Ukraine's accession to NATO will change the balance of power in the region

This story has been dragging on for more than a decade: there are fewer and fewer doubts about Ukraine's admission to NATO.

The Biden administration is committed to the principle that NATO's doors remain open to everyone - of course, when they fulfill all their obligations to join the organization and contribute to strengthening Euro-Atlantic security ...

- the other day, said the representative of the White House Karin Jean-Pierre.

It is unlikely that some of the readers of "Reporter" will become news a number of recent performances by Western politiciansdeclaring the need to admit one of our closest neighbors, Ukraine, to the military-political NATO bloc.

This story has been dragging on for more than a decade: the possibility of such a scenario was first discussed after the collapse of the Soviet Union, and NATO's rapid eastward expansion left no doubt that Ukraine's acceptance was only a matter of time.

This was the case until 2014.

After the war in Donbass (nicknamed by the Kiev politicians "anti-terrorist operation") Russia, it seems, could breathe out - Ukraine's admission to NATO was delayed: as you know, the organization does not accept into its ranks countries that have unresolved territorial conflicts ...

Unfortunately, the joy was premature: the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine in December 2014 amended two laws, abandoning the non-aligned status of the state. In June 2016, additional changes were adopted, which made joining NATO the goal of the country's foreign policy. In February 2019, the Ukrainian parliament adopted amendments to the constitution and legislatively consolidated the country's course towards joining the EU and NATO.

Summing up the interim results, we can say that Ukraine has become the sixth state to receive the status of a NATO partner with expanded capabilities.

Naturally, all these years in the former Soviet republic there was an active activity of military officials and instructors, economists, spies, diplomats and analysts from Europe and the United States. Contrary to popular belief, Ukraine has become an extremely useful acquisition for the Western countries: NATO strategists have finally realized their long-held dream, reaching the very borders of the Russian Federation.

Fortunately for our country, Ukraine to this day has a huge burden of so far insoluble political, economic and organizational complexities. This greatly slows down all integration processes, despite the active participation of specialists from Western countries (in Ukraine, only a special commission "Ukraine-NATO" is officially operating, and the North Atlantic bloc has a representative office in Kiev).

However, this could not last indefinitely - and, unfortunately, the process has started.

If Russia continues its reckless or aggressive actions both towards Ukraine and towards other countries, then we will answer

- said US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken.

The events of this spring have clearly activated some shifts in the opinion of the leadership of a number of Western countries. Kiev's absurd revanchist rhetoric does not bother them - on the contrary, this is how our neighbors "work out their bread", playing an important role in the strategy of the NATO bloc. The state of "permanent war" contributes to the accumulation of continuous tension on the western borders of the Russian Federation and fully meets the interests of Europe and the United States. What does not meet their interests is the possibility of losing Ukraine, which, as it turned out a month ago, is by no means so illusory ...

During the spring events, Moscow demonstrated its enormous offensive potential. It became clear to the whole world that a possible campaign of Russian troops would not end with Donbass alone. The deployment of two combined-arms armies, three airborne brigades and a large naval unit, designed to ensure the landing of our marines, on the border with Ukraine, more than well demonstrated the real capabilities of the Russian military machine.

If we add to this the large-scale exercises of the Strategic Missile Forces throughout the country, the situation has completely taken on a bleak look in the eyes of the Western leadership.

It became clear that Ukraine would be defeated in the shortest possible time and would cease to exist - and, accordingly, all investments and long-term plans of Europe and the United States would be lost and destroyed.

Despite the relaxation of the situation, the sediment, as they say, remained - and the current statements by officials of the United States, Poland, the Baltic States and many other countries about their support for Ukraine's entry into NATO are an attempt to find a way out of a dangerous situation for them.

The poverty and instability of the former Soviet republic, contrary to popular belief, is a real gift for the West: the weaker the country's economy, the more unstable its political regime, the easier it is to control it. Among other things, the bad economic situation is a space for big capital, fortunately, the Ukrainian market offers it 46 million consumers of absolutely everything, from food, clothing and footwear to medical technique.

Accordingly, it should be said right away that if Ukraine is admitted to NATO, the Western countries will not incur any serious economic losses - by no means, they will have a great opportunity to earn money (which, in fact, they have been successfully doing for more than a dozen years - just in this case, the prospects for capital will become even wider).

