"Gold" of Russian fields: what are the chances of Russia to become a great agrarian power


While the situation in the oil and gas market is not very encouraging, good news come from the agrarian sector of Russia. Prices for domestic grain continue to grow, already amounting to $ 220 per ton of wheat. Since the beginning of the season, growth has shown an impressive 8%. At the same time, Russian agrarians are beginning to capture new markets, taking advantage of the poor harvest from competitors.


The main markets for grain from Russian fields are Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. They are followed by Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Iran, Nigeria, Indonesia, Jordan, Bangladesh and Sudan. But now such new countries for domestic agrarians as Iraq and Algeria may be added to them. The latter is very significant, because France traditionally dominates the Algerian market. There is an explanation for such an offensive of Russian grain on a wide front.

At first, the summer drought has done its dirty work, which painfully hit our main competitors. The harvest, for example, in France was 26% lower than last year, and the lowest in the last quarter of a century. At the same time, the sown area decreased by almost 15%. It is not surprising that Algeria has reduced its requirements for grain quality and was forced to look for alternative suppliers, among which Russia was. Decreased productivity of corn and soybeans in the United States, as well as in Ukraine.

The abnormally hot summer with a snowless winter also negatively affected Russia, especially in the south. The biggest losses are expected for corn and sunflower. However, the real salvation was the large size of our country, located simultaneously in several climatic zones. The poor harvest in the southern regions was compensated by record harvests in the Volga and Central districts, as well as in Western Siberia.

Secondly, the high global cereal price was positively impacted by the coronavirus pandemic. Frightened by COVID-19, many manufacturers chose to keep their farmers' products in reserve, while consumers sought to increase purchases. As a result, the cost of wheat, corn and meslin rushed up, which cannot but please the Russians. Despite the negative forecasts, the total gross grain harvest in the country increased to 129,4 million tons. For wheat, the forecast is 82,5-82,6 million tons, for corn - 14 million tons, for barley - 20,7 million tons. Other grain crops will account for 12,2 million tons. At the same time, for the fourth year, domestic farmers have been holding the positions of the largest exporters, pressing down competitors from the European Union and the United States.

Taken together, this suggests that Russia has a very real chance to become a truly great agrarian power. Yes, domestic grain is slightly inferior in quality to the same French, but we can take our quantity. Further expansion of cultivated areas, investments in the construction of grain storage facilities and export infrastructure, as well as flexible policy in relation to quotas for the export of agricultural products. Decrease in revenues from the proceeds of "blue fuel" and "black gold" in the future may compensate for the "gold" of Russian fields.
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  1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 21 September 2020 14: 35
    0
    what are the chances of Russia to become a great agrarian power

    When gasoline and milk cost 40 rubles, that's just about the chances and one can only guess. With this level of education in our government, Russia will not be an agrarian power for a long time.
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 21 September 2020 14: 59
      -1
      in Venezuela, gasoline and water cost the same and no chance. you can not even guess ... and what the level of education of the government is worse in comparison with the cooks who ruled in the USSR? Selyuk Khrushchev ruled the whole country.
      1. Dmitry S. Offline Dmitry S.
        Dmitry S. (Dmitry Sanin) 21 September 2020 15: 42
        +1
        Already - not the same in price. In the USSR, beer cost 40 kopecks and 76 kopecks too. Nobody went to beer.
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 21 September 2020 19: 03
          -1
          where is your ussr? left ??? 40 beer did not save rats from fleeing.
        2. Yuri Alexeev Offline Yuri Alexeev
          Yuri Alexeev (Yuri Alekseev) 23 September 2020 09: 01
          0
          Beer cost 22 kopecks a mug and 76 gasoline 7 kopecks a liter.
    2. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 21 September 2020 17: 53
      +1
      Finally, Russia began to export grain, then the last century only bought grain, rejoice at success, and not grumble ... Of course, it is desirable to excel in more science-intensive areas ...
    3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 22 September 2020 11: 02
      0
      When gasoline and milk cost 40 rubles.

      In Crimea, now gasoline for 50, and milk for 70 rubles.
    4. Yuri Alexeev Offline Yuri Alexeev
      Yuri Alexeev (Yuri Alekseev) 23 September 2020 09: 11
      0
      Now, with an average salary, you can buy more milk than the average salary in the USSR. And the standard of living is now much higher than in the USSR, the only thing is that the social sphere in the USSR was much steeper than it is now, and everything else was worse.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 21 September 2020 16: 29
    -2
    Great Peremoga. Agrarian power that is.
    I remember that before, all the colonies were great agrarian powers. Grain, rubber, sugar - they were all taken to the metropolis ...

    Toto, an outbreak of Diabetes mellitus is coming - instead of meat proteins, carbohydrates of flour are shoved into sausage ...
    1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
      Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 21 September 2020 18: 07
      0
      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      I remember that before the great agrarian powers were all the colonies

      Gee. Since 1945, the largest exporters of bread have been the United States and Argentina.
      Colonies are needed to sell expensive goods produced in the metropolis. For example, Britain supplied common table salt to India. On the spot, its production was punishable by death (beaten with sticks).
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 21 September 2020 19: 36
        0
        Gee. Right. Division of labor.
        America and Argentina, and who are still large producers.

