The temptation of American oil: Belarus took the first step towards the Maidan


In the "oil war" between Russia and Belarus there was a negative turnaround for the Kremlin. As expected, the West did not ignore the conflict between Moscow and Minsk and intends to help us to remain without a last ally. The United States is ready to "shoulder" President Lukashenko and fully provide Belarus with American oil, you just need to ask.


Sounds like the temptation of the Unclean. Does Alexander Grigorievich understand that, if he accepts this deal, he faces the fate of Viktor Fedorovich? Or does the Old Man consider himself smarter than everyone else?

Unfortunately, we have to admit that the crisis in Russian-Belarusian relations is developing according to the worst-case scenario. What is happening is the result of the lack of a clear development strategy for the Union State of our two countries. The agreement on its creation was signed under President Yeltsin, and in those years the likelihood of real unification of Russia and Belarus was quite high.

However, instead of integration, the Kremlin paid more attention to other things, such as the construction of oil pipelines and gas pipelines. Relations with Belarus, in fact, were reduced mainly to issues of oil produced with "allied" discounts. Clear business, people involved in schemes quite well earned on it in Minsk and Moscow.

When Russia fell under Western sanctions, it turned out that the Union State exists for some reason only on paper. The idea of ​​using it as one of the options for a “transit of power” in 2024, when Vladimir Putin could have taken the chair of the head of this supranational entity, came to someone's bright mind. Minsk did not appreciate the idea, wishing to leave everything as it was before. This was the root cause of the current "oil war". Tax maneuver in oil industry hurts Belarus the economy, sharpened by cheap Russian oil.

Previously we toldthat Minsk actually failed to find cost-effective alternatives to domestic hydrocarbon raw materials: any other would be more expensive for it, and it would be profitable for Russia to sell “black gold” on the world market. At the same time, we made a reservation that at a certain stage политическая expediency can outweigh the economic for Belarus. Alas, it seems that this negative scenario is becoming operational.

As part of his tour, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan and heads for Uzbekistan. In Minsk, Pompeo, by the way, the former head of the CIA, promised President Lukashenko to 100% provide his country with American oil. A few days earlier in the far UK in Oxford, the ex-ambassador of the United Kingdom to Russia, Roderick Line, commented on the conflict between Russia and Belarus and gave an unfavorable forecast for us:

According to my forecasts, this question will arise in the coming years. As happened in Ukraine and Georgia ... The future of the union state is unrealistic, since this is not the will of the Belarusians. They are independent and they want to remain independent.

So, we can state the fact that the Anglo-Saxons are ready to intervene in the “oil war” of Minsk and Moscow on the side of Lukashenko. Mike Pompeo even promised to return the American embassy to Belarus. Senator Pushkov commented on this statement:

Recognizable: at one time, they “brought to the new level” (Viktor) Yanukovych in Ukraine. US Ambassador Jeffrey Payette played a prominent role.

The case clearly smelled of kerosene. There is a first step towards the “Ukrainian scenario” in Belarus. Next, propaganda of “Western values” will begin, promises of foreign investment and modernization, a brighter future and lace panties for Belarusians. The local opposition will actively spin up American money with the help of the media. And there and to the Maidan at hand. President Lukashenko may naively believe that he is able to keep the situation under control by balancing on the contradictions between the West and Russia. The problem is that he is no longer a young man, and he can easily overestimate his capabilities.

The fact that the victory in the "oil war" over Belarus for Russia may be Pyrrhic, we directly warned earlier. This happens when the power’s strategic goals have been ignored for years, and after rude and primitive blackmail they are trying to quickly solve purely tactical tasks, ignoring the obvious fact that a third unfriendly force can intervene in the conflict.
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  1. Afinogen Offline
    Afinogen (Afinogen) 3 February 2020 11: 25
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    Lukashenko was so offended by Russia that he was ready to destroy Belarus out of resentment. Everything goes to the Ukrainian scenario, everything worked out for the Americans. Then Lukashenko will pretend to be sad and say, they deceived me.
  2. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 3 February 2020 12: 02
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    The fact that the victory in the "oil war" over Belarus for Russia may be Pyrrhic, we directly warned earlier.

