban, about the beloved corona virus. Kazakhs will figure it out without us.
  3. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 7 January 2022 08: 24
    +6
    The entry of Russian troops into Kazakhstan looks hasty

    Sending CSTO peacekeepers to help Tokayev will be perceived by the electrified Kazakh public as a Russian occupation. In an effort to maintain stability and order on Russia's borders, this decision looks hasty, it can only aggravate the situation. A riot can always be suppressed by force, but the consequences of this will be delayed. Interference in the internal affairs of Kazakhstan, in which for 30 years they fostered a national enmity towards Russians, can only alienate the Kazakh people from Russia.

    Apparently you wanted to call it erroneous, but smoothed the corners. Because if it's all about premature ..
    So you had to wait a bit? The CSTO cannot send troops because propaganda has been conducted for 30 years and will they not understand? And how long to wait? Pro-Russian propaganda will not work for another 30 years? But Western NGOs still work there and no one is going to close them, so Russian access is closed. It turns out that Kazakhstan is closed for us forever, because "people will not understand." We cannot send troops to the union state at the request of the legitimate government because NGOs work there, because of Soros it will look ugly.
    Let's say the troops did not enter. Kazakhstan was denied assistance from its allies. The situation has been left to chance, influencing the situation and shaping public opinion there will be all the same Western NGOs (possibly still Turkey), because they will be understood correctly and no one will be offended.
    We will get a scenario similar to the Ukrainian one. How will it be perceived by the Kazakh public? And the "correct" assessment of Russia's actions will be prompted by the same NGOs. They will bring in troops, they will not bring in troops, any decision of the authorities will be criticized. Either for arrogance or indecision.
    And as far as I understand, the Kazakhs themselves will "suppress the revolt", no Cossacks are expected to chop the demonstrators with their sabers.

    Now the situation looks like an uncontrolled riot of the population (like the movement of "yellow vests", but on a Kazakh scale), caused by fair demands to his government, which Tokayev is trying to extinguish with the hands of Russia

    In my opinion, the situation looks like a struggle between clans and the squeezing of the "old guard" from the levers of government. The crowd of shepherds descending from the mountains, diluted by activists and radical Islamists trained by NGOs, is rather an entourage with a local flavor.
    I hope Elbasy, who has picked up the rolling pennant of a multi-vector approach from the hands of Yanukovych, will not settle in a dacha somewhere near Orenburg.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 January 2022 08: 44
      +1
      This is the case when I'm ready to fully subscribe to your comment. hi
    2. Shirokoborodov Offline Shirokoborodov
      Shirokoborodov (Anatoly) 7 January 2022 20: 45
      -1
      It was necessary to understand the essence of the events taking place, and not take the word of Tokayev, who was not noticed in sympathy for Russia. Lukashenka himself coped with his much more difficult situation. Russians often do not understand that no one appreciates our good intentions, so they can lead to sad consequences. How long will the government stay, which has held out at the expense of Russian bayonets? And the funny thing is that Tokayev will now begin to expel the peacekeepers, and later, perhaps, will even accuse us of the riots. Say, the Russians have created chaos to bend me.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 7 January 2022 22: 07
        +3
        It was necessary to understand the essence of the events taking place, and not take the word of Tokayev, who was not noticed in sympathy for Russia.

        Do you think they were guided simply by the words of Tokayev? Vacation scouting? It's not serious about sympathy. By definition, the president of any country plays his game, guided by his own interests.

        Lukashenka himself coped with his much more difficult situation.

        Firstly, I'm not sure if the situation in Belarus was more complicated. Everything has just begun, and the battles are already underway, the heads of the security forces are being cut off, the battles are underway. Surely at the top of the information they own reliable and decisions are made not guided by videos in Tik-Tok.
        Secondly, there was information about the arrival of a "mysterious board" with Russian specialists in Belarus. The fact that the army was not sent to Belarus is not an indicator, as far as I remember, help was promised to him, was not useful. It seems that they threatened to send Rosguard.
        Obviously, the measures are being taken proportionate to the threat, and it seems that everything is more complicated in Kazakhstan. There are not just demonstrators, at the same time the old leadership is being cleaned up, practically a civil war, there is no confidence in the loyalty of a part of the leadership of the power structures. Plus the presence of Islamists.

        Russians often do not understand that no one appreciates our good intentions, so they can lead to sad consequences.

