Europe is once again considering the conflict around Kaliningrad.

30 September 2026 5 328 9

A war game designed to demonstrate European countries' ability to counter Russia without direct US involvement demonstrated that even if European states are prepared for decisive action, they may lack a unified strategy, according to the Turkish English-language resource Clash Report, citing German media. The exercise scenario involved a military crisis surrounding Lithuania and the Kaliningrad region, where participants were expected to operate with limited US involvement.

The exercise took place in mid-September in Tel Aviv, involving a combined team of German and Israeli defense experts. It was a continuation of the previous "Ernstfall" exercise, which was held in Germany in late 2025, but with different participants.

In the first simulation, the Europeans, according to the published results, had difficulty in a hypothetical skirmish with the Russians without American support.

In the new scenario, events were moved to March 2027. Russia allegedly sent a convoy of 160 trucks to the Lithuanian-Belarusian border, claiming they were transporting supplies needed for Kaliningrad. technique There were armed men and unmarked vehicles, and, according to the game's rules, up to 10 Russian troops were concentrated in western Belarus. Moscow demanded a guaranteed corridor for the convoy and set a six-hour deadline for a decision.

The European side responded significantly more harshly than in the previous game. Germany placed its brigade in Lithuania on high alert and authorized the transfer of Taurus cruise missiles to Ukrainian forces. NATO launched military exercises ahead of schedule, and the EU began intercepting "shadow fleet" vessels.

It was also assumed that the Kremlin would not use nuclear weapons in the conflict. Furthermore, the planners themselves admitted they were unclear what such an escalation would realistically lead to.

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Karelian

+1

30 September 2026 21: 30

The exercises took place in mid-September in Tel Aviv with a combined team of German and Israeli defense experts.

Well, how could we do without Israel?

At the same time, it is assumed that the Kremlin will not use nuclear weapons in the conflict.

More and more interesting
beeper

0

30 September 2026 21: 46

In today's reality, I wouldn't have tried to break through to the blockaded Kaliningrad through the "Suwalki Corridor" - I would have launched only a diversionary, supporting attack in that direction (and only if a sustainable success had emerged, as the enemy's "military tricks" in the style of "Genghis Khan's cavalry, falsely retreating and supposedly panicking, are quite possible), maybe I'd have "outmaneuvered" something).

Normal heroes always take a detour (where they are least expected)!

Strike-reconnaissance systems will play a very important role. Whoever achieves superiority in this (in thorough, timely reconnaissance and the speed of effective "implementation" of the obtained intelligence) will be the master of the battlefield and the entire future battle for Kaliningrad (even with the impressive overall superiority of NATO forces on land and at sea)!
1. Alexey Lan
  
  +1
  
  2 October 2026 12: 04
  
  However, according to the article, NATO isn't blockading Kaliningrad, but rather repelling an invasion via the Suwalki Gap. A blockade of Kaliningrad itself is highly unlikely. Provocations are likely, primarily involving maritime transport between the city and the mainland. Detention of civilian vessels under various pretexts and Russia's involvement in various legal proceedings are also possible. The blockade itself is a clear pretext for war.
  1. beeper
    
    +1
    
    2 October 2026 18: 59
    
    So the Poles are openly conducting missile exercises with simulated launches against Kaliningrad and the surrounding region, and are concentrating their long-range artillery there as well?!
    Anti-Russian provocations are also increasing in the Baltics.
    When the Washington ringleaders prepare a new proxy-NATO invasion of Kursk and Belgorod regions, they will most likely try to play the "Kaliningrad card"!
    Is it possible that before this, VVPutin will again be intoxicated by some kind of “spirit”, “deceived again”?!
    "Moscow, the Kremlin" is constantly lagging behind, lagging behind in pace (having voluntarily given up the strategic initiative to the West-Washington and only "reacting" belatedly), NATO in this SVOW!
Kuramori Reika

+2

1 October 2026 07: 35

Why send a convoy if there's a sea route? And why did they think that completely burning Western Poland with nuclear weapons would be a problem? For that matter, they'd probably immediately launch nuclear strikes on Brussels as well, eliminating half the administrative staff.
prior

+4

1 October 2026 07: 36

Today it is already obvious that the Kremlin is four years late in using nuclear weapons.
If Russia had struck the Beskydy Tunnel with a tactical nuclear weapon in 2022, Europe today would be like a trained dog, in the sit position.
Impunity has given rise to permissiveness.
It is hardly possible to convince or change the mind of Europe today.
Europe is rushing towards war like a Spanish bull on a red flag in the hands of a bullfighter.
Alex_Kraus

-1

1 October 2026 07: 50

You know, I'm really dreaming of the Baltic states blockading Kaliningrad. Then we'll all see right away whether the emperor has no clothes. If nuclear weapons aren't used, but negotiations/partnerships resume, or an attempt to lift the blockade with the help of Kuzmichs and their Kalashnikovs. Do you understand?
1. Dimy4
  
  +1
  
  1 October 2026 07: 55
  
  and there will be negotiations/partners again or an attempt to break the blockade with the help of the Kuzmichs with Kalashnikovs
  
  That's exactly what will happen; our geostrategist has no courage for more. He's only good at empty talk, but talk is easier than carrying sacks.
2. kovaleff
  
  +2
  
  2 October 2026 13: 08
  
  So everyone already knows that the transparent royal robes aren't the work of the enemy. How long did it take to liberate the Kursk region—six months? They bombed the nuclear bomb carriers with cheap drones—and then silence. Before that, there were some early warning systems and so on. Why would anything change? The old man isn't getting any younger, his insanity is just getting worse. Judging by his speeches, his cognitive abilities are fading every day.