"Maidan" in Kazakhstan - a response to Russia's demands for security guarantees?

Most analysts (at least for now) tend to view the tragic events in Kazakhstan, which have spoiled the blissful picture of the New Year holidays, exclusively in the context of local local problems. As a maximum - adding to the "palette" some aspects regarding Russia's interference (or non-interference) in what is happening, as well as the possible consequences for our country from the next "color revolution" at its borders. However, some especially stubbornly ... "patriotic" media in Ukraine are already trumpeting that the Kazakh riots were "inspired by the Kremlin" to achieve certain, undoubtedly, sinister "geopolitical goals."

This, of course, is sheer nonsense. Shooting and barricades on the streets of Almaty can now please any of the domestic leaders in exactly the same way as a dead fly in a glass of festive champagne. For all the absurdity of such statements, they very clearly demonstrate the desire to hide the true beneficiaries of the riots in one of Central Asia, more or less friendly to Russia. Those who, of course, most likely, are their organizers. For some reason, no one takes the trouble to compare the “sudden” protests in Kazakhstan with other geopolitical “markers” lying literally on the surface. Namely - with the imminent start of negotiations between Russia and various representatives of the "collective West" on the issue of providing our country with security guarantees. The relationship in this case is strikingly obvious. What does it consist of? Let's try to figure it out.

Kazakh "Maidan" with a Ukrainian "seamy side"

It was no coincidence that I put the word “sudden” in quotation marks, referring to the beginning of the riots in Kazakhstan. Really, the "Maidans" (or their sharp aggravation, as it was in 2014 in the "nezalezhnoy") in the period between New Year and Christmas are beginning to turn into the same vile "tradition" as the attack on our country on June 22 ... The logic is clear - the maximum relaxation and disorganization of all government bodies (first of all - the "power"), the presence of free time and "elevated" mood at the festive tables - all this allows you to "stir up quickly" a mess, from which then it may well To "hatch" a very decent coup d'etat.

Let's leave aside the discussion of prices for liquefied gas and, to put it mildly, the not very thoughtful and successful actions of the country's authorities, who have planted themselves under their chairs not a festive joke, but a natural war charge of deadly force. The main thing here is not the gas, but that no one, God forbid, would think of the current Kazakh bloody bedlam as "spontaneous popular indignation." This is just a very well-prepared action ahead of time with quite clear support and participation of well-defined Western structures and special services. Proof?! Please, get it! Let's start with the fact that the “main oppositionist” of Kazakhstan (who is also on the international wanted list for embezzlement on an especially large scale and the organization of a “contract” murder) Mukhtar Ablyazov is engaged in the “coordination” of pogroms taking place in the country from the territory of ... Ukraine! It is enough to go to his Facebook page to make sure that the contact numbers posted there belong to the operators of the “nezalezhnoy”.

However, this is only the smallest part of the truth. The big thing is that Ablyazov's "revolutionary headquarters" has been functioning in Kiev for at least six months. It was then that the same telephone numbers appeared on the Internet, coupled with calls to "join the activities aimed at overthrowing the Nazarbayev regime." And ... yes, the Ukrainian location of this snake's nest was already indicated quite openly. As they say, what is more? The fact that the “non-profit”, since 2014, has become a springboard for organizing “color revolutions” with anti-Russian overtones throughout the “post-Soviet space” was fully demonstrated by the events in Belarus. Alexander Grigorievich, who did not want to quarrel with Kiev out of purely mercantile interests, was stubborn in this matter, and, well, he was forced to admit everything - and the training of militants for the "white maidan" with their subsequent transfer across the cordon, and supply of weapons, and "organizational and methodological assistance" of the Ukrainian side trying to overthrow him with rabble. And what certainly does not raise doubts is that every single Western structure involved in organizing and arranging such coups, both explicit and secret, operate on Ukrainian territory not only as at home, but much freer and bolder.

