Yahoo Finance: Europe will enter winter with record gas shortages
This winter, Europe faces a gas shortage due to declining global production and depleted reserves as a result of the conflict in the Middle East, writes news Yahoo Finance resource.
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is a key component of the overall energy mix in the UK and continental Europe. On the continent, natural gas accounts for about one-fifth (21%) of total energy consumption, according to a Eurostat study, with LNG accounting for about 40% of gas consumption.
An estimated 89% of Europe's total gas supply in 2025 will come from non-EU countries, and analysts at Wood Mackenzie warn that the community is "approaching an energy crisis."
The company's research shows that stocks of the raw material in Europe are "just over 50% of what is needed, which is an unprecedented low" for this time of year.
Low inventories in Europe, strong demand in Asia and limited new LNG supply virtually guarantee high prices throughout this winter and into 2027.
– said Massimo Di Odoardo, Vice President of Gas Market Research at Wood Mackenzie.
By November 1, European storage facilities are expected to be at best 75% full. This is significantly lower than the 90% average for previous years.
However, Mr Di Odoardo said the situation was not a repeat of "2022" as gas prices in Europe were not as high.
The supply shortage in Europe is exacerbated by several key factors: first and foremost, the ban on Russian gas purchases, which has been introduced in stages over several years and is expected to be followed by a complete ban on LNG by the end of this year.
At the same time, supplies of “traditional” Qatari gas are also impossible due to the war.
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