The military advantages of such an enterprise will be simply colossal: the fleets of NATO countries will be able to be permanently deployed in the ports of the Black Sea near Crimea (accordingly, constantly keeping the peninsula under the threat of missile strikes), the tactical aviation of the bloc will be able to wage war directly in the skies of Russia, and the deployment of complexes missile defense "Aegis Ashore", similar to those already deployed in Poland and Romania, will expose our Strategic Missile Forces (not to mention the dual purpose of these objects - universal launch cells can equally receive cruise missiles).

Naturally, such an event will not remain outside the field of vision of propagandists: the Ukrainian crisis is already actively used to promote anti-Russian ideas in the post-Soviet space, and Kiev's accession to NATO will be just a luxurious opportunity to demonstrate Moscow's “impotence”.

In connection with all this, it remains to be hoped that our government and diplomats will be able to take advantage of the contradictions in Europe (France, Germany and Italy oppose the acceptance of Ukraine - albeit not openly, but still noticeably) and stop this process again.

Otherwise, we will face a sad change in the balance of power - and, unfortunately, not in our favor.
21 comment
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  1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 10 May 2021 11: 45
    And once from any iron they said: the Ukrainians will fall apart tomorrow, there will be no visa-free, weapons have fallen, the fat will run out, they will not be accepted into NATO ...
    1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
      Ulysses (Alexey) 10 May 2021 23: 36
      And once from any iron they said:

      The local "experts" recently competed on the topic of the inevitability of hostilities.
      "Articles" flew out several times a day.
      Only the dates and the wretchedness of the judgments changed.

      PS And NATO will not accept the current Kiev regime.
      NATO (current), a bunch of cowards under the American umbrella, but not a suicide club.
    2. av58 Offline av58
      av58 (Andrei) 11 May 2021 17: 11
      So no one accepts Ukrainians in NATO, and is not going to.
  2. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 10 May 2021 14: 21
    In connection with all this, it remains to be hoped that our government and diplomats will be able to take advantage of the contradictions in Europe (France, Germany and Italy oppose the acceptance of Ukraine - albeit not openly, but still noticeably) and stop this process again.

    - Yes, what kind of "France, Germany and Italy" can prevent Ukraine from joining NATO ... - Hahah ...
    - And even more so "our government and diplomats will be able to take advantage of the contradictions in Europe and stop this process again" ... - All wanted to sneeze together ... - and our government and our diplomacy ...
    - Personally, I am in the subject

    Willingness to go for provocations: What does the invasion of the Global Hawk into a closed zone near Crimea say?

    already wrote that ... what ... what

    ... to declare prayer services for all Russia ... it is necessary ... - So it will be more correct ... - So it's time for all of Russia to announce the processions of the Cross and our soldiers (including all air defense officers) in these ranks with banners and icons - also connect ...
    - You look ... - the adversary will calm down ... - Here is a prayer service ...

    - And there is no one else to trust and hope for; except for God ...
    - If Ukraine is nevertheless admitted to NATO by a fool; then Zelensky will immediately place monuments throughout Ukraine during his lifetime ...
    - Well, Belarus will follow the same path (to NATO) ... - just with a whistle ...
    - Well, what is our guarantor hoping for ... and all these decades hoped ... - that his oligarchs will save him and that everything itself will somehow "resolve" ...
    - Biden, of course, can postpone this case ... but not forever; but even for this, Russia must before the Americans ... - "like a string" ... - just walk on tiptoe ...
    - And how will China now become insolent ... - after all, it needs to (voluntarily) manage to surrender Russia; and not under such "pressure of circumstances" ... - Otherwise, China will have a "failure" for the Americans ... or "not full credit" ... - Hahah ... - It's very sad ....
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 10 May 2021 16: 20
      When you speak, it feels like you are delusional

  3. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 10 May 2021 17: 26
    Ukraine's accession to NATO will change the balance of power in the region