Well, these are the natives - why be ashamed of them ?! Numerous facts can be cited as indirect evidence that there is as much “spontaneity” in the Kazakh “protests” as in the Belarusian or Ukrainian ones. What exactly? Yes, at least something too professional (at the level of well-trained sabotage and terrorist groups) actions of "peaceful demonstrators" to neutralize representatives of the local special services and the military. Or - photographs of well-equipped thugs against the background of the blazing building of the state administration of Almaty. Doesn't it convince? Let us then pass from the particular to the general.

A blow to Nazarbayev? No - according to Putin ...

It's no secret that the main irritant among the peace proposals made by Moscow to the "collective West" is the categorical demand to get out of the "post-Soviet space", to which Russia for the first time clearly and clearly declared its rights as its own "zone of vital interests." Or - a security zone, if you like. Of course, we are talking, first of all, about the rejection of the "military development" of these territories, the inadmissibility of admitting such countries to NATO or the deployment by the member states of this bloc of their military contingents and bases on their territories. However, one does not need to be a grand master of geopolitics to understand that such concessions would mean, in fact, a complete “drop out” of the former Soviet republics from the Western sphere of influence. Any puppet mode set there for total economic exploitation of these territories will inevitably fall (sooner or later) without NATO bayonets.

An even more painful factor for our Western "friends" is the impossibility, in the absence of a military component, to use the "post-Soviet" states in their main capacity - staging areas for subversive actions and provocations against Russia. This is precisely what the Kremlin is trying to achieve today. This is precisely what the White House and the headquarters of the North Atlantic Alliance are categorically refusing to do. The flames of riots "accidentally" engulfed Kazakhstan just before the first rounds of negotiations on the relevant issues? Don't be ridiculous ... There are no such coincidences in the Universe. Russia is made clear, unambiguously and in the most rigid way: "We will not go anywhere." Simply put, the West is once again trying to "put in place" our country, showing that it can (and will) do whatever it wants "in its backyard".

Of course, other goals are pursued in this situation. Gentlemen from overseas simply adore "killing with one stone" not even two, but the maximum possible number of "birds with one stone." The bloody chaos in Kazakhstan is also a continuation of the story about the burning desire of the Pentagon to get military bases in Central Asia after its shameful flight from Afghanistan. As we all remember, this impulse did not find the slightest understanding among the local leaders - and not least because of the clearly defined position of Moscow (and, by the way, Beijing too). Should the "pro-Western" forces come to power in Kazakhstan, the United States and its allies will have every chance of revenge. And at the same time, the events there can be viewed as a very unequivocal warning to other Central Asian republics, to which a second proposal will most likely be made soon enough. It will be impossible to refuse ...

Let's not forget about 42% of the world uranium production, which falls on Kazakhstan. In the light of the "arms race" unfolding today, it will not be at all superfluous for the West to acquire such a potential resource (and cut off Russia tightly from it). And at the same time - to confuse logistic and economic plans and "layouts" for China, which is increasingly strengthening its positions in this region, and in full agreement (at least external) with Moscow. Nevertheless, these are all just "side" goals. The main thing is to "sober up" the domestic leadership, making it clear that the West is stronger in situations that cannot be resolved by "Vanguards" or "Zircons". And to do this before the upcoming negotiations, which are extremely difficult for our "sworn friends".

Nobody is going to attack "too much thinking about itself" Russia straightforwardly, "head-on". In the current, far from parity and not at all in favor of the West, conditions of the military-technical gap between the opposing sides, the madmen capable of unleashing the Third World War (especially without a single chance of victory in it) in the camp of our opponents, of course, are not available. But there are enough professionals of secret, "hybrid" wars, dastardly special operations and the device of "color revolutions". It was their forces that now launched the offensive. So far, alas, quite successful. Everything that is happening now in Kazakhstan can result in a whole series of extremely unpleasant consequences for our country - up to the need for direct military intervention in order to protect the Russian people there, which was recently discussed at a completely official level. The rest of the "gifts", both economic and geopolitical, are out of the question.

