Czech press: Lukashenko realized that the end of his reign is near

The President of Belarus has ruled his country for more than a quarter of a century. But now his firm grip, apparently, has weakened - Lukashenko is beginning to understand that his rule is nearing sunset. This is argued by experts from the Czech edition of iROZHLAS.

At the beginning of the year, it seemed that Lukashenka’s power was a stronghold, not subject to the trend of fleeting political winds. But everything was changed by the coronavirus pandemic and the decision of the Belarusian leader to ignore the rampant disease in the country. Alexander Lukashenko began to dissemble about the number of victims, which alienated many of his former admirers. He lost part of his popularity also because he insisted on holding a parade in honor of the victory of the USSR in the Great Patriotic War on May 9, 2020 - and this despite COVID-19. The head of the country began to lose popularity even in regions where his support was traditionally strong.

As a result, the rating of the President of Belarus fell to 1-3 percent. At the same time, his main rivals in the presidential campaign are gaining popularity - about half of the population are ready to support Viktor Babariko, 12 percent are Svetlana Tikhanovskaya.

According to Russian economist and liberal Vladislav Inozemtsev, if Lukashenko wins the elections on August 9, this could end in a “color revolution” in Minsk. It is still difficult to judge its possible results, but it is likely that the current head of state will suppress popular unrest by force. If the events develop according to the Ukrainian version, this will hit Putin’s prestige, which received support at a recent vote on amendments to the Constitution of the Russian Federation.
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  1. Piramidon Offline Piramidon
    Piramidon (Stepan) 8 July 2020 14: 05
    As a result, the rating of the President of Belarus fell to 1-3 percent.

    Would bark less at Russia, rule longer. But it is far from certain that this "rating" will affect the vote count at the elections.
  2. anakost Offline anakost
    anakost (Andrei) 8 July 2020 14: 20
    According to the Russian economist and liberal ...
  3. Gennady1959 Offline Gennady1959
    Gennady1959 (Gennady) 8 July 2020 15: 19
    Russia, represented by Putin and Lavrov, did everything they could to lose Ukraine and Belarus. The rest left even earlier. The fact is that they (the Russian leadership) are used to working with the elite and do not know how to communicate with the people. Where are the pro-Russian NGOs? Where are the pro-Russian public organizations? Where are the state programs to attract Belarusian youth to the Russian side? Poles do it all. "Pole's Card", which gives many rights to the holder on the territory of Poland up to permanent residence and citizenship, free higher education (what are they preparing for friends of Russia?), Religious, social, sports organizations and associations focused on Poland.
    And Russia sits and clicks its beak. We (Putin-Lavrov) will give Lukashenko cheap gas and he will love us 3 times, call him brothers or sisters.
    For that fought for it and ran.
    Complete unsuitability of the Russian leadership.
    1. bzbo Offline bzbo
      bzbo (Black doctor) 8 July 2020 16: 27
      They didn't go away. They went far, far. You put it further - you take it closer. The dumber and more uneducated the "younger brothers" become, the more they will love. And Poland as well. And if it will be used for a war with Russia, then the fourth partition of Poland will already be divided into atoms ...
    2. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 8 July 2020 16: 36
      Yes, they (Putin and Co.) never really bother with friendship, for them the main thing is mercantile issues. Maybe this is right now, we are already living under capitalism.
    3. Observer1 Offline Observer1
      Observer1 (Anatoly) 9 July 2020 12: 13
      Gennady1959, you, if this is your year of birth, should be more experienced in simple life situations than what you wrote about.
      An ally is not one who takes your side for a small fraction, but one who thinks like you and has the same attitude, he is your like-minded person and therefore an ally.
      All you are talking about is buying an ally. Russia did the same and eventually got dependents, not allies, which applied to both Ukraine and Belarus. There will be cheap gas - oil - there will be friendship. There are none - and we see what is now.
      See how the US works. She offers nothing to anyone, she respects herself and this makes everyone look into her mouth with all the impoverished beggars.
      Russia has now decided to switch to the same maneuver. Want to be an ally - be it, no - go out.
      And immediately supporters appeared - And Serbia, and Venezuela, and Syria, and Saudi Arabia became interested, and Turkey, and Nicaragua, and Cuba, and Vietnam, and Egypt, and Libya, etc.
      You say, well, these are the countries of the third or even the fourth world, but before that they looked into the US mouth, and from the USSR they demanded only money and write-off of debts. And now they offer themselves under the protection of Russia. This is completely different - this is a recognition of her status and this desire to have a powerful ally. In order for this ally to take them under the wing, they will turn inside out and without money.
      So what Putin and Lavrov are doing right and on time. NPO and all propaganda bravado is a matter of future time, but now it is necessary to understand, XU is who, and Who is XU. Here Lukashenko showed himself in all its glory pseudo-ally. So 1-3% is still a lot, because not only we Russians, but also Belarusians are not complete craps. It is necessary to communicate with them and act for them, as for relatives, and not as it is now. I need your voices - you are my countrymen. The election is behind - who are you? Citizens, here do what is appropriate and do not meddle with me.
      Well, somewhere like that. And the result is obvious. Read the title of the article.
      1. Gennady1959 Offline Gennady1959
        Gennady1959 (Gennady) 20 July 2020 14: 36
        Have you heard the term "soft power"? It doesn't take much to wave fists, threaten with tanks, missiles. To take the country so that it wants it and strives into your arms - this is where the mind and planning of a slightly higher level are needed than "how much dough will we transfer to offshore companies in this quarter."

