China's war with Taiwan becomes inevitable


As soon as the owner changed in the White House, Beijing hastened to draw a "red line" beyond which it is ready to enter the war. This issue was the independence of Taiwan, which the PRC considers its integral part and is very determined. The Pentagon answered quite amiably that they saw no reason for a confrontation over the island. Does this mean that there will definitely not be a war? Or is it exactly the opposite?


Recall that Taiwan actually split from the rest of Communist China in 1949 and considers itself the successor of the old Republic of China. Beijing considers the island its province, not recognizing the "separatists", and the overwhelming majority of countries, including Russia and the United States, agree with this. Washington severed diplomatic relations with Taipei in 1979, opting for policy "One China", however, continues to ensure the safety of the islanders and maintains contacts with him.

Beijing was clearly very upset that the representative of Taiwan Xiao Bikim (Xiao Meijin) was invited to the inauguration ceremony of President Joe Biden. This may indicate a change in policy towards China by the Democratic Party. Wu Qian, a spokesman for the PRC Ministry of Defense, said that an attempt to separate the island by recognizing its independence would lead to war. Where did such fears come from?

First of all, one must understand that the "globalists" who have returned to power in the White House intend to restore the world order that has been shaken under Donald Trump. China has already become the main economic competitor of the United States in the fields of industry, science and advanced of technologies... But that's not all. The PRC is now beginning to claim to become the new "ruler of the seas", and this is not an exaggeration. So far, the American navy exceeds the Chinese in total tonnage, but in terms of the number of warships and submarines, it has already yielded to it. Last year, the Pentagon counted 350 of them from its potential enemy against 293 at home. Today, the PRC Navy has 2 aircraft carriers with a third under construction, 58 landing ships, 32 destroyers, 53 frigates, 4 strategic submarines and 52 attack submarines, as well as many smaller ships. Moreover, the latest Chinese cruisers and destroyers are in no way inferior to their American counterparts.

And Beijing is not going to stop there. So far, the main area of ​​his interests is the Asia-Pacific region, where the Celestial Empire can already set the heat for the US Navy and try to take Taiwan by force. But what happens next? How strong will the Chinese dragon be, where will its ambitions be directed later?

Undoubtedly, these are the questions being asked in Washington. Since Beijing, of its own free will, will not send its warships to the pins and needles, and its Chubais is not there yet, the most rational would be to weaken China in bloody civil strife. It can be provoked by recognizing Taiwan's independence or by placing an American military base on the island. Then China will simply be forced to go to war to return the island, which has long been prepared for an echeloned defense. Soldiers on both sides will die, ships sink, planes fall. The US will support Taiwan by supplying weapons, and international sanctions can be imposed on China as an "aggressor" in order to stop it economic development.

In this context, it turns out that the war between the PRC and the islanders may even be beneficial to Washington, since it will lead not to the strengthening, but to the weakening of mainland China. Nobody wanted war, but was it inevitable?
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  1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) 30 January 2021 14: 38
    +4
    What is the layered defense? Taiwan island. They will cut off air and sea traffic for them. And when all the rats are eaten, then their defenses will be checked.
    1. Dmitry S. Offline Dmitry S.
      Dmitry S. (Dmitry Sanin) 30 January 2021 15: 04
      -4
      Isle? But other? What universe are you from? Mainland - to whom?
    2. Pandiurin Offline Pandiurin
      Pandiurin (Pandiurin) 30 January 2021 15: 28
      +4
      Quote: Just Cat
      What is the layered defense? Taiwan island. They will cut off air and sea traffic for them. And when all the rats are eaten, then their defenses will be checked.

      Now international full-scale conflicts are happening quickly, if it comes to a clash between China and Taiwan (which there are great doubts), then if they do not figure it out in a month, then there will be a truce under pressure from the international community. And the truce will mean a humanitarian corridor to Taiwan at least.

      The relief in Taiwan is a mountain range along the entire island. To pick up the defense in the mountains for 50 years should have been very serious.

      Neither China nor Taiwan needs a real military mess.
      1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
        Just a cat (Bayun) 30 January 2021 16: 30
        +5
        what is the international community? Iraq, Yugoslavia, Libya, Kosovo ... Will this public declare war on China in the Pacific? The blockade of Taiwan will be arranged until all democratic values ​​are weathered on an empty stomach. The Armenians also dug up "defense" in Karabakh ... and where are they now?
      2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
        Marzhecki (Sergei) 1 February 2021 09: 22
        0
        Quote: Pandiurin
        The relief in Taiwan is a mountain range along the entire island. To pick up the defense in the mountains for 50 years should have been very serious.

