What lies behind the visit of the head of Russian foreign intelligence to Minsk

Что кроется за визитом главы внешней разведки России в Минск

Last Thursday, the head of the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) of Russia Sergei Naryshkin came to the Belarusian capital with a personal visit to President Lukashenko. Since the head of state usually negotiates at a different level, this event has attracted the closest attention. What could Sergei Evgenievich and Alexander Grigorievich discuss among themselves?


It is worth noting that President Lukashenko himself expressed himself rather ambiguously on this matter:

Yes, we do not hide the fact that the situation around us is not easy, I mean the Union State.

Indeed, this “difficult situation” has an internal and an external component, which the head of the RF Foreign Intelligence Service should have discussed with the Belarusian leader. "External" is just in his part.

Let us remind you that in a few days the so-called "ultimatum of Tikhanovskaya" expires, which threatened to paralyze normal life in Belarus if Alexander Lukashenko does not resign. In particular, she called for a strike by railroad workers. Objectively, Svetlana Georgievna, being abroad, does not have the appropriate financial and organizational resources to organize something similar. It is unlikely that the Belarusian law enforcement agencies will calmly stand and watch how some people in their country block the railway tracks. But perhaps this is exactly the idea.

At the end of September, it was Sergei Naryshkin who warned that a large-scale provocation was being prepared in Belarus with the active assistance of the American special services:

In working with the Belarusian opposition, the Americans are shifting their focus to increasing the activity of its power wing from among the radical nationalists. The State Department has launched work to involve extremist elements in the protests.

Then, as a resonant reason, Russian intelligence called the possible murder of a priest of the Belarusian Catholic Church in order to involve religious communities in participation in mass protests. It is not excluded that something similar is planned in Belarus again, which will be carried out as part of a provocative attempt to block the normal activities of the state and its infrastructure. Perhaps this will be done with the connivance or even assistance of some officials interested in a change of power in Belarus. In this context, the visit of the SVR head to Minsk for personal communication with President Lukashenko makes sense.

However, the "difficult situation" around the Union State has its own internal component. Lukashenka’s victory in the presidential elections with a fantastic result caused great mistrust both in Belarus and in the West. If you call a spade a spade, then Alexander Grigorievich stayed in power only on the bayonets of the security forces and with direct support from the Kremlin, which expressed its readiness to send him help. It will not be surprising if Moscow is now expecting real progress from Minsk in the stalled integration within the Union State.

However, this is not happening yet. The topic of constitutional reform, which is vital for the peaceful transit of presidential power and ensuring political stability in Belarus, is now openly chatting and clouding. It is understandable that Alexander Lukashenko's desire to put the case on the brakes is understandable, but hardly anyone will agree to this now. The train left. It is quite possible that the head of the SVR arrived in Minsk, among other things, to delicately remind about this.
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  1. King3214 Offline King3214
    King3214 (Sergius) 24 October 2020 15: 56
    +3
    If Lukashkenko initially began to implement all the agreements of the Union State, and not introduce, "quietly", latent Russophobia into all strata of Belarusian society, starting with kindergartens (working against the Union State), then the situation today would not be so disgusting.
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 24 October 2020 16: 22
    +5
    Lukashenka’s victory in the presidential elections with a fantastic result caused great distrust both in Belarus and in the West.

    - And why does the victory of Rakhmon in Tajikistan with a more fantastic result - 90,92% not cause mistrust in the West?
  3. Tamara Smirnova Offline Tamara Smirnova
    Tamara Smirnova (Tamara Smirnova) 24 October 2020 16: 44
    -6
    It is possible that Naryshkin's visit to Bulbafuehrer means just NOT a delicate reminder of the agreements on amending the constitution and, most importantly, on active movement within the framework of integration projects of the Union State. Putin at Valdai reminded onion of his promises.
  4. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 24 October 2020 17: 11
    -7
    What lies behind the visit of the head of Russian foreign intelligence to Minsk