    - It turns out that the site is still inhabited by "Bakhtiyarov's cinematic opinions" ... - It is commendable that a man from limitrophy amazes with the knowledge of Soviet retro cinema and even undertakes to judge ... - And what is he going to judge about ... - It would be better would trump here ... here ... here clips from "Caucasian Captive" ... - or even ... - would cite excerpts from the ancient Azerbaijani film "Arshin Mal Alan" ... - otherwise he is taken to be clever ... - And to be clever about not your own ... - Dizziness from success, or what ??? - Success from the Karabakh battle ??? - So this battle remained within those yardsticks ... - and how did these yardsticks measure something else ... - will there be something else sewn on this "intentional" ... - That's what Bakhtiyarov's little man is about it befits to break your head; and not to climb into other people's affairs with your yardstick ...
    - Such "clever 'and" clever "... - just like A.S. Shpak ... and" pakhoshsh "..." navern "... - Hahah ... - and only ...
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 10 May 2021 20: 05
      Irina, you don't even need to answer. Learn to express your thoughts clearly. It's impossible to read you. What you write is outright nonsense. A person who speaks in a confused way also thinks in a confused way.
  4. Wolter Offline Wolter
    Wolter (Wolter) 10 May 2021 19: 32
    Ukraine will join NATO. The more rusty weapons are rattled in Russia, the more American pension funds and fuel pipelines are hacked, the faster the process. In a year or two ... Well, in 2025 it will definitely enter. So they could not join ... But already Italy and France, and even Germany with the old agent Stasi Merkel, prefer to keep Ukraine as a buffer. And Frau is on the verge of dumping. And Ukraine ... well, we are quite aware here that they want to hide behind us, but we milk it to the fullest. In terms of human resources and the size of the army, we can give Russia, if we don't take Voronezh, to the teeth already. Covering with a nuclear umbrella, we have more air defense than NATO in Europe ... Well, they are going to deliver "Patriot". We do not need PEMZ, but we will take Crimea.
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 10 May 2021 20: 02
      - I want to clearly note: NATO's doors are open for Ukraine. NATO reiterated its commitments. What we see now is that Ukraine is increasingly cooperating with NATO programs and, most importantly, is carrying out the necessary reforms and investments.

      Every country that hopes to join NATO must understand that it must meet the required standards and be ready to increase the potential of the Alliance.

      - Ukraine faces two threats - external (Russian aggression) and internal (corruption). I am sure that Ukrainians are very interested in reforms and strong state institutions, their transparency and independence. We are talking about the Anti-Corruption Bureau, the activities of judges and supervisory boards of state-owned companies..

      There was serious progress, in particular, the adoption of laws on the declaration of income of parliamentarians and land reform, but, of course, more progress is needed on legal reform and the independence of the Anti-Corruption Bureau. First of all, the Ukrainians need this, they will only benefit from these reforms.

      The international community wants to cooperate with Ukraine, but investors must be sure that there is a favorable business climate here.

      - In your opinion, how can the latest change in the leadership of Naftogaz affect the investment climate, cooperation with the IMF and overall economic stability in Ukraine?

      - In fact, this is a bad signal and potential harm to the international image of Ukraine.

      It seems to me that the government understands this and will move forward towards corporate governance of Naftogaz. It must be transparent, independent and must serve the interests of Ukrainians.

      According to experts, Blinken demanded that Zelensky report on Kobolev's change (maximalists claim that he will be returned). But this is hard to believe. This will already be a complete drain on Zelensky.
      He also demanded to remove the oligarchs. Zelenskiy has a very bad card in this case. Kolomoisky and Akhmetov will tear it before Blinken.
      Subordinate the judicial system to the Americans. And in general, put all financial flows under the control of the States.

      As for NATO, they hung a carrot under their nose. It is not known when Ukraine will meet NATO standards. And can the Ukrainian army increase the combat capability of the Alliance?
      1. Wolter Offline Wolter
        Wolter (Wolter) 10 May 2021 20: 19
        Everybody knows and we know that we can increase the fighting efficiency of the alliance. We don't need their troops. We have a large, battle-trained army. Quite a good military-industrial complex. Air defense is larger than the total NATO in Europe. High-precision newest rockets. Already an almost impenetrable anti-tank complex for long-range and close combat. And a keen desire to kill any occupier. And they will kill. Hundreds of thousands. Previously, we met you in the millions as brothers and did not spit in your face. Back in 2013. But some Kashchei wanted to fix it forever and he started. Ukraine will join NATO by 2025. We're ALMOST already there. There are still questions, but everything can be solved. So what did you get in the end?
        1. Bakht Offline Bakht
          Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 10 May 2021 20: 29
          Do not splash saliva - you will choke. The defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine within a few days was predicted by NATO experts. In addition to territorial expansion, Ukraine's entry into NATO will create colossal problems for the Alliance. This is a direct involvement of Europe in a hot war against Russia. Ukraine's accession to NATO is possible only after the situation in Donbass has been resolved. And in no case is it the other way around.
          And don't lie that in 2013 Russians were greeted as brothers. "Moskalyak on Gilyak" has not yet been forgotten. And that was just in 2013.