        Neither China nor Taiwan needs a real military mess.

        Need not. This is why the United States will put pressure on Beijing with this threat.
    3. Vladimir Grechushkin (Vladimir Grechushkin) 4 February 2021 21: 56
      0
      The island is 400x140 km in size. It's not even Crimea. And not at all the DPRK for militarization. 72 hours of jump defense.
  2. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 30 January 2021 15: 27
    +2
    Yes, it's all empty! When I started at the MHT, my friend worked in the Office of Asia, China led, a Moscow official, a Sinologist. Only greeted - Nihao Tyndzha!
    The interpenetration of economies and the trade turnover are colossal, cultural, humanitarian, tourist ties ...
    Everything will be fine...
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 30 January 2021 15: 45
      0
      The problem of the PRC and Taiwan is much deeper, it is an ideological problem, here the socialist and capitalist image for the Chinese is competing and Beijing cannot be allowed to lose this race ... This is the easiest way to win, to occupy Taiwan. For the United States, this is a lever of influence on the ideological enemy of the PRC, and for Taiwan all sorts of concessions and support are created. Conclusion: the rivalry between capitalism and socialism (communism) moved to the Sino-American fronts, the USSR-Russia lost this confrontation with the United States ...
      1. Vladest Offline Vladest
        Vladest (Vladimir) 30 January 2021 16: 23
        -3
        Quote: Vladimir Tuzakov
        The problem of the PRC and Taiwan is much deeper, it is an ideological problem,

        Here, as always, there are nuances. There is capitalism in the PRC, but there is no democracy there. And faith in the Chinese promises collapsed on the example of Hong Kong.
        1. stepet Offline stepet
          stepet 30 January 2021 16: 32
          -5
          Quote: Vladest
          There is capitalism in the PRC, but there is no democracy there.

          Do not exaggerate.
          There is no capitalism in the PRC (just as there is no capitalism in the Russian Federation).
          And yet he will not necessarily be there.
          Having made sure that the Chinese are simply making a fool of the West and are not planning to climb the evolutionary ladder, this very West began to curtail cooperation with China. Which is just a disaster for the latter.
          1. Vladest Offline Vladest
            Vladest (Vladimir) 30 January 2021 17: 01
            -1
            Quote: stepet
            Do not exaggerate.

            What are billionaires doing there? The power of the CCP about the Chinese NEP. It's okay.
            1. stepet Offline stepet
              stepet 30 January 2021 17: 52
              0
              Quote: Vladest
              What are billionaires doing there?

              They live and work.
              Since when is having billionaires a sign of capitalism?

              Quote: Vladest
              The power of the CCP about the Chinese NEP.

              Exactly.
              Under the Chinese NEP.
              And this despite the fact that the NEP of the 20s was not capitalism.
              As well as its current Russian version.
              Capitalism (capitalist CEF) should not be confused with feudalism (or neo-feudalism, as it often happens now).
              1. Vladest Offline Vladest
                Vladest (Vladimir) 30 January 2021 18: 08
                +1
                Quote: stepet
                Since when is having billionaires a sign of capitalism?

                Is this a sign of communism?
                Why are you suffering? People can muddy any device in the state and it will work. In the PRC, there is no non-pure communism, no pure capitalism. And there is a reasonable combination of them. It was in the USSR that they were stupidly seeking. The Chinese are not stupid))) Flexibility is the key to success.
                1. stepet Offline stepet
                  stepet 30 January 2021 18: 33
                  -3
                  Quote: Vladest
                  Is this a sign of communism?

                  Communism, in the Soviet belief system, is an analogue of the Orthodox Kingdom of Heaven.
                  Therefore, there can be no communism in principle.
                  As for billionaires, they are not a sign of anything at all. They just are. And they are in all (in any) OEF. Only in the capitalist there are more of them. Simply because the richer people live there.

                  Quote: Vladest
                  In the PRC, there is no non-pure communism, no pure capitalism. And there is a reasonable combination of them.

