Chinese railway bypasses Russia


Beijing continues to increase its influence in the post-Soviet space. After two decades of approvals and delays, the project for the construction of the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway was activated. This initiative of the Celestial Empire is very ambiguous.


In general, the project fits into the general concept of “One belt - one way”. The Chinese leadership rightly fears that in the event of a complication in relations with Washington, its sea trade will be blocked, therefore, it is building alternative land routes to the main markets. The shortest railway route to Europe from China lies through the territory of Kazakhstan and Russia. The main problem is the relatively low throughput of BAM and the speed of movement of goods.

In principle, it should be solved by an alternative highway through Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan further to Turkmenistan, Iran, Afghanistan and Turkey with access to Europe. The path is not long, and there are problems with some transit countries. For example, the Kyrgyz authorities were opposed to switching to a narrower gauge from the Soviet standard. In exchange, Chinese lobbyists promised Bishkek a guaranteed income from transshipment of goods in the amount of $ 200 million per year. However overall economic the expediency of this route bypassing Kazakhstan and Russia is in doubt. Thus, an expert on infrastructure issues in Central Asia, Kubat Rakhimov, explains:

There can be no talk of any transcontinental rail transit from China to Europe through Kyrgyzstan. Think about it, there will be eight state borders on the route, two wheel pair changing procedures: first on the Kyrgyz-Chinese border, then on the Turkmen-Iranian border, and two more ferry crossings in Turkey through Lake Van and through the Bosphorus.


Indeed, it turns out a very long logistic leverage and a lot of overhead costs that will make the goods transported, if not “gold”, then “silver”. Moreover, as the expert notes, neighboring Kazakhstan is able to put sticks in the wheels of a competing project, simply by lowering transit tariffs on its own railway network. So simply Nur-Sultan will not give up its positions. At first glance, instead of the “New Silk Road”, something obscure is obtained. But there are other explanations for this initiative.

At first, the railway is a “projection of economic expansion,” as it once was when exploring the vast expanses of America and Russian Siberia. The highway will be built by a Chinese company. The idea was voiced that, in exchange for Kyrgyzstan, Beijing would be provided with the territory and resources of the country for their development for the next 50 years. This information has already caused outrage among the local population and a number of independent experts. If the railway is used not so much for transit to the EU as for the export of raw materials from the countries through which it passes, this can explain a lot.

SecondlyIt’s hard not to see her military purpose. Amid worsening relations with the United States, Beijing is clearly not against “cutting a window” into Iran. Both the PRC and the Islamic Republic can be easily blocked from the sea by the American navy, so the opportunity to acquire land reliable communications between them is worth a lot. Last year, it was reported that Beijing invested $ 280 billion in the Iranian oil and gas sector, and intends to invest another $ 120 billion in its transport infrastructure.

Russia cannot interfere with China in its projects. It remains for our country to observe how the Chinese are increasing their expansion in the post-Soviet space. Moreover, last year Moscow itself allocated 200 million rubles for a feasibility study of the highway route, which was supposed to take into account the interests of both Beijing and Bishkek. Such is geopolitics.
Photos used: Valery L. / wikimedia.org
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  1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 June 2020 11: 25
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    China can’t build a road ... Russia can’t stop this, but it’s all gone))) I’ve screwed up with oil forecasts, now I’ve started to vandalize the Chinese ... an “expert” is a kitchen expert.
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 26 June 2020 12: 39
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      Quote: Sergey Tokarev
      screwed up with forecasts for oil, now he began to scam the Chinese ... "expert" is a kitchen.

      Oops, where did I screw it up? Are you out of your mind at all? Everything turned out exactly as I wrote.
      Do you have "brain putinosis" or something?
      1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
        Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 June 2020 15: 56
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        The USA is flourishing, the Arabs have won, Russia is in ...?
      2. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 26 June 2020 19: 00
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        Oops, where did I screw it up? Are you out of your mind at all? Everything turned out exactly as I wrote.

        It has long been a laudatory ode from you to the victorious US oil war and the Saudis. yes In the USA, if anything, they drill 63% less than last year, April-May production decreased by 5%.

        https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/Current/default.htm
      3. Sapsan136 Offline
        Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 26 June 2020 23: 26
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        Sergei, the Chinese are not sending their rockets at us, at least for now, but there is already US expansion in the post-Soviet space with American weapons deployed on the borders of the Russian Federation and the Yankees are no longer embarrassed to call the Russian Federation an enemy ... That’s what we should be afraid of today .
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 26 June 2020 11: 50
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    Just in VO the link to the article "Grozin explained why the Soviet Union did not want to develop Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan."
    Beijing is gaining influence wherever it reaches. Road + Fossils + Trade +

    .... Moscow itself allocated 200 million rubles for a feasibility study of the route of the highway.

