"Venezuelan scenario" for Belarus: Western sanctions will start from BelNPP


The West is beginning to implement the "Venezuelan scenario" against Belarus, intending to strangle the regime of President Lukashenko economically. The first victim, apparently, will be the joint project of Minsk and Moscow - BelAES.


The Belarusian nuclear power plant is being built with Russian loans and domestic specialists. The launch of its first power unit is scheduled for this fall. When the second starts working, their total capacity will be 2400 MW. BelNPP will reduce the country's dependence on Russian gas imports. It is believed that the Kremlin chose this project instead of the promising Baltic nuclear power plant in the Kaliningrad region, which was supposed to make our western exclave energy-independent in order to economically tie Minsk to itself. Unfortunately, all these plans are now falling apart.

At first, it turned out that the calculations for an increase in electricity consumption in Belarus itself and in its European neighbors were too optimistic. The coronavirus pandemic has only exacerbated the existing negative trend, so the initial plans of President Lukashenko to sell electricity to Eastern Europe have undergone a serious adjustment, and loans will have to be repaid somehow.

SecondlyNeighboring Lithuania was sharply opposed, since the nuclear power plant is being built only fifty kilometers from its capital. Official Vilnius scares both its own citizens and the EU leadership with the new "Chernobyl", despite the fact that even Western experts confirm the safety of the BelNPP. Like us celebrated earlier, only the Maidan in Belarus can stop the construction of the power plant.

And so it came, "Belomaidan". "President" Svetlana Tikhanovskaya settled in Lithuania, the EU countries did not recognize the election of President Lukashenko as legitimate. Since the Kremlin has made it clear by creating a "reserve regiment" that it will not allow a violent overthrow of the authorities in Belarus, the West is starting to put economic pressure on the republic. BelNPP was chosen as the first victim, and the position of neighboring Latvia on this issue is very indicative.

Previously, the official Riga was very pragmatic. Latvia did not follow the lead of Lithuania, which demanded that it refuse to buy Belarusian electricity. Since it is not directly connected by power grids to Belarus, electricity trade has been moved to the border with Russia. Apparently, Riga intended to buy "electrons" from BelNPP through our country, and then resell them to the same Lithuania, earning as an intermediary. Latvia did not particularly look for trouble in relations in Minsk, probably counting on a further aggravation in the Lithuanian direction to receive part of the export flows from there.

Now everything has changed. Latvian Prime Minister Krisjanis Karins stated:

Latvia will stop trading in electricity with Belarus if the Belarusian nuclear power plant in Ostrovets is launched. Given the development of events in Belarus, concerns about nuclear safety are only growing.

It is quite significant that during the Ukrainian Maidan for some reason no one in Europe called for the shutdown of four nuclear power plants in Nezalezhnaya. Only about Belarus there were "concerns". In fact, this is a very disturbing signal. Such a radical change in Riga's position may indicate the preparation of Western sanctions against the official Minsk. It will be possible to forget about the sale of electricity abroad, then there will be nothing to give loans to Russia. They will likely begin to be restructured and gradually written off as part of friendly assistance. Belarus will have to build on surplus electricity on its domestic market, which will hit Russian gas exports to Belarus, which are already steadily declining in all directions. The BelNPP itself is at risk of becoming another energy megaproject, built with money from the federal budget of the Russian Federation, which will hardly ever pay off.

As for Belarus, the sanctions against the nuclear power plant can only be the first sign: after them, the export of oil products and potash fertilizers may fall under the restrictions, and this will deprive Minsk of foreign exchange earnings, making it the economy totally dependent on financing from Russia.
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  1. nov_tech.vrn Offline nov_tech.vrn
    nov_tech.vrn (Michael) 28 August 2020 12: 35
    +4
    First of all, Belarus needs a nuclear power plant, the cost of electricity from nuclear power plants is noticeably lower than any other type of generation, the industry of Belarus will receive a very serious help in increasing competitiveness. One thing can be said about the Baltic dwarfs - they, having no serious industry today, are of interest only for their geographical location, as transit zones. And bridgeheads for the deployment of all kinds of pro-Western forces. They bark loudly, they get paid well for it. This is widely used, for example - Sveta fled to the Balts for a reason. Poles stand separately, they have been playing their trump card "the Pole's card" for a long time. Basically, it is very beneficial in cross-border trade and gives certain preferences in obtaining education and settling in Poland.
  2. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 28 August 2020 12: 49
    +3
    It will be possible to forget about the sale of electricity abroad, then there will be nothing to give loans to Russia. They will probably begin to be restructured and gradually written off as part of friendly assistance.

    You can pay with assets. Enterprises, shares ..... The author, as usual, is a great pessimist. laughing

    Belarus will have to build on surplus electricity on its domestic market, which will hit Russian gas exports to Belarus, which are already steadily declining in all directions.

    What do you mean - have to? laughing The nuclear power plant was built for this purpose. I already introduced Lukashenka, signing an order with a sad face - to transfer power supply to enterprises from nuclear power plants, to reduce gas purchases ... and then a buy-in man's tear fell on paper ...
    As for the decline in gas sales "in all directions", what can be done - the European economy is literally collapsing, the level of the fall sets records. They, of course, are still far from Japan and the United States, but still .... they are not up to gas now.
    By the way, someone said that "our raw materials economy" will suffer much more, not that "theirs" are not raw materials and high-tech. repeat

    BelNPP itself runs the risk of becoming another energy megaproject, built with money from the federal budget of the Russian Federation, which is unlikely to pay off someday.

    In the course, you've already heard .. In the list of "forever not recouped" for the Power of Siberia, write it down. laughing

    As for Belarus, the sanctions against the nuclear power plant can only be the first sign: after them, the export of oil products and potash fertilizers may fall under the restrictions, and this will deprive Minsk of foreign exchange earnings, making its economy totally dependent on funding from Russia.

    There should be fanfare and fireworks at this point. Sechin pours champagne like a river, Mazepin dances lezginka with a bag of fertilizers in his teeth.
    1. Igor Pavlovich Offline Igor Pavlovich
      Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 28 August 2020 13: 18
      0
      We will keep this billion dollars by agreeing with Russia.

      Lukashenko and Putin came to the restructuring of the Belarusian debt - 14 hours ago.

      https://dp73.spb.ru/news-334972-my-u-sebya-etot-milliard-dollarov-dogovorivshis-s-rossiej-ostavim-lukashenko-i-putin-prishli-k-restr.html
    2. Dust Offline Dust
      Dust (Sergei) 29 August 2020 03: 06
      +2
      I completely agree with the author of the answer to the article!) I will add only from myself. Sanctions have properties to return like a boomerang! The Baltic tigers and Poland are subsidized entities sitting on the necks of the EU donor states! It remains to be seen who will lose more from the sanctions .... If Belarus redirects Chinese transit, its minerals to Russian ports, stops redirecting sanctioned products to Russia under its own label .... Then the Baltic States and Poland will have to knock out additional subsidies from the EU! They understand this very well, because of the virus, the EU budget has sagged, many countries are on the verge of bankruptcy. Even Italy was blacklisted ...
  3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 28 August 2020 13: 34
    +2
    Since the harvest of red rowan is abundant this year, the winter promises to be long and cold. Let's see how the proud Tribalts will be heated by solar and wind power. Greta Thunberg forbade them to heat with coal. Unemployed chimney sweeps went into a long binge ...
  4. bzbo Offline bzbo
    bzbo (Black doctor) 28 August 2020 14: 40
    0
    To remove transit from Tribalts to zero, and then cheap electricity will be taken with a whistle.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  5. Nishtyak, kilowatts will instantly go anywhere!