The geopolitical trump card of Russia against the United States
The famous Ukrainian political scientist Rostislav Ishchenko, who moved to Russia after the 2014 coup, shared his observations on modern geopolitical realities. He expressed his thoughts on the methods of pressure on opponents and allies that the United States uses, as well as on the methods used by Russia to counter American expansion.
I will briefly outline his concept, as I understood it.
Russian roulette
In gambling there is a simple technique, which with unlimited resources inevitably leads to a win. It consists in constantly doubling the bet in case of loss. If, when playing roulette, you use the doubling method, then the win covers all previous losses and even allows you to get a little more money than was invested.
But in practice, this method often causes a crash. After all, the player’s money can end earlier than the win. And even if this does not happen, the player after winning is not always able to stop. He will continue to play until he loses everything.
If you transfer game methods to policies, then a similar method worked out during a series of "velvet revolutions." The opposition acts as follows. Protesters make demands, and if the authorities fulfill them, the opposition demands even more. And this happens until the leadership of the country either renounces power or makes a forceful decision. The last option happens less frequently than the first.
This technique was used in Ukraine in 2014, the same thing is happening today in Armenia. Whatever country the Maidan is organized in, everything will go according to the same established scheme.
But the weaknesses of this Technology same as in a gamble. If the enemy does not make concessions or finds an alternative solution to the problem, then the organizers of the protests do not achieve anything.
"Maidan" technology in international politics
The United States has used a similar method against Russia since the beginning of 2000, without fear of failure. American resources are many times superior to Russian, as the US and Russian GDPs are incomparable. In addition, America can use the resources of its vassals.
But Russia began to use the resource-saving method, which consists in targeted intervention, for effective counteraction. If destabilizing actions are taken against an ally of Russia, it does not throw all its forces into its defense. The main burdens and hardships go to the share of the ally. Russia intervenes when there is a direct threat of defeat or destruction. Help is limited. This happened both in Ukraine and in Syria.
The United States has developed such a rapid activity that they themselves have begun to lack resources to achieve their goals. Then they also began to use resource-saving technologies. One of them is military blackmail. It consists in threats of using military force so that the enemy makes concessions.
Another method is to destabilize the situation. You just need to run controlled chaos, after which everything happens offline, without external efforts.
In general, large players play their complex and obscure games, and ordinary people from less successful countries and regions suffer from this, sometimes they die. Of course, the theory of Rostislav Ishchenko is complicated and confusing, but it has a right to exist.
At least, the Ukrainian Maidan and the ensuing conflict in the Donbass perfectly fit into its scheme.
I will briefly outline his concept, as I understood it.
Russian roulette
In gambling there is a simple technique, which with unlimited resources inevitably leads to a win. It consists in constantly doubling the bet in case of loss. If, when playing roulette, you use the doubling method, then the win covers all previous losses and even allows you to get a little more money than was invested.
But in practice, this method often causes a crash. After all, the player’s money can end earlier than the win. And even if this does not happen, the player after winning is not always able to stop. He will continue to play until he loses everything.
If you transfer game methods to policies, then a similar method worked out during a series of "velvet revolutions." The opposition acts as follows. Protesters make demands, and if the authorities fulfill them, the opposition demands even more. And this happens until the leadership of the country either renounces power or makes a forceful decision. The last option happens less frequently than the first.
This technique was used in Ukraine in 2014, the same thing is happening today in Armenia. Whatever country the Maidan is organized in, everything will go according to the same established scheme.
But the weaknesses of this Technology same as in a gamble. If the enemy does not make concessions or finds an alternative solution to the problem, then the organizers of the protests do not achieve anything.
"Maidan" technology in international politics
The United States has used a similar method against Russia since the beginning of 2000, without fear of failure. American resources are many times superior to Russian, as the US and Russian GDPs are incomparable. In addition, America can use the resources of its vassals.
But Russia began to use the resource-saving method, which consists in targeted intervention, for effective counteraction. If destabilizing actions are taken against an ally of Russia, it does not throw all its forces into its defense. The main burdens and hardships go to the share of the ally. Russia intervenes when there is a direct threat of defeat or destruction. Help is limited. This happened both in Ukraine and in Syria.
The United States has developed such a rapid activity that they themselves have begun to lack resources to achieve their goals. Then they also began to use resource-saving technologies. One of them is military blackmail. It consists in threats of using military force so that the enemy makes concessions.
Another method is to destabilize the situation. You just need to run controlled chaos, after which everything happens offline, without external efforts.
In general, large players play their complex and obscure games, and ordinary people from less successful countries and regions suffer from this, sometimes they die. Of course, the theory of Rostislav Ishchenko is complicated and confusing, but it has a right to exist.
At least, the Ukrainian Maidan and the ensuing conflict in the Donbass perfectly fit into its scheme.
Information