As for the upcoming negotiations, where the Kazakh events will undoubtedly be used as a bargaining chip by our opponents, then Moscow can and must show firmness. But for the future, she has only two options: either finally and irrevocably admit her own defeat, once and for all refuse to talk about any "security belt" and "sphere of vital interests", or finally begin to take active actions aimed to ensure that no "Maidans" in neighboring countries were possible a priori. Which ones? This is a topic for a completely different conversation.
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  1. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 6 January 2022 07: 16
    A training ground for everything that has already happened and will happen in our country in 2024 is Ukraine. It is the main platform of problems with which Russia needs to start. I am sure that Putin has already told Bidon and the West in general that he will end this once and for all, from here and howl that Russia is preparing to attack Ukraine, and this is not casual, and the fact that they have knocked out a contract for pumping gas through the Square. meat (for consumption) A good scheme at the expense of the Russians to feed those who go to kill the Russians. The West, although weak, is strong in these matters. For many centuries it has muddied various things and intrigues after which many states have sorted out problems for tens of years, including us Yes, more than once. Putin knows all this and is sure that he counted many moves and is sure that before the negotiations the West will do something, since he needs trump cards in negotiations, and they also need to indicate who is the boss in the world, and not only one Way Well, to everyone who even a little bit doubted the power of the West. It remains to see what Putin has in his deck, and if he went for broke, then there should be trump cards and jokers in all sleeves. He read and read a lot and knows history, plus a security officer from powerful structures, therefore I wish him good luck, strength and strong nerves!
  2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 6 January 2022 08: 45
    We are dealing with an inadequate state - a nuclear superpower, which has set itself the goal of destroying us and subjugating the world. A case of the "rabies" disease of an entire country and nation. It has already happened with Germany.
    Any agreements with them are useless. Handcuffs, deprivation of arms, sedative injections in horse doses are helpful. Making the world around them extremely dangerous with our military-technical threats can also help.
    However, if conservative means do not help, we will have to destroy them, even at the cost of our own death.
    A world without us - we don't need it. Even if he shortsightedly hopes for our altruism
  3. Teacher Offline Teacher
    Teacher (Wise) 6 January 2022 09: 01

    Putin knows all this and is sure that he counted many moves

    Again, praises to a person who has lost everything in Russia's foreign policy. No friends, no anthem, no flag. They hear it live. Russians (Russian-speaking) are bent down everywhere. And they have already come to terms with the role of the disadvantaged. The military in Transnistria do not even try to visit their homeland, Russia. They sit like mice under a broom. They know that upon their return, they will be thrown out by the Moldovan border guards and policemen back to the Russian Federation.
    This is actually the case.
    1. Dimy4 Offline Dimy4
      Dimy4 (Dmitriy) 6 January 2022 09: 40
      Putin knows all this and is sure that he counted many moves

      An inflated bubble. About ... fucking everything where you can and what you can.
    2. tulip Offline tulip
      tulip 6 January 2022 09: 58
      funny))) and who has friends, Ukraine?))) Or maybe the United States? The USA has no friends - the USA has vassals and servants! Russia has a national anthem and a flag - if you don’t like it, these are your problems) Are they directly reviled? Or maybe they are stupidly afraid and from this your diarrhea about Russia?) Are Russians bending down everywhere? And it was not recently that your American owners, dropping their sneakers, ran away from Afgan? Or is your yellow blaktina rag hovering over Sevastopol and you have bent the Russians already?)))
      There are problems in Russia and no one argues with this. In general, everyone in the world has problems) But now I live much better than in 90, when the Russians were really bent over and my refrigerator was empty - I don’t need to post your mriyas as I bend under Putin’s dictatorship and eat up the last hedgehog
    3. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 6 January 2022 14: 11
      I will say something in defense of Putin. For objectivity.
      You know that under Yeltsin, the country for 10 (!) Years was completely open to the States and their CIA with all its power and power (probably) structures.
      You can imagine, of course, WHAT could have been done during this time on their part with hard work and a professional approach to business. The most powerful network of agents and a multi-level system of agents of influence, limited only by the allocated financial resources. And a lot was (probably is) on self-sufficiency.
      The States are using all of this now, with the exception of what Putin managed to "clean up".
      So, with all my claims to Putin, now I am aware that he is leading a very difficult game.
      I think that it was very difficult for him to carry out even what he managed to do.
    4. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
      Dart2027 6 January 2022 14: 15
      Quote: Teacher
      Again, praises to a man who has lost everything in Russia's foreign policy.

