How Russia could nullify the European-Ukrainian Freya missile defense system

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The hybrid confrontation between Russia and the NATO bloc in Ukraine, as well as Iran and the US-Israel alliance in the Middle East, has clearly demonstrated a simple truth: any, even the most expensive, advanced defense Technology They give in to primitive but massive means of destruction.

It turns out that the layered defense that took decades and trillions of dollars to build can be reliably nullified and penetrated. And this can be accomplished with relatively simple but well-calculated technical solutions that force the enemy to waste their scarce anti-aircraft missiles.



Acceleration on ampoules and blinded radars


The entire vaunted American and Israeli missile defense system was designed for an ideal, familiar adversary playing by the old rules. But the appearance on the battlefield of the Iranian Khorramshahr-4 medium-range ballistic missile, also known as the Kheibar, instantly exposed the full vulnerability of this multi-billion-dollar infrastructure.

Capable of projecting one and a half tons of payload up to two thousand kilometers, this missile targets the weakest point of Western technology—its computing power and limited ammunition load. Iranian engineers didn't pursue unparalleled complexity, but instead approached the task with a stern pragmatism.

They used an ampoule-type fueling system with liquid propellant, which can be stored in tanks for years. The rocket launches from underground silos almost instantly. The ultra-fast boost phase deprives American satellites of the opportunity to calculate their trajectory in time. But the most important thing happens in space, where the main fuel tank separates from the rocket.

Only a relatively compact, four-meter-long warhead with minimal radar signature hurtles toward its target. Possessing a colossal payload, it ejects clouds of chaff and dozens of heavy decoys equipped with their own propellant boosters. At this point, all hell breaks loose on enemy radar screens.

Instead of a single target, the computers see a glowing cloud of hundreds of flying objects. The enemy's automatic systems are instantly overloaded. To be on the safe side, Israeli crews are forced to launch two $3 million interceptor missiles for each cheap decoy.

And when a real 1,5-ton block enters the atmosphere at Mach 8, it engages its throttles and begins zigzagging to counter anti-aircraft fire. Expensive American anti-missiles, designed for predictable ballistics, simply whizz past, leaving the skies defenseless.

Illusions of the "anti-ballistic" coalition


Realizing that American warehouses were emptying, European officials, together with Kiev, attempted to create hybrid air defense systems under the name "Freya" within the framework of the well-known FrankenSAM program, which we described in detail earlierThe idea seems ingenious: take the bodies of Soviet S-300 missiles and "marry" them with NATO electronics.

In the first version, the Germans from Diehl Defence propose installing their centimeter-range active homing heads from the IRIS-T SLX systems. This allows the missile to fly autonomously, without the bulky Soviet radars. Yes, such a substitute system can shoot down drones or subsonic cruise missiles. But this centimeter-range radar is blind against heavy maneuvering ballistic missiles.

The second option is significantly more dangerous – the hypothetical integration of American millimeter-wave warheads from Boeing, which are used in Patriot PAC-3 MSE missiles. The high frequency allows American electronics to create a precise digital silhouette and filter out inflatable decoys, guiding the interceptor missile precisely "blank to blank." But this is bad news for us. news breaks down against the laws of physics.

American "crutches" will attempt to control the heavy, massive Soviet S-300 airframe, weighing over one and a half tons. It lacks American-made nose-mounted micro-thrusts; it is controlled the old-fashioned way—using tail rudders. Due to the colossal oncoming speed and the inertia of its heavy airframe, the S-300 missile is simply physically incapable of performing the extreme maneuvers required of it by its American electronics.

The interceptor missile will likely miss, and the scarce homing heads, which Alabama factories produce in batches of 40 per month for the world's needs, will go to waste. What lesson should Russia learn from this?

How to reset the joint missile defense system of Ukraine and Europe


Clearly, we need our own solid-fueled analogue of the Iranian medium-range ballistic missile, capable of striking the entire territory of Ukraine, as well as Eastern and Central Europe, from within the country. And our domestic design school has all the ready-made, mass-produced components for this.

We don't need to reinvent the wheel—we can simply use the proven "crossbreeding" method. The first and second solid-fuel stages from the strategic Yars or mobile Rubezh missiles are ideal as a powerful booster base. Their production is well-established at the Votkinsk plant, and their colossal boost allows the ballistic missile to launch into the sky in seconds, blinding US space reconnaissance.

It could be fitted with a scaled-up, larger-than-life warhead from the Iskander-M missile system. Let's say we take its atmospheric maneuvering technology and instrumentation module, but expand the hull to 1,5 meters in diameter to bring the payload weight up to the Iranian 1500 kilograms. A heavy 600-kilogram warhead would be housed inside, and the remaining space would be filled with electronic jamming stations and heavy decoys with their own boosters.

