What is the reason for the ban on the export of Russian wheat

The coronavirus pandemic and the black gold market are focusing on universal quarantine and low oil prices. However, already this spring and summer food prices may be added to them, since COVID-19 hit the agricultural sector as well. Coronavirus, among other things, unbalanced the global food market, disrupting the usual supply chain.

The consequences of this can be very serious: it is believed that the “Arab Spring” flared up so brightly in North Africa and the Middle East, largely due to the rise in food prices in 2007-2008.

Negative changes occur in all parts of the world. For example, in Germany, due to the closure of the borders, a shortage of seasonal workers has formed: there is no one to work in vineyards, fields and beds, pick strawberries, asparagus, etc. Because of this, a shortage of certain types of fruits and vegetables is predicted with a corresponding increase in prices for them. France, Spain are experiencing the same problems, the worst situation in Italy. French farmers, by the way, are among the six largest world suppliers of wheat. Our country takes first place in this position.

Deficit is also formed in the rice market, the main agricultural crop of Asia. Thailand, Vietnam and China imposed restrictions on its exports in order to accumulate reserves for the needs of its own population. Our neighboring Kazakhstan suspended the export of wheat, buckwheat, sugar, sunflower oil, potatoes, carrots and beets. Not surprising against this background is Moscow’s decision to also stop the export of crops for the period from April 1 to June 1.

Despite the abnormal winter, the government is very optimistic about the volume of the future crop - 125,3 million tons compared to 121,2 million tons of grain last year. Possible drought in the south of the country and quarantine restrictions of officials do not bother. It should be noted that Russia has achieved visible success in a number of positions in food self-sufficiency. Our country came out on top in the world in terms of wheat exports, indicators for poultry meat, pork, and oilseeds grew pleasantly. However, serious problems remain in beef and dairy products.

It is assumed that the income from agricultural exports by the end of the year should amount to almost $ 25 billion, and according to the plans of President Putin, by 2024 - and even grow to 54 billion. Cereals and other foodstuffs are gradually starting to turn into a new “barrel” (a ton of Russian grain now costs more than a ton of Russian Urals oil), but with all the positive, this process has a downside.

Due to the devaluation of the ruble, it has become more profitable to supply cereals abroad than to leave them at home, which may ultimately lead to a deficit in Russia. Bread is the head of everything. In 1917, rumors about the introduction of breadcards became the impetus for the February Revolution, and after it was October. It is not surprising that the authorities chose to keep stocks of wheat, rye, corn and barley in the country until better times, without chasing a long dollar.
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) April 27 2020 15: 47
    Stop the export of crops for the period from April 1 to June 1.

    - After harvesting the future harvest, it will be clear - how much to leave in the bins, and how much to sell. And you need to sell not to everyone, but to countries loyal to Russia.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  2. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker April 27 2020 20: 20
    Prohibit, do not prohibit, and food prices will still rise.
    1. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 22: 07
      Prices will rise, so will salaries. Inflation does not work differently, and without it stagnation.
      1. Digital error Offline Digital error
        Digital error (Eugene) April 27 2020 22: 15
        Quote: Dear sofa expert.
        Prices will rise, so will salaries

        You correctly described the sequence - first the price, then (when?) The salary.
        1. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 22: 32
          This is an inevitable process. The sequence does not play a big role.
          1. Digital error Offline Digital error
            Digital error (Eugene) April 27 2020 22: 41
            Quote: Dear sofa expert.
            ... this is an inevitable process

            Just the same avoidable, if instead of "targeting inflation" to keep the ruble exchange rate.
            I remember that as a child, my grandmother sent me to a pharmacy (around 1990) and asked me to buy, I don’t remember what, but I remember for sure that the price for it was exactly the same as in the 1972 (7?) Year medical reference she had.
            1. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 22: 49
              Well then there was a planned economy, but today it is a market economy. The market has its own laws.
              1. Digital error Offline Digital error
                Digital error (Eugene) April 27 2020 23: 00
                Quote: Dear sofa expert.
                The market has its own laws

                So maybe - well them, to hell? smile
                1. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 23: 07
                  Maybe so. Time will tell where all this will lead.
            2. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 23: 05
              Keeping the ruble (like any other currency) has a price. Sometimes she does not justify herself. For example, in the Eurozone, the Euro is artificially regulated. Countries that have previously had a hard currency (for example, Germany) are familiar. But countries with traditionally flexible currencies (for example, Italy and others) have a hard death rate similar. But this is too broad a topic for discussion in the format of "SMS").
              1. Digital error Offline Digital error
                Digital error (Eugene) April 27 2020 23: 11
                Quote: Dear sofa expert.
                But this is too extensive a topic for discussion in the format of "SMS")