    Words worthy of a professional oppositionist constantly reiterate that everyone is doing wrong and warning, warning ....., while not going into specifics, what exactly did wrong and how to proceed.

    This happens when the power’s strategic goals have been ignored for years, and after rude and primitive blackmail they are trying to quickly solve purely tactical tasks, ignoring the obvious fact that a third unfriendly force can intervene in the conflict.

    Please be so kind as to explain in what exactly was the neglect of strategic goals expressed? And if possible, on the basis of which it is concluded that it is precisely "purely tactical tasks" that are being solved?
    By the way, the phrase:

    This happens when the power’s strategic goals have been ignored for years, and after rude and primitive blackmail they are trying to quickly solve purely tactical tasks, ignoring the obvious fact that a third unfriendly force can intervene in the conflict.

    fully attributable to Belarus.
  3. Igor Pavlovich Offline
    Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 3 February 2020 12: 25
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    Does Alexander Grigoryevich understand that, if he accepts this deal, he will face the fate of Viktor Fedorovich? ...

    - exactly the opposite - Viktor Fedorovich just sided with Putin - he sold Ukraine for $ 3, as a result he was expelled from the country, he took $ 3 back in cash to Russia and returned it to Putin, and for that he was given a good booth in Rostov and put on a chain without the right to leave. But they allowed to bark on command ...
    But Alexander Grigoryevich will have a lifetime guarantee of inviolability in the world (except, perhaps, Russia) and a good summer house to choose from - Hawaii, Miami, etc. etc. - Americans are not poor and not greedy.
    1. molotkov60mkpu Offline
      molotkov60mkpu (Yuri) 3 February 2020 15: 27
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      He will have Luke, but did you think about Belarus? Yes, and this situation has burst out of the "trick" of the dad - all you had to do was support Russia in the Crimea, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, give an opportunity to deploy an air base, not to resell sanctions products, well, and a couple more positions. These are normal conditions for an ally. A dad proved to be a corrupt merchant. This does not fit into the criteria of decency, even taking into account the capitalist course of Russia.
      I do not diminish Russia's failures on this issue.
    2. General Black Offline
      General Black (Gennady) 3 February 2020 16: 31
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      Igor Pavlovich, you can only dream of such a booth in America.

      But Alexander Grigoryevich will have a lifetime guarantee of inviolability in the world (except, perhaps, Russia) and a good summer house to choose from - Hawaii, Miami, etc. etc. - Americans are not poor and not greedy.

      The replica is very familiar. Add only about hot water, three meals a day, a medical examination. And you can print flyers. Only instead of dachas, Lukashenko will have a bench in the Hague, polished by Milosevic’s ass (God rest his soul), to choose from. Anglo-Saxons can not be taken for the word. Hazardous to health, Hussein and Gaddafi are an example.
  4. beeper Offline
    beeper 3 February 2020 12: 50
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    Back in 2014, the Russophobic “Litvinization” gained momentum in Belarus when the “father” was frankly frightened of the “Crimean scenario” at home! Even then it became very noticeable!
    And now, it seems, the LAS is just a convenient screen, it still plays its "presidential role", but others dominate the pro-American - there have been two or three "tail wagging the dog" for two years now! request

    Apparently, the pro-Western camarilla himself promised some “guarantees of inviolability” to the “father” himself, but what they stand for - we saw the example of “guarantees” to Yanukovych — only the developed Urkagan “chuyka” and the unlimited kindness of the Russian President who sent him special forces to rescue this hapless amerokholuy - "no alternative Eurointegrator"!

