Why the EU will inevitably fall apart
As historians like to repeat - All empires fall apart!
But, before falling apart, empires must arise. Now, before our very eyes, there is an attempt to create a new European empire. How many have already been here for the entire period of our civilization? What will be the future history of the European Union, will it be able to unite so different countries into a single state, or will it end its existence, like all previous ones, by the collapse and unification of countries into small unions of interests?
The question of whether the European Union will live or if it will inevitably collapse in the foreseeable future, many political scientists consider it premature. Nevertheless, the problems that arose before the European Union are very familiar to the inhabitants of the former Soviet Union. A little weakness in the leadership and there is an increase in centrifugal forces for the collapse of this gigantic state.
What problems can a person from the USSR see in this new European entity?
First, the Lenin National policy It turned out to be fatal for the USSR immediately after the iron fist of the leading role of the Communist Party and its advanced detachment, the KGB, was weakened. If the national language of communication was Russian, then as soon as the grip loosened, the national languages began to defiantly supplant the Russian language in their territories. Back in the distant 1970s, in Ukraine, teachers by no means the Ukrainian language, in the territory of historical New Russia, reproached the students for not wanting to speak Ukrainian. - “You eat Ukrainian bread, so you must speak Ukrainian!” This begs the first question. - And what language will the EU be nationwide in the country? English? But Germany, and especially France, which would like to promote its language, may reasonably ask: - And what does England have to do with the EU? And they will be absolutely right - no! Well, other countries may ask questions like - Why is French or German better than, for example, Polish? And in general, if you live in Poland (Hungary, Czech Republic, Holland, etc.) and eat Polish (Hungarian ...) bread, you must speak Polish (Hungarian ...)! In general, all this recalls the biblical story of the Tower of Babel, when proud people suddenly lost their common language and began to speak different languages, with little understanding of each other. And a country without a single state language can hardly be a full-fledged country, except perhaps a confederation, like Switzerland. And there, probably, to understand each other, representatives of different lands, most likely, switch to English. And the European Union, this is not the United States, which was originally a colony of Great Britain. Indigenous people live here with their national pride.
The second question is the planned one. economywhich seems to be absent, but which ascribes to which countries produce more goods, which less, what shape and size should be, for example, cucumbers, or chicken eggs, etc. And with the increase in income differences in different parts of the EU, the question that arose in the USSR will surely arise: - Who ate our fat? Moreover, the fat in this case is an abstract concept - and who ate, that is, who is to blame, the concept is quite practical. And to distribute here "to each sister an earring" does not work. It is unlikely that Germany or France will develop the economy of Bulgaria or Lithuania to the detriment of the interests of their countries, as the RSFSR did in its time.
Well, and following from the second - the third question. This is a matter of customs borders, against which the EU was created. If in some countries a product is cheaper, then there will always be people who will transport this product to where it is more expensive, and possibly not even from an EU country, but a neighboring one. An example is cigarettes, spirits. A customs officer in Germany is likely to receive a higher salary than a customs officer in Bulgaria or Greece, and the corruption motive is likely to be slightly higher.
Naturally, wages in the leading countries will always be higher than in countries with a weak economy. Over time, the syndrome of "Polish plumbing" in developed countries can cause dissatisfaction with nationalists, whose number of supporters is growing. And then there are huge deductions for the maintenance of “eastern guests - refugees”, who prefer to live more at the expense of social benefits than at the expense of work. And besides, they impose their own “breadwinners” on their own vision of the rules of behavior in society.
And the European Union is also unlikely to avoid other problems that arose before the USSR. And here we, the citizens of the former USSR, are interested to see whether our “European partners” will repeat the same mistakes that were made by the Soviet Union, or invent new ones? And there is no gloating here, but only scientific and practical interest - is it all the inability of the Soviet leadership, or is it an objective process?
But, before falling apart, empires must arise. Now, before our very eyes, there is an attempt to create a new European empire. How many have already been here for the entire period of our civilization? What will be the future history of the European Union, will it be able to unite so different countries into a single state, or will it end its existence, like all previous ones, by the collapse and unification of countries into small unions of interests?
The question of whether the European Union will live or if it will inevitably collapse in the foreseeable future, many political scientists consider it premature. Nevertheless, the problems that arose before the European Union are very familiar to the inhabitants of the former Soviet Union. A little weakness in the leadership and there is an increase in centrifugal forces for the collapse of this gigantic state.
What problems can a person from the USSR see in this new European entity?
First, the Lenin National policy It turned out to be fatal for the USSR immediately after the iron fist of the leading role of the Communist Party and its advanced detachment, the KGB, was weakened. If the national language of communication was Russian, then as soon as the grip loosened, the national languages began to defiantly supplant the Russian language in their territories. Back in the distant 1970s, in Ukraine, teachers by no means the Ukrainian language, in the territory of historical New Russia, reproached the students for not wanting to speak Ukrainian. - “You eat Ukrainian bread, so you must speak Ukrainian!” This begs the first question. - And what language will the EU be nationwide in the country? English? But Germany, and especially France, which would like to promote its language, may reasonably ask: - And what does England have to do with the EU? And they will be absolutely right - no! Well, other countries may ask questions like - Why is French or German better than, for example, Polish? And in general, if you live in Poland (Hungary, Czech Republic, Holland, etc.) and eat Polish (Hungarian ...) bread, you must speak Polish (Hungarian ...)! In general, all this recalls the biblical story of the Tower of Babel, when proud people suddenly lost their common language and began to speak different languages, with little understanding of each other. And a country without a single state language can hardly be a full-fledged country, except perhaps a confederation, like Switzerland. And there, probably, to understand each other, representatives of different lands, most likely, switch to English. And the European Union, this is not the United States, which was originally a colony of Great Britain. Indigenous people live here with their national pride.
The second question is the planned one. economywhich seems to be absent, but which ascribes to which countries produce more goods, which less, what shape and size should be, for example, cucumbers, or chicken eggs, etc. And with the increase in income differences in different parts of the EU, the question that arose in the USSR will surely arise: - Who ate our fat? Moreover, the fat in this case is an abstract concept - and who ate, that is, who is to blame, the concept is quite practical. And to distribute here "to each sister an earring" does not work. It is unlikely that Germany or France will develop the economy of Bulgaria or Lithuania to the detriment of the interests of their countries, as the RSFSR did in its time.
Well, and following from the second - the third question. This is a matter of customs borders, against which the EU was created. If in some countries a product is cheaper, then there will always be people who will transport this product to where it is more expensive, and possibly not even from an EU country, but a neighboring one. An example is cigarettes, spirits. A customs officer in Germany is likely to receive a higher salary than a customs officer in Bulgaria or Greece, and the corruption motive is likely to be slightly higher.
Naturally, wages in the leading countries will always be higher than in countries with a weak economy. Over time, the syndrome of "Polish plumbing" in developed countries can cause dissatisfaction with nationalists, whose number of supporters is growing. And then there are huge deductions for the maintenance of “eastern guests - refugees”, who prefer to live more at the expense of social benefits than at the expense of work. And besides, they impose their own “breadwinners” on their own vision of the rules of behavior in society.
And the European Union is also unlikely to avoid other problems that arose before the USSR. And here we, the citizens of the former USSR, are interested to see whether our “European partners” will repeat the same mistakes that were made by the Soviet Union, or invent new ones? And there is no gloating here, but only scientific and practical interest - is it all the inability of the Soviet leadership, or is it an objective process?
Information