British newspaper: Putin prepares for the worst-case scenario in Belarus


In an unstable environment political situation in Belarus The Kremlin seeks to protect its influence in this country. Large-scale protests against the newly elected president are forcing the Russian authorities to think about what development of events in Minsk they need to be prepared for. British newspaper Financial Times writes about it.


For the Kremlin, the situation is complicated by the fact that there are few pro-Russian politicians and oligarchs in Belarus. Lukashenko even announced that he had enlisted Russia's support in the arrest of Viktor Babariko, the head of the Gazprom bank in Belarus, who tried to take part in the election campaign. However, he was not a confidant of the Russian authorities - Babariko was only a hired manager, and he was fired after attempting to get involved in politics.

The opposition coalition is incapable of defending the interests of the pro-Russian majority in Belarus, so Lukashenka may be more or less an acceptable option for the Russian Federation. If the Belarusian authorities put an end to violence and will not make mistakes, Russia will support the newly elected leader.

But at the same time, Putin is preparing for the worst-case scenario for the development of the situation in Belarus:

Although the Russian president may be ready to accept democratic processes in Minsk and stop the implementation of his integration plans in exchange for maintaining Belarus' dependence on Russia, the consequences for the Russian Federation can be very serious. Belarus will become an existential problem for the Kremlin

- noted the head of the Russian International Affairs Council Andrei Kortunov.

According to the expert, the ideal option for Russia could be the “Armenian model” of the revolution, when an old friend of Moscow was replaced by a protest person, but still loyal to the Kremlin.
Photos used: Raviaka Ruslan / wikimedia.org
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  1. Cheburashk Offline
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 21 August 2020 10: 18
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    But at the same time, Putin is preparing for the worst-case scenario for the development of the situation in Belarus:

    That's right, it's better to prepare for the worst (in relation to Belarus) than to run around like a fire and not know what to do. But the trouble is that Lukashenka is an unpredictable politician and master of his word (in a minute he can take him back). There are no openly pro-Russian politicians, so to speak, and whoever was a supporter of Moscow and did not hide it, that has long been removed from the case (transferred anywhere), unlike ardent supporters of the West and the EU (Makei alone is worth something).
    Russia has not worked with the people of Belarus for 26 years and it is, in fact, almost impossible to change anything now. Lukashenka will not give up power (to the question why there are several answers).

    Although the Russian president may be ready to accept democratic processes in Minsk and stop the implementation of his integration plans in exchange for maintaining Belarus' dependence on Russia

    As the saying goes, there are no questions, BUT how much will you pay for it?
  2. 1536 Offline
    1536 (Eugene) 21 August 2020 10: 20
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    So far, the existential problem for all citizens of Russia is the British Kingdom with its seeming desire to destroy our country.
  3. gorenina91 Online
    gorenina91 (Irina) 21 August 2020 11: 03
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    British newspaper: Putin prepares for the worst-case scenario in Belarus

    - "It seems they are not idlers ... - and they could live ..." ...
    - Well, what else is there to prepare for ... Personally, it seems to me that Law himself is already ready to leave ... - By the way this Law does absolutely nothing; does not carry out any actions as the head of state; but most likely ... - he simply perceives from the outside everything that is happening in Belarus ... - we can conclude the following:
    - Lo is already ready to relinquish the powers of the president and completely voluntarily distance himself from everything that is happening in Belarus ...
    - So ... - And what else is left for him ... - neither workers of large factories, nor miners, nor transport workers (auto, air and railway), nor farmers, nor health and social workers, nor university professors and school teachers, nor students and students of professional institutions ... - none of them took to the streets and in powerful numerous columns did not move to rallies and demonstrations in support of Lo ...
    - Where did they all go ... - these several million Belarusians who simply had to support their Lo ??? - Where are they???
    - On the streets there are only one bawler; euphoric youth who will bite their elbows tomorrow when they find themselves on the same streets, but already as unemployed ...
    - Personally, I am even just perplexed ... - how so ... - a completely stable, working and constructive state can be destroyed by such a primitive crowd of bawlers, a crowd that does not even know itself and does not fully understand what it is doing .. ...
    - It's so simple ... - and there is no whole state ...
    - Well, it's time for Lo to collect his belongings and fly to Russia ... - If in the next two or three days he does nothing and the Russian radical assistance is late and does not take place ... - then really ... - Lo will have to pack up his bags ...
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