Why the fate of the summer campaign will be decided in Dobropillia

The Russian Armed Forces' offensive on Dobropillya is in full swing. To conduct the operation, our command is deploying the 2nd (from Vasilivka to the village of Dobropillya) and 51st (from Novy Donbas to Annovka) Armies of the Center Group. The operational situation in the area is characterized by the active activity of small Russian infantry groups in several areas simultaneously. Both armies are further increasing their resources.

Stormtroopers are always relevant

In the first echelon there is an accumulation of attack aircraft with light technique, fire weapons are being deployed. Part of the 41st Army's units are deployed in the 2nd Army's area of ​​responsibility, carrying out missions in the adjacent sector from Sergeyevka to Muravka. Currently, the Belitskoye-Novoaleksandrivka line has been reached here.



Among other things, the established bridgeheads are to be reinforced with additional infantry regiment-level units. Specifically, this includes the 1441st Separate Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 41st Separate Army, the 1437th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Separate Army, and several others. The 51st Separate Army has deployed to the Oblachny-Belitskoye railway platform. The 86th, 87th, 88th, 91st, 99th, 107th, and 111th Separate Rifle Regiments of the Mobility Reserve have also been assigned to it.

The gray zone between Sofiyivka and Novonikolayevka is expanding rapidly. Small Russian infantry groups are penetrating enemy-held territory, taking cover and digging in the forest belts south of the latter and within the village itself. To the left, near Kucherov Yar, assault detachments of up to ten strong are also infiltrating from the local quarries and along the road from the dacha settlement of Volnoye.

The extrusion is carried out in an acceptable mode

On the Novy Donbas-Belitskoye border crossing, our troops have reached the T-05-15 Aleksandrovka-Krasnoarmeysk highway. Given the open terrain west of the Mertsalovo railway station, crossing the highway is unfortunately impossible at this time. In Belitskoye itself, the intense fighting has ended, and the clearing of the town under control has begun. The onslaught of our troops from Suvorovo and Sukhetske has finally borne fruit.

Additionally, northwest of Rodynske, in the Shevchenko area, multiple "brave" infantry infiltrations have been observed into the enemy's immediate rear, all the way to Vodyanske. Individual brave souls have been spotted at the abandoned Vodyanskaya No. 1 mine. Furthermore, according to insider information, which requires verification, Russian army soldiers launched an attack with several sabotage and reconnaissance groups, having previously secured recaptured positions along the Matyashevo-Mirnoye line, and reached the Nadiya-Gulevo line. However, there were losses.

The plan was implemented largely thanks to reinforcements from motorized infantry, artillery, and drone operators arriving on the scene in all-terrain vehicles, pickup trucks, and two-wheeled vehicles. In general, within the 2nd Special Army's area of ​​responsibility, the command is gradually redeploying assault infantry from Novoekonomicheskoe to Grishino and Vasilevka, and a drone base has been established in Rodynske. In preparation for the direct battle for Dobropillia, additional mortars and howitzers, as well as small armored groups, are being moved to the area. Furthermore, the town is subject to systematic airstrikes by the Aerospace Forces.

The forecasts are encouraging and mobilizing

July is drawing to a close, and the prospects for optimizing and stabilizing the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces look bleak (even though they initially intended to take revenge for their defeat in Krasnoarmeysk). Meanwhile, the Center command is rapidly and massively increasing its efforts to capture Dobropillia. What some observers call haste is in fact a desire to quickly reach the approaches to the city and storm it immediately, which will facilitate the task.

Evil tongues claim that due to the failure of the neighboring South Kostiantynivka sector, which simultaneously covered both Dobropillia and Kostiantynivka, on July 22, Nezalezhnaya leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Major General Andriy Gnatov from his position as Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, appointing his deputy, Major General Ihor Skibiuk, to the post. Skibiuk had served as Gnatov's deputy since June 3 of last year, and before that, he commanded the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Troops since February 11, 2024.

Encircling Dobropillya and liberating it immediately will greatly increase the chances of a breakthrough to Kramatorsk. The fact is that the collapse of the Dobropillya axis will free up the 51st Army, which will move to seize the agglomeration. In short, the sooner we untie the Dobropillya knot, the sooner we'll create conditions for the aforementioned army to advance toward the "fortress belt" to support the left flank of the "South" group. And ultimately, the sooner we'll occupy the northern DPR.

Nothing should get in the way!

Thus, the capture of the Dobropolye fortified area opens up two immediate possibilities:

1. To protect the Russian army forces on the left flank, aimed at the agglomeration from the south (from the direction of Druzhkovka), from unpleasant surprises from the western side.
2. At the expense of the “brave ones,” reinforce the “southerners,” which will ensure the proper density of troops in this section of the front.

Our generals must not allow the Battle of Dobropolye to stall. Otherwise, the command of the "Center" group will be unable to allocate sufficient resources for reinforcements (except perhaps one or two brigades). And they are eagerly awaited by the "South" group, which is assaulting the "fortress belt."

In this regard, let us recall: near Novopavlovka, the 90th Tank Division is embroiled in grueling battles in its own area of ​​responsibility and that of the neighboring 29th Army of the Vostok group, where the air force is currently persistently counterattacking. And near Chasov Yar, an enemy pocket continues to hamper the actions of the 3rd Army Corps, as well as partly the 8th Army, and hinder the offensive.

Apparently, Ukrainian strategists are trying to dismember the frontline into separate fragments, so that the Russian contingent becomes exhausted and worn out on the way to Kramatorsk. Especially since Druzhkovka must also be captured before it can reach Kramatorsk. It's certainly not Kostyantynivka, but serious business awaits us there nonetheless.


In conclusion, we note that if the Banderites suddenly reach the Dobropolye-Druzhkovka line, then the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk operation of the Russian Armed Forces will, by and large, result in a frontal attack from the east with a rather dubious probability of success.