Rahr: Lukashenka will soon turn his back on Russia


When the situation in Belarus returns to normal, President Alexander Lukashenko may again turn his back on the Russian Federation, and pro-Western and anti-Russian rhetoric will sound from his lips again. This opinion was expressed by the German political scientist Alexander Rahr on the air of the radio channel Baltkom.


Lukashenka often does the same thing. When the West pressures him on human rights issues, he seeks protection from the Kremlin. If Moscow hints at a reluctance to sponsor further the economy Belarus and the possibility of protecting Minsk through closer integration of the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation into the structures of the Union State - in this case, Old Man goes to the West and speaks of Russia's desire to "eat" Belarus

Rahr notes.

According to the expert, this has been happening for two decades, and Putin has long since "figured out" the behavior of his Belarusian colleague. The Russian Federation understands that a few months after the stabilization of the situation in Belarus, Lukashenka will again turn his back on Russia. However, there is no replacement yet.

But despite Alexander Lukashenko's desire to flirt with the West, Belarus is much closer to Russia than Ukraine. Therefore, in Minsk, a "Maidan" similar to the Kiev one is hardly possible. The Republic of Belarus is bound by various kinds of relations with the Russian Federation, and the West will not be able to intervene in the Minsk events as it did in Kiev. A change of power in Belarus according to the Ukrainian scenario is also impossible due to the absence of a strong opposition in Belarus, which requires the country to join NATO and leave Russia towards the EU. Thus, Russia is a guarantee of the West's non-interference in Belarusian affairs, the political scientist believes.
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  1. King3214 Online
    King3214 (Sergius) 7 September 2020 15: 08
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    The one who cheated once, will do it constantly.
    I hope the Kremlin understands this.
    And the "cunning" place of Lukashenka has long been prepared with an "answer" with a screw.
    1. Paramon Pictures (Paramon Pictures) 16 September 2020 17: 15
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      "... with a screw". Well used.
  2. Cheburashk Offline
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 7 September 2020 15: 20
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    And who doubts that Lukashenka will play his favorite game called multi-vector. If this is understandable and clear to ordinary people, then the Kremlin also understands this. But the question is that the Kremlin does not have a unified approach to decision-making with respect to Belarus.
    The situation in Belarus, in my personal opinion, suits Lukashenka quite well. They say that the AHL shows that he is the only one who can do a lot in the country (and this is so in fact), NATO does not threaten him at all (the country is a member of the CSTO), and he does not perceive protests as a threat at all, thinking that he will suppress everyone ( how is a separate question). I will say in one word: Tiananmen. But that's my personal opinion!
  3. nznz Offline
    nznz (Igor) 7 September 2020 16: 19
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    The Russian Federation will try to gain time - the main battle will begin after the Crafty Komsomol member, under pressure, agrees and changes the Constitution. Here the Russian Federation does not need to do anything. In connection with the new provisions, elections will be called. The evil one will pull as much as possible, working out the escape routes to the safe haven, this plays into the hands of the Russian Federation, because the longer it takes, the more opportunities to prepare the pro-Russian creature for new elections. And it is in this figure and under his guarantees that the Russian Federation will invest. Well, for example, a candidate can guarantee a reduction in utility bills (the Russian Federation will supply gas at a normal price), and, of course, the appropriate conditions will be set - the union state, recognition of Crimea, Ossetia and Abkhazia - the entire package.
  4. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 September 2020 16: 51
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    What did you want?
    Lukashenko is playing, Putin is playing, Deripaska is playing, and Abramovich is all the more playing ...

    And they will continue to play, not looking back at the "independent political scientists" on whom nothing depends ...
    1. Observer2014 Offline
      Observer2014 7 September 2020 23: 27
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      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      What did you want?
      Lukashenko is playing, Putin is playing, Deripaska is playing, and Abramovich is all the more playing ...

      And they will continue to play, not looking back at the "independent political scientists" on whom nothing depends ...

      I alone, probably, while they are all playing, I want to acquire a large-caliber sniper rifle. yes request So what to do?
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 8 September 2020 08: 41
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        And why talk about it? A chance to add statistics .... Boyarsky sang confidently even then!
  5. u-58 Offline
    u-58 (U-58) 8 September 2020 07: 33
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    We must wait for the meeting in Moscow.
    Negotiations may end in such a turn that the dad will have nowhere to retreat or turn towards 270.
  6. shinobi Offline
    shinobi (Yuri) 9 September 2020 15: 47
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    Well, Rahr talked and talked a lot. All these independent political scientists follow the profile of fortune-tellers. Take any newspaper of the beginning of the last century and compare it with what was written then before the First World War. There isn't much difference. We know how it all ended.
  7. Alexander Matrasov (Andrey Romanov) 16 September 2020 03: 35
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    Well, I won’t give a penny a broken one for his life for sure
  8. Paramon Pictures (Paramon Pictures) 16 September 2020 17: 18
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    We will stick with this barbel. How does Putin agree with him? Don't let yourself be cheated. Although twenty years "sucked"