Media: Belarus has found a way to get out of Russian influence

By diversifying sources of oil imports, Minsk sharply limits Moscow’s influence, according to Stratfor, an American intelligence and analytical company.

Russia turned the supply of its oil into a weapon to force Belarus to integrate more closely. However, this pressure only increased Minsk’s desire to diversify oil imports.

On January 1, 2020, Russia limited oil supplies to Belarus, as the parties did not agree on the price of raw materials. Oil purchases from other countries made it possible to load the refineries of Belarus in the first quarter of 2020 by only 50%. In April, Moscow resumed oil supplies, but Minsk is not going to give up alternative sources.

Over 2 million barrels of oil from Norway were delivered to Belarus. It was first brought by tankers to Klaipeda (Lithuania), and from there it was transported by rail to the refinery in Belarus. In the same way, the first batch of oil from Saudi Arabia was obtained in May.

Belarus also received 4 million barrels of oil from Azerbaijan and from other sources of SOCAR. They were first delivered to Odessa (Ukraine), and then piped to Belarus. At the same time, a small number of Russian companies with close ties with Minsk continued to supply without an export premium.

According to the new deal, Russia refused the premium for oil supplies and granted Minsk the largest discount in history. As a result, the price of oil was $ 4 per barrel. Moreover, Moscow proposed to compensate Minsk for the loss of income due to changes in the value of the Russian export duty.

Now Belarus is determined to receive at least 60% of oil from other countries, and not from Russia. Minsk plans to buy only 8 million barrels of Russian oil, while in April it acquired 11 million barrels.

But further reduction of Belarus’s dependence on Russia will require significant infrastructure development. The United States has already expressed its support for Belarus and has promised financial support for the construction of pipelines from Lithuania and Poland, as well as start direct oil supplies.

Diversification of supplies allowed Minsk to refrain from accepting Russian conditions for broader integration. Belarus has virtually eliminated the leverage and gained additional room for maneuver in future integration negotiations.
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  1. Serge Tixiy Offline Serge Tixiy
    Serge Tixiy (Serge Tixiy) 14 May 2020 09: 59
    Every action has its advantages, but there are also disadvantages. As if the "medicine" for Lukashenka turned out to be more fatal than the "disease".
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 14 May 2020 10: 16
    Ah, Lukoshenko has been spinning with oil for 4 years already and will figure it out.
  3. Sergey Pedenko Offline Sergey Pedenko
    Sergey Pedenko (Sergey Pedenko) 14 May 2020 10: 46
    How they, poor little ones, are worried, but we want preferences for the discount, when they give money, they put forward a bunch of conditions.
  4. 17085 Offline 17085
    17085 (Dmitriy) 14 May 2020 11: 15
    Recent years have convincingly shown that "the way out of the influence of Russia" is the way to hell. Comrades Belarusians! Save yourself who can!
  5. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 14 May 2020 11: 45
    The opinion of the American intelligence and analytical company Stratfor is wonderful. good They will not advise bad, prosperous Ukraine is a good example. laughing
    Life suggests something like this algorithm of action - listen to the American and do the opposite. smile
  6. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 14 May 2020 12: 32
    The United States, as expected, will "huddle" But Father to the end, opposing Russia in this, and even the next elections in Belarus in August will not change the situation, since he will go to any extreme and meanness to stay in his chair. And if our authorities calmly contemplate what is happening in Belarus now, as it was before in Ukraine, and not act decisively and even arrogantly, according to the Yankee principle, then we will lose our one more "sister" which has been brainwashed for a long time following the example of the Independent Nenki.
  7. We will select the Vitebsk, Mogilev and Gomel regions and - let it roll wherever it wants!