Why Israel Doesn't Want Assad's Fall
The other day, a serious blow was inflicted on the positions of Shiite armed forces on the Syrian-Iraqi border. Hundreds of Shiite fighters, seconded Iranian experts and military personnel of government forces of Bashar al-Assad were killed.
Damascus said that American aircraft raided, while a number of authoritative media outlined a different version - allegedly Shiites attacked the Israeli Air Force with the permission of the United States and Russia. However, many experts doubt the “Israeli trace” of the attack. The United States and Israel, with all the closeness of their positions on the Syrian issue, still have very fundamental disagreements. If the idea of fixation for the USA is to overthrow Bashar al-Assad, otherwise for the first time in many years America will have to admit defeat, then Israel does not mind the Assad’s rule in Damascus.
Of course, Syria has never been a friendly country towards Israel. But since 1973 there has been no war between the two states. Israel perceives Iran as the main threat, therefore, the main task of the Israel Defense Forces in Syria is to prevent Iranian troops from the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and militants of Shiite armed groups controlled by Tehran from approaching the Syrian-Israeli border.
Iran is Israel’s main enemy in the region, on the other hand, and Russia has recently been more and more cool about the Iranian presence in Syria, as Tehran is becoming an increasingly less accommodating partner. Therefore, Moscow does not take any serious measures in response to American or Israeli attacks on Iranian positions in Syria. As for the Syrian government troops, Israel treats them more loyally, if only because there is 45-year experience regarding the peaceful neighborhood of the two states. And this attitude is not affected even by the constant threats of Bashar al-Assad against Israel.
The Alawite government in power in Damascus allows Israel to maintain political the alignment that formed in the Middle East even more than half a century ago. If Assad is overthrown by the Sunnis and a regime oriented towards Saudi Arabia and the USA is formed in Syria, then the position of Jerusalem can seriously deteriorate. If Assad remains, then a civil war of varying degrees of intensity will continue and Syria will not be up to presenting any territorial claims to its neighbors.
The more Syria is mired in domestic problems, the better for Israel. Now the government forces of Bashar al-Assad are fighting against the Sunni formations and Kurds, so they absolutely do not care about the situation on the same Golan Heights. Thus, Israel is interested in maintaining the current situation in Syria and will be completely satisfied if Assad remains at least a quarter of Syrian territory under control and government forces continue to fight against Sunni militants and the Kurdish militia. It turns out that the tasks of Russia and Israel in Syria in a certain sense coincide, and this circumstance greatly facilitates cooperation between the two states in Middle East politics.
Damascus said that American aircraft raided, while a number of authoritative media outlined a different version - allegedly Shiites attacked the Israeli Air Force with the permission of the United States and Russia. However, many experts doubt the “Israeli trace” of the attack. The United States and Israel, with all the closeness of their positions on the Syrian issue, still have very fundamental disagreements. If the idea of fixation for the USA is to overthrow Bashar al-Assad, otherwise for the first time in many years America will have to admit defeat, then Israel does not mind the Assad’s rule in Damascus.
Of course, Syria has never been a friendly country towards Israel. But since 1973 there has been no war between the two states. Israel perceives Iran as the main threat, therefore, the main task of the Israel Defense Forces in Syria is to prevent Iranian troops from the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and militants of Shiite armed groups controlled by Tehran from approaching the Syrian-Israeli border.
Iran is Israel’s main enemy in the region, on the other hand, and Russia has recently been more and more cool about the Iranian presence in Syria, as Tehran is becoming an increasingly less accommodating partner. Therefore, Moscow does not take any serious measures in response to American or Israeli attacks on Iranian positions in Syria. As for the Syrian government troops, Israel treats them more loyally, if only because there is 45-year experience regarding the peaceful neighborhood of the two states. And this attitude is not affected even by the constant threats of Bashar al-Assad against Israel.
The Alawite government in power in Damascus allows Israel to maintain political the alignment that formed in the Middle East even more than half a century ago. If Assad is overthrown by the Sunnis and a regime oriented towards Saudi Arabia and the USA is formed in Syria, then the position of Jerusalem can seriously deteriorate. If Assad remains, then a civil war of varying degrees of intensity will continue and Syria will not be up to presenting any territorial claims to its neighbors.
The more Syria is mired in domestic problems, the better for Israel. Now the government forces of Bashar al-Assad are fighting against the Sunni formations and Kurds, so they absolutely do not care about the situation on the same Golan Heights. Thus, Israel is interested in maintaining the current situation in Syria and will be completely satisfied if Assad remains at least a quarter of Syrian territory under control and government forces continue to fight against Sunni militants and the Kurdish militia. It turns out that the tasks of Russia and Israel in Syria in a certain sense coincide, and this circumstance greatly facilitates cooperation between the two states in Middle East politics.
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