        Are you waiting for the expression of gratitude? In any form? Public speaking with endless gratitude? Or the transfer of northern Kazakhstan to Russia?

        How long will the government stay, which has held out at the expense of Russian bayonets?

        In any case, longer than without them. Do you think it was necessary to let it go?

        And the funny thing is that Tokayev will now begin to expel the peacekeepers, and later, perhaps, will even accuse us of the riots. Say, the Russians have created chaos to bend me.

        Do you want to leave them there forever? We’ll wait and see what he will say afterwards.
  4. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 09: 23
    +2
    I agree with the author. What I wrote about yesterday. But there are also nuances.
    1. Not only Russian troops have been brought in. This is a joint CSTO operation.
    2. The fire in Kazakhstan must be extinguished. And the sooner the better.
    3. The consequences will be negative in any case. This will be presented as suppression of the so-loving Kazakh people.
    Conclusion - the introduction of CSTO troops is a forced measure on the principle of "lesser evil".
    The bulk of young people aged 20-30 are brought up on the ideas of nationalism. And for them Russia is not at all a fraternal country. If Russia is an enemy for some of the youth in Orthodox Ukraine, then in Muslim Kazakhstan there will be an overwhelming majority.
  5. ALEXANDER VILYANY (ALEXANDER VILYANY) 7 January 2022 09: 47
    0
    THIS IS A TURKISH PROJECT
    riots in Kazakhstan are actively supported by local crime bosses.
    In particular, by Arman Dzhumageldiev, nicknamed "Wild Arman". He personally lit up at the protests.
    it was patronized by the Turkish special services, which were interested in promoting pan-Turkist sentiments in Kazakhstan, including through the hands of local "shadow" authorities.
    Wild Armand is active in public. For example, at the beginning of the pandemic, Arman bought large quantities of essential medicines, which he then distributed free of charge.
    He also actively supported the recent war in Nagorno-Karabakh, taking the side of Azerbaijan. Back in 2015, he began sponsoring several Kazakh nationalist organizations.
    Now, according to the version discussed in social networks, Arman Dzhumageldiev is taking an active part in protest actions. Including supplying them with "infantry" - those who, in fact, arrange battles with the security forces. And also, according to rumors, he is trying to organize something like "volunteer battalions."
  6. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 7 January 2022 09: 48
    +7
    The author suggests that the situation in Kazakhstan should get out of control and fall into a steep dive. Heads are already being cut there.
    This is for the beginning.
    Secondly. Tokayev, as a legitimate authority, asked for help from the CSTO, and Russia is bringing in troops together with the troops of Belarus, Kyrgyzstan and Armenia.
    Thirdly. The actions of the CSTO countries will be dissatisfied with the rebels, Western politicians, liberal strata both in Russia and abroad. It is our enemies who are unhappy with the actions of Russia, and this is correct from all sides. If they are so unhappy, then we are on the right path.
    In Kazakhstan, there are a very significant number of people who support the actions of Russia within the framework of the CSTO. It is much more dangerous to lose their trust and support than some kind of discontent of our enemies. Let the enemies scatter in the feces in discontent and plunge into them headlong.
    Russia provided assistance to Kazakhstan on time. This assistance will assist in the complete defeat of the frostbitten rebels.
    .
  7. NikolayN Offline NikolayN
    NikolayN (Nikolai) 7 January 2022 09: 56
    +2
    The rise in gas prices is a transition to the market, exactly what the West demands from Ukraine, isn't it?
    As for the hasty: Ukraine was not a member of the CSTO, the troops were not brought in, as a result of 15 thousand dead, in the country of CHAOS, they declared war on us. So think hasty, or we help Kazakhstan escape from Ukrainization.
  8. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 09: 59
    -4
    Does anyone have an opinion from Kazakhstan itself?
    The introduction of the CSTO contingent is a humiliation for us - INTERVIEW FROM KAZAKHSTAN
    https://media.az/politics/1067843271/azamathan-amirtay-vvod-kontingenta-odkb-eto-unizhenie-dlya-nas-intervyu-iz-kazahstana/

    Therefore, I will repeat myself, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev must undertake tough political reforms and, above all, dissolve parliament. There is no other way.

