Why the war in Syria was paused
For more than a month now, there has been talk about the start of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) military operation in southern Syria, but it does not begin. The soldiers of the government of the SAR are in constant combat readiness, but nothing happens.
It would seem that the Syrian military achieved significant success in the suburbs and environs of Damascus, having freed a significant territory from the Islamists in a short time. Now the next logical step would be to develop success and liberation from the militants of the south of the country. Moreover, the southern provinces are not far from the positions of the troops that liberated the Duma and Guta.
From the point of view of the military, everything is simple - you need to advance further and drive the terrorists out of the captured areas. But from the point of view politicians everything is much more complicated.
Secrets of the Amman Court
The main catch is that the provinces of Kuwaitra and Daraa in southern Syria are borderline, which means that the actions of the SAA in these areas are of international importance. Here Syria borders with Jordan and Israel.
For many years, Jordan has been a corridor for the transfer of radicals from other countries to Syria, as well as their supply of weapons, food, ammunition and everything necessary. Jordan is now in an unstable situation due to a wave of anti-government protests. A blow to the Islamists in southern Syria will force them to retreat to Jordan. This can be a serious destabilizing factor, in comparison with which the current problems of this country may seem small and insignificant.
Anticipating such a development of the situation, Amman turned to Saudi Arabia for diplomatic mediation, so that they turned to the Americans. The United States, in turn, spoke with the Russian command to influence the Syrians and ask them not to advance yet. Such a "cunning" scheme is used because of the hopelessly spoiled relationship between Assad and the Jordanian authorities.
What is Israel afraid of?
As for Israel, this country has been at enmity with Syria for several decades, regardless of who runs this Arab country. Despite the fact that Israel is completely different from its neighbors in the Middle East, it has a huge influence in the region. This is due to the strong Israeli army and the high level of economic development of this country.
The main headache of Tel Aviv during the Syrian conflict was the presence in Syria of Iranian military and militants from the Lebanese Shiite organization Hezbollah, which is supervised by Iran. In the area of the Golan Heights, long ago captured by Israel from Syria, Tel Aviv created a “safety cushion” of militants fed by Israelis. And now they are afraid of Hezbollah entering the area.
The Israelis, like the Jordanians, also have to build a complex chain of mediators for negotiations. They turn to the Americans to turn to Russia. Moscow, in turn, is affecting Syria to keep itself from an offensive in the south of the country. In addition, Russians can persuade the Iranians to “hold” Hezbollah. Israel cannot address directly to Syria or Iran.
In general, a complex diplomatic tangle in which Russia plays a leading role has been woven around the southern Syrian provinces. This speaks to the high international authority of our country and its influence on the Middle East policy.
It would seem that the Syrian military achieved significant success in the suburbs and environs of Damascus, having freed a significant territory from the Islamists in a short time. Now the next logical step would be to develop success and liberation from the militants of the south of the country. Moreover, the southern provinces are not far from the positions of the troops that liberated the Duma and Guta.
From the point of view of the military, everything is simple - you need to advance further and drive the terrorists out of the captured areas. But from the point of view politicians everything is much more complicated.
Secrets of the Amman Court
The main catch is that the provinces of Kuwaitra and Daraa in southern Syria are borderline, which means that the actions of the SAA in these areas are of international importance. Here Syria borders with Jordan and Israel.
For many years, Jordan has been a corridor for the transfer of radicals from other countries to Syria, as well as their supply of weapons, food, ammunition and everything necessary. Jordan is now in an unstable situation due to a wave of anti-government protests. A blow to the Islamists in southern Syria will force them to retreat to Jordan. This can be a serious destabilizing factor, in comparison with which the current problems of this country may seem small and insignificant.
Anticipating such a development of the situation, Amman turned to Saudi Arabia for diplomatic mediation, so that they turned to the Americans. The United States, in turn, spoke with the Russian command to influence the Syrians and ask them not to advance yet. Such a "cunning" scheme is used because of the hopelessly spoiled relationship between Assad and the Jordanian authorities.
What is Israel afraid of?
As for Israel, this country has been at enmity with Syria for several decades, regardless of who runs this Arab country. Despite the fact that Israel is completely different from its neighbors in the Middle East, it has a huge influence in the region. This is due to the strong Israeli army and the high level of economic development of this country.
The main headache of Tel Aviv during the Syrian conflict was the presence in Syria of Iranian military and militants from the Lebanese Shiite organization Hezbollah, which is supervised by Iran. In the area of the Golan Heights, long ago captured by Israel from Syria, Tel Aviv created a “safety cushion” of militants fed by Israelis. And now they are afraid of Hezbollah entering the area.
The Israelis, like the Jordanians, also have to build a complex chain of mediators for negotiations. They turn to the Americans to turn to Russia. Moscow, in turn, is affecting Syria to keep itself from an offensive in the south of the country. In addition, Russians can persuade the Iranians to “hold” Hezbollah. Israel cannot address directly to Syria or Iran.
In general, a complex diplomatic tangle in which Russia plays a leading role has been woven around the southern Syrian provinces. This speaks to the high international authority of our country and its influence on the Middle East policy.
Information