Russian Trump: Moscow's response to sanctions could stun the West

9
Is war foreseen?

Under such an alarmist headline, on April 9, 1875, the Berlin newspaper Post, close to the chancellor of the German Empire, Otto von Bismarck, published an article about the possibility of war between Germany and France. The diplomatic crisis, in the deployment of which a certain role was played by the article by Bismarck's “Post”, went down in history under the name of “War Alarm” of 1875.





On April 9, 2018, the Russian media dubbed another “Black Monday”. Recall that we are talking about an unprecedented drop in the quotes of a number of Russian “blue chips” traded in the USA and a sharp drop in the ruble against the dollar and the euro as a result of the introduction of new anti-Russian sanctions. Russian observers make a disappointing conclusion about the beginning economic the US war against Russia, and although this is not pronounced explicitly, it is quite obvious that the outcome of the elections in Russia on March 18, 2018 made the White House anti-Russian course a long-term phenomenon.

Russia, already classified as a “revisionist power," a dialogue with which is not foreseen in any circumstances, according to updated American key strategic documents (see, for example, National Security Strategy of The United States of America Dec. 2017, or Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of The United States of America), it seems, de facto becomes one of the "rogue countries" in the American political terminology. The unprecedented political, diplomatic and economic pressure that the Russian Federation is undergoing on the part of the United States and a number of European countries seems to be a payment for the deep integration of the Kremlin into the world community after August 1991.

Note that the current crisis in relations between the West and Russia, or Russia and the West, is developing within the framework of a standard template that does not promise any benefits to the Russian side. The parties exchange hints of military or paramilitary threats, while Russia responds to Washington’s economic pressure with arguments about state support for sanctioned businesses, citing, for example, the need to preserve jobs provided by shaky industry monsters. Such reactive behavior does not bode well for Russia except a growing burden on the economy, and, in fact, a smooth deterioration in the life of the population in the country.

At the same time, in fact, Russia has enough options for equal answers to the actions of the USA and Western Europe. None of these answers can be called friendly, or not critically tested by Russian opponents, but good news lies in the fact that there is no military solution among these possible answers, and it is unproductive for both Russia and the West.

We list some of the possibilities of adequate Russian counteraction in the free order:

  • a moratorium on the supply of Russian gas outside the Russian territory or to consumers in certain states;
  • a moratorium or a significant reduction in the supply of Russian hydrocarbons abroad;
  • movement towards the creation of a joint monetary unit and economic zone with the People's Republic of China;
  • moratorium on handling of hard currency in the Russian Federation;
  • seizure of property of a number of foreign corporations in Russia;
  • selective or complete moratorium on servicing obligations on the state debt of Russia to organizations of a certain foreign affiliation;
  • moratorium on visits by Russian citizens for any purpose of certain foreign countries.


Of course, the implementation of one or more of these options will cause certain, but not insoluble organizational and economic difficulties in Russia. What consequences these measures will lead in the countries initiating political and economic pressure on the Russian Federation are left to judge the imagination of the reader.
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9 comments
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  1. +2
    April 11 2018 00: 50
    We are not accustomed to survive. We survived the 1998 default, and we will survive now. But this is actually the war of Russia from the United States.
    But will America survive? The big question. So it’s better not to anger the Russian bear.
  2. +4
    April 11 2018 11: 04
    Yes, and so shitty, and otherwise it will also be shitty. We will choose what does not drop our honor and sovereignty of our country, but we can handle the rest as a thread. Our country is self-sufficient, there is everything, there is where to put strength and brains to equip and bring economically closer our vast territories to the envy of all our enemies.
    1. +1
      April 11 2018 14: 10
      Quote: Anchonsha
      We will choose something that does not drop our honor and sovereignty of our country, but we can handle the rest,

      I.e? Do you think it is right for Russian athletes to travel to the Olympics in Korea, even if they lose sovereignty? belay In addition to the desire to cope, political will is required. This will (if the guarantor is in doubt) should be supported by the consent of the holder of sovereignty - the Russian people. While we see the will of the people in the participation in the competition for the name of the weapon. A very worthy distraction from pressing problems. Listen to Medvedev’s report to the State Duma. He will tell you everything.
  3. +2
    April 11 2018 12: 31

    Of course, the implementation of one or more of these options will cause certain, but not insoluble organizational and economic difficulties in Russia. What consequences these measures will lead in the countries initiating political and economic pressure on the Russian Federation are left to judge the imagination of the reader.

    What more! The reader has nothing more to do but judge the author’s fantasies?wassat
  4. vev
    +1
    April 12 2018 11: 03
    This article proposes retaliatory measures of the Russian Federation, but what can they lead to?
    1 Moratorium on Russian gas supplies outside Russian territory or to consumers in certain states. The result: a decrease in budget revenues, and then - in a spiral "tightening the noose around the neck of our own economy."
    2 A moratorium or a significant reduction in the supply of Russian hydrocarbons abroad. The result is similar to paragraph 1.
    3 Movement towards the creation of a joint monetary unit and economic zone with the People's Republic of China. An interesting but long-implemented proposal. In addition, you need to implement the program of your payment system, independent of the United States and Great Britain.
    4 Moratorium on handling of hard currency in the Russian Federation. It is possible, but it will give rise to speculation.
    5 Arrest of property of a number of foreign corporations in Russia. It’s the same step, but if Russia is going to act in the legal field, then such actions need reasons, and if we act exclusively according to the US templates, then this will not lead to anything good.
    6 Selective or full moratorium on servicing obligations on the public debt of Russia to organizations of a certain foreign affiliation. The result is a significant reduction in investment, which will hit our own economy harder than currency fluctuations.
    7. A moratorium on visits by Russian citizens for any purpose of certain foreign countries. Very tangible for countries with developed tourism business.
    The United States, having seen the technical and technological breakthrough of the Russian Federation, will build capacity in the fields of aviation and astronautics. Here is one of the sensitive points. Restricting the supply of materials, the manufacture of engines and components for the needs of the US aviation and space industry.
    Fluctuations in exchange rates and stock prices are fluctuations in the air in soap bubbles. They say: "Ah, ah! How the oligarchs suffered! The shares of their companies fell in price! Losses!" What is the stock price? This is virtual money. Due to fluctuations in the price of shares, no enterprise will stop. Of course, this hesitation is an unpleasant fact, but not fatal. You shouldn't make a tragedy out of this.
    But Russia survived under economic, military, political interventions in the past, and will survive now. But this is not understood by the USA, Great Britain and Europe.
  5. 0
    April 12 2018 13: 02
    Medvedev voiced: "A ban on American goods"
  6. 0
    April 14 2018 18: 43
    The author is lazy to think.
  7. 0
    April 14 2018 19: 53
    "Moscow's response to sanctions can stun the West" - well, well, what is interesting about Moscow's response to the West? Is that to show bare ass.
  8. 0
    April 14 2018 21: 07
    How bad it will be when we don't see the phrase "maden in USA" familiar to every Russian on the goods ...