    Therefore, I will repeat myself. It is necessary to put things in order in Kazakhstan. And we must quickly withdraw the troops after putting things in order. Already on this resource, information appeared that Russia will have a permanent base in Kazakhstan. I understand the desire to preserve Baikonur. But in real life the situation will look like this: Russia supports the oligarchs who rob the freedom-loving Kazakh people. And the leadership of Kazakhstan will have preferences from the resources of the state, and will redirect all the costs and discontent of the people to Russia.
    In real life, there is no optimal solution. All decisions are bad. Tokayev hid behind the CSTO and began to violently disperse the protesters. He is not going to leave or change policy. But I am more than sure that he will not extinguish nationalism either. So the squeezing out of Russians from Kazakhstan will only intensify. For 30 years, the number of Russians in Kazakhstan has halved. From 6 million to 3 million. Now the process will go faster.
    1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
      Dart2027 7 January 2022 12: 48
      -1
      Quote: Bakht
      https://media.az/politics/1067843271/azamathan-amirtay-vvod-kontingenta-odkb-eto-unizhenie-dlya-nas-intervyu-iz-kazahstana/

      Azamatkhan Amirtai, Chairman of the Kazakhstan Environmental Party "Baytak"
      Who is this anyway?
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 13: 56
        -2
        Actually, this is one of the representatives of the state, which is being discussed here. Or are you not interested in the opinion of a Kazakh (party chairman or a simple hard worker)?
        1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
          Dart2027 7 January 2022 21: 14
          0
          Quote: Bakht
          Or are you not interested in the opinion of a Kazakh (party chairman or a simple hard worker)?

          And who maintains this simple Kazakh?
          1. Bakht Offline Bakht
            Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 21: 32
            -1
            Was not interested. The party did not make it to Parliament. It is not registered. Apparently, the authorities don't like it very much.
            https://www.facebook.com/amirtayazamatkhan/posts/788558622012852
            At the same time, take an interest in the political initiatives of Mr. Tokayev. The same president of Kazakhstan. He is the main conductor of the ousting of the Russian language from Kazakhstan.
            1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
              Dart2027 7 January 2022 22: 04
              +1
              Quote: Bakht
              Not interested.

              But I wonder who finances it, otherwise all these environmental parties often turn out to be "very independent".
              1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 22: 21
                -1
                Well, it's hard to follow. Someone is probably funding. Suppose he feeds from some NPO. Perhaps Greta Thunberg personally gives him money. I've read a little about this game and looked at the comments on their YouTube page. Different opinions. But the eco-organization itself was created on the initiative of Olzhas Suleimanov.

                Consideration should be given to the entry of troops and their withdrawal. It seems that this topic has been declared. The introduction of troops was justified. The situation there is not very rosy. But I considered the consequences. If the troops help to restore order and leave quickly, then this is the least evil. If they stay for a long time, then there will certainly be problems.
                There are a lot of nuances here. Whose interests are the CSTO troops defending? The simplest answer is ordinary citizens of Kazakhstan. The answer is more complicated - Tokayev's power. And he is a well-known Russophobe with a MGIMO diploma. It was he who carried out the laws on language. And he insisted on canceling the status of the state language for the Russian language. Therefore, in one of the first posts I asked "why did he suddenly switch to Russian"?
                The second caveat about interested parties is in the economy. 30% of Kazakh oil belongs to Chevron, Exxon and Shell. 17% to Chinese companies. There are exactly 3% of Russian interests there. If you noticed, then the protests began in the West of Kazakhstan, and they are cleaning up the south. North and West do not touch. The main interests of oil companies are in the West of the country.

                They often write about reintegration, northern Kazakhstan and Russia's influence on the formation of a new Kazakh elite. At one time Russia (Putin personally) saved Erdogan from a military coup. Did this greatly advance the friendship between Turkey and Russia? Now Russia is saving Tokayev (Nazarbayev was promised immunity). What will be the result? I suspect that Kazakhstan's policy will remain the same. I don’t presume to predict. I'm just guessing.
                1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                  Dart2027 7 January 2022 23: 00
                  -1
                  Quote: Bakht
                  If the troops help to restore order and leave quickly, then this is the least evil. If they stay for a long time, then there will certainly be problems.

                  Just if they leave quickly, there will be problems. Experience shows that the most reliable friends are those on whose territory there are military bases.

                  Quote: Bakht
                  If you noticed, then the protests began in the West of Kazakhstan, and they are cleaning up the south. North and West do not touch. The main interests of oil companies are in the West of the country.