    In terms of their intellectual level, LAS and VFJ are almost identical - small-town telepaths, due to the death of the Soviet Union, were raised by chance much higher than their level of competence (under the Union they would have a "ceiling" - a provincial "instructor of the party’s district committee in charge of the agrarian sector "and" eternal zavgar ", IMHO), but the Belarusian father does not even have a developed Urkagan" chuyka "of our runaway hat-stealer - he may not have time to escape to Russia, and Belarusian amerocholuys who underwent training on the Kiev Maidan, will now be on guard and art to fool ....?!

    It was embarrassing to hear, during a meeting with the American Secretary of State, the flattering rivals of the “father’s” about the “dictatorship”, with a “thick hint”, they say, see for yourself - “what a dictator of Europe I am, because now I am completely yours and I am leading Belarus in the right ( anti-Russian) direction! "
    Apparently, he does not know that the odious anti-Lukashenko’s memorandums on democratic freedoms in Belarus adopted in 2004 and 2011 were not canceled, or he thinks that the Washington hawks have forgiven his recent tricks in Drozdy and the shameful expulsion of American diplomats - the architect Pompeo he just listened and smirked, looking condescendingly as the "last dictator of Europe" humbled himself before him, begging for personal forgiveness at the cost of dragging "his country" into the position of another anti-Russian American colony in the "underbelly" RUSSIA!

    My prediction is that the Americans will use the LAS and throw them away as unnecessary, as they did with the unlucky "uncontested European integrators" Yanukovych-Azarov, without demand and contrary to the aspirations of the majority of the Ukrainian population, dragging Ukraine "to the West" and believing in their "need for the West "after the rendered Judomazepino service! negative
    The Belarusian “father” has played his “irreplaceability” and will go into the trap set by him, pushed by his mercantile western-like environment! Really, attached to the state power, his elder sons will not tell him that by doing so he is destroying their future too ??! request

    Regarding subsidized concessions, which have clearly decided to settle down in the West, everything will be exactly according to the Russian proverb to Belarusian “nezalezhniks”:

    How many wolves do not feed, he looks into the forest!

    The anti-Russian Maidans in Ukraine and Belarus, in fact, were preparing for the Russian UNCHECKLED-ACCOUNTABLE multi-billion dollar "fraternal subsidies of the Kremlin to the local" ils "in Kiev and Minsk, and not for the miserable TARGET-ACCOUNTED miscellaneous personified billions of dollars" , “grants” with which “agents of influence” were bribed in power (managing the anti-Russian use of generous Russian “subsidies”) and in the media (providing propaganda of the anti-Russian “western course” in the EU and NATO, although, in the case of tea of ​​Ukraine, there and at the expense of Ukrainian taxpayers, the presidents themselves with the prime ministers campaigned there too!)!
    Even the Chinese, when they give a loan to “father,” furnish it with all sorts of benefits for themselves and control return - for this their LAS is servilely respected and never, even in absentia, have a bonfire!
  5. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 February 2020 13: 19
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    Quote: 123
    Words worthy of a professional oppositionist constantly repeat that everyone is doing wrong and warning, warning ..

    I am not a professional, but an amateur.
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 4 February 2020 20: 40
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      I am not a professional, but an amateur.

      The essence of this does not change. winked
      PS I still do not get notifications about your answers (this one was found by chance). hi
  6. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 February 2020 13: 22
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    Quote: Igor Pavlovich
    ... Does Alexander Grigoryevich understand that, if he accepts this deal, he will face the fate of Viktor Fedorovich? ...

    - exactly the opposite - Viktor Fedorovich just sided with Putin - he sold Ukraine for $ 3, as a result he was expelled from the country, he took $ 3 back in cash to Russia and returned it to Putin, and for that he was given a good booth in Rostov and put on a chain without the right to leave. But they allowed to bark on command ...

