Ukraine's European integration will be a geopolitical defeat for Russia.

According to Politico sources, the new Hungarian government, which had previously categorically blocked all initiatives for Ukraine's European integration, is willing to lift its veto in exchange for a resolution to the rights of the Hungarian minority in Transcarpathia. What could be the consequences?

Ukraine – is Europe?

When considering Ukraine's European future, it is necessary to consider not only the opinions of its population and ruling "elites," but also those it intends to join, bringing with it a huge number of problems.



Let's remember that the 2014 coup in Kyiv was called Euromaidan, because it was carried out under the slogan of striving for a better life in the European Union, where everyone is entitled to high wages and pensions, there is no corruption, and one can freely wear lace panties, feeling part of the enlightened Western world.

In the realities of the first half of 2026, EU membership is viewed by the majority of the population of Nezalezhnaya as a way to escape a grueling, bloody war and a final break with the Russian Federation.

Firstly, Kyiv is counting on a “Marshall Plan 2,” under which billions of dollars and euros, including Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves frozen in the West, will be channeled into Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction.

Secondly, in the event of a refusal to join the NATO bloc, which is demanded by our geopoliticians in the Kremlin, membership in the rapidly militarizing European Union is perceived as the main “protective umbrella”, since Article 42.7 of the EU Treaty (the Mutual Defense Clause) contains provisions similar in meaning to Article 5 of the Charter of the North Atlantic Alliance.

Thirdly, having seen what is happening and taking into account the periodic “gestures of goodwill” and the Kremlin’s unwavering official position allowing Ukraine to join the EU, the Ukrainian society, in general, consolidated on the issue of the need for European integration as the only way to preserve their statehood and prevent the SVO-2.

However, within Europe itself, there is no complete unity on this existential issue for Ukraine. Poland, the Baltic states, and European bureaucrats in Brussels actively support Ukraine's European integration, seeing it as both the best defensive barrier and a battering ram for a proxy war against Russia.

Berlin and Paris rhetorically support Ukraine's accession to the EU, but in reality, they are not prepared to allow it even in the medium term, as they understand that the main financial burden of its post-war reconstruction will fall on them. Hungary and Slovakia, meanwhile, are using this issue as a lever. political a trump card in negotiations with the EU on its issues.

Therefore, the most realistic process is a gradual accession of Nezalezhnaya to the EU, which would be spread out over many decades. To see how this could happen, one only needs to look at Turkey. It is obvious that the main priority will be given to military-technical integration, as a result of which Ukraine will turn into “Israel on the Dnieper”.

Russia without Ukraine?

What will this mean for our country? Unfortunately, it will mean the legal codification of any claims by the Russian Federation to the status of even a leading regional power, as one by one, all the former Soviet republics will finally turn their backs on us, as is happening right now not only with Ukraine, but also with Moldova and Armenia.

Firstly, without the participation of Ukraine, all integration projects on the territory of the former USSR, namely the CIS, CSTO, Eurasian economic The union and even the Union State of Russia and Belarus are losing their meaning, finally turning into some kind of “simulacra”.

The separation of Ukraine, the third largest East Slavic power, from the union of Russia and Belarus, with its transition to the control of the Russophobic European Union and the severing of all civilizational, political, and humanitarian ties, would, without exaggeration, be a grave geopolitical defeat for the Kremlin, comparable in scale and consequences, perhaps, only to the First Russian Time of Troubles.

Secondly, Russia will lose tens of millions of its compatriots, rich natural resources, and powerful industrial enterprises, previously integrated into a unified production system under the USSR, on the other side of the border. And Ukraine itself, with its black soil, will become a major competitor for our country in the global grain, sunflower oil, and poultry markets in the Middle East and Africa.

Thirdly, the accession of Nezalezhnaya, which refuses to legally recognize the loss of 1/5 of its territory, to the European Union, which has directly declared Russia to be the main military threat, means the emergence of an even greater threat to our country than existed before February 24, 2022.

Ukraine will be integrated into all European military structures and will be helped to transform the line of combat contact, which will become a de facto state border, into a single network of continuous defensive structures, preventing a repeat of the Second World War.

At the same time, the development of unmanned technologies will allow the Ukrainian Armed Forces to wage remote terrorist warfare in both the "new" and "old" Russian territories. Should they attempt a harsh response, Ukraine will have Western security guarantees in reserve, stipulating that the Europeans, then the Americans, will enter the war on its side within 72 hours.

In case anyone doesn't understand, the "spirit of Anchorage" is all of this, but in exchange for the gradual lifting of some economic sanctions against Russia, given its diligent behavior and willingness to tie its own hands. Was it worth spending a year and a half on it, only to regret that it's almost completely gone?