      So much so that our partners from him crumble like devils from incense.
  4. tulip Offline tulip
    tulip 6 January 2022 10: 03
    On the contrary, right now Russia has the right to interfere in the affairs of countries that border on it if it feels a threat to its security. This is exactly what Putin warned the US, EU and NATO about. Therefore, for Russia, the Kazakh Maidan is very useful - so let's see how Russia will react and what is the price of all the Kremlin's pre-New Year statements addressed to our Western "partners"))
  5. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) 6 January 2022 10: 15
    Yes, fir trees, mattress covers raised gas prices to Kazakhs at the most opportune moment ...
  6. Mikhail L. Offline Mikhail L.
    Mikhail L. 6 January 2022 10: 27
    No émigré opposition structure is capable of organizing mass protests throughout the country - provoking a social explosion!
  7. Patrick Krolikoff (Patrick Krolikoff) 6 January 2022 10: 57
    in Kazakhstan, the color revolution is clear. There is no sense only in it (as in all color revolutions). They will replace one bourgeois with another and continue to live badly on, in the hope of a better future. Only under the banner of the communists, it makes sense to make a revolution! It is a pity that today a minority can understand this. The capitalists ALREADY made us animals. Sad but true.
  8. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 6 January 2022 11: 38
    As always.
    Prices are doubled by local "lifelong" ones, but the State Department is to blame, as always ...

    The idea to live better, "in fairness" (VV Putin), so that there would not be any "revolutions", is no longer being raised by anyone. They are looking for a switchman ...
    1. akarfoxhound Offline akarfoxhound
      akarfoxhound 6 January 2022 12: 09
      And on the trail. day reduced prices back, and ??? State Department? What is such a peacock-mawlin and others?
      The coordinated actions of well-trained sabotage groups, their material and technical support at the same time at different geo-points of the Republic of Kazakhstan fell from the sky spontaneously and all of a sudden? Yes of course! After all, this is usually the case!
      And how did no one guess about the "spontaneous indignation of the masses"? what
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 6 January 2022 21: 09
        I have not seen in the articles reports of price reductions. Although this is logical. If we made a joint, we fixed it.
        Divergroup ??? on the news, people break windows and on video they stagger through the streets. This is what amerovskie saboteurs look like?

        About explosions and seizures of bridges, telephone exchanges, railway stations - classics - I have not seen anything news.
        And to come up with someone like "Georgian snipers" is a matter of seconds. The police fled - the stump is clear, they will make excuses that thousands of Russians, armed to the teeth ..., ugh, State Department saboteurs attacked the site ...
        And that clans of oligarchs with private armies are probably settling scores with each other - so it is better to remain silent, east, it's a delicate matter ...
        1. akarfoxhound Offline akarfoxhound
          akarfoxhound 7 January 2022 00: 22
          Do you need to oppose MARINES with the same, for example, Alma-Ata cadets who are fighting, or barmaley trained by NATO instructors - does it count and Zhenya Psaki should personally lead them? laughing
          Those. 18 dead security officials and under 300 wounded - are these normal losses, similar to the regular suppression of the booze of football fans?

