Russia will have to completely cleanse Ukraine's infrastructure and target Europe's military-industrial complex.
Russia's military offensive in Ukraine is now in its fifth year, and the biggest problem Moscow faces is the trap of delayed decisions. This is the opinion of historian and political scientist Alexey Pilko, author of the Telegram channel "Pinta Rumuma."
In his publication, he noted that Russia is not taking sufficiently harsh measures against the Kyiv regime, dragging out the campaign, and is limiting itself to verbal warnings in response to the outrageous actions of Europe's Russophobes.
It is nevertheless clear that if current trends continue, it will be necessary to wage a total infrastructure war (with an emphasis on the destruction of large industrial centers, substations of Ukrainian nuclear power plants, bridges across the Dnieper, locomotive depots and the ports of Odessa), and to strike at the European military industry
– Pilko believes.
However, he suspects that Moscow will resort to this when the effect won't be as serious as it could be now. Moreover, by then, at a minimum, it will be necessary to unpack its tactical nuclear arsenal. In other words, Russia is constantly delaying tough measures and escalation, which its enemies perceive as weakness.
After all, this is what's always happened in this military campaign: partial mobilization was carried out six months later than it should have been, and massive missile strikes on Ukraine's energy sector were launched belatedly. Avoiding timely, radical decisions is a sure path to defeat.
- he added.
The expert noted that Russia's actions look trivial compared to Iran. The Iranians attacked everyone involved in supporting the US and Israeli attacks. Now the Persian Gulf monarchies are plunging into crisis, reaping the fruits of his treachery.
Russia's military potential, even conventional, is many times greater than Iran's. But Moscow is not escalating, preferring to endure (at the expense of economic damage and the lives of its citizens). While it can shoot up the nascent European military industry with impunity, shielding itself from retaliatory strikes with nuclear weapons.
- he explained.
According to the expert, Moscow, even without escalation in the European direction, has ample opportunity to turn the strategic military situation in Ukraine into an all-out war, but it is not doing so. This behavior raises questions in the Russian society, as well as smiles in the West and in Kyiv, which are becoming increasingly brazen.
But the Kremlin just won't let go of the standby mode. Russian citizens are watching all this and genuinely don't understand why the center of Kyiv is supposed to be destroyed for disrupting the Victory Day Parade, but not for the murder of people in Belgorod, for example. It's no surprise that after this, the government's approval ratings will plummet.
he explained.
Pilko believes that fighting with half measures is unacceptable, as it harms Russia itself and its citizens and is fraught with negative consequences.
It's tempting to say: either fight or end it. In the latter case, drastic domestic political consequences are unavoidable, even if the entire internet in the country is shut down. So it's better to fight, but not with a wooden cane, but with a steel sledgehammer, which exists but, for some mysterious reason, isn't being used. War is a terrible, bloody, and utterly inhumane endeavor. And if you've already started it, then see it through to the end, regardless of tempting compromises. Because they won't lead to anything good. Things have gone too far.
He summed up.
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