    It's time to introduce Chinese at school, but alas, alas ...
  3. Badger Offline
    Badger (Dmitriy) 26 June 2020 11: 58
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    Bullshit! The Chinese know how to count money, and Russia is China's most reliable partner in the West! And the closest way to Europe is through Russia!
  4. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 26 June 2020 12: 29
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    It remains for our country to observe how the Chinese are increasing their expansion in the post-Soviet space. Moreover, last year Moscow itself allocated 200 million rubles for a feasibility study of the highway route, which was supposed to take into account the interests of both Beijing and Bishkek. Such is geopolitics.

    - Yes, such a lackey, politely accommodating to China and treacherous to her own interests policy ... - Russia would be better off spending these 200 million on building housing for the victims of the fire and losing their homes during the floods of the Russians; as well as for those who live in dilapidated emergency houses in Russia ... - But for Russia, the main thing ... is, first of all, to maximize everything that is beneficial to China ... - It has become just a "national idea" For Russia...
    - In the subject:

    FT: Moscow already pays high price for friendship with Beijing

    - Personally, I have already spoken out about this ... - This is just a tragedy for Russia ...- in everything to please and grovel in front of China ...
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 June 2020 15: 58
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      And is Russia obliged to save all the victims of the fire without insurance? Maybe subtract the cost of the house from your pension ???
      1. gorenina91 Offline
        gorenina91 (Irina) 26 June 2020 16: 39
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        ... and Russia is obliged to save all the victims of the fire without insurance? Maybe subtract the cost of the house from your pension ???

        - Do you pretend or don’t really understand that we are talking about people who lost their homes during the massive fires, who were liquidated with great difficulty last year ... - Have you heard about this ???
        - Why are you here ... here you naughty and break the comedy ... ??? - Such a "brave" ... and "courageous" ... - Here you go, and wallow in front of those "fire victims" ..- comedy and ... portray yourself as "incomprehensible" ... - if you have enough courage ...
        - Wow ... he is still ...- Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) ... - how decent ...
        - And how would he howl now when he would get into that situation .. ??? - When both the houses burned down, the cattle burned out, the vehicles burned down, and all the acquired property went to dust ... - even the land burned out .. . - Take a ride and look at these ashes ... - they have not gone away ...
        - And then it breaks here ... Vanka ... - "Brave" ..
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 27 June 2020 20: 29
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          And what are you combing here for me? Can you read??? In case of fire, there is insurance, not a state obligation. Dali - well, but could not give. Who set fire to that compensation and ask. There are thousands of Pogorelts every year, so what - will everyone be given new housing for an outstanding cigarette butt and rotten wiring? Tell the Americans that the state should give them new housing after the hurricane ... it puts pressure on pity. Then your fire victims will turn their nose away from new housing ... not those wallpapers, not those windows, etc.
  5. Eduard Aplombov Offline
    Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 26 June 2020 16: 24
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    Narrow-eyed money has nowhere to go, so they build roads and roads, hoping that some will either shoot or help in the event of force majeure, moreover, they build on their own, that is, funds are returned, and the sheep are safe and the wolves are full .
    It’s perhaps not entirely justifiable for us to charge all the comrades ’traffic on our railroad tracks, so we haven’t agreed. They will open the Northern Sea Route, then there will be further agreement on what.
    Transit routes through Russia are the shortest and cheapest, but only should be on our terms.
  6. Oyo Sarkazmi Online
    Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 27 June 2020 13: 04
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    Kyrgyzstan is continuous mountains, which means tens of kilometers of tunnels and space volumes of excavation of rocky soil. And it borders with Uyguria, into which from the Han people there is only one railway.
    And one railway already exists - through Friendship to Kazakhstan, with access to Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan-Iran. Also not a gift, a single track in a continuous desert. Transfer it to a two-track, upgrade Turksib (from Alma-Ata to Tashkent there is already a two-track). And what is the result? Drive goods through the Uyghurs, Kazakhs, Uzbeks, or through the Russians - immediately to the capitals of Europe.
    Nothing will happen. What is urgently needed - through the Russians. Which is not urgent to the north - NSR, that slowly to the south - through Suez. Without any space cap. attachments.
  7. So what's so scary? Do tea houses need to build a railroad to Uzbekistan through Ryazan?
  8. Rusa Offline
    Rusa 1 July 2020 07: 36
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    The most reliable, profitable and safest way to the EU for China is through the Russian Federation.
    According to the Russian rut. But, does the Russian Federation need such a load on railways and the environment?