Completion of the Nord Stream 2 will be a real test for Russia

December 24 2019 28

The end of the year somehow really didn’t really work out for Gazprom. At first, Europe, by the hands of Ukraine, forced the monopolist to a surrender agreement on humiliating conditions for gas transit. This was followed by another “click on the nose”: the construction of the Nord Stream-2 was stopped from Washington. What's next?

First of all, it is necessary to remove, finally, pink glasses and try to get rid of cap-hatred moods.

Conclusion number one will sound like this: American sanctions work. A few days ago, we were told that the United States lost by recognizing its inability to stop Nord Stream-2, and the Europeans only spit on Uncle Sam with his restrictive measures. But then President Trump signed anti-Russian sanctions, and the Swiss company Allseas immediately abandoned the project and, away from sin, took its pipe-laying ships away.

It’s important to understand that in the same way the United States can deal with any other Russian industry. economicsclosely dependent on foreign business. Even China, which supposedly cares nothing, can be unpleasantly surprising. The foregoing does not mean that it is time to fold the legs and quietly move away. No, we must work comprehensively to replace imported of technologies and components and rely only on their own strength.

As for Nord Stream-2, Gazprom itself will have to complete it. Ironically, only about 6-8% of its total length remains, but they will become a serious test. Modern Russia does not have experience in such deep-sea operations, and the foreign companies that do this can be counted on the fingers of one hand by a careless milling machine operator.

At the disposal of our "national treasure" there are only two specialized vessels, adapted for offshore pipe laying. These are “Fortune” and “Academician Chersky”, both built, which is very significant, in China. But the Fortune is a small flat-bottomed barge capable of operating in calm coastal waters. It does not have a dynamic positioning system that holds the ship in place. A storm will begin - and the Fortune may be at the bottom next to the pipe it is laying. And Copenhagen itself can prohibit such adventures in its waters for the indicated security reasons.

The option with Academician Chersky looks more realistic, but the problem is that it is located in the Far East. To the Baltic, he swim and swim. It is not known for certain in what technical condition the ship is, whether it needs repair and retrofitting. In addition, his team does not have experience in such deep-sea operations that it could adversely affect.

The bottom line is that the last 5% of Nord Stream-2 will be a serious challenge for Gazprom. In the end, it will be completed, but the timing of launching the pipeline is shifting to the right more and more. Already now we can talk not about the middle of 2020, but about its end at best.

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yuri semru

+3

24 December 2019 11: 59

And you, my friend, are an "optimist". Transit through Ukraine will continue. I hope. There are pipes, there are pipelayers. Even Fortuna can be upgraded to operate in Danish waters. In any case, they wrote so. Now everything can be done slowly. The states with these sanctions have finally lost face in the eyes of the whole world. In Germany, the issue of slowing down the construction of LNG terminals and the introduction of duties on American gas is being discussed. So we'll break through somehow. The main thing is that now you can take your time.
1. Marzhecki
  
  +1
  
  25 December 2019 05: 26
  
  I am a pessimist. The optimist here seems to be you.
2. DPN
  
  +1
  
  29 December 2019 21: 28
  
  So, we’ll break through somehow. The main thing is that now you can not rush.
  Yes, for 30 years we have all erupted somewhere, and most importantly, at first we have destroyed everything of ours and we have all erupted and erupted into PARADISE or?
steelmaker

0

24 December 2019 14: 35

We see and know that Putin and the government are able to sell. But to build at least these 6% without outside help, the question is? Checking the "lice" of effective managers. Time has gone!
Upmost

+2

24 December 2019 15: 14

Quote: steel maker
The fact that Putin and the government are able to sell

Well, not only that they know how.
Still cheeks well inflate. Drive a show off, puffed up. Also, in general, it turns out pretty well.
Tektor

-2

24 December 2019 15: 42

Now the only way to solve the problem of completing SP-2 is to modernize Fortuna, and it’s radical and as fast as possible so that the ship can dynamically position itself and have a pace of laying at least 2 km per day. And then in this case it will take 35 days (70 km left) to finish laying one SP-2 string and another 45 days another (90 km left).
1. Tektor
  