    - Personally, I have already written in several topics that Lo (Lukashenko) will be removed from his post anyway ... - this is a matter of the near future ... - And this must be done before the American presidential elections ... - But here is Moscow something hesitates ...
    -And meanwhile, such a delay is very dangerous ... -Time works today for Law, and not for the Kremlin ...
    - It is quite possible ... that Law can commit a coup d'état., After the American elections ... -and ask for help from the West (from the United States) ...- and NATO will quickly introduce their troops into the territory of Belarus ... -Because Law did not let Russian troops enter the territory of Belarus ... - so the place is quite free ...
    - And S. Tikhanovskaya (this sheep Dolly), who is now "warming the place" for Law ... - is already holding on with her last strength (she was too talented). ; expecting to be replaced by Law ...
    - And Lo is waiting for the results of the amerovsky presidential elections ... - afraid to take risks ...
    -And that's what Moscow is waiting for and flaps its ears ... -It's absolutely incomprehensible ...
    -Everything can become very aggravated and end rather badly ... for Moscow (for Russia) ...
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 24 October 2020 18: 32
    -3
    That's right, the train is gone. Daddy is in power, so what for to seriously change something?

    Every year, there are messages, then "development 2020", but they consistently write only about the flow of gas and oil over the hill ...
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 26 October 2020 09: 21
      -1
      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      That's right, the train is gone. Daddy is in power, so what for to seriously change something?

      No one else will let him sit in power calmly.
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 26 October 2020 09: 26
        -1
        Will sit restlessly.
        Are there not enough recipes?
        The simplest one is a senator for life - a gray cardinal. Somewhere ...
        1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
          Marzhecki (Sergei) 26 October 2020 10: 37
          -1
          Yes, let him sit as a cardinal. Most importantly, let the transit of power be peaceful.
          1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
            Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 26 October 2020 12: 21
            -1
            This is for the next ... or after-next, or after-after ...
            In the meantime, the blood lovers predicted horrors on the 25th, but no, flew by, everything is relatively quiet.
            So it sits and will sit. Though "restless"
  6. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 24 October 2020 18: 38
    0
    Oh, can anyone explain what the Union State is? Federation - of course, Confederation, like too ... And what kind of education is this?
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 26 October 2020 09: 20
      0
      So I regularly write that we must first decide on the organizational and legal form of this association. It is not yet clear at all what exactly this is about.
  7. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 25 October 2020 02: 10
    +2
    And what is fantastic about the election? In 2015. it was 83,5% and no hysteria. He was always elected with a figure in the range 72 - 85.
    I have no doubt that at least 60% voted for him. The rest is most likely drawn.
    But who in their right mind believes in democracy? Worldwide? And if several thousand zombie inadequacies undermine the situation, they must be dispersed, just like LJ in France.
    Yes, Luka went a little too far, he thought he would do it, as always. Well, we are all not without sin. Better than to drain the country like Yanukovych.
    And about the transfer of wishes for the reform, then this is fantasy. Naryshkin is a purely functional person, he came to coordinate the work of the special services. It is possible to transfer the computer to the leadership of the Republic of Belarus, including the leadership of the special services. Such cases can not be trusted either by communication or by ordinary performers.
    In the Republic of Belarus, now it is necessary to carry out a clean-up, what reforms can be. And the command to carry out reforms can simply be given by Putin over the phone, there is nothing secret here. He will simply give advice to the GDP on reforms not to delay any more - that's all. But when the time comes. Lukashenka will understand. And he will do it, he has deprived himself of the freedom of maneuver.
  8. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 25 October 2020 10: 25
    0
    to delicately remind you of this.

    And why did they not delicately remind Pashinyan? And only Lukashenka is credited with Russophobia. We have trade with Belarus plus $ 4-6 billion. Few? They also thought so with Ukraine, and what is the result? Lukashenka will not betray or sell Belarus! Don't get your hopes up!