Crushing the South Caucasus: Turkey's Expansion Becomes More Daring

The war between the Azerbaijani and Armenian military in Nagorno-Karabakh continues. The number of casualties is growing on both sides. Representatives of the three great powers, the United States, France and Russia, called on Baku and Yerevan to peace. However, President Erdogan, who is not formally a participant in the settlement of this conflict, “sent everyone in the woods,” so to speak.

The Turkish leader literally stated the following:

It is unacceptable that the Minsk Group is now demanding a ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh. They must demand that Armenia first withdraw from the occupied territories of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Quite bold words from a person who directly supports the military operation of Azerbaijan, and even said in relation to his two formal NATO allies. What gives reason for the "sultan" to take such a tough position?

At first, strictly speaking, international law is on his side. Legally, Nagorno-Karabakh remains a part of Azerbaijan, the independence of the Nagorno-Karabakh republic was not recognized by anyone, not even Armenia. Exactly also at any time Ukraine formally has the right to launch an offensive against the unrecognized DPR and LPR. The unresolved nature of such territorial conflicts carries with it the permanent danger of a recurrence at any time.

SecondlyDespite the importance of the United States, France and the Russian Federation, each of these countries to one degree or another depends on Turkey. For example, Washington is not at all interested in finally falling out with Ankara and losing the second strongest NATO ally. Paris reasonably fears Turkish expansion in North and Central Africa, but the "sultan" can open the "valve" at any time on the flow of migrants from the Maghreb to the Fifth Republic. The Kremlin depends on the complacency of President Erdogan over the functioning of the Blue Stream and Turkish Stream, as well as on the ceasefire in northern Syria. Therefore, it will not be possible to press hard on Ankara, it is necessary to negotiate with it, and the "Sultan" Recep himself understands this very well.

Thirdly, about the "sultan" this is not a joke at all. The ideas of neo-Ottomanism have become even more popular in Turkey against the backdrop of successes in Idlib and Aleppo, expansion in Libya and provocations against Greeks in the Eastern Mediterranean. In one way or another, both President Erdogan and President Aliyev are interested in the aggravation in Nagorno-Karabakh, who at the expense of "small and victorious" solve a number of internal political problems.

In addition, it is difficult not to see attempts to expand the joint influence of these two states in the South Caucasus. In Nagorno-Karabakh, the Turks and Azerbaijanis are doing by military force what they are already doing by "soft power" in Georgia. Expansion to this country has been going on for a long time. Georgian youth receive education in Turkey, including religious education. Ankara forms a loyal local elite by giving loans to the “right” people. The port city of Batumi is 70% owned by immigrants from Turkey:

The hotels, restaurants, hostels and fast food outlets in the area belong to the Turks. The staff is from Turkey, only the waitress girls from Georgia.

Azerbaijanis also try to keep up with them. Baku owns a local refueling and hotel business, shares in major enterprises, and conducts oil and gas transit through the country. In general, this ethnic group is dominant in the east of Georgia. In Tbilisi, some policy already now they fear that the Borchali Azerbaijanis may in the future raise the issue of returning "to their native harbor." In other words, we have a rather serious connection between Ankara and Baku, which have begun to pursue a coordinated foreign policy. Let us remind you that a week ago, the largest Turkish refinery owned by the Azerbaijani SOCAR announced a boycott of Russian oil.

All this cannot but cause serious concern. On the one hand, President Erdogan's active revanchist policy commands some respect. On the other hand, he is increasingly beginning to remind one historical character who came to power initially with approximately the same ideas. "Sultan" must be pacified as soon as possible for his own good and the good of the entire Turkish people.
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  1. Bulanov Online Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 2 October 2020 14: 45
    Georgian youth receive education in Turkey, including religious education.

    - What does she study there, and from whom? At the Istanbul Patriarch? Or in Turkish madrassas? If this is a part of Muslims, then in general Georgia was a Christian country until recently. Does it mean that Georgian youth went to Islam, spitting on the precepts of their ancestors? Or it is not worth generalizing with the term "Georgian youth".
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 2 October 2020 15: 03
      Quote: Bulanov
      Or it is not worth generalizing with the term "Georgian youth".

      There was no generalization. When they say that young people smoke and swear, it doesn't mean that they all do this.
  2. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 2 October 2020 14: 55
    The author continues to disappoint with his pseudo-analytical articles
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 2 October 2020 15: 01
      Who are the judges?
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 2 October 2020 15: 16
        You quote Erdogan's statement. I already wrote to you - you are fixated on Turkey. Look for the statements of I. Aliv. This is more informative.
      2. MCMLX Offline MCMLX
        MCMLX 6 October 2020 14: 15
        Quote: Marzhetsky
        Who are the judges?

        - Readers, probably.
  3. Aleksandr555 Offline Aleksandr555
    Aleksandr555 (Alexander555) 3 October 2020 01: 35
    Legally, Nagorno-Karabakh remains part of Azerbaijan

    Is it possible to consider the land occupied by people on which they live for 100 years and even before the jurisdiction of the people was formed separately from other nationalities? And what about the territory in which people lived long before someone appointed (and this still needs to be investigated) the territory for the chosen people? And the rest where? To a concentration camp? It already happened, and we know how it ends. Or can it still be considered the highest imperative not a legal document (concocted not yet known how), which does not take into account the right to life of ALL residents, but the inviolability of the very rights to life of everyone living in the territory?
    What does it mean "not to recognize independence"? - Recommend to those living there for 100 years not to have rights or to die? There are 50 nations in Russia and none of them is allowed to destroy the other, and as soon as some republics seceded (with the participation of a criminal conspiracy of the country's leaders), nationalist cleansing operations began. But, after all, the population has not gone anywhere, and people do not intend to die out. Therefore, the highest value is the life of local people, and the jurisdiction of the territories, which ignores the life and safety of the local population and comes into conflict with the right to life, will always endure changes. Either peacefully, or military, with mutual losses.

    Ukraine formally has the right to launch an offensive against the unrecognized DPR and LPR

    On what right? - to guarantee the death of one of the nations? If Ukraine did not manage to exterminate all the Russians in Crimea since the moment of its illegal squeezing by the Ukrainian Khrushchev in 1954, and in the Donbass (given away by Lenin), then most of the Russians living there, who did not want to become second-class, guided by the indisputable imperative of the right to life, changed “ fraudulent "jurisdiction for a favorable for the continuation of life and returned home to Russia. It would be nice to make conclusions. The right to life will always outweigh all other rights taken together and regardless of the balance of power. The USSR, which became the catalyst for the collapse of the world colonial system, after its collapse in 1991 again brought back the risks of its appearance. And the growth of nationalistic sentiments confirms the poor coupling of the fundamental conceptual foundations of development among different peoples. And even within the same country.
  4. MCMLX Offline MCMLX
    MCMLX 6 October 2020 14: 25
    And I agree with the main idea of ​​the author of the article.
    Turkey is skillfully wringing the territory of former Georgia from the Georgians with the help of the so-called. "Soft power"
    Nothing has been said here yet about the legions of missionaries of various sects, from "witnesses" and Scientologists, to the Salafists, who together are taking away independent Georgia for spare parts.