  -3
  
  24 December 2019 16: 09
  
  Moreover, it can be assumed that representatives of Olsiz will do the additional equipment as a contractor who has not fulfilled his obligations in order to reduce claims. And they will do the training for the employees of Fortune.
Vkd dvk

-1

24 December 2019 23: 33

What the hell optimistic canine? Gathered a bunch of crap, overlaid, and thinks that it will be right.
I didn't see the main thing. The Krajina was trampled in the heat of a loud, high-pitched conversation between an international gendarme and a suppressed but already casting Germany. We signed an agreement that gives a respite in the end of the pipe laying on our own. It is Germany that is the main payer and user of gas from Stream-2. It was she who could feel the fullness and heaviness of the "allied" feelings of the overseas. The split and dissatisfaction of all with everyone. Psheki, so they have already prepared for the collapse of the gas pipeline. We sharpened the hubs with liquid gas and adjusted their work. And suddenly it's all down the drain. It turns out that there will be pipe gas. Such swings with blows against the wall of anyone will lead to frenzy.
1. Sake
  
  -1
  
  26 December 2019 02: 00
  
  The main payer for SP-2 is Gazprom, and Gangren Timchenko is subcontracting .... Germany is the only operator on the incoming gas ...
Vkd dvk

-2

24 December 2019 23: 42

Quote: Tektor
Now the only way to solve the problem of completing SP-2 is to modernize Fortuna, and it’s radical and as fast as possible so that the ship can dynamically position itself and have a pace of laying at least 2 km per day. And then in this case it will take 35 days (70 km left) to finish laying one SP-2 string and another 45 days another (90 km left).

What the heck? There are 5 years of keeping the whole of Europe in suspense. Pouring a little something on the fire. The risk of being left on a starvation diet in the winter! What a wonderful chase for the timid and subordinates .... Scandal, threats of punishment for their own "allies", brave Germany, which has been hit in the face more than once and undeservedly. The scandal that trampled on the ukrov, who, deprived of an ambulance, practically abandoned, rushed to sign a transit agreement. Refusing all (except for one) claim in the courts. Which we have already lost .... Feeling that from our German friends they would have received more than from us. It was the Germans who, the main payer of the work, and the main recipient, were deprived of both transit gas and pipe from Stream-2.
DO NOT HURRY, MAKE A GOOD PAUSE. Transport from the Far East. Protecting in the straits so that not a single infection, even in thoughts, would have a desire to interfere. And on the ways of transporting liquefied gas from across the ocean, conduct military exercises of the fleet and aviation. Constantly.
1. Dzafdet
  
  0
  
  25 December 2019 09: 42
  
  Yes, it is not necessary to conduct exercises there, but to torpedo these ships. And constantly ... Flush the markings from the torpedoes and go.
Marzhecki

+2

25 December 2019 05: 27

Quote: Vkd dvk
What the heck? There are 5 years of tension throughout Europe. Pouring a little something burning into the fire. The risk of staying on a starvation diet in the winter!

What a curious interpretation of events.
Dzafdet

0

25 December 2019 09: 41

For styling, it will be possible to hire foreign specialists on our ship. But just in what condition is it? Or buy a stacker from foreigners. This is again the costs that Miller and his accomplices must pay out of pocket.
1. Sake
  
  -2
  
  26 December 2019 02: 03
  
  And who are the accomplices? What, the spirit is not enough to list accomplices and the leader?
Potapov

0

25 December 2019 10: 01

They rule the country all in skirts, ties and shit ...
Roarv

0

25 December 2019 10: 17

Each strategic miscalculation has a full name.
An interesting comparison, if I am not mistaken as the site "Military Materials" cited "
The comparison was based on the principle
The cost of the yachts of our officials and oligators from the Oligarch Bureau, and the cost of surface warships ...
It came to my mind after the article here that it is appropriate to ask, and the state didn’t have a better part of the money withdrawn by the oligarch bureau instead of Yachts, pipelayers and vessels with
Drilling rigs ......
It is necessary that the yachts of the oligators and with the owners and their families be assembled on the site of this pipe, assemble and condition them 72 hours the construction does not continue, the first boat with all households leaves for the port of Magadan, and so every 24 hours in alphabetical order
1. koss
  