        Mind does not understand Russia,
        After all, the mind accepts harmony.
        Why seek harmony
        If the blood boils and the mind slumbers

        Y. Ivanov
    4. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 10 July 2020 00: 38
      What you have described is done by all civilized countries.
      1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
        A.Lex 10 July 2020 11: 37
        "Civilized" countries, at one time, were engaged in slavery ... do not equate Russia with these "civilians" ...
        1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 10 July 2020 19: 33
          Now the time is different. Do not find fault with individual words. Or do you disagree with the fact that the Russian authorized persons were little involved in Ukraine, which led to sad consequences?
          1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
            A.Lex 12 July 2020 21: 50
            Why do we need this Bandera ??? Why work with them? In any case, they would become killers. This is the mentality of a zapadenets, which means a mutated Little Russian killer. For such - that kill a pig that human ...
            1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 12 July 2020 22: 22
              Where is Bandera? In Belarus? It seems you are completely confused. Or you have such a mentality, judging all people by individual people. But this is a pathology, not much different from Bandera.
              1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                A.Lex 13 July 2020 10: 13
                What kind of ALL the people - I'm specifically talking about zapadenschina. And about "all of Ukraine" ... a country that sits and is silent when it is raped by Ukrainian Nazism, living according to the principle "my house is on the edge", so long as they don't touch me - this is an indicator. When in Kharkov and other cities concerned people tried to resist the coup (and this is a very small number of outraged) and when they were all suppressed - WHERE IS THE SUPPORT OF THE POPULATION ???
                1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 13 July 2020 19: 32
                  You write: "why do we need Ukraine." In the past, they did not reason like that, but worked with the population in order to overcome negative qualities in people. How effective such work was is a matter of a separate conversation. But you propose simply to take and separate from the whole region, instead of changing the methodology, continue to work on attracting to your side. Nazism is a dangerous thing, and it turns out to be a very contagious precedent without censure and punishment from the authorities. But here you are again mistaken, speaking about the support of the population of measures to prevent the coup. This should be done by the authorities of this or that state, and not by the population. If the Ukrainian authorities did not manage to solve the impending problems in the pre-maid period, then the Russian authorities were quite capable of it, but ...
                  1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                    A.Lex 23 July 2020 18: 26
                    Sergey, you say change the methodology? Nuuu ... we can change - DESTROY NAZISM, as we ended up in 1945. For Nazism (like nationalism) is subject to unquestioning destruction.
                    In the meantime, why do we need riotous freaks? Let them continue THERE BY YOURSELF to multiply each other by zero ... And the rest of the population (if they are satisfied with this power, and they sit exactly on the priest), let them eat it with ladles - it suits them, as they did in 1991-92 years). We somehow got sick with this infection and we don’t need the INFECTED for nothing. We have our own abnormal - a carriage and a small cart ... we could handle them - stick them back in the stall ...
                    1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 23 July 2020 19: 25
                      Why did you write all this?
                      There are not many Nazis in Ukraine and they adhere to such views as long as Uncle Sem pays them. You rightly noted, and we have some that exist for a similar reason as in Ukraine. But this in no way applies to this article, which is being discussed here.
                      1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                        A.Lex 23 July 2020 20: 16
                        changing the technique,