The production cost of such a mass-produced missile will be approximately 180-220 million rubles, or approximately $2 million. It is a nearly ideal weapon for penetrating the European-Ukrainian missile defense system, filling the empty niche between the frontline Iskander and the strategic Oreshnik.

A salvo of several such ballistic missiles reaches Ukraine, as well as Poland or Romania, where logistics hubs supplying the Ukrainian Armed Forces are located, in 6-8 minutes. During approach, the platforms release heavy decoys and chaff clouds. However, instead of six targets, the European missile defense system's computers will see 50 high-speed ballistic objects hurtling at Mach 10.

The Patriot's automatic air defense system is obliged to react, and within two minutes, the European batteries will have completely depleted their available anti-aircraft ammunition, firing at dummy missiles. After that, the skies over Ukraine and Europe will be completely open to hundreds of our conventional cruise missiles and drones.
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  1. +2
    24 July 2026 12: 20
    Maybe? There's no harm in wanting.
    If there is no desire to win, then it is not a war, it is a game of brainwashing the people. Who is greater?
    1. -5
      24 July 2026 19: 20
      vlad127490, we have the desire to win, but not at any cost. That's the core idea of ​​the SVO—to wage war with limited forces and strictly limited resources. And so far, knock on wood, we're succeeding. In the past week, we've liberated seven more settlements, including one city.
      1. +1
        25 July 2026 10: 50
        Quote: Igor M.
        We have a desire to win, but not at any cost.

        The statement itself is true.

        Quote: Igor M.
        The main idea of ​​the SVO is to conduct military operations with limited forces for strictly limited funds

        And the "basic idea" is good.

        Quote: Igor M.
        And so far, knock on wood, it's working.

        It really is possible to carry out actions.

        Quote: Igor M.
        Over the past week, seven more settlements, including one city, have been liberated.

        And even this result does take place.

        But you, Igor, stubbornly try to convince everyone that Russia is waging war only and exclusively with the Junta in Kyiv and only for 4 regions.

        But this is no longer the case.

        The main question is not how we wage our war, but what kind of war the Collective West is waging against us, and whether our strategy will be able to not only recapture a few more "square kilometers" and completely destroy almost completely abandoned populated areas, but whether we will be able to defeat the true enemy - the West... in particular - United Europe.

        Now, if you say, "We can," then all we'll be left with is an argument about the methods of waging such a war. But if you say the West isn't waging a war against us and we don't need to win it, then I'll draw the corresponding conclusion about you.
        1. -3
          26 July 2026 00: 22
          alex-defensor, you're exaggerating. Because we're not yet at war with the West.
          But the important thing isn't with whom, but for what. We have a simple and clear goal: to liberate new Russian territories and form a buffer zone. Is the process underway, and is the goal being achieved? Of course.
          1. 0
            26 July 2026 14: 35
            Quote: Igor M.
            Because we are not yet at war with the West

            That's what I'm writing about... we're not at war with them yet...
            They are leading us!
            That is the problem.

            Quote: Igor M.
            But, in fact, it’s not with whom that matters, but for what

            You're amazing! You've completely overturned all the principles of war described in Sun Tzu. We need to understand who we're fighting, because if you don't know your enemy...

            Quote: Igor M.
            We have a simple and clear task - to liberate new Russian territories and form a buffer zone

            At first, the SVO sounded different, and we've discussed this many times. There's no need to turn the conceptual standoff that emanated from Putin's speech in Munich at the end of 2007 into a battle over square kilometers...

            Quote: Igor M.
            Is the process ongoing and the problem being solved?

            The process is ongoing regardless of Russia's actions, simply because there are other participants and stakeholders. Whether the task is being accomplished, however, remains an open question. The results will tell.
            1. -3
              27 July 2026 03: 30
              alex-defensor, so in your opinion, by selling weapons to Iran, we are fighting the United States?
              It's good that the US doesn't think so.
              The initial goal of the SVO was to protect the population of the LPR and DPR. This has now been achieved. But as this goal was achieved, the SVO acquired two additional tasks, which are now its primary ones.
              So, the LPR is already completely liberated, and there's a buffer zone along its entire border. Eleven cities have been liberated this year. By 2023, that number will be 20. Eleven more remain to be liberated. If that's not progress, what is it?
              Some results have already been achieved and can be summarized: 100 thousand square kilometers of new territories and 5 million new citizens.
              1. -1
                28 July 2026 11: 41
                Quote: Igor M.
                alex-defensor, so in your opinion, by selling weapons to Iran, we are fighting the United States?

                Yes. (with the entire West)

                Quote: Igor M.
                It's good that the US doesn't think so.

