A month before the attack on the Donbass: Ukraine will not leave Russia a choice
In early June, the Ukrainian army will begin a “blitzkrieg” against the Donetsk and Lugansk people's republics. To such conclusions came the famous Russian political scientist Sergei Markov. According to the analyst, it is this time that is most convenient for starting a military invasion.
The fact that some serious operation is being prepared is indicated by the appointment of NATO military exercises near the Russian state border on June 3-15. Military contingents of 19 countries with a total of 18 thousand troops will arrive in the Baltic states. Only the United States will send 1100 units of military equipment. The exercises will be held on the territory of four states - Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. Of course, no one is going to attack Russia, but these exercises are a demonstration of the force necessary to show Moscow the determination of the North Atlantic Alliance for the most radical measures.
Kiev has long begun military preparations for the invasion of the Donbass. Why exactly June? The 2018 FIFA World Cup is approaching, which will be held in Russia. If the attack on the Donbass occurs in early June, Moscow will face a very difficult choice. She will have only two possible options - either to "merge" the people's republics and allow them to be destroyed by Kiev, or to intervene and then disrupt the upcoming Championship, since the West will definitely announce a boycott for it, and Russia itself will not be far from football.
And the "drain" of the Donbass, and the breakdown of the championship are beneficial for Kiev. For Petro Poroshenko, any active actions against Russia now have the character of a “saving rope”, with the help of which he expects to maintain his power and control over the country. In addition, Kiev feels the support of the West, which has recently been increasingly aggressively attacking Russia in various directions using provocative methods - from the London "Skripals case" to the chemical attack in Syria.
The Ukrainian military command expects that a powerful blow can crush the republics of Donbass in just one week. Then Moscow will have to make a choice. If the cleansing of Donbass by the forces of the Ukrainian army begins, it will be a complete political fiasco of the Kremlin. Russia will have to observe the destruction of the people's republics, large-scale repressions against their leaders, military, civilians. A flood of refugees will flood into neighboring regions of the country.
A successful military operation in the Donbass will give Kiev confidence in its abilities, and the Russian government will be discredited even before the Russian people. Therefore Russian политическая the elite will split up - it will definitely include people who advocate immediate military intervention and the deployment of Russian troops in the Donbass. If the proponents of intervention manage to defend their position, then there will be a cardinal and final turning point in relations between Russia and the West. Although it seems that there can be no worse, in fact, in the event of hostilities in the Donbass, Russia will face almost a direct military confrontation with the North Atlantic Alliance. But does our country have a choice?
The fact that some serious operation is being prepared is indicated by the appointment of NATO military exercises near the Russian state border on June 3-15. Military contingents of 19 countries with a total of 18 thousand troops will arrive in the Baltic states. Only the United States will send 1100 units of military equipment. The exercises will be held on the territory of four states - Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. Of course, no one is going to attack Russia, but these exercises are a demonstration of the force necessary to show Moscow the determination of the North Atlantic Alliance for the most radical measures.
Kiev has long begun military preparations for the invasion of the Donbass. Why exactly June? The 2018 FIFA World Cup is approaching, which will be held in Russia. If the attack on the Donbass occurs in early June, Moscow will face a very difficult choice. She will have only two possible options - either to "merge" the people's republics and allow them to be destroyed by Kiev, or to intervene and then disrupt the upcoming Championship, since the West will definitely announce a boycott for it, and Russia itself will not be far from football.
And the "drain" of the Donbass, and the breakdown of the championship are beneficial for Kiev. For Petro Poroshenko, any active actions against Russia now have the character of a “saving rope”, with the help of which he expects to maintain his power and control over the country. In addition, Kiev feels the support of the West, which has recently been increasingly aggressively attacking Russia in various directions using provocative methods - from the London "Skripals case" to the chemical attack in Syria.
The Ukrainian military command expects that a powerful blow can crush the republics of Donbass in just one week. Then Moscow will have to make a choice. If the cleansing of Donbass by the forces of the Ukrainian army begins, it will be a complete political fiasco of the Kremlin. Russia will have to observe the destruction of the people's republics, large-scale repressions against their leaders, military, civilians. A flood of refugees will flood into neighboring regions of the country.
A successful military operation in the Donbass will give Kiev confidence in its abilities, and the Russian government will be discredited even before the Russian people. Therefore Russian политическая the elite will split up - it will definitely include people who advocate immediate military intervention and the deployment of Russian troops in the Donbass. If the proponents of intervention manage to defend their position, then there will be a cardinal and final turning point in relations between Russia and the West. Although it seems that there can be no worse, in fact, in the event of hostilities in the Donbass, Russia will face almost a direct military confrontation with the North Atlantic Alliance. But does our country have a choice?
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