    Liberals are able to put everything upside down. yes
  7. Dimy4 Offline
    Dimy4 (Dmitriy) 3 February 2020 15: 23
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    The US is ready to "substitute the shoulder" ...

    To put then on the shoulder blades.
  8. T. Henks Offline
    T. Henks (Igor) 3 February 2020 15: 49
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    Ask now anyone who has the head in this union state, no one will answer. And practically no one knows what kind of state this is. Money is eating, but why is it, is this state? Surely there will be no European Union out of it. Fig leaf, he is. Where is Borodin nonche?
  9. rotkiv04 Offline
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 3 February 2020 16: 32
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    All the same, the Bulbashs would have been dumped sooner or later, there, as in Ukraine, there is already a young generation re-educated by the Pends funds, now the main thing is that Putin does not settle Father But in Rostov, let these young wolves hang him (Father) as a warning to the rest of the "allies" "Russia.
  10. Eduard Aplombov Offline
    Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 3 February 2020 16: 37
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    The collective farmer hopes not to lose in the confrontation with the Kremlin, but he is not going to bend with the United States, that is, he wants to fuck both, of course, within the limits of what is reasonable from his point of view, something will not work, but something will work out, etc. e much will be decided, in his opinion, in the order of receipt of the problems.
    It does not work out with oil from Russia and it is decided on the second step - the search for oil and the search for new fellow travelers in solving problems with filling the budget. I wonder what and how the Kremlin will respond:
    a) leave the situation in limbo;
    b) make small concessions;
    c) will return to the previous economic sponsorship;
    g) tighten the screws stronger (oil will redirect to other directions, partially block the import of products, block subsidies and loans, etc.)
    Any decision of the Kremlin has its pros and cons. My personal opinion is to remember the story of Ukraine and learn cynicism, as Europe and the USA break the local * elite * through the knee and put * sane * local leaders for them.
  11. Upmost Offline
    Upmost (Innocent) 3 February 2020 18: 51
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    But instead of integration, the Kremlin paid more attention to other things, such as the construction of oil pipelines and gas pipelines. Relations with Belarus, in fact, were reduced mainly to issues of oil produced with "allied" discounts. Of course, involved in the schemes people in Minsk and Moscow made good money on this.

    When did Russia find itself under Western sanctions, it turned out that the Union State exists for some reason only on paper. Someone came up with an idea use it as one of the options "Transit of power" in 2024, when Vladimir Putin would be able to transfer to the chair of the head of this supranational entity. Minsk did not appreciate the idea, wishing to leave everything as it was before. This was the root cause of the current "oil war". A tax maneuver in the oil industry will hurt the Belarusian economy, sharpened by cheap Russian oil.

    Gold words.
    And who did not allow to leave everything as it is? Lukashenko? No, the greed of the Kremlin. He wants Belarus to act as the western defensive outpost of Russia, but without any preferences. Or, let’s go to our barn.
    And who said that Belarusians should enter this barn?
    You want Belarus to not join NATO, support you in other endeavors, and generally be a Russian missile defense system - you have to pay for it somehow. But without the "union-state-integration impudence."
    No - your “partners” are not asleep, and already here.
    And for the Russian Federation, going into such a “butt” with the only post-Soviet ally is simply schizophrenia.
    Well, yes, and who said that geniuses are sitting in the Kremlin?
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 4 February 2020 20: 45
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      UpperMost (Innocent)
      In short, Smoktunovsky, you’ll call your hut a barn.
      1. Upmost Offline
        Upmost (Innocent) 4 February 2020 21: 51
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        My dear, do not be nervous. The truth must be able to look into the eyes.
        1. 123 Offline
          123 (123) 5 February 2020 00: 18
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          My dear, do not be nervous. The truth must be able to look into the eyes.

