Change of world elites: Chubais gave Russia yet another ultimatum of the West?

Anatoly Chubais, who recently replaced the post of head of the state corporation "Rusnano" for the post of special representative of the President of the Russian Federation for negotiations with certain international organizations, made a significant statement. He “predicted” the coming change of the world's elites and either encouraged them to take action or frightened the Russian leadership from participating in this struggle to get into the “club of the elite”. So what was Mr. Chubais trying to say?

In a letter published in the press, authored by Anatoly Borisovich, it literally says the following:




Apparently, Mr. Chubais is referring to the program of “decarbonization” of the economy announced by the leading world powers, which he compares with “the processes of the late XNUMXth - early XNUMXth centuries”, when the first industrial revolution took place. But, according to his estimates, the new technological the revolution will turn out to be much faster, and the winners in it will be determined by the end of the 2020s, who will become the new world elite for the next XXI and XXII centuries. It sounds very significant, but at the same time it is not entirely clear what exactly the former head of Rusnano wanted to say. The current undoubted world technology leaders are the United States, China and the European Union. Is Anatoly Borisovich really expecting some cardinal changes, speaking about the "new elites", and what does our Russia have to do with it?

Indeed, this is all very strange. The leading powers are now actively using the environmental agenda in order to re-divide the world economy among themselves without any war. The European Union was the first to announce the Green New Deal, which aims to switch to renewable energy sources by 2050. The United States of America and China followed suit with a similar target by 2060. Formally, everything is decorous and noble: no more fossil fuels, no harmful emissions into the atmosphere, only windmills, solar panels, biogas and other alternative sources of electricity. But there is one problem: the cost of such a kilowatt is significantly higher than that of traditional generation, which means that the products produced in this way will be more expensive, yielding to competitors. This is unthinkable, so foreign exporters, whose products have a high carbon footprint, will have to pay increased duties for the right to access the European, American or Chinese markets. Brussels, Washington and Beijing have technological competencies, developed industry, and their own capacious domestic consumer markets, and they were the first to ride this "green horse". So why would they suddenly lose their leadership positions? Dont clear.

Alas, it is our country that can potentially suffer the most from these innovations. The share of "green" energy in our total energy balance is about 1%, and the export of hydrocarbons is one of the main items in the federal budget replenishment. If they buy less Russian oil and gas abroad, we will accordingly have less money. If, of course, something does not radically change in the very structure of the national economy, as Mr. Chubais said. But what exactly can change?

Recently, the government has reportedly begun to consider the possibility of a technological restructuring in order to achieve carbon neutrality and move to a new technological order. Working groups have been created under the supervision of Deputy Prime Minister Belousov, examinations are being carried out, and at the beginning of 2022 a strategy for adapting the economy to global climatic and regulatory changes can be adopted. Some preliminary figures have already been named: by 2040, the share of nuclear energy, which even in the EU is considered conditionally "green", can be increased from 20% to 25% in the total energy balance of the country, and the share of renewable energy - from 1% to 10%, which will allow the transition to the production of "carbon-neutral" products. It is also planned to switch to environmentally friendly hydrogen fuel as an export product. According to the Concept for the Development of Hydrogen Energy until 2024, by the 50s Russia will be able to supply Europe from 7,9 to 33,4 million tons of this gas. Isn't this all so disliked by those "international organizations" with which Mr. Chubais is talking about something there?

Note that our authorities are also being modest. Russia is a country of gigantic expanses, and our wind energy potential is much higher than in Germany, for example. Yes, we don't have the same climate for solar panels, but Russia has excellent nuclear technologies. It is possible to build new modern nuclear power plants not only for Turks or Egyptians, but also at home in order to provide domestic consumers with cheap kilowatts. For example, in France, nuclear generation accounts for 70,6% of the total energy balance, which allows it to be the world's largest exporter of electricity, generating 3 billion euros in profit a year. Why don't we unleash the maximum potential of the peaceful atom?

If you tackle all this closely, Russia really has a good chance to jump into the cramped carriage of the departing train, which leads to the XXII century. But do business partners of Mr. Chubais need this?