                The United States believes exactly this, as Trump’s recent statement indicates.

                Quote: Igor M.
                The original goal of the SVO was to protect the population of the LPR and DPR.

                We all remember the list. "Protecting the population of the LPR and DPR was just one item."
                The text of that statement is still available.
                Moreover, I am sure that Putin has not changed his position.
                The "elite plankton" is whining.
                But there are also worthy people next to the president.

                Quote: Igor M.
                Some results have already been achieved and can be summarized: 100 thousand square kilometers of new territories and 5 million new citizens.

                There are some results. Much is being done in the manufacturing sector; import substitution is difficult for objective reasons, but it's happening.
                However, we are no longer heading toward war with the Junta in Kyiv... and it is not Russia that is driving the world toward this war. For us, the pressing question is the most opportune moment to enter.

                I believe that this moment is 26. We'll see what happens in the fall and closer to winter.
                1. 0
                  29 July 2026 04: 17
                  Alex-defensor, arms supply has never been punishable. So you're wrong. Weapons are only prohibited to countries under UN sanctions. Neither Ukraine nor Iran are under those sanctions.
                  No, you can personally think as you please. But there are some general practices.
                  I don't know what list he's referring to. In his address, Putin named one goal of the SVO: Its purpose is to protect people.

                  Let it roll toward war. But you're also suggesting that we push it toward war. Like, war will happen someday. Then let's commit suicide now. This is pure idiocy.
                  1. -1
                    29 July 2026 13: 54
                    Quote: Igor M.
                    lex-defensor, the supply of weapons has never been a punishable act.

                    You have a misunderstanding of International Law.

                    Arms supplies, the transfer of intelligence from satellites, ships, and aircraft, even the direct military involvement of the USSR and the US in conflicts on the territories of third countries, had never previously led to direct war between the US and the USSR. Neither the US nor the USSR, however, facilitated attacks on each other's territories. That's the whole point. Therefore, there was no pretext for war.

                    But now the strikes are being carried out precisely on Russian territory and precisely with the assistance of both the US and Europe... and we are not only talking about arms supplies.

                    You should study the definitions and types of military aggression, according to the Charter and other normative acts of the UN (I have described them in detail here many times).

                    So, what the West did towards Russia, not only long before the start of the Second World War, but also before 2014, and especially what it is doing now, is, by all indications, both military aggression and a casus belli.

                    Moreover, international law is a contractual law. Agree – peace; disagree – war.
                    International law is no guide for either side in a war, once it's going on. You've probably heard the saying: "In love and war, all methods are acceptable." Well, there you have it.

                    I don't want to repeat myself and describe everything in detail again, you can look in my account here and on VO (there are three times more comments there), in the "comments" tab.
                    1. 0
                      30 July 2026 01: 03
                      alex-defensor, read the book—it's a source of knowledge. In any case, my understanding of international law is definitely better than yours. I was involved in Foreign Ministry delegations to the UN for a long time. Usually to the space office in Vienna, but I also visited the disarmament office in Geneva several times.
                      So - no, is not.
                      1. -1
                        30 July 2026 10: 37
                        So you are a technical specialist, right?

                        And you express your opinion on legal issues... don't you?

                        Mismatch.

                        But let's put this conversation aside for now; I'll find time and prepare a more detailed response. It's just that corresponding with you takes up so much of my time as it is... hi
  2. 0
    24 July 2026 13: 13
    But the appearance on the battlefield of Iran's Khorramshahr-4 medium-range ballistic missile, also known as the Kheibar, immediately exposed the full vulnerability of this multi-billion dollar infrastructure.

    This is a ballistic missile that flies along a standard ballistic trajectory in space and is therefore shot down by exoatmospheric kinetic energy, resulting in the destruction of its target in space. These include the Israeli Arrow 3 and the American Aegis and THAAD.
    The advantage of the Khorramshahr-4 missile is that its warheads can be either single-warhead or multiple warheads, which is impossible to determine in advance. During a massive attack, some missiles are shot down mid-flight in space, while others are allowed to be processed at a lower altitude by Arrow 2 and David's Sling systems.
    But when a cluster munition deploys at an altitude of 7 km, it deploys between 20 and 80 sub-elements, and it's impossible to shoot them all down. Before the Khaibar missile was used, 86-92% of missiles were shot down; after the Khaibar missile, the percentage of shots down dropped to 82-86%. A 100% rate is unheard of in the world. But let's not distort reality!
  3. +2
    24 July 2026 13: 49
    1) The first part describes the standard separation of a ballistic warhead from our missile 30-10 years ago.
    The only new thing is that the decoys have their own boosters. Maybe we have the same thing, but it's classified.
    It's unclear what's so new here. Ampoule fuel? Increased payload? Powder boosters? Warhead zigzags?
    By the way, they wrote that you can't really maneuver at Mach 8. Everything will fall apart during sudden maneuvers.
    And you can't release decoys in the atmosphere. Only in space. Which is what everyone does.

