Turkey will soon face a large military coalition of countries

The laws of the Universe are such that any action gives rise to opposition. Something similar can be seen right now in the Eastern Mediterranean. Active expansionist policy Ankara has led to the formation of a broad international anti-Turkish coalition.

To call a spade a spade, President Erdogan is trying to take "neo-Ottoman revenge", by any means returning the former provinces of the Great Port to his sphere of influence. De facto, Turkey has already annexed northern Syria, sent troops into Libya, where it redrawn the maritime borders in its favor. If the West somehow turned a blind eye to this, then the "run over" on the NATO ally in the person of Greece was clearly the last straw.

We are talking about a conflict with Athens over the status of several Greek islands that previously belonged to the Ottoman Empire, which we are talking about in detail told earlier. Control over the island of Kastelorizo ​​(Meisti) will give Ankara the right to claim the lion's share of the continental shelf, rich in hydrocarbons. For Turkish economicsexperiencing serious difficulties, it would be of great help. In violation of European norms, President Erdogan is sending research vessels there to carry out "seismic works." Since the Greeks consider such a violation of their sovereignty, the Turks accompany the "seismologists" with warships.

Given the extremely difficult historical relations with Greece, such a foreign policy of Ankara leads it to a potential violent clash with a NATO ally. Yes, the Turkish army and navy are very strong, but Paris has now openly taken the side of Athens. And not only limited himself to "deep concern," but also sent his navy and air force to the problem region, albeit in limited quantities, and also conducted joint military exercises with the Greeks. The latter are very pleased with such support, since France has one of the strongest armies in the world and is a nuclear power, which should reason with President Recep Erdogan, who has played with the "sultan". Why are several NATO members going against their ally at once?

At first, it should be recognized that the vital necessity of the North Atlantic Alliance in Turkey disappeared with the collapse of the USSR. During the Cold War, Ankara was a "buffer" covering the south of NATO and blocking the exit of the Russian Black Sea Fleet to the Mediterranean. The modern Russian Federation has neither such expansionist goals nor previous opportunities. Turkey has now turned from a reliable partner into a "toxic geopolitical player" for the EU, judging by the estimates of the French newspaper Figaro.

Secondly, apart from Greece with its islands, Ankara crossed the road at once to many other countries. With a "cavalry charge" in Libya, President Erdogan bypassed Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel, the United Arab Emirates, France. It is no secret that the Turks intend to take control of the natural resources of North Africa and the routes of their export to Southern Europe. Nobody likes such dependence on a "toxic partner" in Europe, just as hydrocarbon suppliers do not like it.

Thirdly, "Sultan" Erdogan "put a pig" on France personally. On the one hand, after gaining a foothold in Libya, the Turks will take under their wing all routes of transporting migrants from the Maghreb to the EU, primarily to the Fifth Republic, which will give them a powerful lever of pressure on Paris. On the other hand, from Libya, pro-Turkish groups will be able to begin expansion into the so-called "FranceAfrica", the former French colonies, the exploitation of which is one of the guarantees of the well-being of Paris, which we also discussed earlier in detail told.

At last, there may be a factor of personal hostility between Presidents Macron and Erdogan, since the latter allowed himself publicly impartial statements about his colleague.

As a result, before our very eyes, a coalition is being formed against Turkey, which de facto includes Greece, France, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Israel, which has joined them. It is known how the war ends on two fronts, and even on a remote theater of operations. Apparently, the "Sultan" Recep will soon begin to revive by joint efforts.
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 16 August 2020 13: 06
    since France has one of the strongest armies in the world

    In 1940, France showed how strong it was by surrendering to the Germans very quickly. It is not for them to fight with wild tribes in Africa. The French were blown away after Napoleon. All their heroes died in tsarist Russia. Since then, she has consistently lost in major wars. Unless they took Sevastopol for a short time, but they also sailed from there very quickly, without gaining a foothold. If one on one - then it is not known who will insert whom - France - Turkey, or vice versa. But in this case, Russia will not save the French, as in the 1st and 2nd world wars!
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 16 August 2020 13: 20
      In order for the gas and oil development of the most powerful deposits of the Levant waters to stall, it is necessary to reinforce Turkey in the confrontation, this is the interest of the Russian Federation. Support Turkey in the confrontation with the enemies of the Russian Federation, our natural actions of self-preservation and promotion of economic policy ...
      1. Binder Offline Binder
        Binder (Miron) 16 August 2020 18: 23
        Your comment, in my opinion, contains two serious mistakes. Firstly, no one, including the Russian Federation, can stop the development of hydrocarbons in the Eastern Mediterranean, and secondly, support for Turkey's actions cannot stop these developments - the Turks themselves are vitally interested in revenues from these fields.
        1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 16 August 2020 20: 30
          I explain: two sides collide, on one - Greece, Israel, Cyprus, Egypt, etc., the most competitive in terms of capabilities ... Against - Turkey and Libya, who want to seize more areas for production. The point is, not to allow someone's victory, and they will push each other not allowing work, not to mention laying gas pipelines and other things ... The Turks will also be hindered, the history is long and fraught with even small military clashes ...
          1. Binder Offline Binder
            Binder (Miron) 16 August 2020 21: 26
            It should be clear that it is the Turks who are trying to grab something in the Greek economic zone by sending a research vessel accompanied by naval ships, the Greeks, of course, do not want to endure this. These are the graters of the Turks with the Greeks and only one part of the matter, and there is another part. The construction of the EastMed gas pipeline is a reality in the near future; it will go from the fields on the Israeli shelf to Cyprus, and from there through Crete to Greece and further to Italy. And not a single, even the most arrogant, Turk like Erdogan will dare to prevent this. He will splash saliva, tear the last hairs on the skull, call on the wrath of Allah against the Greeks and Jews, but he will not be able to do anything. bully
    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 17 August 2020 06: 41
      Quote: Bulanov
      In 1940, France showed how strong she was by surrendering to the Germans very quickly. It is not for them to fight with wild tribes in Africa.