                I agree and I will not argue with this, but I will note that in 70 years of "holding the ruble exchange rate" we have experienced not a decline, but a scientific and technological revolution. We went into space. For this purpose, we have created unique heat-resistant and radiation-resistant materials and set up their production.
                And what has "Putin's Russia" achieved in space - reduction of the GLONASS satellite constellation and threats to the Americans about the prospects of "flying on a trampoline"? Objectively, no offense.
                1. Dear sofa expert. April 27 2020 23: 21
                  So, no one denies the merits of the USSR. And about Putin, I do not want to discuss. Although he ceased to be my idol some time ago, in fairness, I do not want to ascribe to him the "merit" of his predecessors. "Putin's Russia" still dissolves the "successes" of first "Gorbachev, and later - Yeltsin’s Russia."
                  Putin got a very difficult share. He, as he can, carries it that way. No one denies that in addition to achievements, there are failures. To summarize early. Time will tell.
                  1. Digital error Offline Digital error
                    Digital error (Eugene) April 27 2020 23: 31
                    Quote: Dear sofa expert.
                    Although he ceased to be my idol some time ago, in fairness, I do not want to ascribe to him the “merit” of his predecessors

                    Well, thanks for the honesty. This is now a rarity and commands respect. Only out of respect for you - I will not evaluate its "continuation" (at least - in this "thread" ...) hi
                    1. Dear sofa expert. April 28 2020 00: 12
                      But it’s not necessary) There was one interesting case in history: During the Caribbean crisis, Kennedy and the Russian ambassador had a conversation. Zorina, it seems. So ... Kennedy demanded that the ambassador persuade Khrushchev to unconditionally remove Soviet missiles from Cuba. To which the ambassador answered (not verbatim): If Khrushchev makes such a decision, the rest of the members of the Politburo may not like it, and Khrushchev will be removed from his post. But the one who comes instead, MAY NOT LIKE YOU MORE!
                      Later, the Americans managed to negotiate with Khrushchev. So the Caribbean Crisis was allowed.
                      I hope you understand what I wanted to tell you. Putin, of course, is not eternal. Pray that some “Stalin” does not come in his place. And it may happen that you will remember Putin as a saint, and not writing here, so to speak, "liberties", but chewing a cracker, lying on a bunk.
                      Do not take me written on your personal account.
                  2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
                    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 28 2020 07: 20
                    Quote: Dear sofa expert.
                    "Putin's Russia" is still dissolving the "successes" of first "Gorbachev, and later - Yeltsin’s Russia"

                    If anything, then Yeltsin’s son-in-law Valentin Yumashev still works as an adviser to President Putin, and Yumashev’s former son-in-law is the court oligarch Oleg Deripaska. And the Yeltsin Center is managed from the presidential administration.
                    So, Yeltsin’s legacy is still to be fought and fought.
                    1. Dear sofa expert. April 28 2020 08: 05
                      Well, maybe. Although the people have a proverb: "The son is not responsible for the father."
                      So now, Putin had to shoot the entire Yeltsin family, like the Bolsheviks at one time the royal family?
                      1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
                        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 28 2020 09: 41
                        Well, there is a consequence, there is a court, which must decide whether there was a crime in their actions, we have a moratorium on executing.
                        But instead of revising their activities, all the key figures of the Family have been in business for 20 years, where they still remain. Why was Yeltsin’s son-in-law to appoint an adviser to the president? Why is his brother-in-law Deripaska not equidistant? Are you aware that the Yeltsin Center is managed from the presidential administration? This is open information, read it.
                        So what kind of struggle with the Yeltsin legacy can we talk about? I don’t see her at all.
                      2. Dear sofa expert. April 28 2020 10: 05
                        So I did not say anything about the struggle. It is you who have “developed the thought,” so to speak.
                        I just said (literally):

                        Putin’s Russia ”still dissolves the“ successes ”of first“ Gorbachev, and later Yeltsin’s Russia. ”
                        Putin got a very difficult share. He can carry it as much as he can ..
                      3. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
                        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 28 2020 11: 18
                        And what does loosening mean? And how can one carry out the "cleansing" of Yeltsinism while keeping the key figures of the Yeltsin Family in the immediate circle? This is hypocrisy, don't you think?
                        And 20 years is a long time, it is a change of a whole generation. After the war, we were able to send a man into space in 15 years after the devastation. There is something to compare the "hard lot" with, some had it harder, but nothing, they coped.
                      4. Digital error Offline Digital error
                        Digital error (Eugene) April 28 2020 12: 42
                        Quote: Marzhetsky
                        after the war for 15 years

                        In Kiev, the metro was rebuilt ...
                      5. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
                        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 28 2020 12: 43
                        In my city, the metro is either being built or abandoned for more than 20 years. An insane amount of money was buried, not a single station was built as a result.
                    2. Dear sofa expert. April 28 2020 13: 20
                      Once again, and in order)