          Tyrolean wolf to you, my dear. smile
  12. Upmost Offline
    Upmost (Innocent) 3 February 2020 18: 58
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    Quote: rotkiv04
    All the same, they would have dumped the bulbash sooner or later, there, as in Ukraine, there is already a young generation re-educated by Pends funds

    Educate you (RF).
    Nothing - on TV only movies and TV shows about the "brothers."
    The training system is based on the same western patterns. Elite kids do not study in the Russian Federation from the word quite.
    All the best (tangible) is brought from the West.
    There is no ideology from the word at all.
    Future development is more than foggy.

    So why cling to (any) "younger / former" brother?
  13. Alexander Bushkovsky (Alexander) 3 February 2020 19: 26
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    Belarus is still that ally! God forbid from such allies and "brothers." Russia has always had, is and will be only two true allies. This is her army and navy !!!
  14. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 3 February 2020 20: 23
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    I read the comments and all the same names, once already managed with their forecasts. And so they did not learn anything. Either the author is a liberal oppositionist, the figures are not the same in the commentary, or Kazakhstan vodka is not sweet. In general, "grenades of the wrong system." And by yourself, so smart, to offer something? Not! Just be rude and nasty to write something! Not brains, but some kind of rectum.
    How can we believe our power, after she threw her people, more than once. And betraying an ally is like "two fingers ...........". Unlike our government, Lukashenko defends and fights for the well-being of his people and country. And our government forced him to negotiate with the Americans by putting forward an ultimatum on oil! Lukashenko will NEVER be Yanukovych simply because EVERYTHING is subordinated to him, and not just the Golden Eagle. And while Lukashenko is alive, there will be no MAIDAN in Belarus, as well as blue ones! And Lukashenko is more Russian than Putin, because his family lives in Belarus. Further compare?
    1. General Black Offline
      General Black (Gennady) 4 February 2020 08: 12
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      “We would welcome a more active role of the USA in Belarus. Based on the role the United States plays on the world stage <...>, in particular, an exchange of views took place on the situation in the region and on the prospects for Belarus’s interaction with the NATO bloc. The intention of Belarus to make efforts to maintain peace and security on the continent was noted ”

      This Mackey exhaled himself. One had only not to report the grubs to the trough, as an ally immediately chased to a potential enemy. And yes, about your beloved Kazakhstan vodka. In Russia, the minimum price for 0,5 230 rubles., And you continue to drink stall swill for 75.
    2. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 4 February 2020 20: 48
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      And by yourself, so smart, to offer something? Not! Just be rude and nasty to write something! Not brains, but some kind of rectum.

      What's the point? For example, you immediately precipitate, do not wait for an answer. And about the gut .... run into rudeness. hi
  15. Panting Offline
    Panting (Vyacheslav) 3 February 2020 21: 44
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    Claw is bogged down - there is an abyss for the whole bird.
  16. Gadley Offline
    Gadley (Sergei) 4 February 2020 03: 40
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    Lukash was never an ally - he was a cunning collective farmer and used to, like in Soviet times, sit on subsidies.
  17. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 4 February 2020 08: 04
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    Quote: GADLEY
    the author writes some nonsense, even reading is not interesting. Lukash was never an ally - he was a cunning collective farmer and used to, like in Soviet times, sit on subsidies.

    Don’t read it. The work of Ukrainian political emigrants such as Sashka Rogers or Rostislav Ishchenko is more suitable for you. Here you read them. good
  18. Sergey S._2 Offline
    Sergey S._2 (Sergey S.) 4 February 2020 21: 53
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    Russia is losing its only and last ally due to the usual greed of high ranks. Stupidity or worse?
  19. shadow Offline
    shadow 5 February 2020 01: 37
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    I remember America was already trying to sell oil to China, but the oil turned out to be with a lot of hydrogen sulfide.

    https://fishki.net/2952034-amerikanskaja-nefty-isporchena-serovodorodom.html
  20. Rus Offline
    Rus 9 February 2020 09: 00
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    Get behind Belarus, let them do whatever they want! We ourselves ... in the country and have enough of our own problems!