          Rasmussen stated that it will take a long time to achieve a number of criteria for joining the alliance. Experts suggest that the process could take over twenty years.

          Well, in order to completely bleed Europe, the States can push through the decision even tomorrow. But whether Germany or France will go for it. This also threatens the collapse of NATO itself.
        2. Bakht Offline Bakht
          Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 10 May 2021 20: 38
          «This is another Ukrainian insanity, they simply do not know how to squeeze themselves into this European space, in which no one wants to see them. Ukraine as such has always been needed, it is a bargaining chip in the global political game. She has never been important to anyone from Western partners "

          Member of the Bundestag International Affairs Committee Waldemar Gerdt
        3. Dear sofa expert. 11 May 2021 00: 47
          Air defense is larger than the total NATO in Europe.

          So maybe it's not you who join NATO, but NATO should join you?)

          Dear, I think you have run out of pills. You need urgently to your psychiatrist.
  5. the stump is clear - the Ukrainians want to send OTAN to Donbass, put out Putin. Current will not go one, there are no fools!
  6. Alexander Zima Offline Alexander Zima
    Alexander Zima (Alexander Zima) 11 May 2021 07: 33
    It all depends on the United States .. if they want to have troubles under their noses, they will of course accept .. but how many screams there will be .. why did the Russians place submarines with Poseidons on our shores ... and this is for your own safety .. and what would not twitch.
  7. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 11 May 2021 08: 43
    This will not happen right away. Kiev's policy is too unpredictable. Also, a pandemic and internal disagreements in every country in Europe act against such a step.
  8. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 11 May 2021 09: 12
    Quote: Wolter
    But some Kashchei wanted to fix it forever and he started. Ukraine will join NATO by 2025. We are ALMOST already there

    Well, Moskalyak on Gilyak is you Bandera, both up to the nineties and in the nineties, continued to screech while jumping on the spot. “You only deserve to receive their owners' decommissioned boats and be their cannon fodder and nothing more.
  9. av58 Offline av58
    av58 (Andrei) 11 May 2021 17: 13
    It remains to be hoped that our leadership will clearly formulate and declare that Ukraine's appeal to NATO for admission to the alliance will be regarded by Russia as an official declaration of war on Russia.
  10. Vladest Offline Vladest
    Vladest (Vladimir) 12 May 2021 10: 15
    No one will take Ukraine into NATO as long as it has a conflict with the Russian Federation. This is the position of the NATO Charter. Ukraine is now very convenient for waging a hybrid war against the Russian Federation. By sacrificing Ukraine, the West for little money inflicts great material damage on the Russian Federation, without suffering from it.
  11. Vladest Offline Vladest
    Vladest (Vladimir) 12 May 2021 10: 19
    Quote: av58
    It remains to be hoped that our leadership will clearly formulate and declare that Ukraine's appeal to NATO for admission to the alliance will be regarded by Russia as an official declaration of war on Russia.

    The scanty memory of you and those like you in the Russian Federation is always striking. When Putin launched Operation Crimea Ours, one of the arguments was to prevent NATO from settling in Crimea.
    Do you really live one day? The NATO Charter prohibits admitting states with active conflicts.
    There are enough candidates for NATO even without Ukraine.
  12. Vladimir Khrebtov (Vladimir Khrebtov) 16 May 2021 17: 27
    Our government and diplomats are a bunch of nonprofessionals about ... the glorious commanders from Nevsky to Zhukov. “And what comrade Shoigu thinks” does not sound like Stalin at all. Newly made generals and generals are only suitable for weddings.