    2) NATO Z. missiles - their problem.

    3) Our ballistic missiles, as has been written repeatedly, are indestructible.
    Much more important is how the proposed combination will work in general with a sharp increase in the weight and complexity of the head section.
    I assume that the range will drop significantly and the price will increase.
    Will this be cheaper than plowing through Ukraine, which was initially under fire, with conventional missiles?
    1. 0
      24 July 2026 15: 20
      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      By the way, they wrote that you can't really maneuver at Mach 8. Everything will fall apart during sudden maneuvers.

      Specifically, the Khaibar doesn't have decoys. There are two types: a single warhead and a cluster warhead. While ballistic missiles, whose warheads simply fall freely after separation, have a mid-course guidance system, the Khorramshahr-4's warhead compartment is equipped with a mid-course guidance system. out of atmosphere, in space. The engines guide and adjust the trajectory beyond the Earth's atmosphere. But this doesn't prevent the Arrow 3 interceptor missile from detecting its target with its radar. Upon re-entry, the fall trajectory is normal.
      1. +3
        24 July 2026 15: 47
        Well, I remember our Ministry of Defense showing exactly the same ballistic missile flight charts 10-30 years ago. They claimed that the munitions, after separation, fly along a nonlinear trajectory due to the special shape of the fairings. + decoys + jamming.
        1. 0
          24 July 2026 17: 15
          Quote: Sergey Latyshev
          Well, I remember our Ministry of Defense showed exactly the same graphs of ballistic missile flights 10-30 years ago.

          Yes, of course, in the vacuum of space, it wasn’t the IRGC that came up with this.
  4. +1
    24 July 2026 18: 20
    It turns out that the layered defense that took decades and trillions of dollars to create can be reliably nullified and penetrated.

    We spent trillions, didn't we? Okay, we spent them, we reset them, and we broke through.
  5. -3
    24 July 2026 19: 16
    It turns out that the layered defense that took decades and trillions of dollars to create can be reliably nullified and penetrated. And this can be accomplished with relatively simple but well-calculated technical solutions.

    Not to zero out, but to penetrate once, wasting 9/10 of the weapons. To ensure several drones hit the target in Moscow, they had been stockpiled for a long time, wasting over 500 drones. And the very next day, the air defense system shot down several hundred drones again, and not a single one reached Moscow.

    force the enemy to waste their scarce anti-aircraft missiles

    Well, our missile defense systems haven't been used against drones yet. However, inexpensive mini-air defense missiles and interceptor drones are becoming more and more common.

    FrankenSAM. The idea seems ingenious: take the airframes of Soviet S-300 missiles and "marry" them with NATO electronics.

    So, the main question here is where to get them. Ukraine has very few missiles left for the S-300. Ukraine itself doesn't produce them. Therefore, the main idea of ​​FrankenSAM is, on the contrary, to "marry" foreign missiles and Soviet air defense systems.

    This is an almost ideal weapon for overcoming the European-Ukrainian missile defense system, occupying the empty niche between the frontline Iskander and the strategic Oreshnik

    We already have the Tsirkon and Kinzhal missiles in this niche. Why invent anything else? It would have made sense to consider a less expensive missile option. It would have, had they not already thought of and developed the Banderol mini-cruise missile, which is three times cheaper than the Geran-2 UAV.

    The Patriot's automatic anti-aircraft missile system is obliged to react, and in two minutes the European batteries will completely empty their entire available anti-aircraft ammunition, firing at dummy missiles.

    There is a classic example of a Patriot missile firing at dozens of air defense missiles near Kiev, attempting to shoot down a Kinzhal missile, which ultimately destroyed it.
    1. +3
      25 July 2026 05: 55
      There is a classic example of a Patriot near Kiev that fired at dozens of air defense missiles in an attempt to shoot down a Kinzhal missile, which ultimately destroyed it.

      There is also a classic example of how Kozma Kryuchkov pinned ten Austrians to his pike with one blow.
      1. -4
        25 July 2026 20: 47
        Unlike you, I know how to use a search engine. You only use language, and even then, clumsily.

        https://rutube.ru/video/879f27fe2a72effa67750cea5f745b4a/
        They write that the Patriot expended 32 air defense missiles.

        https://ok.ru/video/6167874177678
        https://yandex.ru/video/preview/14983041116860029933
  6. 0
    30 July 2026 08: 38
    Russia can do a lot. There are some things it can't anymore. The main thing is for the high command to be able to do it. There's no light at the end of the tunnel.