      This was a consequence of the shock after WWI. Then the French fought for several generations ahead ...
      Now, in general, a different era, when it is not necessary to sit in trenches for years and shove machine guns through a thorn.
      1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
        Bulanov (Vladimir) 17 August 2020 08: 53
        This was a consequence of the shock after WWI.

        The USSR, after WWI and GW, probably had more shock than France ...
    3. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 17 August 2020 10: 27
      Comment. France in WWII, according to the lessons of WWII, deliberately surrendered (the generals) and left the British alone to fight the Germans (as the French once suffered the main losses in WWII) ... There is a strategic surrender, and the Germans in France led not as conquerors, but as conscientious tourists and buyers (mutual understanding) ... Only De Gaulle (a Jew by his roots, so belligerent towards the Germans) saved the honor of France ... History always has its hidden side ...
      1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 17 August 2020 10: 29
        The note is intended for Bulanov's first comment ...
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  2. Jacques Offline Jacques
    Jacques (Jacques) 16 August 2020 13: 08
    Correct analysis.
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 16 August 2020 14: 57
    I can’t wait for at least someone to take revenge on the Turks for our pilots. And take no prisoners!
    1. Binder Offline Binder
      Binder (Miron) 16 August 2020 17: 54
      Is it not destiny or an intelligent upbringing that will allow us to?
    2. Barmaley_2 Offline Barmaley_2
      Barmaley_2 (Barmaley) 16 August 2020 21: 36
      The Turks, although very difficult and very muddy, but the ally of the Russian Federation and Turkey must enter the future united economic zone with the Russian Federation being built.
      1. Bitter Offline Bitter
        Bitter 16 August 2020 23: 07
        ... Turkey should enter the future unified economic zone with the Russian Federation being built.

        To do this, she will probably have to leave the European economic zone. I wonder if the Turks will be able to pay for gas and atomic energy if the Europeans take their industry somewhere, for example, to Ukraine? Then the Ukrainians will have a new economic miracle, and the Turks will probably have a Ukrainian Maidan with the secession of Kurdistan.
        1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
          Bulanov (Vladimir) 17 August 2020 09: 01
          ..if the Europeans take their industry somewhere, for example, to Ukraine?

          And where do the resources come from, from Russia? Then it would be better to bring the industry to Russia, as opposed to China. This is the only way to interest Russia not to help China, but to develop EU production on our own, Russian resources, in our country. The more resources remain in Russia, the less they will get from Russia to China! And in terms of logistics - it is cheaper to supply products to the EU from Russia than from China. But the EU will not agree to this - the toad will strangle!
          1. Bitter Offline Bitter
            Bitter 18 August 2020 00: 16
            ... it is better to bring the industry to Russia - as opposed to China. ...

            Not only to China, but also to the Americans. That in the light of the relationship between the Old World and the new, this does not work. But with Ukraine it is.

            ... The EU will not agree to this - the toad will strangle!

            The toad has nothing to do with it; rather, it has decades-old and well-established infrastructures, cash flows and political influence.
            And resources can be delivered in a "large circle" if the pipe "bends" straight.
            The question is, will the Turks agree to this? Do you think they all want to fight, and not make any goods for the same Europeans?
  4. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 16 August 2020 21: 09
    Well, wow, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE, France ...
    But what about this confrontation between Russia and Turkey, fellow Putin is simply obliged in Libya carry chestnuts from the fire put Erdogan in his place. am This is a slap in the face to Putin personally, and so on ...
    What has changed? Or have you read another article?
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 17 August 2020 06: 42
      Quote: 123
      Well, wow, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel, UAE, France ...
      But what about this confrontation between Russia and Turkey,

      One does not contradict the other.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 17 August 2020 07: 28
        One does not contradict the other.

        Parallel reality?
  5. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 17 August 2020 08: 05
    For Russia now in the Eastern Mediterranean there is such a situation ... - about which one can only dream ... - Two coalitions that have gathered to quarrel seriously ... - this is just an ideal option for Russia to pursue its own policy ... - This is " to help "this and that ... to get into this conflict as deeply as possible ... - If it succeeded ... - then Russia would somehow be able to recoup its failed policy in Syria ...
    - Today, the military conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean is simply beneficial for Russia ... - To do this, it is necessary to "stimulate" Erdogan in every possible way ... - to provide Russia with Turkey loans, to lend him new weapons, to promise to help in the "Armenia-Azerbaijan" conflict, etc. etc. and so on ... And the ambitious Erdogan will easily go to conflict ...
    - Well, on the other hand ... - to offer the same thing to another coalition ... - Greece and Egypt to offer supplies of new Russian fighters, tanks, MLRS, etc.
    - let them fight indefinitely ... And they will forget about the development of the shelf and the production of hydrocarbons ... forever ...
    - Wise Britain would do just that today (it has done so in all ages) ...
    - But, unfortunately ... - the weak political leadership of Moscow, headed by our guarantor ... - as always ... - will miss this convenient moment and will not take advantage of the situation ...
    - What can you do ... - to each his own ...