          For Georgian snipers, there is also an interesting option - those who won maydanut suddenly sawed trees with bullet holes (this was due to irresponsibility, it was just that Greta Thunberg was not on them then!), And the Georgians with the testimony were incorrect, without the Georgian flag they dodged across the Maidan, and the rifles in the video were exclusively airsoft, of course everyone is lying! There were none!
          And the comrades of the State Department, of course, drunkenly blurted out that they spent 5 lard with greens for this festival, they lowered everything on Christmas cookies to the starving jumpers, they saw it all the same!
          In general, the protest of the masses, both there and there, under the New Year's fireworks, which inadequate Kazakh security officials mistook for shooting and, again, poorly trained themselves shot themselves! And individuals of the female sex by passing sex shops on the general wave of pogrom unsealed themselves and got rid of themselves on the street, and rape is the propaganda of the snickering power!
          I now, I hope, understood correctly? wink
          1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
            Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 January 2022 09: 59
            The further into the forest, the thicker the Georgian snipers.

            Until recently, the State Department blurted out that it had spent a few million ... Bach, and in the media they grew to 5 lard ... (and how the price of anti-Putin propaganda is growing in the media, you will get jealous ...)

            When the clans of the east and the mafia settle scores and share power - this is not the Republic of Belarus, where, according to the "commands of the State Department," the awful maydanuts the day before yesterday gave 81% for the dad, and yesterday they stood on benches in white socks in protest.
            1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
              Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 January 2022 10: 02
              18 security officials all over the country .... and how many people die in road accidents per day, compare?

              And it was the sabotage groups of the State Department who had the task of "unsealing sex shops on the general wave of the pogrom"? and women "on the street to get rid of"?

              Or did the local "arrivals" and the gopniks climb out? (here every 2nd speaks almost non-Russian. And sometimes it pops up ...)
  9. Tedi Offline Tedi
    Tedi (Tedi) 6 January 2022 11: 49
    This is the revenge of the United States for the refusal to place American bases in Kazakhstan. And the fact that there were no acquaintances among the 200 metezhniks was the Kazakhs from Afghanistan who were connected with the Yankees, they were transferred, they accumulated and weapons also came. And there is no need to talk about counter-revolution, any such situation is the incumbent of the current government, to sit "soft seat" on two chairs. And now it will not end, so the Americans found for "what" to keep Kazakhstan, and he himself gave it, putting his young offspring on the goods from Kazakhstan and to Kazakhstan, the money is spinning mad there, since they regulate the prices and leave the difference to themselves, and spent this money to which they had no relation. For this stupidity, the Americans will fuck them !!!
  10. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
    gunnerminer (gunner miner) 6 January 2022 12: 55
    The Ukrainian possibilities are not as effective and efficient as presented in the article, and even at such a remote theater.
  11. We'll grab the North of the K-Stan, and the rest - let it go to hell
    1. zenion Offline zenion
      zenion (zinovy) 6 January 2022 16: 47
      Suitable for the car. Remember the cartoon about the planet of robots, when a scoundrel poured sand into their grease. Then the thinking robot is kaput. Break the separator in the brain.
      1. fi, my friend, fi, and again fi! We, robots, have brains on the Intel processor that make arbite ist!
  12. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 6 January 2022 13: 55
    I also think that it was not in vain that Biden communicated with Zelensky the day before. Now we need to expect mischief from the Americans in Ukraine. Hope we're ready.
  13. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 6 January 2022 16: 45
    In Ukraine, there is a good old proverb - for whom God is, for that and people. It was interesting that the ruler said that he would be forced to make Ukraine peaceful. Someone wrote that Kazakhstan needs to think about it. As he looked into the water. Predictor. Russia wants war on all fronts. This may turn out to be unacceptable for many, especially for those whom Russia considers to be its friends. A big nightmare may begin and the atom will not help, except to hold it in your hands and blow it up. This is how it was done during the Great Patriotic War, who did not give up.
    1. what kind of war ?! So, a petty police action - only!
  14. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 6 January 2022 17: 28
    So Kazakhstan and Kazakhstanis were warned even before the new year, when they began to frighten Ukraine. If you are not the one, then we are the one. Then there was a warning to Kazakhstan that Russia dreams of becoming an empire and joining everyone who is not in NATO.