“Hot” days await Syria
Currently, perhaps the main battle of the Syrian army against terrorists is being fought in the province of Daraa, located in the south of the country near the border with Jordan. The Syrian news agency SANA reported that the gunners are already preparing for an attack on the southeast of the city of Daraa, cutting off supply routes for the militants. At the same time, a diplomatic war is fought over this territory - Washington accuses Damascus, and at the same time Moscow, of violating the agreement on de-escalation zones and threatens with "decisive measures."
One thing is clear - in the next few months, very “hot" days await Syria. The army intends to carry out important anti-terrorist operations, on which the fate of the Middle East state will depend. Unfortunately, this path will not be too simple - in conditions when external support of terrorists continues, losses are inevitable. Provocations are also possible with subsequent punitive measures by the United States.
Recently, however, the Armed Forces of the SAR, with the support of the Russian air forces, have achieved considerable success. First, all parts of Damascus, formerly occupied by terrorists, have been freed. Secondly, the suburbs of the Syrian capital, including the long-standing "abscess" East Guta, were cleared from militants. Thirdly, several gangs, such as Jaish al-Islam or Failak ar-Rahman, are almost completely defeated and are no longer serious combat units. The terrorist organization Jabhat al-Nusra, banned in the Russian Federation, also suffered significant losses. Fourth, a significant area near the city of Homs has been liberated.
When all these territories were under the control of the "opposition", they diverted the attention of the Syrian army and its friendly forces. Now these forces have more maneuver, they are no longer constrained by the need to restrain the militants in these areas.
But there are still a lot of big problems in the country. And this is not only the situation in the south, but also the situation in the north of Syria.
One of these problems is the position of Turkey, which stated its readiness to seize all the Syrian cities located on the Syrian-Turkish border. It is clear that Erdogan’s recent victory will only strengthen the Turkish authorities in their determination to conduct military operations on the territory of a foreign state without his consent.
The problem is also that many of these cities are occupied by various Kurdish forces, including those that are hostile towards Damascus and enjoy the support of Washington.
Syrian authorities are also putting pressure on the Kurds, declaring their readiness to return the territories they seized. Some of the Kurdish organizations are ready to negotiate with the government and are even silent about the “independent Rojava”. But in this matter, Damascus will face the intention of Ankara.
Of course, the militants of the most odious of all jihadist organizations, the Islamic State (banned in the Russian Federation), continue to threaten the country's security. True, it should be noted that the IS has already suffered huge losses, and not so much territory remains under its control. Despite this, their tactics still pose a great danger to the Armed Forces and to civilians. They are focused not on keeping the front line, but on operations in the rear, which distracts considerable forces.
And while it is completely unclear what to do with Idlib. The province is almost completely, with the exception of two small enclaves, is controlled by terrorists of various stripes. Moreover, these are mainly those groups that are especially loved by Washington. True, in this area, terrorists partially weaken their forces due to constant internecine conflicts.
Another huge problem for Damascus is the US base at At-Tanf. Despite all the statements of US President Donald Trump, the Pentagon does not want to refuse either this base or the training of terrorists that are conducted on this territory. This situation can only be resolved at the diplomatic level, through negotiations between Russia and the United States.
It turns out that the war in Syria is unlikely to end in the coming months. Most likely, on the contrary, these months will be the hottest. Against this background, rumors of impending provocations are becoming more alarming. However, the successes of the Syrian army in the provinces of Damascus and Homs, as well as the possible liberation of the province of Daraa, all this leaves the possibility of hope for the victory of Damascus.
One thing is clear - in the next few months, very “hot" days await Syria. The army intends to carry out important anti-terrorist operations, on which the fate of the Middle East state will depend. Unfortunately, this path will not be too simple - in conditions when external support of terrorists continues, losses are inevitable. Provocations are also possible with subsequent punitive measures by the United States.
Recently, however, the Armed Forces of the SAR, with the support of the Russian air forces, have achieved considerable success. First, all parts of Damascus, formerly occupied by terrorists, have been freed. Secondly, the suburbs of the Syrian capital, including the long-standing "abscess" East Guta, were cleared from militants. Thirdly, several gangs, such as Jaish al-Islam or Failak ar-Rahman, are almost completely defeated and are no longer serious combat units. The terrorist organization Jabhat al-Nusra, banned in the Russian Federation, also suffered significant losses. Fourth, a significant area near the city of Homs has been liberated.
When all these territories were under the control of the "opposition", they diverted the attention of the Syrian army and its friendly forces. Now these forces have more maneuver, they are no longer constrained by the need to restrain the militants in these areas.
But there are still a lot of big problems in the country. And this is not only the situation in the south, but also the situation in the north of Syria.
One of these problems is the position of Turkey, which stated its readiness to seize all the Syrian cities located on the Syrian-Turkish border. It is clear that Erdogan’s recent victory will only strengthen the Turkish authorities in their determination to conduct military operations on the territory of a foreign state without his consent.
The problem is also that many of these cities are occupied by various Kurdish forces, including those that are hostile towards Damascus and enjoy the support of Washington.
Syrian authorities are also putting pressure on the Kurds, declaring their readiness to return the territories they seized. Some of the Kurdish organizations are ready to negotiate with the government and are even silent about the “independent Rojava”. But in this matter, Damascus will face the intention of Ankara.
Of course, the militants of the most odious of all jihadist organizations, the Islamic State (banned in the Russian Federation), continue to threaten the country's security. True, it should be noted that the IS has already suffered huge losses, and not so much territory remains under its control. Despite this, their tactics still pose a great danger to the Armed Forces and to civilians. They are focused not on keeping the front line, but on operations in the rear, which distracts considerable forces.
And while it is completely unclear what to do with Idlib. The province is almost completely, with the exception of two small enclaves, is controlled by terrorists of various stripes. Moreover, these are mainly those groups that are especially loved by Washington. True, in this area, terrorists partially weaken their forces due to constant internecine conflicts.
Another huge problem for Damascus is the US base at At-Tanf. Despite all the statements of US President Donald Trump, the Pentagon does not want to refuse either this base or the training of terrorists that are conducted on this territory. This situation can only be resolved at the diplomatic level, through negotiations between Russia and the United States.
It turns out that the war in Syria is unlikely to end in the coming months. Most likely, on the contrary, these months will be the hottest. Against this background, rumors of impending provocations are becoming more alarming. However, the successes of the Syrian army in the provinces of Damascus and Homs, as well as the possible liberation of the province of Daraa, all this leaves the possibility of hope for the victory of Damascus.
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