  0
  
  31 December 2019 00: 50
  
  With all the belongings on the shore - by train.
DPN

0

25 December 2019 11: 10

There is only one way out: the protection of the Fortune of the Russian Navy and the construction under its protection, not paying attention to Denmark, in the worst case, its blockade, like CUBA at one time.
1. Sake
  
  -1
  
  26 December 2019 02: 05
  
  oh ... how terrible we are ... yes the Danish Navy is equal to the Baltic Fleet ...
Sergeyjluf

+2

25 December 2019 15: 31

There is an easier way: call "AllSeas" "Fortune" and calmly finish building the pipe under the protection of the Russian Navy. And it is quite possible to come to an agreement with the Swiss.
philippino lippi

-2

25 December 2019 15: 57

On "Akademik Chersky" they have not turned over the crane YET, ADMIRALS? Wait, these BOATS MANDATELY make RUSSIAN PAIN! Bezdelniki, on their pig farms, "FOR UPBRINGING", zazhralis, NEGODYA!
Wit.nik

-1

25 December 2019 18: 47

Gentlemen, Everything will be OK! About a hundred years later, we learn about the secret pacts of Puze and the whole truth about the current blah blah. And now what we see is the Triumph of a market economy, about which liberals trumpet so much, the Supremacy of the World organized crime group, led by the Tan in all earthly lives ... Whoever stands behind all this, everyone knows and is silent, and as always, Russia must save everyone and all .. And where are the other partners? Yes, they are looking for a reason to blame. And there is only one conclusion: Russia has only the people, the Army, the Navy and the VKS, and therefore it is necessary to switch to internal problems, and above all, isolate the fifth column peacefully ...
Vkd dvk

0

25 December 2019 20: 31

Quote: Dzafdet
For styling, it will be possible to hire foreign specialists on our ship. But just in what condition is it? Or buy a stacker from foreigners. This is again the costs that Miller and his accomplices must pay out of pocket.

Clean your brains. Put foreigners for our iron. To teach them, at the same time, the Russian language, to teach instructions in Russian, to explain the work of electricians, painted in Russian. And this despite the fact that there is a team used to all of this.
Miller will not pay anything from his pocket. You and all of us will pay.
Vkd dvk

+1

25 December 2019 20: 33

Quote: Sergejluf
There is an easier way: call "AllSeas" "Fortune" and calmly finish building the pipe under the protection of the Russian Navy. And it is quite possible to come to an agreement with the Swiss.

It is not necessary to negotiate with the Swiss. It is necessary to set a fine that is an order of magnitude higher than the sanctions for non-fulfillment of the contract.
1. Dedok
  
  -2
  
  26 December 2019 07: 19
  
  It is not necessary to negotiate with the Swiss. It is necessary to set a fine that is an order of magnitude higher than the sanctions for non-fulfillment of the contract.
  
  Have you read the contract, at least in the part of "force majeure", to give such advice?
  With the "BACK" mind - strong ...
shadow

+1

25 December 2019 22: 49

It is unclear who will build and whose money. After all, the sanctions imposed against the European company. So, Europe will have to ensure the construction of the pipe. And we'll see. Now, as others write, negotiations are ongoing between Gazprom and Europe. Let's see what they agree on.
Roman Soloviev

-1

26 December 2019 06: 39

But this qualifies as wrecking by the States. And how to answer it?
Dedok

-2

26 December 2019 07: 16

By the end of next year, if the stars converge in the sky. And so ..... The purchased ship cannot work, there is no insurance, there is no personnel, there are only pipes in warehouses in the ports ... And to build a new ship or remake an existing ship to the requirements of the countries where it will be necessary to work is for years.
As in the old joke:

... standing on the pavement, shod in skis,
either the skis don’t go, or I’m minted ...

A mantra from a box is a complete disaster both in content and in the direction of thought ....
Vkd dvk

0

26 December 2019 10: 13

It is not necessary to negotiate with the Swiss. It is necessary to set a fine that is an order of magnitude higher than the sanctions for non-fulfillment of the contract.

Have you read the contract? - at least in the part of "force majeure"? - to give such advice?
With the "BACK" mind - strong ...

Have you read? Then let's get this section here. With comments, womnik.
Such sections are nevertheless included in the texts of the treaties. At least at the request of THEIR parties, and which include ALL possible versions of such majors. Including from their side too.
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