                      ... dissolves the “successes” of first “Gorbachev, and later on Yeltsin’s Russia.”

                      and yours

                      ... "disentangling" Yeltsinism

                      - these are, in essence, and in semantic content two completely different things.
                      Try to understand first what I wrote, and then into your own free interpretation.
                      I’m not going to condemn here either the personality of Gorbachev or Yeltsin (and even more so to climb into some kind of wild jungle. This was not my goal initially.
                      I’m talking about the fact that Putin had to take over from previous “eras” (if you want. You don’t even know what is easier to list. What Putin had to face (as president), or what he managed to improve right away. Here only a small part:

                      ... The destructive activities of a significant part of foreign organizations and foundations that harm Russia are suppressed.
                      Crime in Russia has dropped dramatically. For example, the number of premeditated murders and attempted murders decreased by 4 times - from the level of 25-30 per 100 population in 000-2000. to the level of 2002 per 8,16 thousand people in 100 [2014].
                      The Human Development Index in Russia increased from 0,691 (2000) to 0,804 (2016), thus, by this indicator, Russia was included in the list of countries with a very high level of human development.
                      Russia won the right to host the Olympics in Sochi, which was held at the highest level for it.
                      The Russian Army and the Navy under Putin are experiencing their revival, taking 2nd place in power in the world [33] [34]. Army spending was increased 30 times (from 140,8 billion rubles in 2000 to 3,900 trillion rubles (69,2 billion dollars) in 2016). In mobility and speed of movement and deployment, the army of the Russian Federation surpasses the army of the USSR and foreign armies, which was clearly demonstrated in the Crimea.
                      To simplify the management of the country, Federal Districts were created, as well as a number of subjects of the Federation were combined.
                      Russia, despite the denial of this fact by many opposition media, has become more democratic than it was in the nineties ...

                      Material excerpt:

                      https://ruxpert.ru/ Миф: Путин ничего не сделал для России
                    3. Dear sofa expert. April 28 2020 13: 27
                      And in general, Mr. Marzhetsky. It was not my goal to argue with you, especially on a topic that for some reason you sucked out of your own finger. What you wrote does not contradict what I wrote. Moreover, I did not say that I did not agree with your position. You just make waves out of the blue. Do you need this for self-PR? So PR. Why attract me to this?)
                    4. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
                      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 28 2020 13: 42
                      Mr. expert, I don’t need PR and self-PR. I understood your position.
              2. Evgeny Popov Offline Evgeny Popov
                Evgeny Popov (Evgeny Popov) April 29 2020 17: 46
                You have a professional deformation. You are simply not able to see normally. Everywhere seems to be all bad.
  • Bitter Offline Bitter
    Bitter April 28 2020 21: 19
    Not everyone will grow up, that's for sure too.
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  • Sergey Andrzej Offline Sergey Andrzej
    Sergey Andrzej (Sergey Andrzej) April 28 2020 22: 27
    No one knows how much grain we have. And when we will sell it. We had leftovers from the year before last - they should be fed to NATO. Remember Bush’s legs. Catch the boomerang is back. Smoke bamboo!
  • Gadley Offline Gadley
    Gadley (Sergei) April 29 2020 04: 55
    The author is not a ban on the sale of wheat, but a limit on the sale of wheat - these are different concepts.
  • Roarv Offline Roarv
    Roarv (Robert) April 29 2020 06: 59
    An interesting alignment ... When it comes to oil workers, they need a damper
    (the difference between the lost profit when exporting fuel and lubricants abroad and to the domestic market) payment of the direct address from the pocket.
    Agrarian - citizens - fuel and lubricants consumers.
    When it comes to moneylenders-bankers and their asses need to be pulled out of the shit of debt by Western banks, they get interest-free loans from the pocket of taxpayers ..
    When it comes to the agrarian - peasants - farmers, they will use a barrier with a quota on their heads and let them fumble in their pockets ...
    No one interest-free loan, damper, tractor or seeds, fertilizers in a commodity loan will not offer ....
    After all, spare parts, components, agricultural machinery, tractors, herbicides, seeds
    Agrarians acquire precisely foreign manufacturers ....
    As a result of optimization and breakthroughs to unity in the country ... 9 tractor plants were killed ...
    If grain export brings more than oil export and arms export, why it is financed on a residual basis, this is despite the fact that the agricultural business is long, long expectations of profit with high risks ...
    This is despite the fact that farmers do not have their own political party - a lobby in the State Duma, like oilmen, gas workers, chemists, bankers ...
    The greatest help to the agrarians is the May Legends and the December Epistles ..., but some forward vocations to Edrisism.