                  Which clearly speaks of who started it all. The question is what will happen next and who will get them in the end.
                  1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 January 2022 23: 14
                    +1
                    This is just unprofitable for oil companies. Therefore, the Western countries are silent.

                    The positive thing about the deployment of troops is that Russia did not send troops on its own. Everything was done within the framework of the CSTO. Right or wrong, this is then the lawyers will understand. But the Western media cannot now hang all the dogs on Russia.

                    The second point is that Tokayev was still quite decisive. Either the chair burned too badly, or whether he himself is like that - I can't judge. But only Kazakh internal troops should restore order. Peacekeepers only guard strategic points.

                    Bases on foreign territory are good if those foreign territories are well-disposed. If Tokayev can change himself and his entourage and take a pro-Russian position, then all this mess for Russia will turn out to be good.

                    So far, there is little information. And everything is not done in one day. In my opinion, Tokayev must preserve the presidential form of government, place his people in key posts, and clean up the political field. And, of course, get involved in the economy. And that means curbing the oligarchs' appetites. Not an easy task.
                    1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                      Dart2027 8 January 2022 06: 30
                      0
                      Quote: Bakht
                      Therefore, the Western countries are silent.

                      We have already made the traditional, in such cases, appeals.

                      Quote: Bakht
                      If Tokayev can change himself and his entourage and take a pro-Russian position, then all this mess for Russia will turn out to be good.

                      For this, it is necessary to strengthen its presence, including the military one.

                      Quote: Bakht
                      In my opinion, Tokayev must preserve the presidential form of government, place his people in key posts, and clean up the political field. And, of course, get involved in the economy. And that means curbing the oligarchs' appetites.

                      Well, Putin has a lot of experience here, he can help.
  9. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 7 January 2022 10: 20
    0
    Sending CSTO peacekeepers to help Tokayev will be perceived by the electrified Kazakh public as a Russian occupation

    You should always ask the question: "Next what?" Well Tokayev remained in power iiiii .....? Will Russophobia, the prohibition of the Russian language continue? Since Russia has introduced troops, it is necessary to demand security guarantees for Russian-speaking citizens, not only to end Russophobia, but also to punish those who conduct it. Moreover, it is tough, so that others will not be familiar. In business, preference should be given first to Russian companies, and everything else on a leftover basis. In politics, "strength" always comes first, and then "carrot". The United States and the West understand this, which is why they dominate. China began to act in the same way. But everything does not reach Putin. Maybe because our government, family and business have long been "entrenched" in NATO countries?
  10. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 January 2022 10: 31
    0
    And now, from every iron they shout about the "Maidan" and the State Department's sabotage groups.

    However, neither the overbought officials, nor the opposition, nor the seizure of "TV, bridges, stations and telegraph" can be heard (there is truth, the allegedly seized airport)

    But there are many ordinary pogroms, plundering of shops from the poor.

    Total: to dump everything to the west and leave the authorities and clans, who decided to weld on prices, at the helm ...
  11. Pandiurin Offline Pandiurin
    Pandiurin (Pandiurin) 7 January 2022 10: 32
    +3
    Probably the residents of Alma-Ata have the main problem at the moment is how to go to the store and buy food, so that it would not threaten their lives.
    With this trend, if the riots continue, electricity, water, and heat will soon disappear.
    For residents, the question of just survival arises.

    Accordingly, if a person is more or less adequate, then the only desire is to clean up the bandits as quickly as possible, law enforcers appear on the street, the police who will monitor the observance of the rule of law and immediately stop riots, vandalism, robberies, etc.

    The street must pass from the hands of the outrageous "revolutionaries" to the full control of the security forces.

    Tough measures will be welcomed when the threat disappears, of course, they will surely come out with the fact that the armed "protesters" had to be convinced with words and negotiations and a claim to the authorities that they did not ensure law and order. But it will be later, now full approval for the most stringent measures.
  12. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 7 January 2022 10: 37
    +1
    "Looks" and "really is" are two big differences. Everything was done correctly and on time. We are learning from past mistakes. This makes me happy.
    Our military base, which the Kazakhs are talking about, is also a topic.
    You need to seize the initiative and turn minuses into pluses
  13. viktortarianik Offline viktortarianik
    viktortarianik (Victor) 7 January 2022 10: 37
    +3
    In general, the rise in gas prices is a reason, but not a reason. And most importantly, does Russia need a second "Ukraine"?
  14. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 January 2022 11: 52
    +1
    Quote: Bakht
    The introduction of the CSTO contingent is a humiliation for us - INTERVIEW FROM KAZAKHSTAN
    https://media.az/politics/1067843271/azamathan-amirtay-vvod-kontingenta-odkb-eto-unizhenie-dlya-nas-intervyu-iz-kazahstana/

    Kazakhstani ecologist? I wonder where his activities are funded from?

