How can Russia stop the APU offensive in the Donbass

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There are serious fears that during the days of the World Cup in Russia, Ukraine will launch an offensive in the Donbass. When at a press conference, Zakhar Prilepin asked Putin about Russia's reaction to such a development of events, the Russian President made it clear that we would not stand aside.





The governor of the Transcarpathian region, Gennady Moskal, known for his anti-Russian views, said that Ukraine must definitely return the Donbass by military forces. But at the moment she does not have sufficient resources for this. In his opinion, it takes years to prepare the offensive.

Expert Center Militarypolitical journalism Vladimir Orlov believes that Poroshenko owes his relatively comfortable existence to the Minsk agreements. After their signing, Ukraine was able to take a break and strengthen its armed forces.

A significant role was played by NATO assistance. Western experts helped prepare personnel. It should also be noted and military supplies. It is no secret that the Ukrainian army receives night vision devices, small arms, unmanned aerial vehicles, grenade launchers and much more from Western partners.

This modern equipment of the Armed Forces gives them a significant advantage over the armed forces of the Donetsk and Lugansk republics, which are armed and equipped mainly with what they managed to get in 2014-2015.

The lack of modern means in the armies of the DPR and LPR does not allow them, for example, to timely detect enemy DRGs, to fix the locations of Ukrainian artillery conducting shelling. It is also worth noting the advantage of the APU in quantity equipment and the number of troops.

But this advantage is offset by good training and high morale of the Donbass militias. It is also important that the soldiers of the unrecognized republics are in constant combat readiness due to regular provocations from the Ukrainian side.

On the other hand, Vladimir Putin made it clear that in the event of the start of full-scale hostilities, serious troubles await Ukraine, including the loss of statehood. This may be about the same operation to force the Ukrainian side to the world, which took place in 2008 in South Ossetia. A series of attacks from Russian territory on Ukrainian targets, for example, Caliber, is also possible.

The Ukrainian leadership, I think, understands that Putin is serious and will not throw words to the wind. This may deter Ukraine from rash actions. But, on the other hand, Poroshenko needs a victory in the upcoming presidential election at all costs. And to raise the rating there is nothing better than a "small victorious war." And if he decides that in any case he has nothing to lose, he can go to a serious aggravation of the conflict in the Donbass.
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  1. +1
    19 June 2018 15: 26
    Or maybe it's enough to wait until the Ukrainian Nazis drown the Russian Donbass in blood, maybe it's enough to bend over and look back at the Western "partners",
    but to warn the UN and the same "partners", and deliver them an ultimatum that from this date of such month and year, Russia will suppress and destroy all firing points of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the event of renewed fire on peaceful cities and villages of Donbass, according to civilians, women, old people and children. In this case, the accumulation of armored vehicles, RTO equipment, airfields with combat aircraft and helicopters, fuel depots and artillery depots, MTS warehouses, and other military infrastructure will be destroyed. This is what the United States did with the peaceful country of Yugoslavia, and in this case Russia has nothing to fear and no one, and we are no strangers to their hysterics, we will never be friends, but for our State, it is a shame to tears.
    1. +1
      19 June 2018 18: 43
      Yes, that would be right, but it would not have legal grounds. The West will raise a howl about interference in the internal affairs of Ukraine, etc. And he will be right. But if you first recognize the LPR and the DPR, then this will be assistance at the request of the legitimate governments of the republics.