Polish media: Why Russia silently agreed to pay Warsaw $ 1,5 billion

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The Polish conservative liberal weekly Do Rzeczy decided to find out why Russia silently agreed to pay Warsaw 6 billion zlotys (about $ 1,5 billion) by decision of the Stockholm arbitration against the backdrop of serious problems with the completion of the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline.

Has the Russian energy weapon lost its effectiveness? Or maybe this is a harbinger of another offensive? So do not rejoice ahead of time: Moscow can play a much more complex game than it seems at first glance.



More recently, the construction of Nord Stream-2 was nearing completion, but Washington intervened, and the project was halted. Now the Russians are waiting for permission from the Danes to use ships with an anchor positioning system. Copenhagen will probably grant such permission. Also, the pipeline may experience various bureaucratic problems during the commissioning process. But even postponing the date the gas pipeline was commissioned is beneficial for Poland.

As for the decision of the Stockholm arbitration, before the end of June 2020 Gazprom promises to return the money to the Polish PGNiG, which surprised many. On the one hand, it is a success. But on the other, the Russians can appeal the decision, and then the Poles will have to return part of the money received.

Noteworthy is the sudden coercion of the Russians. According to some experts, Gazprom began to treat Warsaw as a full-fledged client due to the diversification of gas supply sources by the Poles.

Other experts believe that Gazprom’s actions, following the arbitration award, demonstrate its civility and predictability. This is necessary for the company to look at Gazprom in Europe not as a “thug” with a “gas gun”, but as a normal predictable Western-style company. After that, Europeans may well think that the real problem for them is not Russia, but the United States.
12 comments
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  1. King3214
    King3214
    +3
    23 June 2020 23: 23
    Who is regarded as a "thug" is the United States. And on Poland as a six "thug".
    What will be done with Poland after the United States is deflated, one can only guess ....
    And the 4th partition of Poland may seem good to the Poles, but I would not be so complacent.
    1. Cherry
      Cherry
      +2
      24 June 2020 16: 50
      Who is regarded as a "thug" is the United States.

      Something is inconspicuous for the United States to look like that. So far they only look into the mouth.
  2. gorenina91
    gorenina91
    0
    24 June 2020 06: 48
    More recently, the construction of Nord Stream 2 was nearing completion, but Washington intervened, and the project was halted. Now the Russians are waiting for permission from the Danes to use ships with an anchor positioning system. Copenhagen will probably grant such permission. Also, the pipeline may have various bureaucratic problems during the commissioning process.

    - No, well, when I personally write about all this quite concretely and reasonably ...- personally they put a bunch of minuses to me ...
    - But then everything unfolds just like that ... as personally, I assumed all this ...
    - Well, and what specifically concerns the decision of the Stockholm arbitration; then this is another, to put it mildly, another spit in the physiognomy of the near and poorly educated Gazprom ... - And there will be a great many more such spits in the physiognomy of this miserable ... - And Gazprom has already got used to it and even is already tuned to it ...- just the deal with the end will disappear ...- it’s a bribe from it ... - Russia has got used to it already ...- to pay with the money of its Russian taxpayers for all these illiterate actions of Gazprom ... - So it happened ...
    1. master2
      master2
      0
      24 June 2020 21: 11
      Well done, at least one sober opinion without "Hurray for patriotism", put +.
  3. Netyn
    Netyn
    0
    24 June 2020 07: 28
    Quote: gorenina91
    I write about all this quite concretely and reasonably

    And where in this sheet is at least one argument, or at least a hint of specificity?
    PS Stop whining about the minuses in every comment.
    1. gorenina91
      gorenina91
      -3
      24 June 2020 07: 43
      And where in this sheet is at least one argument, or at least a hint of specificity?
      PS Stop whining about the minuses in every comment

      - It follows from this that I am familiar with my comments; so familiar with my earlier arguments ...
      -So why then whine here about that ... supposedly "where are the arguments" ...
  4. Bakht
    Bakht
    +1
    24 June 2020 09: 00
    Planning for a month-quarter-year is the lot of short-term managers. The Poles chased a tit and lost a crane.
    There is no need to wait for "US deflation". Recently, the Bulgarian "partner" was explained on the fingers.
    Stockholm arbitration pegged gas prices to spot prices at a Dutch hub. Now there is a price of about 60-65 dollars per thousand cubic meters. No shipping cost. What happens if the price rises? There are no long-term contracts. Poland (Bulgaria, Ukraine) will have to buy at spot prices. It is unlikely that they will be cheaper than Gazprom.
    These are difficult times for the entire global economy. When it will recover and whether it will recover in the previous volume - no one knows. So all suffer losses. Both commodity economies and producing ones. And to blame Gazprom, at least, is stupid.
  5. gorenina91
    gorenina91
    -1
    24 June 2020 12: 07
    - According to Bakhtiyarov's estimates ... - Gazprom is not very much to blame for what it does ...
    - Yes, of course ... what is his fault ??? - Only in the fact that Gazprom always takes "tops" for itself, i.e. always takes the "cream"; and the entire "return balance" and all penalties ... - as always go to the Russian taxpayer ...
    - Gazprom doesn’t care much about any fines that can be awarded to it by “European courts” ... - it will not have to pay anyway ... - but the taxpayers ...
    - Ah, yes ... - because

    "Today everyone is suffering losses. Both resource economies and manufacturing ones."

    - Yes, really, who would have thought ... - If my personal debts were paid by someone else; then ... then ... then personally I would only be glad to have such "my losses" ... -Hahah ... But the Russian taxpayer also has a "choice" ... is to wait for the "good moment" and pay Gazprom's arbitration debts at ... at "spot prices" ... - Second ... - Hahah ...
    - If this were possible, then there would be no ... "Hahah" ...
    1. Bakht
      Bakht
      +1
      24 June 2020 14: 18
      According to "Irinov's estimates", GazProm should think about people ... When Russia, like the entire USSR, abandoned socialism and switched to capitalism, these are quite normal actions of the corporation. All corporations in any country follow exactly the same patterns. Boeing, Renault, Volkswagen ... the list is endless. They take the profit for themselves, and write off the losses to the state. We never heard of "temporary nationalization".
      Write something intelligible, finally.
  6. RedproSet78
    RedproSet78
    +2
    24 June 2020 12: 17
    Why Russia silently agreed to pay Warsaw $ 1,5 billion

    Because for liberals, the motherland is replaced by money, so they feed their own. It will not affect their finances anyway, and the Russian people will pay.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov
      Vladimir Tuzakov
      +2
      3 July 2020 19: 07
      With these fines and the constant loss and payment of billions of claims, the system is already in GAZPROM. It remains to be asked - to whom it is beneficial, kickbacks are possible, both for lawyers and other actors of Gazprom ... Poland paid more than $ 30 billion on June 1,6, only $ 90 billion was returned, ridiculous ... Such a successful advocacy and lawyers for Mr. Miller today ...
  7. Tatyana Savelyeva
    Tatyana Savelyeva
    -1
    24 June 2020 13: 02
    Comprehensible ??? Wait and see...