    Well, let's say they (the CSTO contingent) come and stay for a while, but this is a big mistake. The protesting people do not have leaders who could politically resolve the situation, and it was government policy that led to this. And how, then, to stop people, to get through to them? Therefore, I will repeat myself, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev must undertake tough political reforms and, above all, dissolve parliament. There is no other way.

    I wonder how the gas price and early parliamentary elections are related smile Someone is striving for power on the topic of Russophobia and occupation?
  15. Mikhail L. Offline Mikhail L.
    Mikhail L. 7 January 2022 14: 13
    0
    ... It turns out that the introduction of Russian troops looks hasty!
    ... And when would it be timely, would it not be perceived by the Kazakhs as an occupation?
    ... Maybe this is the very case when, according to Peter I: "The omission of the time of death is irrevocable, too!" ("Procrastination is like death")?
  16. zloybond Offline zloybond
    zloybond (steppenwolf) 7 January 2022 17: 14
    -1
    The fact that an organized, paid coup (revolution) had been preparing for a long time was clear from the beginning. For the first time we heard about nationalist patrols, attacks against Russians. Then the jump in prices was orchestrated so that there was something to rely on and justify. Moreover, it spurred on the population. So the guys who raised the prices are not an easy link in the network who prepared this coup.
  17. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
    gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 January 2022 19: 04
    -4
    Good balanced article.
    They rushed in with the introduction of a limited Russian contingent. Tokayev presented the inter-clan zhuz massacre as an international terrorist invasion. His puppeteers and Pashinyan deftly dragged the Russian Ministry of Defense into these criminal squabbles.
    If several thousand trained armed militants were operating in Alma-Ata, the Academy of Border Troops would be cleared of permanent and variable personnel in three or four hours.
    And this was how not very heavily armed criminals, poorly organized, operated. They, like a fresh wind, blew away the smoke of eyewash and misconceptions about the combat readiness of the local Armed Forces, the National Guard, the KNB. The last structure, since about 2005, has been involved in controlling drug trafficking to Russia, and turning out the pockets of businessmen of non-titular nations. . In the Armed Forces of the Republic of Kazakhstan, positions and titles were bought for money. Hello to tank biathlon.
    The introduction of troops was a gift to the State Department for the Geneva meeting. Russia was set up as a regional gendarme.
    1. Shirokoborodov Offline Shirokoborodov
      Shirokoborodov (Anatoly) 7 January 2022 20: 40
      0
      I think so too.
      1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
        gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 January 2022 21: 24
        -4
        An example from the recent past: In 1978, during the uprising in Aleppo by the Muslim brothers, the local artillery school was massacred by militants in a couple of hours. In the early 90s and 2000s, in Chechnya, in Dagestan, units of the Armed Forces, Special Forces, and Internal Troops were disarmed and destroyed in about the same period of time, while here the cadets held the defense with a trench tool for a day. Joke.
        On the resources of the kolonelkassad, bmpd, for a number of years he wrote that the Armed Forces of Kazakhstan is a crowd of identically dressed people. In the event of a peck of fried Peter, half of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Kazakhstan will scatter across the auls and across the steppe. And the other half will start doing what they love. ... Regardless of nationality and genus. Kazbat, during a trip to Tajikistan in 1993, actively collaborated with Afghan commanders in the trade in ammunition, in the sale of heroin. Russian commanders petitioned for the transfer of Kazbat to a primitive state. In these cases, the military of Slavic origin from Kazbat took part.
        The law enforcement agencies of the Republic of Kazakhstan are mired in control over the trade in Afghan heroin, the maritime units of the border service of the Republic of Kazakhstan are real drug couriers, like aviators of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The command of the Border Troops of the Republic of Kazakhstan died several years ago due to a showdown on the division of drug trafficking income.
        Police, Arystan, military police, selling skins.
        1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
          Dart2027 7 January 2022 22: 10
          -1
          Quote: gunnerminer
          In 1978, during the uprising in Aleppo by the Muslim brothers, the local artillery school was massacred by militants in a couple of hours. In the early 90s and 2000s, in Chechnya, in Dagestan, units of the Armed Forces, Special Forces, and Internal Troops were disarmed and destroyed in about the same period of time.