        But the colonies also worked. There are still pictures of famine in Bengal (??, I don’t remember exactly) and India, when the bread was exported to England in WW2 ...

        And there was famine in tsarist Russia, in Stalinist Russia, when bread also went west ...
        1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
          Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 21 September 2020 22: 48
          0
          The Stalinist famine was of purely administrative origin. If you look at the map, then it covered the grain-growing lands - Ukraine, the Volga region. A keen desire to exceed the plan. The non-black earth, the north, the cities of the same Ukraine - the famine did not affect. They collected the bread, reported, and since there was nowhere to store it, they dumped it into ravines and set up guards so as not to plunder state property.
          After all, I found the institute of "rangers" - caretakers, so that they would not carry brushwood from the forest, from the fields - burnt straw and spikelets, near artificial ponds - not to fish. 63-67 years ...
          1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
            Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 September 2020 09: 02
            +1
            Tse is true.
            However, around the same time, there were the famous dust storms in Oklahoma. This is to "origin".

            And about bread in ravines - this is already a fairly fresh version. Neither in the 90s nor in the 2000s they had not yet thought of this. (The Gulag just cries about these keepers, hearing this, probably already 15 version of hunger)
            1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
              Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 22 September 2020 12: 49
              0
              Well, Gorbachev was also from the cohort of "keepers. While the coupons were given 200 g of sugar for a month, whole trains with sugar and flour were deployed from the trading base - there is nowhere to unload. A classmate was in the warehouse, I know.
              When the ORS (workers supply department) was liquidated in 1986, Raykooptorg flatly refused to accept products from it. And they took condensed milk, stew, baked goods, sweets, sausage and butter to the landfill. The products were manufactured in 1964.
              1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
                Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 September 2020 13: 33
                -1
                Famously you download for times and themes!
                We didn’t have time to talk about ravines at 31m, but immediately about Gorbachev ...
                1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
                  Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 22 September 2020 15: 00
                  0
                  Unfortunately, the people who spoil our lives are the same at all times. Especially the Soviet ones. Collect, pile, and report. And then at least die, at least destroy the country. But the order is with me.
          2. 123 Offline 123
            123 (123) 22 September 2020 15: 49
            0
            The Stalinist famine was of purely administrative origin. If you look at the map, then it covered the grain-growing lands - Ukraine, the Volga region. A keen desire to exceed the plan. The non-black earth, the north, the cities of the same Ukraine - the famine did not affect.

            But what about Poland? Do they also have an administrative origin? It also looks like Stalin reached the United States .... Maybe the natural factor, too, should not be written off?
            1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
              Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 22 September 2020 18: 17
              +1
              Great Depression, huh? When money was withdrawn from peoples through shares, and then their debts were canceled through collapse.
              American farmers didn't know what to do with their food. Several billions from the state budget were allocated to help them - but the ransomed food was destroyed! Oranges and potatoes were poured with kerosene (and it was not a pity to spend money!), Milk was poured onto the ground, grain was burned in the furnaces of power plants. If only the deceived working people did not get anything.
              Stalin with his sloven careerists smokes modestly on the sidelines.
              1. 123 Offline 123
                123 (123) 22 September 2020 19: 26
                +1
                Great Depression, huh? When money was withdrawn from peoples through shares, and then their debts were canceled through collapse.
                American farmers didn't know what to do with their food. Several billions from the state budget were allocated to help them - but the ransomed food was destroyed! Oranges and potatoes were poured with kerosene (and it was not a pity to spend money!), Milk was poured onto the ground, grain was burned in the furnaces of power plants. If only the deceived working people did not get anything.
                Stalin with his sloven careerists smokes modestly on the sidelines.

                I have nothing against it.



                I mean, about the same years as we also had a drought.
    2. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) 22 September 2020 15: 45
      0
      Great Peremoga. Agrarian power that is.
      I remember that before, all the colonies were great agrarian powers. Grain, rubber, sugar - they were all taken to the metropolis ...

      That is, the USA and Canada have ceased to be our colony? smile
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 22 September 2020 22: 00
    -1
    Great Depression, huh?

    I did not expect such a revelation from you. And why are we in contradiction? And why are you defending Putin? The sooner Putin leaves, the sooner Putin's entourage will disappear. JUSTICE!! That's what PUTIN is missing !!!
  4. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 25 September 2020 12: 55
    0
    in Venezuela, gasoline and water cost the same and no chance

    Like you decided to show off your mind? And why is Venezuela, and not the UAE, where gasoline is also cheaper than water? And you say something else about education!
  5. Denis K Offline Denis K
    Denis K (Denis K) 29 September 2020 18: 24
    0
    Well, if the producers will get more money, then yes .... and so far most of the purchase ... but they build elevators, it means they are selling less from the root ..