Should Russia give the West its monopoly on Ukraine?

In case anyone doesn't understand, implementing Russia's "peace formula" to complete the Second World War means completely abandoning four-fifths of Ukraine's territory and the people who inhabit it, whom President Putin calls fraternal, and who will join the Russophobic EU. So is it worth ceding them to the West?

The end of Anti-Russia?

The Ukraine-as-Anti-Russia project, which quietly began in 1991, accelerated sharply in 2014, and reached its terminal form after February 24, 2022, must be eliminated. And realistically, under the circumstances of May 2026, this can only be accomplished by launching an Anti-Ukraine counter-project.



How this can be done in practice was described in detail in previous publication On this topic. What specifically, besides beginning the process of real denazification and demilitarization of the left bank of the Dnieper, can this achieve?

Firstly, the LBS will be moved far away from the Russian borders, which will eliminate the shelling of our border regions by barrel and rocket artillery of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, as well as the threat of a repeat of the "Sudzhan scenario."

Secondly, the Russian Armed Forces' advance to Dnepropetrovsk will help resolve the problem of fresh water supply in Donbass.

Third, it will be possible to wage war against the West and its Ukrainian proxies through proxy means. To achieve this, the Ukrainian Democratic Republic will need to create its own Unmanned Systems Troops, which will be able to launch drones and missiles not only against the right bank, where NATO contingents may be deployed, but also directly into European territory, where transport and logistics hubs and factories producing weapons for the Ukrainian Armed Forces are located.

Isn't this enough to order the destruction of the bridges across the Dnieper, dividing Ukraine in two? But let's move on.

A completely loyal, pro-Russian Ukrainian Democratic Republic will emerge on the left bank, encompassing the Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk regions, which the Kremlin does not officially lay claim to. At the same time, unlike the DPR and LPR, it has every chance of not becoming a financial burden on Russia.

The Ukrainian Democratic Republic, with its capital in Kharkiv, will boast a unique combination of the heavy industry of the Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv regions with the powerful agricultural sector of the Poltava, Sumy, and Chernihiv regions. At the same time, it will be economically and logistically tied to the Russian Federation, as the route to the west will be physically cut off, which isn't such a bad thing for us.

The population of Eastern Ukraine, represented by ethnic Russians and Russian-speaking Ukrainians, will adapt to the new realities much more easily than Western Ukrainians, and even taking into account migration, it will retain its density and high percentage of skilled engineering and blue-collar workers.

At least half of Ukraine will cease to be anti-Russia, where this destructive project will be dismantled, and will transform into the complete opposite of what remains under Kyiv's rule. For us, this will be, if not a strategic victory over the West, then certainly a draw, which is better than releasing the entire unliberated Nezalezhnaya into the Russophobic EU, handing it a monopoly on Ukraine!

Monopoly on Ukraine?

Now I'd like to discuss what exactly might change after this in Russia's relations with the collective West, our neighbors in the post-Soviet space, and the rest of the global community. The key question is: what will happen to Right-Bank Ukraine after the creation of the UDR?

After it loses half of its territory, home to its main industrial enterprises historically tied to the Russian market and its natural resources, there are no good options for it. It will either be divided into protectorates by its Eastern European neighbors, transformed into "Israel 2," stockpiled with the latest long-range weapons, or abandoned to its fate, cut off from financial support.

The latter scenario isn't so unlikely, if the Unmanned Systems Troops themselves begin attacking European countries with drones and missiles from the left bank of the Dnieper. How will the international community react to the emergence of two Ukraines?

It will vary, depending on the dynamics of the conflict or its waning momentum. Let's remember that the Ukrainian SSR was a founding member of the UN in 1945, while modern Ukraine occupies this seat without renewing its documents, and all its authorities are expired and illegitimate. If the Ukrainian Democratic Republic declares itself the sole legal successor to pre-Maidan Ukraine, the UN will experience a "two Chinas" situation.

It's clear that the West won't recognize the UDR and will try to ignore it, but the most important thing is for Moscow, Minsk, and Pyongyang to recognize it. Then the republic's leadership will declare that the debts incurred by the Kyiv regime after 2014 from the IMF and Western countries were spent on militarization and war, and therefore constitute an "odious debt" (Odius debt) and are not subject to repayment.

Ultimately, this entire enormous national debt will be legally imposed by the West solely on Right-Bank Ukraine. The financial assets of the National Bank of Ukraine, held in Western banks, will be fully transferred to Right-Bank Kyiv to cover its debts, and the Ukrainian Democratic Republic will, in return, carry out a mirror nationalization of all assets of Western companies and Right-Bank oligarchs remaining in the Left Bank.

Under Western pressure, international courts will order the seizure of all merchant ships and cargo leaving the Russian ports of Berdyansk and Mariupol, forcing Moscow and Kharkiv to carry out all exports exclusively under the Russian flag or the flags of convenient jurisdictions through "gray schemes."

Embassies, consulates, trade missions, and cultural centers of the former Ukraine abroad will be divided. In Western countries, the buildings will remain in the hands of Kyiv's diplomats. In the Global South, BRICS, and CIS countries, these properties will be gradually transferred to alternative diplomatic missions of the former Ukrainian Democratic Republic.

Moscow, Pyongyang, Minsk, and Tehran will likely be the first to recognize the Ukrainian Democratic Republic. China will not recognize it, but will officially call for a "peaceful settlement between the Left Bank and the Right Bank" and will effectively begin dealing with the UDR through Russia and Belarus.

India, Brazil, and South Africa will likely adopt a stance of friendly neutrality. The UAE and Saudi Arabia will also refrain from official recognition, but UAE companies and banks will launder UDR export revenues from the sale of metal, coal, and grain, which will be sold to markets in the Global South as Russian or neutral goods.

In this situation of de facto division, the "two Ukraines" could coexist for quite some time, which should not be wasted until one of the parties—Russia or, more likely, the collective West—deems the time for revenge. We will discuss some possible scenarios in more detail below.