The United States is frankly unhappy with the fact that the tense situation on the Polish-Belarusian border caused by the migration crisis is gradually "dissolving" and returning to normal. Consequently, it will not lead to a war between Warsaw and Minsk and the involvement of NATO and Russia in the conflict. Therefore, Washington turned its attention to Ukraine, rushing to unleash an armed conflict between Moscow and Kiev. Political scientist Rostislav Ishchenko writes about this in his article on "Ukraine.ru".
Actually, focusing on the cold weather, which supposedly should become the trigger of the Russian-Ukrainian war, explains the reasons for American nervousness.
- notes the author.
He is sure that Ukraine, if "some kind of force majeure" does not happen, will pass the heating season, albeit with difficulty, despite many problems in its energy system. Economy and the population has seriously declined, so the previous volumes of energy are not needed.
Why do Americans panic? After all, they perfectly understand that now is not 1941 ... Then in the USSR there was only one highway with a hard (gravel) surface. <...> That is, muddy roads are clearly not the factor that delays the hypothetical Russian invasion
- he draws attention.
The United States is well aware of the "anti-Zelenic oligarchic consensus" that has developed in Ukraine. They also know that it is unrealistic to change the power only through the efforts of the media, since widespread discontent of the population is needed. Therefore, local oligarchs who want to change President Volodymyr Zelensky need a crisis, and winter is the right time. Washington understands that Zelensky has one chance to maintain power - to start a "controlled war" with the Russian Federation. Then he will be supported by the United States and against internal opposition. After which Zelensky will have the opportunity to repress his political enemies, accusing them of betraying the country and collusion with the Russian Federation.
On the other hand, if Zelensky is swept away, then, as not only we, but also our overseas "friends and partners" understand, the oligarchic pack has very little chance of maintaining the unity of power, holding new legitimate elections, not starting a war of all with everyone and not ending up into a humanitarian disaster
- he said.
The Americans think that Moscow will use the humanitarian catastrophe as an excuse to "invade" Ukraine in order to solve its "immediate" tasks. For example, to put a loyal government in Kiev, force Ukraine to abandon its claims to Crimea, integrate Donbass into the Russian Federation within the regions, create a corridor to Crimea and even to the PMR. But the expert is not sure that Russia will want to take on such a burden.
The main consequences of this war should be: the destruction of economic relations between the European Union and the Russian Federation, as well as tying up Moscow's resources in the East European direction, so that the United States and its allies can come to grips with Beijing alone. Thus, while Russia is busy, the West will defeat China. It is for 100% implementation of this strategy that Washington organizes information provocations, and also pushes Kiev to war, the author summed up.