                  It does not happen.
                  And there is a certain OEF.
                  In China, the feudal CEF is now in the form of neo-feudalism.
                  The same was in the USSR from 1922 to 1927.
                  The same is now in the Russian Federation.
  3. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 30 January 2021 16: 02
    +1
    China's war with Taiwan becomes inevitable

    - What kind of war ??? -It is necessary to call a spade a spade ... - the capture of Taiwan by China ...
    - And it is quite possible ... - And not only because China is superior to Taiwan in military power; and also because the youth of Taiwan today are not as "resistant against China" as they used to be ...
    - It's just that no one worked with this youth ... - Nobody explained to this youth that ... what ... that, having become part of China ... - Taiwan will still not become "its own" for China ... - Well, using the example of the same GDR; which again became part of Germany almost 40 years ago; and so far it has remained a "second-class part" of Germany ... -the same will happen with Taiwan ...
    - And then there's the crook Trump has made a lot of trouble in international politics ... - So ...
    1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 30 January 2021 16: 33
      +3
      Oh, can I disagree? Hong Kong Special District, Macau Special District.
      One country, two systems.
      Banks have remained in Hong Kong. Casinos, as they were in Macau, have remained ...
      As a result, everything is in openwork ...
      1. Vladest Offline Vladest
        Vladest (Vladimir) 30 January 2021 17: 03
        -1
        Quote: Petr Vladimirovich
        Banks have remained in Hong Kong. Casinos, as they were in Macau, have remained ...
        As a result, everything is in openwork ...

        And you do not judge by this. It's like a sign. I'll give you a broken soul. It's like the USSR, before it was RI. But the soul in the USSR from the Russia that was before 1917 was gone.
        1. The comment was deleted.
        2. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 30 January 2021 17: 53
          +1
          Sorry, buddy, I just didn't get the idea!
          I didn't have a chance to live in the Republic of Ingushetia, but for a long time in the Union.
          I went to school along Metrostroyevskaya Street, and met Khrushchev very often. Two Seagulls, in the second one is sitting in a hat, reading a newspaper ... laughing laughing
          1. Vladest Offline Vladest
            Vladest (Vladimir) 30 January 2021 18: 12
            -1
            Quote: Petr Vladimirovich
            I didn't have a chance to live in the Republic of Ingushetia, but for a long time in the Union.

            Well, then you should remember well what was said in the USSR about RI. At least something positive about that time. Although the merits of Kutuzov, Suvorov, Nakhimov were not too lazy to appropriate even the souls of these great people of Russia. What can't you do when your heroes are gone.
  4. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 30 January 2021 18: 18
    0
    In serious articles they wrote that they were already merging imperceptibly ...

    But they laugh in plain sight - in general, there is the usual trade of the elites.
  5. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 30 January 2021 18: 41
    +3
    Wu Qian, spokesman for the PRC Ministry of Defense, said that an attempt to separate the island by recognizing its independence would lead to war

    The official representative of the Ministry of Defense of the People's Republic of China, Wu Qian, concretized Xi Jiping's statement that the People's Republic of China will not give up an inch of its land to anyone and does not claim a piece of someone else's.

    it will be possible to impose international sanctions on China as an "aggressor"

    An aggressor is one who, by force, cunning or in other ways, violates the sovereignty of another state.
    Taiwan's independence is not recognized by the overwhelming majority of states in the world, including the United States.
    In essence, this means the recognition of Taiwan as part of the PRC, and therefore there can be no talk of any aggression by the PRC against Taiwan.
    The United States has never bothered about the reasons for imposing international sanctions, they will find a reason, as Britain found to issue passports to Hong Kong protesters.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 31 January 2021 07: 02
      +1
      The PRC is a powerful power on which the whole world depends. To get other countries to impose sanctions on it, you need a powerful reason. Which one? War with Taiwan. Who is the aggressor in our country is determined in fact by the United States.
  6. Potapov Offline Potapov
    Potapov (Valery) 31 January 2021 09: 45
    0
    We haven't fought for 70 years and suddenly again ... It's good to be an expert - you will inevitably win ...
  7. Aksel2 Offline Aksel2
    Aksel2 (Alexander Z.) 31 January 2021 22: 39
    +1
    It should also be remembered that both China and Iran are for the Democrats quite proven partners. Suffice it to recall that the notorious "nuclear deal" with Tehran was made by the Obama administration. But relations with the Russian Federation and the Democratic Party have never developed particularly well.
  8. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) 3 February 2021 13: 03
    0
    I will not say with an accuracy of up to a percent, but most of the Chinese economy is just factories and factories of the same Taiwan, South Korea, the United States, and other countries of the world, or joint ventures.