          instead of surrendering, they entered the battle and did not manage to cut them like rams in the slaughterhouse.
          1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
            gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 January 2022 22: 32
            -3
            The cadets were saved by the fact that the attackers did not know each other and were unarmed. The head of the academy and his deputies, were afraid to distribute the rifleman to a variable staff. The KNB office was taken without firing at all. Such is the "force."
            1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
              Dart2027 7 January 2022 22: 55
              -1
              Quote: gunnerminer
              The cadets were saved by the fact that the attackers

              did not expect resistance, and then the police pulled up.

              Quote: gunnerminer
              The Russian group will have to be built up several times.

              Yes, yes, yes ... Katz offers to surrender.
              1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 January 2022 00: 29
                -3
                Katz suggests thinking before poking his elite, the military, into the criminal dump. It will take more than one year to pull it out. And the economy is resource-based, rent-based, just as corrupt as in Kazakhstan.
                1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                  Dart2027 8 January 2022 06: 28
                  -2
                  Quote: gunnerminer
                  Katz suggests thinking before poking his elite, the military, into the criminal dump.

                  In the meantime, Katz will think everything will end there and he will say that "Putin has leaked everything."
                  1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                    gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 January 2022 10: 18
                    -4
                    The play is just beginning. And the script was not written in Russia. The director is also not a Russian.
                    1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                      Dart2027 8 January 2022 10: 23
                      -1
                      Quote: gunnerminer
                      The play is just beginning.

                      It's up to us to finish it.

                      Quote: gunnerminer
                      And the script was written not on the territory of Russia; the director is also not a Russian.

                      So what's new?
                      1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                        gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 January 2022 10: 35
                        -5
                        Your business is to mobilize the Cossacks, security guards, parking attendants, watchmen and watchmen, guest workers as quickly as possible to control the Russians, especially in Zamkadia. To be content with macaros from a cheap wholesale. According to Rosstat, 42% of the population works to pay for housing and communal services and the minimum need for food. On Channel One, every now and then they show trying to get a job with housing in the Leningrad region, in the vicinity of the capital of the former residents of Eastern Siberia and Primorye.
                        And what is new in it is that the Foreign Ministry and the Russian Defense Ministry are increasingly lagging behind events.
                      2. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                        Dart2027 8 January 2022 13: 33
                        0
                        Quote: gunnerminer
                        Your business is to mobilize the Cossacks, security guards, parking attendants, watchmen and watchmen, guest workers as quickly as possible to control the Russians.

                        Where is the Chechen OMON?

                        Quote: gunnerminer
                        What's new in it is that the Foreign Ministry and the Russian Ministry of Defense

                        They hit your colleagues in the neck, so the howl started all over the world.
                      3. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                        gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 January 2022 15: 53
                        -4
                        The Chechen OMON is looking into the forest. He is like a Mansur bear, you can't turn your back on him.

                        They said that they gave it in the neck. They would have given it if they had transferred the militants and agents before. Behind the scenes, quietly, promptly. How Babai Felix Dzerzhinsky taught. And not when Serdyukov went to Alma-Ata in a BMDeshka. Again they went on a Ukrainian rake. ...
                      4. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
                        Dart2027 8 January 2022 20: 18
                        -1
                        Quote: gunnerminer
                        The Chechen OMON is looking into the forest.

                        That is, it will not be? Sadly, I remember how Kasparov frightened them even when Putin was running for the second presidency.

                        Quote: gunnerminer
                        They said they had been given it in the neck. They would have given it if they had transferred the militants and agents before. Behind the scenes, quietly, promptly.

                        On the territory of another state? So why did the USSR not surrender the German socialists, led by Hitler, before they flooded the USSR in 1941?
  • As I understand it, Russia should roll off the Russian north from the K-Stan, from other things, separate the reinforced concrete with a wall of 10 meters and make it a handle!
    1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
      gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 January 2022 10: 36
      -6
      And then what to do with this Kazakh North? We have not been able to arrange our Russian North for 90 years.