                        - so I wrote to you about the technique. What doesn't suit you? There is only one cure against Nazism and nationalism - death. The IVS once regretted the shortcomings and one of the reasons for the collapse of the USSR was the penetration of the Banderaites into the CPSU and the power structures - first the Ukrainian SSR, and then in the Union in general.
                      2. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 23 July 2020 22: 40
                        All world experience shows that your technique gives the opposite result. In Europe this was understood long ago. The more someone does political cleansing, the more opponents you make for yourself. And it will not matter to others for what good and noble goals you are doing this.
                        Moreover, I do not understand your run over the nationalists. More recently, the leader of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation proposed to unite the communists with the nationalists. Strange, in this case, the picture comes out. It turns out that those communists should be sentenced to death for their ties with nationalists, while not forgetting to deal with the nationalists themselves? Delirium turns out.
                      3. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                        A.Lex 26 July 2020 22: 50
                        Leader of the Communist Party? Is he the ultimate truth?
                        Well, now your position has become more or less clear to me - you are justifying the nationalists (and they are not far from the Nazis - almost side by side). Well ... I have no more questions for you, because for me what is a Nazi, that a nationalist is almost the same thing. And the cure for this infection, as I said, is death. Otherwise, they will cut you alive with a saw (you can see that suits you), or they will shove their heads into the fire alive (again) ... Excuse me - I am not on the way with you, you are our compromiser ... God bless you to experience what they have done and are doing to this day ... maybe in the end it will become clear to you that it is not possible to come to an agreement with the unclean ...
                      4. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 27 July 2020 01: 13
                        In one thing I can agree with you, the leader of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is not a decree for me either, but his words have at least some meaning. What you don't have. And I come to this conclusion for a reason. For on what principles you are going to unite people - it is not clear. In the old days, one could try to unite people on internationalism. But two world wars and many conflicts have proved that internationalism as such is "a fictitious, phantasmagoric, mythical, abstract geometric world," as the Russian philosopher Berdyaev wrote back in the middle of the 20th century.
                        And also:

                        They accept any criticism as a conspiracy and an offensive by the evil forces of capitalist reaction. Marxists-communists in a Manichean way divide the world into two parts: the world, which they want to destroy, is ruled by an evil god for them, and therefore in relation to it all means are allowed. There are two worlds, two camps, two faiths, two parties. This is a military division. There is no variety; variety is the invention and cunning of the enemy. Also, the cunning of the enemy, who wants to weaken the struggle, any appeal to universal human morality, Christian or humanistic. Therefore, a magic circle is formed, from which there is no way out.

                        Today, many decades later, when the world has changed more than once, both mentally and technologically, these words are still relevant.
  • Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 17 July 2020 14: 51
    What do you want from Mendel, Mishustin, Laverman, Chubais, Nabiullina, Mutko .. Fridmanov, Mikhelsonov, ... this Semitic circle is collectively robbing the state with mutual support, the people in poverty, with billions of dollars in budget surpluses ... So they will rob to the last, then they will run to the trillions already withdrawn - these are the main concerns of the Kremlin prisoners and the government ... The rest are allowed to steal in millions so that they do not get indignant, but this is already a trifle ... Therefore, there is no justice, programs are not executed, there is no rotation of cadres of the main coffers, and everything is under cover already twins of V.V. Putin ...
  • gorenina91 Online gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 8 July 2020 17: 29
    As a result, the rating of the President of Belarus fell to 1-3 percent. At the same time, his main rivals in the presidential campaign are gaining popularity - about half of the population are ready to support Viktor Babariko, 12 percent are Svetlana Tikhanovskaya.

    - Personally, I have a cursory glance at the data of these new "candidates" ... - Neither one nor the other ... - absolutely not suitable ...
    -First by the sign of the zodiac - "Scorpio"; and the second - "Virgo" ... - Belarus already has one "Virgo" ... - this is Lukashenko ... - "Virgo" is generally not suitable for occupying the highest post in the state ... - she must always to obey someone ... - Here - maybe a "deputy" of the high authorities ... - to carry out assignments, etc ...
    - And to be the head ... - for this she is not suitable ...
    - The same thing - and "Scorpio" ... - This sign of the Zodiac cannot be the head of state ... - he has too strong personal ambitions and vindictive very insidious inclinations, from which others will first of all suffer (unjustified persecution, repression, etc.) ... - In "Scorpio" this is in the first place, and everything else (government) ... - in the background ...
    - But it is precisely such and such "leaders" that the "Western leaders" in Belarus can try to push through, so that later it would be easy to govern Belarus and so that it would be easier to push its economy, social and political status ... to the level of Ukraine ...
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    2. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 10 July 2020 00: 36

      personal ambitions and vindictive, very insidious inclinations, from which others will first of all suffer, are too strong.

      - just like Vladimir Ilyich’s, and the description is exactly the same.
    3. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex 10 July 2020 11: 39
      ... choose the leadership of the country according to the zodiac sign? ... ndaaa ... Ira in her repertoire ... fool
    4. Rashid116 Offline Rashid116
      Rashid116 (Rashid) 13 July 2020 09: 03
      Prior to this commentary on everything that you wrote, I was neutral, in some things I even supported it. Well, what - Virgo, Scorpions, are you seriously?))))
  • RFR Offline RFR
    RFR (RFR) 8 July 2020 23: 54
    His grip is grandmother and desire of Moscow, there is no desire and grandmother - there is no grip ...
  • Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 10 July 2020 00: 33
    Why would the rating of Lukashenko fall? I especially liked the phrase:

    According to the Russian economist and liberal.

    - that says it all.